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JAN3 CEO Samson Mow pointed out that Bitcoin never closes, hence last weekend's bloodbath post-market close. Fast forward seven days and price action has left #Bitcoin bears in disbelief after last week's Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Anti-fragile.

11,642 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce •via X (Twitter)

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Former BlackRock fund manager Ed Dowd on the Bitcoin drop: "Bitcoin has always been a global liquidity canary in the coal mine" "what [this] says to me is that Bitcoin is being sold to fund and chase... momentum stocks, particularly NASDAQ and semiconductors" "[this] means the liquidity situation isn't as good as everyone thinks, because if this was truly a liquidity driven market rise, Bitcoin would be participating right now" This clip of Dowd (Edward Dowd), a former BlackRock fund manager and co-founder of Phinance Technologies, is taken from an interview with Daniela Cambone-Taub (Daniela Cambone-Taub) posted to the ITM TRADING, INC. YouTube channel on June 5, 2026. ---------------Partial transcription of clip---------------- "So Bitcoin peaked in October of last year and in this most recent move, in three weeks it's gone from 81,000 to 67,000. That's a 17% decline in three weeks. And technically it looks like it wants to go find a new low. "At the moment it may rally from here, but, the NASDAQ and Bitcoin have a strong correlation, historically 95%. "Bitcoin is a risk-on trade. So recently that's decoupled a little bit, which implies one of two things. Bitcoin needs to rally back up to make the correlation hold or the NASDAQ has to move down a lot for the correlation to hold. "So given Bitcoin's decline, it makes me concerned that global— and Bitcoin has always been a global liquidity canary in the coal mine. So what it says to me is that Bitcoin is being sold to fund and chase, you know, momentum stocks, particularly NASDAQ and semiconductors, which means the liquidity situation isn't as good as everyone thinks. "Because if this was truly a liquidity driven market rise, Bitcoin would be participating right now. "[And Michael] Saylor's stock has been a disaster for the last year and a half. He's selling some Bitcoin to pay some dividends. There is a thesis that he gets a margin call. I don't know whether that's true or not, but at these levels, it's margin call. "People have said in $74,000 bitcoins, margin call territory, we're now at $67,000. We'll see if that continues to unwind the Bitcoin space. But it just doesn't bode well for global liquidity that Bitcoin is struggling, in my humble opinion."

Sense Receptor

39,191 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

BITCOIN RAILS #55: WHAT HAPPENED TO BITCOIN TREASURY COMPANIES? | with David Bailey🇵🇷 $2.0mm/btc is the floor & Brandon 🔗 YOUTUBE: 🌿 SPOTIFY: This most recent bull market was inarguably defined by one dominant narrative: the rise of Bitcoin treasury companies and their dramatic retracement as crypto "DATs" flooded markets. David Bailey🇵🇷 $2.0mm/btc is the floor — former CEO of Bitcoin Inc. (Bitcoin Magazine bitcoin conference) — raised $760M for treasury company Nakamoto, which catapulted to a peak valuation of 33X MNAV before sliding down below MNAV after a seeming burst in treasury mania last year. David joins me and the newly appointed CEO of Bitcoin Inc. Brandon, to share the history of one of the most influential companies in Bitcoin history (Bitcoin Inc.), how their treasury play changed everything, and what we can expect from Bitcoin treasury companies moving through 2026 and beyond. In this episode, the three of us discuss: - The history of Bitcoin Inc., and the rise of Bitcoin Magazine and Bitcoin Conference empire. - The role of UTXO Management (VC and trading fund) in the team's strategy over time - How the fund’s entry into Metaplanet Inc. and their subsequent seeding of nearly a dozen Bitcoin Treasury companies since - The rise of Nakamoto and its subsequent 99% slide in price from ATHs - How David sees the Treasury thesis playing out from here… and projected winners and losers when/if these companies rebound. This episode of Bitcoin Rails is powered by: - Best In Slot (Best in Slot | BRC2.0 🧑‍🍳) — the leading API for Ordinals and BRC20 data aggregation and indexing. - Spark (Lightspark) — a statechains implementation advancing Bitcoin-powered payments. - Citrea (Citrea | Mainnet Live 🍊🍋) — a leading Bitcoin rollup technology and BitVM alliance contributor. TIMESTAMPS 00:00 Intro 01:45 Hit Pieces and Psyop Jokes 05:53 David Bailey Origin Story 12:24 Buying Bitcoin Magazine 15:18 Early Spam “Wars” 19:55 BM Experimentation Phase 26:33 Defining What “Bitcoin Only” Means 32:39 What Being a Bitcoin Maxi Means 34:47 Bitcoin L2 Over Altchains 37:00 Why Securities Matter 41:23 Going Bitcoin Only 46:47 Bitcoin Conference Explosion 54:10 UTXO Bets And Treasury Wave 01:12:10 Seeding Treasury Startups 01:15:44 Taking Nakamoto Public 01:32:51 Treasury Thesis Future Products

Isabel Foxen Duke⚡️

35,495 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🚨 HERE'S WHY BITCOIN IS DUMPING RIGHT NOW Bitcoin no longer trades like a supply-and-demand asset. What you're seeing right now is NOT normal. It's not "weak hands." It's not sentiment. And it's definitely not retail selling. If you hold crypto today, you MUST read this: This decline didn't start just now. It's been building quietly beneath the surface for years. And now it's accelerating. Here's the reality: The moment supply can be synthetically created, scarcity disappears. And when scarcity disappears, price stops being discovered on-chain and starts being dictated by derivatives. That is exactly what happened to Gold and Silver. And now it's happening to Bitcoin. The original Bitcoin thesis is broken. Bitcoin's valuation was built on two foundations: → A hard cap of 21 million coins → No rehypothecation That framework ended the moment Wall Street layered on top of the chain: → Cash-settled futures → Perpetual swaps → Options → ETFs → Prime broker lending → Wrapped BTC → Total return swaps From that point forward, Bitcoin supply became theoretically INFINITE. Not on-chain. But in price discovery, which is what actually matters. Synthetic Float Ratio (SFR). The metric that explains everything. Once synthetic supply overwhelms real supply, price no longer responds to demand. Wall Street can now trade against Bitcoin. They're not guessing direction. They're doing what they do in every derivatives-dominated market: 1⃣ Create unlimited paper BTC 2⃣ Short into rallies 3⃣ Trigger liquidations 4⃣ Cover lower 5⃣ Repeat This isn't "speculation." It's inventory creation. They've effectively transformed Bitcoin into a market where supply can be created on demand. And they literally print their own Bitcoin out of thin air. One real BTC can now simultaneously support: → An ETF share → A futures contract → A perpetual swap → An options delta → A broker loan → A structured note All at THE SAME TIME. That's six claims on one coin. That is not a free market. That is a fractional-reserve pricing system wearing a Bitcoin mask. But that's only half the story. The other side of this collapse is the AI bubble. The largest liquidity magnet in modern market history. For the last two years, capital has been sucked into ONE narrative. AI → AI infrastructure → AI chips → AI data centers → AI software → AI everything Trillions in market value were created almost overnight. And every speculative dollar has a destination. Money doesn't appear from nowhere. Ignore it if you want, but don't pretend you weren't warned. I've been calling Bitcoin tops and bottoms for over a decade, and I'll do it again in 2026. Follow and turn on notifications before it's too late. You don't want to miss my next call.

0xNobler

41,070 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Strategy sold 3,588 BTC last week. That's 112x more than the 32 BTC they sold a few weeks ago (which freaked out the market). Here's what's happening and why they are doing this... 1. Last week = Strategy sold Last week, Strategy sold 3,588 BTC and used all of the proceeds ($216m) to fund dividend payments on their suite of preferred equities. Q2 dividend payments for STRF, STRK, STRD, and STRE... and June dividends for STRC. Notably, BTC price opened last week at $59.5k. Strategy sold 3,588 BTC over the course of the week, yet BTC price went up to $63.5k. 2. The bigger picture = Strategy is NET buying Strategy bought 85,296 BTC in Q2. Their combined selling for Q2 was 3,620 BTC (32 + 3,588). In other words, they bought 22.5x more BTC in Q2 than they sold. (For 2026 YTD numbers, Strategy has bought ~175k BTC and sold 3.6k BTC. That's a 48x ratio.) 3. The message in advance Weeks ago, Saylor explained what they are doing, in an interview with Michaël van de Poppe (see clip) "On occasion, we'll buy 20 Bitcoin & we'll sell 1 Bitcoin... Then the credit investors will give us enough to buy 20 more Bitcoin." Saylor further explained the strategic rationale of selling Bitcoin... "Our credit investors expect that we're going to support the credit dividend and pay it (and our asset is BTC)... 'will you sell some Bitcoin to pay us the money?' They expect me to say yes, because if I'm not going to pay the dividend, they're not going to buy the credit & the credit agency won't rate the credit." 4. What Strategy is doing Strategy is showing the market that they can and will sell BTC. They are doing this to gain access to more credit market capital... so that they can buy much more BTC. Saylor has recently asserted that it's important to "buy more Bitcoin than you sell." This is that in action. In Q2, they bought 85k BTC. They then used 3.5k BTC to fund the dividends on the Digital Credit that enabled them to buy 85k BTC. They bought 22.5 and sold 1. 5. What to expect next Saylor said they will "inoculate the market" by selling a little BTC. This is the second dose of inoculation. They will keep doing it until the market expects it and no longer reacts to it. They are not dumping their BTC treasury strategy for dollars. That is the click-bait headline for the uninformed. What they are telling you is that they plan to sell 1 BTC so they can buy 20 BTC. Over and over.

Jesse Myers

169,213 görüntüleme • 26 gün önce