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I’ve been looking for a spot to explain the nice guy strategy in the sportsbetting world (and my theory on how it trumps winning) and tonight’s spaces Elf was the perfect spot. #sportsbetting

97,444 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr •via X (Twitter)

11 Kommentare

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Elfvor 1 Jahr

You should get the clip about you talking about how difficult it is to scale

Profilbild von BAanalytics
BAanalyticsvor 1 Jahr

Good idea I’ll 🔥 it up in the morning

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Santa Anita Parkvor 1 Jahr

$20,000 Free Pick ‘Em online game every Saturday & Sunday through April 6th! 💰 You could win $$$ if you make the most correct picks mixing horseracing and other major sports! 🏇🏀⚾️🏈

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WraniumBetsvor 1 Jahr

@yElff_ this was the smartest thing ever said in an elf spaces

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Elfvor 1 Jahr

🧝🧝🧝

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ActuaryDataPicksvor 1 Jahr

@yElff_ What is the nice guy theory

Profilbild von BAanalytics
BAanalyticsvor 1 Jahr

It’s a long response 1.Public Bettors vs. Sharps: •Many public figures in sports betting (TV personalities, influencers, etc.) sell picks or narratives that aren’t necessarily profitable, but they do it in a way that is entertaining or widely accepted. •If they are wrong, they don’t lose credibility—as long as they apologize or frame their losses in a relatable way. •Meanwhile, actual sharp bettors who make money but aren’t always likable, because the truth (i.e., markets are efficient, edges are small, betting is hard) is uncomfortable. 2.Bookmakers vs. Bettors: •Sportsbooks play into this psychology. They promote parlays and bad bets that give a sense of excitement, but when bettors lose, they are more likely to keep playing if the losses are framed in a friendly, engaging manner (e.g., “So close! Better luck next time!”). •Meanwhile, winning bettors get limited or banned, even though they are the ones operating with the most truth and skill. Personalities & Public Perception: •Sports media rewards the person who entertains and apologizes for mistakes, rather than the one who is brutally honest and correct. •Someone who consistently gives bad picks but spins a compelling story will often be more successful than a sharp bettor who just posts winners with no fluff. Takeaways: •Marketing beats reality. •It’s better to be entertaining and “nice” than to be ruthlessly correct. •Losing bettors who are engaging and apologetic have more staying power than winners who lack charm. Tldr doing something bad (which promotes views) and then apologizing for it in a “genuine and sincere manner” has more value than being honest and winning.

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BorisVagner.eth 🍌vor 1 Jahr

@yElff_ 🔥🔥

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Jesbenshadevor 1 Jahr

@yElff_ im suprised you hopped into one of these lol

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BAanalyticsvor 1 Jahr

@yElff_ What a man will do for a few pph accounts

Profilbild von Eddie Drnkyourmlkshk
Eddie Drnkyourmlkshkvor 1 Jahr

@yElff_ There is a exception to this... A nice sharp!

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