正在加载视频...

视频加载失败

JD Vance’s framing makes no sense. The stated reason for this conflict was stopping Iran from getting a nuclear weapon ; not lowering gas prices. Gas was not the crisis before the war. Now Vance says cheap oil and gas is Goal #1, while preventing a nuclear Iran is...

10,750 次观看 • 1 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

0 条评论

暂无评论

原始帖子的评论将显示在这里

相关视频

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Tomorrow JD Vance could become the most senior American official to meet Iranian leadership since 1977... The last time a top U.S. official sat across from an Iranian leader, Jimmy Carter was visiting the Shah on New Year's Eve. Vance wasn't born yet. 47 years of hostage crises, proxy wars, and "Death to America" chants stand between then and Saturday morning in Islamabad. Obama tried to arrange a handshake at the UN. Iran's hardliners killed it. Trump tried in France in 2019. Same result. Kerry met Iran's FM for the nuclear deal but that was lower-level. A sitting Vice President meeting Iran's top officials in person would be genuinely unprecedented in the history of the Islamic Republic. The stakes for Vance personally are enormous. He opposed this war from the start. He told Trump to his face it was "a bad idea" in the final Situation Room meeting. He was the one Iran specifically requested as a negotiating partner. Now he walks into a room in Islamabad carrying the weight of 2,000+ dead Iranian civilians, 13 dead Americans, and a fractured conservative base watching his every move. If he lands a deal that gives the U.S. a credible exit, he carries that achievement all the way to 2028. If talks collapse and the war restarts, the man who said "don't do this" becomes the face of failing to fix it. To his credit, being right about the war before it started is the best possible foundation for negotiating its end. Source: WSJ JD Vance

Mario Nawfal

195,614 次观看 • 5 个月前

🇮🇱🇮🇷 IRAN WAR STRATEGY EXPLAINED! It is important to understand that Iran is not fighting a symmetric war against the USA/Israel. They can’t and they don’t. 📋 Iran is doing two things at the same time: 1) WAR ON OIL AND GAS Iran is trying to choke off oil and gas trade from the Middle East through strikes on oil and gas platforms/refineries and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which handles about 25% of seaborne oil and gas trade. (Video 3) This hits US and Arab interests hard. The sheikhs are already calling Trump and urging quick action. They need peace to continue business. → This is achieved with minimal effort by Iran and is working. No ships pass the strait, oil/gas production is halted to some extent, prices skyrocket. This affects everyone worldwide. Trump is under heavy pressure as long as this continues. 2) MISSILE WAR The missile campaign is not aimed at quickly destroying USA or Israel. That’s pure internet hype. Iran fires enough drones and missiles to keep defenses busy and deplete interceptor stocks. They strike multiple locations simultaneously (Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE, even Cyprus), forcing the US to spread air defenses thin. Concentrating heavy defenses in one place becomes impossible. As Rubio noted yesterday, only 6–7 interceptors are produced per month (Video 2), while Iran produces over 100 missiles per month. If Iran sustains the campaign, it will win the attrition war against air defenses. Time is on Iran’s side. The more air-defense missiles are expended per Iranian projectile, (just look how much they fire to intercept one missile - Video 4), the worse the situation becomes for the defenders—especially after Ukraine depleted much of the Western stockpile over the past four years. Key takeaway: As long as Iran maintains the missile campaign, time works in their favour. The longer the conflict lasts, the stronger Iran’s position becomes. If air defenses run out, Iran can strike freely anything and will win. 📋 Status quo: A) Iran fired fewer missiles on Monday, so they are losing? No! Analysis of the US CENTCOM video (Video 1): The US Air Force struck abandoned, already-used launchers and a broken-down truck. They clearly couldn’t locate active Iranian missile forces, so they hit whatever they found. The launchers were already expended; the crews had left after firing. When the US releases such footage, it suggests this is the best they have. They are not destroying Iran’s missile forces at a high rate. They destroy abandoned trucks. Iran doesn’t need to act quickly. Firing drones and missiles a few times a day is enough to keep oil/gas trade stopped and air defenses occupied. As long as they sustain this, time remains on their side. B) Is Iran winning? Also No. Iran struggles to keep its airspace clear. US surveillance drones continue to penetrate, preventing free movement of launchers. As long as those drones remain active, Iran cannot fire at will without risk. Failure to neutralise them would break their strategy. While American and Israeli drones fly in Irans sky, Irans missiles stay under ground and can’t surface, or they risk being struck quickly. Hence US/Israeli Surveillance drones, that direct strikes are the biggest problem Iran has now. They want to roll out missile infrastructure from below ground to the surface, and they can’t … at least not at scale. Watch this closely as a key indicator. How many drones are flying above Iran and how many are shot down. C) What is the US/Israeli strategy? They planned to remove Khamenei, trigger mass protests by Shah supporters, and install a new regime. This has clearly failed. Now they destroy military buildings (police headquarters, etc.), mostly for posture and intimidation. Essential personnel do not work in above-ground offices—doing so would be foolish. The remaining option is to make life unbearable and force surrender by bombing power plants and similar infrastructure. This will come soon at scale. More bombs!

Lord Bebo

1,612,322 次观看 • 6 个月前

IRAN JUST BREACHED IRON DOME AND HIT ISRAEL'S NUCLEAR FACILITY. THE WAR JUST CHANGED FOREVER. WHAT HAPPENS NOW THAT IRAN HIT ISRAEL'S NUCLEAR FACILITY? Here's what comes next, step by step: 🔴 Step 1 — Israel faces the most dangerous decision in its history Dimona is not just a building. It's the nuclear program. Hitting it is Iran saying: "We can reach what you thought was unreachable." 🔴 Step 2 — Israel's war cabinet debates the Samson Option This is not a theory. This is now a live scenario. If Iran can hit Dimona, it can cause a radiological event. That's an existential threat. 🔴 Step 3 — Iran escalates deliberately to force the choice They're not stopping. Wave 71 will come. Iran wants to either trigger nuclear retaliation — or prove Israel won't use nukes. Both outcomes serve Iran. 🔴 Step 4 — If Israel does NOT respond with nuclear force Iran wins the deterrence argument. Forever. Every country watching learns that nukes are a bluff. The entire architecture of nuclear deterrence collapses. 🔴 Step 5 — If Israel DOES activate nuclear doctrine Every Gulf state, every NATO ally, every world power intervenes instantly. The war becomes global within 48 hours. 🔴 Step 6 — The market reaction will be historic Oil goes to $200. Gold to $4,000. Bitcoin either crashes with the global system or moons as fiat collapses. Nobody knows which. That's the danger. 🔴 Step 7 — CENTCOM has no answer for this They claimed 8,000 Iranian targets destroyed. Iran still hit a nuclear site. The entire narrative of "we're winning" just broke. The question is not whether this escalates. The question is how far. Are you positioned for what comes next?

🇦🇪 Rashid bin Saeed : راشد بن سعيد

2,413,904 次观看 • 6 个月前

IRAN JUST BREACHED IRON DOME AND HIT ISRAEL'S NUCLEAR FACILITY. THE WAR JUST CHANGED FOREVER. WHAT HAPPENS NOW THAT IRAN HIT ISRAEL'S NUCLEAR FACILITY? Here's what comes next, step by step: 🔴 Step 1 — Israel faces the most dangerous decision in its history Dimona is not just a building. It's the nuclear program. Hitting it is Iran saying: "We can reach what you thought was unreachable." 🔴 Step 2 — Israel's war cabinet debates the Samson Option This is not a theory. This is now a live scenario. If Iran can hit Dimona, it can cause a radiological event. That's an existential threat. 🔴 Step 3 — Iran escalates deliberately to force the choice They're not stopping. Wave 71 will come. Iran wants to either trigger nuclear retaliation — or prove Israel won't use nukes. Both outcomes serve Iran. 🔴 Step 4 — If Israel does NOT respond with nuclear force Iran wins the deterrence argument. Forever. Every country watching learns that nukes are a bluff. The entire architecture of nuclear deterrence collapses. 🔴 Step 5 — If Israel DOES activate nuclear doctrine Every Gulf state, every NATO ally, every world power intervenes instantly. The war becomes global within 48 hours. 🔴 Step 6 — The market reaction will be historic Oil goes to $200. Gold to $4,000. Bitcoin either crashes with the global system or moons as fiat collapses. Nobody knows which. That's the danger. 🔴 Step 7 — CENTCOM has no answer for this They claimed 8,000 Iranian targets destroyed. Iran still hit a nuclear site. The entire narrative of "we're winning" just broke. The question is not whether this escalates. The question is how far. Are you positioned for what comes next?

John F. Kennedy Jr Q

15,535 次观看 • 6 个月前

Iran war, day 63 summary! Charlatan in chief never skips a beat! -Trump says he's "not satisfied" with the peace deal proposal What peace deal? -Iran demands end to fake blockade -nuclear and missile program remain -SOH remains restricted New unhinged Trump rant! -“We destroyed everything in Iran thanks to our Israeli ally and the wonderful blockade that prevented them from exporting.” -The Iranian navy, which was the strongest regionally (it was?), has been completely destroyed -159 of its ships are now at the bottom of the sea -Iran is now without air defenses or radar systems, and its military capabilities have been completely paralyzed. -Iran should not have nuclear weapons, and military confrontation with it was necessary. -Gas prices will drop quickly once the situation in Iran is over, and may be cheaper than they were. Ex-Trump national advisor Bolton: “Trump talks about a deal with Iran to lower oil prices” Meanwhile, -“I think [his words] are a kind of market manipulation to show that everything is fine.” This is market manipulation! -He says a deal could happen at any moment and the blockade is working great. His main goal is to lower oil prices. -There has been a big jump in oil prices now, and I think Trump is reacting to this again The Trump regime only cares about the stock market and price of oil! And that’s why Mossad agents representing the negotiating team!! Kushner, Witkoff and their ulterior motives! (NY Times) The Trump regime has turned the art of peacemaking, into a business Representative Jamie Raskin wrote: -"You cannot be a loyal representative of the US while billions of dollars of Saudi and UAE money are priority -Kushner’s property is affinity partners -both kosher agents previous meetings with Iran failed because they did not fully grasp the complexities of nuclear issues. In fact they fully grasp the issue from Israel’s perspective, which is that Iran cannot have a viable nuclear program. Iran demands reparations from the US, Israel and the GCC terror states! Iran's Rep to the UN responds to a letter from Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, and Jordan to the United Nations and the Security Council: “Those countries participated in the aggression against Iran through bases on their territories from which the fire and air raids were launched.” “Iran exercised its legitimate right to self-defense, which is enshrined in the UN Charter, in response to the aggression.” “Iran was not the initiator of the fighting.” “The countries that participated or allowed the use of their bases, airspace, waters, and territories to launch aggression against Iran are responsible and must be held accountable.” “The failure of the UNSC to condemn the aggression and identify the aggressors has played a role in encouraging the aggressors to continue the aggression.” “We demand that each of Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, and Jordan bear responsibility for full compensation to Iran for the damage.” Operation Stargate has been impeded! Amazon Closures in UAE and Bahrain Amazon announced: -Direct damage to hardware equipment estimated at over $850 million. -there’s complete outage of 37 critical services -disruption of access for over 12,000 enterprise and government customers across the region. -Tech reports indicate that over 40% of data storage capacity in the affected centers requires physical recovery.

Truth_teller 🇷🇺

13,570 次观看 • 4 个月前

BREAKING: The US House just voted 215 to 208 to end the Iran war. The same day, Iran bombed Kuwait’s main airport and the US bombed Iran. Both are true. The gap between them is the whole story. The vote is historic, and misunderstood. It is the first time either chamber of Congress has passed a measure against this war since it began more than three months ago, and 4 Republicans crossed the aisle to do it. But it stops nothing. It is a concurrent resolution: it never reaches Trump’s desk, it still has to pass the Senate, its legal force is disputed, and Trump will contest it. It does not end the war. It measures how toxic the war has become. So why did 4 Republicans break? The rebuke was aimed at Trump’s handling of the conflict and, in the reporting’s own words, the economic fallout, a war that has rattled the global economy with no end in sight. That is oil propped up by a draining reserve, fertilizer the world’s biggest importer now pays nearly double for, and the strait still shut since February. Congress just voted on the price of crude and bread. It only called it a war. But the same afternoon, the war got bigger. Iranian drones and missiles hammered Kuwait’s main airport, killed 1 and wounded more than 60, and forced it shut. The US answered with a strike on an Iranian military site on Qeshm Island, inside the Strait of Hormuz. Israel kept hitting Lebanon, the sticking point Tehran says any deal must cover. The mediators were already cut off. Oil ticked up about 2%, Brent back near $97, while the strait stayed shut. This is the new phase: a divergence. Abroad, the war is widening, Gulf states hit, Iran hitting back, talks frozen. At home, the will to keep paying for it is cracking for the first time. The binding constraint is sliding off the battlefield and onto the floor of Congress. Increasingly, the limit is not Iran. It is the bill. The vote will not stop the war. But it is the first time the cost of one shut strait reached the floor of the House. The war is not ending. The willingness to keep paying for it is.

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡

62,902 次观看 • 3 个月前