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It’s always darkest before the dawn, everybody. Bitcoin just closed its 5th red month in a row, and if it closes March red, that’ll tie the longest losing streak in BTC history. Last time this happened back in 2018, Bitcoin was sitting at $3,400…and then ripped 300% in just... show more

Dan Gambardello

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51,150 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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Warren Buffett, the greatest investor of all time, said: "Be greedy when others are fearful." Right now the fear in $BTC is at extreme levels: $BTC just touched its 200-week moving average at $61,800. The line that has marked (or come very close to) every cycle bottom in history: 2015, 2019, 2020, 2022. The greats teach you what to do in these moments. The crowd shows you what NOT to do.

Warren Buffett, the greatest investor of all time, said: "Be greedy when others are fearful." Right now the fear in $BTC is at extreme levels: $BTC just touched its 200-week moving average at $61,800. The line that has marked (or come very close to) every cycle bottom in history: 2015, 2019, 2020, 2022. The greats teach you what to do in these moments. The crowd shows you what NOT to do.

Crypto Rover

103,375 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

WHY IS NO ONE TALKING ABOUT THIS? $60K was probably the $BTC bottom, and that too based on the 4-year cycle. Each cycle, BTC has made a new ATH. And the bottom happened exactly 23 months after making a new ATH. In Jan 2017, Bitcoin made a new ATH. The bottom happened exactly 23 months later, in December 2018. In December 2020, Bitcoin made a new ATH. The bottom happened exactly 23 months later, in November 2022. This cycle, Bitcoin made a new ATH in March 2024. If it goes by history, the bottom has already happened in Feb 2026 (23 months). And there are other things too supporting this. During the Feb 2026 dump: - Weekly RSI hit a 4-year low - The sentiment index went to its lowest ever - Retest of the 2021 cycle ATH All these things combined have previously marked the bottom for Bitcoin, and maybe "THIS TIME IT'S NOT DIFFERENT."

WHY IS NO ONE TALKING ABOUT THIS? $60K was probably the $BTC bottom, and that too based on the 4-year cycle. Each cycle, BTC has made a new ATH. And the bottom happened exactly 23 months after making a new ATH. In Jan 2017, Bitcoin made a new ATH. The bottom happened exactly 23 months later, in December 2018. In December 2020, Bitcoin made a new ATH. The bottom happened exactly 23 months later, in November 2022. This cycle, Bitcoin made a new ATH in March 2024. If it goes by history, the bottom has already happened in Feb 2026 (23 months). And there are other things too supporting this. During the Feb 2026 dump: - Weekly RSI hit a 4-year low - The sentiment index went to its lowest ever - Retest of the 2021 cycle ATH All these things combined have previously marked the bottom for Bitcoin, and maybe "THIS TIME IT'S NOT DIFFERENT."

Ash Crypto

248,968 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Every time the S&P drops 1%, $BTC drops about 2%. This ratio has held consistently through every correction this cycle. Right now the S&P is sitting on its 200-day moving average, and if it loses that level, history says a 13-15% drawdown follows. That maps to Bitcoin in the low $70Ks, which lines up almost perfectly with the 2024 breakout retest zone. I'm not panicking, but I am watching that level closely.

Every time the S&P drops 1%, $BTC drops about 2%. This ratio has held consistently through every correction this cycle. Right now the S&P is sitting on its 200-day moving average, and if it loses that level, history says a 13-15% drawdown follows. That maps to Bitcoin in the low $70Ks, which lines up almost perfectly with the 2024 breakout retest zone. I'm not panicking, but I am watching that level closely.

VirtualBacon

22,765 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

THE MOST RELIABLE $BTC BOTTOM SIGNAL JUST FIRED. AGAIN. When the % of supply in profit crosses the % of supply in loss, half the network is underwater. Every prior cross marked the cycle bottom zone: 2015, 2019, 2020, 2022. And now in 2026. We're closing in on the Bitcoin bottom. Usually it takes another 1-3 months after the cross before the final low prints.

THE MOST RELIABLE $BTC BOTTOM SIGNAL JUST FIRED. AGAIN. When the % of supply in profit crosses the % of supply in loss, half the network is underwater. Every prior cross marked the cycle bottom zone: 2015, 2019, 2020, 2022. And now in 2026. We're closing in on the Bitcoin bottom. Usually it takes another 1-3 months after the cross before the final low prints.

Crypto Rover

92,351 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Bitcoin pump to $80k in August ? In the 2022 bear market: - BTC local bottom of $17,600 in June - Then +42% pump through August - Made its ultimate cycle bottom in November 2022 around $15,500. We're seeing a similar setup now. If history repeats, Bitcoin could rally into August before making a final bottom in Q4, staying in line with its 4-year cycle. If $57,700 is the local bottom for June, the 42% rally from here puts BTC at $82k. Let’s wait and see how this cycle plays out. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

Bitcoin pump to $80k in August ? In the 2022 bear market: - BTC local bottom of $17,600 in June - Then +42% pump through August - Made its ultimate cycle bottom in November 2022 around $15,500. We're seeing a similar setup now. If history repeats, Bitcoin could rally into August before making a final bottom in Q4, staying in line with its 4-year cycle. If $57,700 is the local bottom for June, the 42% rally from here puts BTC at $82k. Let’s wait and see how this cycle plays out. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

DANNY

43,882 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

THIS IS FOR EVERY BITCOIN HOLDER PANICKING RIGHT NOW. 🚨 Bitcoin just broke below 60K while stocks sit near record highs. Let me be clear. Bitcoin is doing nothing strange. It has always moved in four year cycles, crashing near the end. 2014. 2018. 2022. And now 2026. It feels brutal because this is the exact point where people get sad and give up. That is the pattern, every single time. Fear always peaks at the bottom, not the top. The next cycle up runs 2027 to 2031.

THIS IS FOR EVERY BITCOIN HOLDER PANICKING RIGHT NOW. 🚨 Bitcoin just broke below 60K while stocks sit near record highs. Let me be clear. Bitcoin is doing nothing strange. It has always moved in four year cycles, crashing near the end. 2014. 2018. 2022. And now 2026. It feels brutal because this is the exact point where people get sad and give up. That is the pattern, every single time. Fear always peaks at the bottom, not the top. The next cycle up runs 2027 to 2031.

Crypto Rover

238,476 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

🚨 EVERY CYCLE KILLS ONE EXCHANGE. THIS ONE JUST DIED. BitMEX is shutting down after 11 years. And almost nobody understands what that means for Bitcoin. Mt. Gox died in 2014. BTC bottomed at $152, then ran to $19,800. +12,800%. BitGrail collapsed in 2018. BTC bottomed at $3,122, then ran to $69,000. +2,100%. FTX blew up in 2022. BTC bottomed at $15,768, then ran to $126,162. +700%. Now BitMEX is next. The exchange that invented the 100x perpetual swap closes September 23. That is not just another headline. That is a cycle marker. Crypto always looks weakest right before it turns. One exchange dies. Leverage gets cleaned out. Retail calls the market dead. Then Bitcoin starts the next expansion. Every time. The market is not at the bottom today. It is at the stage that comes right before it. The crowd will read this as one more bearish headline. I read it as the last piece lining up. Reminder: I called the $16K Bitcoin bottom and the $126K top. When I start buying again, I will post it publicly. Turn notifications on before the next cycle becomes obvious. Most people will follow too late.

🚨 EVERY CYCLE KILLS ONE EXCHANGE. THIS ONE JUST DIED. BitMEX is shutting down after 11 years. And almost nobody understands what that means for Bitcoin. Mt. Gox died in 2014. BTC bottomed at $152, then ran to $19,800. +12,800%. BitGrail collapsed in 2018. BTC bottomed at $3,122, then ran to $69,000. +2,100%. FTX blew up in 2022. BTC bottomed at $15,768, then ran to $126,162. +700%. Now BitMEX is next. The exchange that invented the 100x perpetual swap closes September 23. That is not just another headline. That is a cycle marker. Crypto always looks weakest right before it turns. One exchange dies. Leverage gets cleaned out. Retail calls the market dead. Then Bitcoin starts the next expansion. Every time. The market is not at the bottom today. It is at the stage that comes right before it. The crowd will read this as one more bearish headline. I read it as the last piece lining up. Reminder: I called the $16K Bitcoin bottom and the $126K top. When I start buying again, I will post it publicly. Turn notifications on before the next cycle becomes obvious. Most people will follow too late.

Nonzee

29,229 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Nobody wants to hear this but $BTC cycles don't care about sentiment. Four years apart every time since 2017 and the top-to-bottom gap keeps landing in the same month a year later. We're not due for a bottom until Oct 2026 which means the fear everyone's feeling right now is probably early not smart. Tell me why the cycle breaks this time.

Nobody wants to hear this but $BTC cycles don't care about sentiment. Four years apart every time since 2017 and the top-to-bottom gap keeps landing in the same month a year later. We're not due for a bottom until Oct 2026 which means the fear everyone's feeling right now is probably early not smart. Tell me why the cycle breaks this time.

Gerla

31,674 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Every time $BTC closed 3 red 3 month candles in a row, it was followed by a 3-year uptrend. 3nd red 3M BTC candle closes in 2 days. Everybody know what that means. And if history follows the same playbook again, one final accumulation phase may be forming before the next major expansion. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

Every time $BTC closed 3 red 3 month candles in a row, it was followed by a 3-year uptrend. 3nd red 3M BTC candle closes in 2 days. Everybody know what that means. And if history follows the same playbook again, one final accumulation phase may be forming before the next major expansion. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

DANNY

45,745 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

$BTC HAS NEVER BOTTOMED BEFORE 9 RED MONTHLY CANDLES Every single bear market. Same pattern 2018 - 9 red, then floor 2022 - 9 red, then floor We're at 5 right now If you're calling the bottom - you're 4 candles too early The market is designed to make you think it's over before it actually is It's just a theory. But it's happened twice in a row NOTIFS ON!

$BTC HAS NEVER BOTTOMED BEFORE 9 RED MONTHLY CANDLES Every single bear market. Same pattern 2018 - 9 red, then floor 2022 - 9 red, then floor We're at 5 right now If you're calling the bottom - you're 4 candles too early The market is designed to make you think it's over before it actually is It's just a theory. But it's happened twice in a row NOTIFS ON!

Gargoyle

19,526 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

BITCOIN HAS ONLY ONE RULE FOR CYCLE LOWS It doesn’t bottom before it touches the Global Trendline. Three cycles. Three touches. Three lows. Right now we’re still roughly $25K too high. Every cycle looked different. Every narrative changed. But in the end, $BTC came back to the same line. The generational entry is still $40K-$45K. People will call the bottom early. They will say this time is different. They always do. But if we get $40K-$45K, that’s where I want to be a buyer. Turn notis on 🔔 I’ll tell you when it’s time to buy.

BITCOIN HAS ONLY ONE RULE FOR CYCLE LOWS It doesn’t bottom before it touches the Global Trendline. Three cycles. Three touches. Three lows. Right now we’re still roughly $25K too high. Every cycle looked different. Every narrative changed. But in the end, $BTC came back to the same line. The generational entry is still $40K-$45K. People will call the bottom early. They will say this time is different. They always do. But if we get $40K-$45K, that’s where I want to be a buyer. Turn notis on 🔔 I’ll tell you when it’s time to buy.

Rekt Fencer

63,069 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

THIS IS HOW $BTC BEAR CYCLES ACTUALLY WORK During the bull cycle, $BTC moves in ascending channels Each channel breaks up, consolidates, then continues higher The bear cycle works exactly the same way - just in the opposite direction Descending channels. Each one breaks down, consolidates, then continues lower That's what you're looking at right now We're currently passed the second descending channel of this bear cycle Each channel lower brings more panic and more capitulation And that's exactly when most people sell The third channel is already forming - and it points to one zone Target: $47k (MA 350) The level that has ended every bear cycle in Bitcoin history I called the $BTC crash from $126k before it happened - publicly, on this page Every local move since then - mapped out here too The next update is the most important one this cycle - we're approaching the level where the real bottom forms Follow now to not miss the update - turn on notifications to see it first

THIS IS HOW $BTC BEAR CYCLES ACTUALLY WORK During the bull cycle, $BTC moves in ascending channels Each channel breaks up, consolidates, then continues higher The bear cycle works exactly the same way - just in the opposite direction Descending channels. Each one breaks down, consolidates, then continues lower That's what you're looking at right now We're currently passed the second descending channel of this bear cycle Each channel lower brings more panic and more capitulation And that's exactly when most people sell The third channel is already forming - and it points to one zone Target: $47k (MA 350) The level that has ended every bear cycle in Bitcoin history I called the $BTC crash from $126k before it happened - publicly, on this page Every local move since then - mapped out here too The next update is the most important one this cycle - we're approaching the level where the real bottom forms Follow now to not miss the update - turn on notifications to see it first

bee🐝

17,170 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

🚨 GOOGLE SEARCHES MAY PREDICT THE 2026 BITCOIN BOTTOM Historically, whenever people start searching for things like "Bitcoin going to zero," it means that the bottom is near, people are panic selling, and fear is peaking. This is the greatest institutional buy signal we could wish for. When retail sentiment shows extreme fear, the bottom is usually in within a few months. Make sure you do not follow the crowd. They have always been wrong. This time is no different.

🚨 GOOGLE SEARCHES MAY PREDICT THE 2026 BITCOIN BOTTOM Historically, whenever people start searching for things like "Bitcoin going to zero," it means that the bottom is near, people are panic selling, and fear is peaking. This is the greatest institutional buy signal we could wish for. When retail sentiment shows extreme fear, the bottom is usually in within a few months. Make sure you do not follow the crowd. They have always been wrong. This time is no different.

Coinvo Trading

25,694 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

Bitcoin just touched the 50 month moving average for the 4th time ever. 2015 bottom zone. 2018 the bottom. 2022 the bottom. 2026 right now. The 20 week moving average sits at $71,000. Every prior bear market bottom was confirmed the same way: reclaim the 20 week, test the 50 week, bottom was in. If Bitcoin makes that move sooner rather than later, the "Q4 bottom" thesis doesn't have months left to be proven right. It has weeks. I respect the 4 year cycle analysis and consider the possibilities. But PMI just flipped to expansion, copper/gold is breaking out, and every prior time that combination showed up, a crypto bull market followed. Both theories about to be tested at the same time. We're about to find out which cycle Bitcoin actually answers to.

Bitcoin just touched the 50 month moving average for the 4th time ever. 2015 bottom zone. 2018 the bottom. 2022 the bottom. 2026 right now. The 20 week moving average sits at $71,000. Every prior bear market bottom was confirmed the same way: reclaim the 20 week, test the 50 week, bottom was in. If Bitcoin makes that move sooner rather than later, the "Q4 bottom" thesis doesn't have months left to be proven right. It has weeks. I respect the 4 year cycle analysis and consider the possibilities. But PMI just flipped to expansion, copper/gold is breaking out, and every prior time that combination showed up, a crypto bull market followed. Both theories about to be tested at the same time. We're about to find out which cycle Bitcoin actually answers to.

Dan Gambardello

23,919 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

HIGH VOLUME MARKED EVERY BITCOIN BOTTOM. This time? Dead silence. 2015: Volume exploded at the bottom. Then 10x. 2018: Volume exploded at the bottom. Then 20x. 2022: Volume exploded at the bottom. Then 8x. 2026: No volume. No capitulation. No bottom. I'll be blunt. Real bottoms don't form in silence. They form in panic. In volume. In fear. We haven't seen that yet. Which means one thing. The real bottom is still ahead. I've seen this movie before. And I know exactly how it ends.

HIGH VOLUME MARKED EVERY BITCOIN BOTTOM. This time? Dead silence. 2015: Volume exploded at the bottom. Then 10x. 2018: Volume exploded at the bottom. Then 20x. 2022: Volume exploded at the bottom. Then 8x. 2026: No volume. No capitulation. No bottom. I'll be blunt. Real bottoms don't form in silence. They form in panic. In volume. In fear. We haven't seen that yet. Which means one thing. The real bottom is still ahead. I've seen this movie before. And I know exactly how it ends.

Crypto Tice

17,665 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Want to know where Bitcoin tops and bottoms? Bitcoin just entered the green zone for the 5th time in history. Every red zone marked a top: 2018. 2021. 2025. The first 4 deep green zones marked the bottom: 2015: bottom. Deep green. 2019: bottom. Deep green. 2020: covid wick. Deep green. 2022: bottom. Deep green. The map works. The deepest green is still ahead.

Want to know where Bitcoin tops and bottoms? Bitcoin just entered the green zone for the 5th time in history. Every red zone marked a top: 2018. 2021. 2025. The first 4 deep green zones marked the bottom: 2015: bottom. Deep green. 2019: bottom. Deep green. 2020: covid wick. Deep green. 2022: bottom. Deep green. The map works. The deepest green is still ahead.

Merlijn The Trader

43,942 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

BOTTOM SIGNAL: Bitcoin's longest historical "FEAR" stretch “When you zoom out on the one-year trend, this was the longest period we’ve ever spent in fear and extreme fear in history” “Are people usually right when they’re extremely fearful? Is that a top signal or a bottom signal? Of course it’s a bottom signal, and we still remain in fear to this day” “Historically, long extended periods of extreme fear are bottom signals, not top signals”

BOTTOM SIGNAL: Bitcoin's longest historical "FEAR" stretch “When you zoom out on the one-year trend, this was the longest period we’ve ever spent in fear and extreme fear in history” “Are people usually right when they’re extremely fearful? Is that a top signal or a bottom signal? Of course it’s a bottom signal, and we still remain in fear to this day” “Historically, long extended periods of extreme fear are bottom signals, not top signals”

The Wolf Of All Streets

39,332 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

My target for Bitcoin. First level: 65k. That's the previous all-time high. We're already there. If you buy the thesis, it's already time. Second level: 58k. The 200-week simple moving average. In 2020, the 200W SMA caught the COVID crash. In 2018, it marked the absolute bottom. In 2015, it was touched four times but never closed below on a weekly candle. This level has been one of the most reliable buying zones in Bitcoin's history. And right now it sits at 58k. You don't need to time the exact bottom. You need to be in the range.

My target for Bitcoin. First level: 65k. That's the previous all-time high. We're already there. If you buy the thesis, it's already time. Second level: 58k. The 200-week simple moving average. In 2020, the 200W SMA caught the COVID crash. In 2018, it marked the absolute bottom. In 2015, it was touched four times but never closed below on a weekly candle. This level has been one of the most reliable buying zones in Bitcoin's history. And right now it sits at 58k. You don't need to time the exact bottom. You need to be in the range.

VirtualBacon

165,985 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

The VIX is parabolic right now. The last time macro looked exactly like this, PMI ending its contraction, QT just ended, fear at extremes...was February 2020. One more capitulation and we know what happened next. I'm not calling a bottom. But I am preparing.

The VIX is parabolic right now. The last time macro looked exactly like this, PMI ending its contraction, QT just ended, fear at extremes...was February 2020. One more capitulation and we know what happened next. I'm not calling a bottom. But I am preparing.

Dan Gambardello

30,445 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

🚨 OH F*CK... I THINK BITCOIN IS ABOUT TO FORM ITS NEXT SUPER-CYCLE BOTTOM Look at this chart carefully. 2015 → Bottom 2019 → Bottom 2022 → Bottom 2026 → NEXT? Every major Bitcoin cycle has ended the same way: ATH → Correction → Final Capitulation → New Cycle And I believe we’re entering that FINAL phase again. The relief rally already did its job. Now my roadmap is simple: $78K → $62K → $65K → $56K That final flush is the move almost everyone will panic through. But I’m watching it for the exact opposite reason. Because if this cycle repeats, 2026 won’t just mark another Bitcoin crash. IT COULD MARK THE NEXT SUPER-CYCLE BOTTOM. And that’s where the roadmap gets interesting: 2026 Bottom → New Bull Cycle → 2030 ATH Most people will focus on the dump. I’m focused on what comes AFTER it. Keep in mind: I publicly called the 2022 Bitcoin bottom and the $126K top in 2025. Save this chart. When I believe the final bottom is in, I’ll post it here first. Turn notifications on. You do NOT want to miss the next call.

🚨 OH F*CK... I THINK BITCOIN IS ABOUT TO FORM ITS NEXT SUPER-CYCLE BOTTOM Look at this chart carefully. 2015 → Bottom 2019 → Bottom 2022 → Bottom 2026 → NEXT? Every major Bitcoin cycle has ended the same way: ATH → Correction → Final Capitulation → New Cycle And I believe we’re entering that FINAL phase again. The relief rally already did its job. Now my roadmap is simple: $78K → $62K → $65K → $56K That final flush is the move almost everyone will panic through. But I’m watching it for the exact opposite reason. Because if this cycle repeats, 2026 won’t just mark another Bitcoin crash. IT COULD MARK THE NEXT SUPER-CYCLE BOTTOM. And that’s where the roadmap gets interesting: 2026 Bottom → New Bull Cycle → 2030 ATH Most people will focus on the dump. I’m focused on what comes AFTER it. Keep in mind: I publicly called the 2022 Bitcoin bottom and the $126K top in 2025. Save this chart. When I believe the final bottom is in, I’ll post it here first. Turn notifications on. You do NOT want to miss the next call.

DANNY

55,741 просмотров • 24 дней назад