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Jensen Huang explains how blocking China from Nvidia does not mean blocking China from AI. The usual export-control story assumes scarcity: deny the best chips, and the rival falls behind. China is no longer merely waiting at the door of American compute. Huawei’s rise is showing how a sanction...

41,215 görüntüleme • 18 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

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Jensen Huang just made the most direct argument of his career about why banning Nvidia from China is not a national security strategy but rather a national security failure. Dwarkesh asks why Nvidia should be allowed to sell chips to China at all, if China would just use Huawei chips without them. Jensen's answer was that in the absence of a better choice, you take the only choice you have. As long as China has to settle for inferior chips, they are building their AI infrastructure on a foundation that is slower, harder to program, and years behind American technology. The moment the US decides to ban Nvidia from selling to China entirely, it removes that disadvantage. China is 40 percent of the global technology industry, Jensen said. Conceding that market, handing it entirely to Huawei is a disservice to American national security, American technology leadership, and American economic power. The data shows what has already happened since the export bans tightened. Nvidia's share of China's AI chip market collapsed from 95 percent to 55 percent in 2025 and at one point during the H20 ban, Jensen himself declared Nvidia had gone from 95 percent share to zero on advanced accelerators. The Trump administration's ban on H20 chips cost Nvidia an estimated 15 billion dollars in lost sales, plus a 4.5 billion dollar inventory write-down. Without the export controls, Nvidia was on track to generate roughly 23 billion dollars in H20 chip sales to China in 2025 alone. Meanwhile Huawei shipped 812,000 AI chips in 2025 and Beijing has now mandated that all state-funded data centers must switch to domestic chips. Jensen's deeper argument is about the global stack, not the quarterly revenue. When developers around the world build AI on CUDA, Nvidia's programming platform, they are building on American technology. When those AI models deploy into every country, the American stack goes with them. Cutting Nvidia out of China does not slow Chinese AI but rather accelerates the construction of a parallel Chinese tech stack that, once built at scale, competes with American technology everywhere else in the world.

Milk Road AI

21,133 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

Jensen Huang just told you America is in an AI arms race where half the talent building the weapons was born on the other side. Huang: “50% of the world’s AI researchers are from China. Taking it emotionally too far from that results in consequences in relationships that are just harder to manage.” That is not diplomacy. That is the CEO of the most critical company in the AI supply chain telling you the West has a structural dependency it cannot legislate away. Half the minds capable of engineering superintelligence were born, raised, and educated inside the borders of America’s primary geopolitical rival. And Washington is writing policy as if that number does not exist. The politician sees China and reaches for tariffs. Export bans. Visa restrictions. The instinct is confrontation. The endgame is severance. Huang is telling you severance is suicide. You cannot win an intelligence race by amputating half the intelligence. America does not lead AI because of its government. It leads because the best researchers on Earth chose to be here. The compute. The capital. The culture of building. That pull is not permanent. The moment it reverses, the talent does not disappear. It goes home. And it takes the knowledge with it. Every emotionally driven export ban. Every reactionary visa restriction. Every congressional hearing staged for cameras instead of outcomes. Each one is a small push in the wrong direction on a scale that does not forgive miscalculation. China is not debating whether the technology moves too fast. They are building gigawatt-scale data centers and training sovereign models with the full weight of a state that treats AI supremacy as civilizational survival. And they are doing it with a researcher pipeline that America helped build and is now actively dismantling. Huang: “We can have a healthy competition while we compete, compete fairly, and collaborate at the same time.” That sounds reasonable until you hear what he is actually saying. The only path to American AI dominance runs directly through a relationship with the country trying to beat it. That does not fit on a campaign poster. But it is the math. The AI race is not a tariff negotiation. It is the final competition for who writes the operating system every future economy, military, and government runs on. Whoever builds superintelligence first does not get a market advantage. They get a permanent one. The kind no treaty undoes. And America is treating this like a midterm election issue while China is treating it like the last war it will ever need to fight. The danger is not that China outspends the U.S. The danger is that America mistakes emotional foreign policy for strategic foreign policy and severs the very relationships keeping it ahead. The researchers are the resource. Not the chips. Not the data centers. The people who know how to make the models think. Half of them are Chinese. And the U.S. is running a geopolitical strategy that forces those people to choose. Huang sees the board. He sells the GPUs. He knows who is buying them and who is designing on them. And he is telling you the current trajectory ends with America holding the best hardware on Earth and no one left who knows how to use it. The country that wins this will not be the one with the strongest rhetoric. It will be the one that understood the difference between controlling talent and attracting it. Right now, China is attracting. America is restricting. The algorithm does not care about flags. It scales for whoever shows up with the math. And right now, half the people who know the math are being told they are not welcome.

Dustin

10,925 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

Jensen Huang just made the case for American empire. Said it plain. Didn’t flinch. Didn’t walk it back. And almost nobody caught what he actually admitted. Jensen Huang: “The amount of compute in the United States is a hundred times more than anywhere else in the world.” One hundred times. That is not a market lead. That is a monopoly on the future of intelligence. The kind that compounds every six months until no one else can close the distance. Jensen Huang: “We make sure that the US labs are the first to hear about it and the first chance to buy it.” Every chip Nvidia designs. Every architecture they ship. America gets first access. Everyone else gets what is left. That is not a sales strategy. That is arms distribution with a quarterly earnings call. Jensen Huang: “And if they don’t have enough money, we even invest in them.” The company building the weapons is bankrolling the people who fire them. Nvidia is no longer a public company. It is a state instrument with a stock ticker. Jensen Huang: “Why would you want the United States to give up the world?” The CEO of the most valuable hardware company on earth did not hedge that. Did not qualify it. He said it like it was obvious. Because to him, it is. Nations used to be measured by steel output. Then oil reserves. Then warhead count. Now it is how much intelligence they can produce per second. Compute is no longer a commodity. It is a strategic resource. Like uranium in 1944. Except this one doubles faster than anyone can respond. Europe understands none of this. They are drafting AI regulations. Compliance frameworks. Ethics panels. Risk tiers. They are bringing paperwork to a physics war. You cannot govern intelligence you do not have the silicon to produce. China gets it. That is why they are building fabs, not filing comment periods. Nvidia already made sure the gap is not annual. It is generational. Silicon Valley still thinks it is building consumer software. Huang just told them they are building American infrastructure. Every model trained here runs on machines that exist nowhere else. Every company that scales here scales on silicon no rival can touch. The world thinks Nvidia sells chips. Nvidia sells the ability to think. And they only sell it under one flag.

Dustin

57,059 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

China is on the verge of cracking the US's advanced microchip monopoly. Behind the scenes, Americans are PANICKING. And that's why they issued an insane "order" last week, saying that NO ONE ANYWHERE IN THE WORLD (including China) is allowed to use the Huawei Ascend microchip. The US has a long record of arguing that they have a legal right to control use or sales of anything anywhere in the world that may have an American element in its development history. . HERE'S THE STORY The US is keeping a tight hold on advanced microchips from Taiwan, China—including the super-powerful Nvidia chips necessary for AI. So the Chinese company Huawei developed a way of linking less advanced chips together to replicate (and even beat) the computing power of the Nvidia chip, 300 petaflops to 180 petaflops. Chinese nerds did this by using optical connections to make instantaneous transmission between 384 chips. The result was the CloudMatrix 384, which delivers MORE computing power than the top Nvidia chip. But the US says that the Huawei chips inside it include elements, or chiplets, from TSMC in the Chinese province of Taiwan, and will make sure these are not available any more. Now mainland China needs to develop its own chiplets, which won't be easy. . WHO WILL WIN? Top experts like William Huo (whose background is Intel Inc) say we should be rooting for China. That's because the US says it in this fight to maintain global AI dominance, while China will share the breakthrough with the world to create a fairer, safer planet. Who will win this battle? This story is unfolding in real time.

Nury Vittachi

28,460 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce