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‼️ John Curtice punctures the central myth behind Labour’s Brexit strategy: “The Labour Party could be much more pro-European than it has been, not to its disadvantage.” Labour’s support remains overwhelmingly pro-EU. Its attempt to attract committed Leave voters has achieved very little because Reform now represents the majority...

92,408 görüntüleme • 8 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

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😩 Britain has wasted ten years trying to square the Brexit circle that cannot be squared: how do you remove the barriers while refusing the structures that remove them? Starmer chose the Ming vase strategy with red lines that protected Brexit by making any meaningful reset impossible and leant heavily into Atlanticism. The red lines of the 2024 mandate stunted the EU reset and Burnham can’t easily escape this. He also needs to keep together a country still scarred by the Leave/Remain divide, while freeing Britain from red lines. This is why the security argument is vital - Russia. Ukraine. Trump. Energy. Food. Defence. Technology. Critical supply chains. Nick Boles’s proposed goods-only arrangement may ultimately be unacceptable cherry-picking to the EU. But domestically it creates political space to ask whether Britain’s security now requires a fundamentally different relationship with Europe. Andy Burnham doesn’t need to fight the next election shouting Single Market, Customs Union, freedom of movement. He needs a manifesto giving him a mandate to negotiate the deepest economic and security relationship with our European allies necessary to protect Britain’s national interest without repeating Starmer’s red lines. Then negotiate. If the electorate endorses that manifesto, Burnham isn’t breaking the previous mandate. He has won a new one. And for the first time since Brexit, Britain could sit down with Europe without tying both hands behind its back before the negotiations even begin. Britain’s chief EU negotiator Hamish Falconer MP says the Burnham government wants a deeper, more ambitious relationship with Europe on trade, services, security and technology. He also says plainly: We are part of Europe. The 2024 Brexit red lines remain … for now. But Falconer is deliberately talking about the art of the possible, while refusing to bind Labour’s next manifesto to those red lines. The world has changed since 2016; Britain can’t change its geography.

Liz Webster

19,906 görüntüleme • 24 gün önce

Lewis Goodall, "Farage has Brexit. It is his signature contribution to British political life. He owns it, he is it" "There is now enough public dissatisfaction with Brexit" Victoria Derbyshire, "Nearly half of respondents believe there should be another referendum, a majority think Brexit has not worked" Lewis Goodall, "Labour's biggest problem is not hemorrhaging votes to Reform, it's hemorrhaging votes to the Greens and the LibDems" Poppy Coburn, "It's a no brainer, Labour should campaign to rejoin the European Union" Victoria Derbyshire, "Why would that be a vote winner?" Poppy Coburn, "The people who already left Labour because of Brexit have long since gone, they are not coming back to them, they're never coming back" "Labour need to galvanise the centre left, who at the moment are very dissatisfied by Labour" "They're going towards The Greens and the LibDems" "Going back into the European Union would really upset Nigel Farage, Labour get to paint him as somebody who has already tried and failed, and you get to say this will deal with our growth problems - even though it wont (actually, it will)" "I do know people of my demographic, a little older, who are really dissatisfied with Brexit, because they can see when Britain falls off a cliff 2019/2020, I think mainly because of the pandemic, but it happened the same time as Brexit" "So even though the European Union is suffering, just as much as Britain, if not more so (not quite true). And even though a Customs Union won't give us the growth benefits that is promised (it will)" "A political narrative can be built up that is very powerful" "We don't need a referendum, just go back in - Farage is saying he'll leave the ECHR without a referendum" Lewis Goodall, "The Labour party has the electorate it's got, and it's not the electorate it wants" "It still considers itself as the party of the pit villages, of the South Wales valleys, all these sort of places" "But it's also the party of urban England" Poppy Coburn, "If I could whisper into Keir Starmer's ears I'd say restart the culture wars because you can't win on economics" "Keir Starmer's political career came around by campaigning on rejoining the European Union, he needs to galvanise that base again" "It's the only way he will see off people like Zack Polanski"

Farrukh

124,935 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

John Major effectively calls Labour and the Conservatives cowards over Brexit - must watch "In an act of collective folly, the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union" "Across the world our enemies celebrated and our friends despaired" "We left the EU on a minority vote of 37% of the electorate" "After a referendum campaign that was PACKED with misinformation and misjudgement" "It left our country poorer, weaker, and divorced from the richest free trade market that history has ever seen" "National interest brushed aside by false hopes and promises, that even a cabinet dominated by front line Brexit enthusiasts was unable to deliver" "The promises they made, given the opportunity, they were unable to meet" "The gains from Brexit that were promised so confidently, can not be seen to be illusionary" "While the forecast damage of leaving the European Union has become only too apparent" "The nation saw project fear become project reality" "It's no consolation that the majority of the public now overwhelmingly recognises that it was misled" "In their moment of triumph, Brexiters predicted other countries would follow their lead and leave the European Union" "None have" "All saw only too clearly that Brexit was packed with disadvantages" "Far from others leaving the European Union, 9 further nations wish to join the EU" "Which is an apt comment on how the world saw Britain's decision to leave" "The United Kingdom once revelled as a leading member of the European Union with half a billion citizens, and the undoubted first ally of the United States, the world's most eminent superpower" "Today we know we are neither and so does the world" "As we plan for the future we must see ourselves as we now are" "And what we are is 70 million people in a world of 9,000 million" "The UK has a proud history, a wealth of talent, a role in the world that continues to be significant" "So we have much to offer any partner" "Our national assets could make the European Union stronger and better equipped to face the uncertain future that now lingers in front of us" "Our collective future demands a Europe that conducts itself as an economic superpower alongside America and China" "The alternative is to be ever subordinate to the economic whim of America and China - I have no appetite for that" "I know the shortcomings of the European Union, I lived with them for many painful years" "But in a dangerous, uncertain world, with two unpredictable superpowers" "I believe the UK's future is safer and more economically secure, inside a powerful block of neighbour nations, than outside" "There are many barriers to a return to full membership of Europe that will be difficult to overcome" "That said, there are areas we can make a start" "And looking forward the plain truth is, the European Union is too important for the United Kingdom to not be part of its decision making process" "The polls tells us that well over a half of the British electorate now believe it was a mistake to leave the EU" "And less than 1/3 support having done so" "Amongst the young, support for Brexit falls as low as 13%" "That is why it is so disappointing that both government and opposition are so wretchedly timid in their policy ambitions" "Both Labour and Tories are terrified of a residual Brexit vote" "They don't seek to change the minds of those who favour Brexit, by talking about the advantages we have lost and might be able to regain" "They simply hide in a hole and do nothing" "Our economic and political interests, that's not abstract, that's your living standards" "Our economic and political interests could not be clearer, but short term party political calculations is given priority over the national interest" "Brexit is a flop" "It is losing our country £100 billion, not million, £100 billion every year, as well as the tax revenue that would deliver" "Just think about that, every year, every year, the loss of European trade is damaging our finances" "The loss is made greater by some decisions the present Labour government have taken, and that is one reason why we are facing a painful and difficult budget" "Economists agree there will be a cumulative loss to the economy of £311 billion by 2035" "Together with 3 million fewer jobs, and a fall in trade levels with the EU" "As of now its a matter of fact, not conjecture" "Many SMEs have simply been defeated by post Brexit bureaucracy and simply find it no longer profitable to trade with Europe" "It is baffling, baffling, that at a basic minimum labour are not now looking at how to negotiate away such frustrations created by bureaucracy" "New trade deals supposed to cover lost European trade have not done so" "Some are positively damaging, ask the farmers if you disbelieve me" "The much promised mega trade deal swapping American trade with lost European trade promised so frequently and so confidently has never happened, and it shows no sigh of doing so in the future" "We have lost, probably forever, the unique and advantageous deals we had gained in the 1980s and 1990s and I do not believe they cannot be regained" "Without them a full return to the EU is unlikely until a younger generation, pro European politicians come to power, and the Brexiter voice again retreats to the fringes of debate"

Farrukh

123,210 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

Laura Kuenssberg skewers Rishi Sunak on the economic damage of Brexit Laura Kuenssberg, "The long term political choices the UK has made, including leaving the EU, has made it more difficulty for our economy" "Your old bosses at Goldman Sachs say plainly: in the long-term, Brexit has meant that the UK is notably under performing compared to other economies" Rishi Sunak, "We had a referendum.. The British people made a choice.. I was proud to support Brexit.. It's the right thing for our country" Laura Kuenssberg, "Goldman Sachs, the OBR say that trade will be much slower in the long term because we've left the EU" "Do you accept, as one of your own ministers Kevin Hollinrake said this week, that leaving the EU has made things more difficult for many businesses" Rishi Sunak, "Of course, when you leave the EU Single Market and the Customs Union, that is going to change our trading relationship" Laura Kuenssberg, "Making trade more difficult" Rishi Sunak, "Of course that changes your trading relationship.. We have now overtaken France, Japan and the Netherlands to become the 4th largest export economy in the world" For anyone confused. We are trading less goods which is making it difficult for British businesses, however we are selling more services Rishi Sunak, "The choice for people is, if they want to reverse that with Labour, that's what they'll get. Keir Starmer is very clear he will want to do a deal with the EU which will mean accepting some form of free movement of people" Yes please Laura Kuenssberg, "We've talked about that and Labour have denied it" "I want to make clear to our viewers that the vast majority of the trade deals were rolled over deals that we already had with the EU.. The US is not interested in a trade deal even though that was one of the big promises of Brexit" Rishi Sunak, "You haven't mentioned that we're the first European nation to join CPTPP" Laura Kuenssberg, "Which is not yet enforced" Rishi Sunak, "It just needs to go through parliament.. That's a big moment.. We are close to a trade deal with India.. I don't think it's right for Labour accepting EU rules we have no say over" Laura Kuenssberg, "I remind you that Labour have denied that.. And our viewers want to hear the party policies of the person sitting in the chair" Rishi Sunak, "There is plenty of evidence, even from your own minister, that the economic reality of Brexit is that the UK standing long term is more challenging than had we stayed in the EU"

Farrukh

206,850 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce