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Just DM'd a dev who turned 7k into 324k in 28 days on Polymarket by building pure arb bot. Thought it was cap until he sent his logs. Then he said he deleted the repo 2 days ago because "API crackdown is coming soon & my code started gaining...

13,579 次观看 • 7 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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An Anthropic engineer paid for my espresso at Sightglass when he saw my screen I was running my Polymarket bot from the counter. He was next in line. Looked over my shoulder. Stopped scrolling. "That's not a normal trading app. What's it actually running on" I told him. Claude Code. Four repos. $25 a month. He sat down without asking. "I'm on the agent team. We stress test Claude for exactly this. You're letting it find its own edges" Not just edges. Wallets. 86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. "You're feeding Claude raw wallet data and letting it identify who consistently wins. Then cloning them" He said it slowly. Like he was writing the threat model in his head. One prompt. Find every wallet with 100 plus trades and win rate above 70%. Rank by profit. Export top 50. Claude scanned 14,000 wallets in 4 minutes. Returned 47. The top 20 made more than the bottom 13,000 combined. "That's not a stat. That's a hit list" Exactly. "And you didn't write the scoring function" Claude did. I just wired it into an if-statement. Then I showed him the second repo. Official Rust CLI. No API key for reads. 500 markets, Claude scores them in minutes. Gap. Depth. Resolution window. 487 markets become 35 before a dollar moves. 93% killed before I even see them. A green fill landed on the screen. +$84. Copytrade wallet: He watched it hit. "How does it decide to actually enter" Three agents. Shared wallet. No shared memory. Arbitrage, convergence, whale copy. 2 agree, full size. 1 alone, half. Disagree, no trade. Consensus filter alone killed 40% of losing trades. "And the exits?" The 47 whales never hold to settlement. 91% exit early. 73% of max profit captured. Redeploy immediately. My bot cuts at 85% of expected move or on a 3x volume spike. "You built a whale copy bot that exits before the whales" Yeah. He put his espresso down. "How often does it trade" 10 a day on average. Most of them skipped before I look up from my coffee. My setup: Claude API - $20/mo VPS in Germany - $5/mo poly_data - free polymarket-cli - free Polymarket/agents - free $200 seed. 27 days ago. $14,300 now. Copytrade here: 271 trades. 74% win rate. Sharpe 2.47. I haven't touched it in 27 days. He stared at the screen for a long time. "This is literally what our red team simulates. Except you actually shipped it" He emailed me the next morning. "Any chance you'd take a call with our policy lead" I told him the article is the call. Read it twice. Too late to gatekeep.

Lunar

991,193 次观看 • 4 个月前

An Anthropic engineer watched me trade from across the table at a WeWork in SF I had my laptop open. Four agents running. Green charts. Live trades scrolling. He was on a Zoom call. Muted himself. Walked over. "Are you running Claude against live prediction markets right now" I told him. Claude Code. Two repos. $25 a month. He pulled up a chair. "I helped build the model you're using. I've never seen anyone wire it to live trades like this" I showed him the dataset. 86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. He stared at it. "We tested this internally. You give Claude a dataset and don't tell it what to look for. It finds the winning wallets. Then it finds WHY they win. Then it copies the pattern. We never shipped it because legal killed it" I told him I did exactly that. One weekend. Claude Code found the exit logic on its own. Top wallets exit before resolution 91% of the time. They capture 86% of expected value. Cut losers at 12%. Everyone else captures 58% and holds to 41%. "That's the exact finding from our internal eval. Except ours took a team of eight and four months" I showed him the scanner. Three commands. 500+ markets. No API key. Claude scores them all in 20 minutes. "You're using our model to beat markets we're not allowed to touch. On infra that costs less than my lunch" My setup: Claude API - $20/mo VPS - $5/mo poly_data - free polymarket-cli - free 214 trades. 74% win rate. +$9,400. 19 days. I showed him the full breakdown. Every repo. Every command. Every dollar. Copytrade here: He read it for five minutes. Then looked up. "If my manager sees this he's going to lose his mind. You just proved our model works in production and we've been sitting on it for a year" He DM'd me that night. "Take this down before someone at Anthropic finds it" Too late.

Lunar

224,077 次观看 • 4 个月前

"My dad forgot my name last Thursday. He looked at me for a long time and I could see him trying and I smiled and said it's okay Dad and meant it and didn't mean it. Yesterday I brought Bruno to visit. Dad was in his recliner staring at the window the way he does when he's somewhere we can't follow. Bruno walked in. Dad turned. And his whole face — his whole face — became the face I grew up with. He reached out both hands. He said Bruno's name perfectly. Clearly. No hesitation. He said it the way you say the name of something you have loved so long it lives below the place the disease can reach." He held Bruno's face in both hands for a long time. He talked to him. Full sentences. Things I haven't heard from him in months. He said — "There's my boy. There he is. I knew you'd come." I sat in the corner of that room and I let them have it and I didn't make a sound because some things are not for witnessing loudly. My dad has Alzheimer's. Some days he knows me. Some days he is somewhere I cannot find him. But he always knows Bruno. Every single visit. Every single time. Bruno walks in and my father comes back to the surface like something in him refuses to forget the one who never left. I don't know what that is. I don't know the name for it. I just know that Bruno walks into that room and my father says his name and for a few minutes I have my dad back. That's everything. Some days that's just everything. Drop a ❤️ for Dad. And for Bruno who finds him every single time in places I can't reach.

Crazy Moments

78,118 次观看 • 1 个月前

Last Thursday I was having dinner with a friend at a regular shawarma spot near the subway. A guy he knew was sitting with us. Around 21, maybe 22. Hoodie, AirPods, beat-up backpack When the check came he grabbed it without a word. No discussion. Just tapped his phone and paid for all 3 of us My friend was not even surprised. Apparently this was not the first time I asked: what do you do? He said: "I copy wallets on Polymarket" I thought it was a joke. Or some trading guru with a $500 course But he explained it simpler than I expected "On Polymarket there are wallets that are consistently in profit. Not on 1 bet but on dozens in a row. I do not try to guess who wins the election or what the weather will be in Dallas. I just look at what a wallet with a 70+ win rate is doing and repeat it" He did not build models. Did not write scripts. Did not analyze news He opened Telegram and showed me a channel. Simple messages: wallet X entered position Y, price Z cents, market such and such Then he opened Polymarket and showed me his balance I am not going to name the exact number because he did not ask for that. But I will say this: it is enough for a guy in a rented apartment with 3 roommates to casually pay for dinner for 3 and not think twice I asked: "How did you figure out which wallet to follow?" He shrugged "That is the easiest part. Polymarket is blockchain. All trades are open. You go to the leaderboard, filter by win rate, look at history. If a wallet consistently enters positions at 3 to 8 cents and closes at a dollar that is not luck. That is an information edge" Then he added something that made me freeze "The funniest part is I do not even need to understand why he bets. I do not know where he gets his information. Maybe he is an insider. Maybe he has a model. Maybe he just reads news faster. I do not care. I see that he entered and I enter a minute later. The price usually has not moved yet" I came home and could not fall asleep Opened Polymarket. Went to the leaderboard. Started digging An hour later I found the wallet he was talking about → Starting balance was negative. Current balance is a 5-figure number. Win rate above 73%. Average entry 4 to 7 cents. Average win covers 10 to 15 losses I started monitoring it manually. Set alarms. Checked every 2 hours By day 3 I realized I cannot live like this I needed the same thing that guy had. A signal in Telegram that comes on its own the moment the wallet opens a position I found a bot that does exactly that → No delays. No manual monitoring. Wallet enters and you get a notification What you do with it is up to you. Copy it exactly, use it as a signal, or just observe 2 weeks have passed. I have not become that guy from the shawarma spot. Yet But I stopped guessing. And started copying Right now somewhere a smart wallet is opening a new position. The question is whether you find out about it in a second or in 24 hours when the price has already moved

Blaze

122,780 次观看 • 5 个月前

Beware of Collins: How a "Friend" Scammed Me and 9 Others I am writing this to warn everyone in the Web3, Monad, Solana, and Nigerianad communities. There is a person among us named Collins (known on X as Collins) who acts like a kind, active community member, but he is actually a professional scammer. He has stolen over $1,500 from me and has done the same to at least 9 other people. Collins used a very clever strategy to steal our money. He started by being very active in our local Nigerian Telegram groups. He called himself a "Solana Maxi" and always posted screenshots of big wins making people think he was making $5,000 or $7,000 from trading. We didn't know it was all a "format" just to get our attention. I did not trust him at first. However, we started organizing Lagos State meetups. When I met him in person, he was always smiling and happy. He acted like a brother. Seeing his face in real life made me lower my guard. If we had stayed just "online friends," I would never have sent him even $1, but because of those physical meetings, I thought he was real. His scam started when he told me about a "special developer" launching a token. He claimed he had an insider connection and that we could make 5x or 10x our money. He asked me to contribute $2,000. I told him I didn't have it. A few days later, he came back and begged me not to miss the "update." I decided to try with $1,000. To make me trust him completely, he played a long game. When I asked for a refund a week later because I had an emergency, he sent the $1,000 back immediately. This was his biggest trick. It made me believe he was 100% honest. Soon after, he showed me more fake wins on X and told me another project was going live on December 22nd. Because he returned my money the first time, I trusted him and sent the $1,000 back to him. When the date came, he claimed the "dev postponed the listing." While I was waiting for that money, he came with another "emergency" project, asking for another $1,000. I told him I only had $500 left my last card. He took that too. Then the excuses started. He claimed he went to the village to see his parents and that the network was bad. He said he couldn't access his Bybit account because he left his SIM card behind. He even begged me for another $100 in SOL just to help him out while he was "stuck." Because I thought my friend was in trouble, I sent it, bringing the total to $1,600. Every time I asked for my money, he told me "don't worry" and promised to pay once he left the village. But two days ago, the truth came out. I checked X and found out he has been doing this to everyone. He uses his friendly face and community status to prey on people. He is not a trader; he is a thief whose goal is to see the end of his friends' hard-earned money. Please, do not deal with Collins or his sister Trader Nenyenwa 📊📈💎. He is a wolf in sheep’s clothing. He will smile with you today and empty your wallet tomorrow. Don't let his "kindness" fool you like it fooled me. Please help me like this post, retweet and comment until I and my guys recover our losses 😢 😭 Please go viral: ZachXBT Coffeezilla Spreek Nick Bax.eth JP PeckShield Inc. SlowMist CertiK Arkham Lookonchain Monad Solana

Adedayo𓅪

27,725 次观看 • 7 个月前

$25K+ profit daily from 1 wallet, with OpenClaw. I have the exact step-by-step guide, giving it free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment "OpenClaw" 2. Like and Retweet. 3. Follow me Himanshu Kumar ( So, i can send you DM) I ran a simple script last night with Claude Code. Pull on-chain data from Polymarket, sort by win rate on 15 minute BTC markets. 20 minutes later, 100s of wallets showed up. Most were losing money or barely breaking even. Then I spotted 1 address. 200+ trades daily, every single week profitable, timing so precise it looked robotic. Because it is. I fed the wallet address back into Claude Code. Asked it to reverse engineer the strategy. 20 mins later the full breakdown appeared on my screen. Here is how it works: Bot monitors Binance and Bybit every 100ms. Waiting for BTC volatility compression to drop below 0.08%. When it hits that level, it buys both Up and Down contracts at 25 to 35 cents each. Classic straddle play. 1 contract loses, the other rockets to a dollar. Entry at 30 cents means 3x to 4x return every time. Repeats dozens of times per day. Result: $13K to $25K profit daily from 1 wallet. No human intuition, no insider tips. Just an algorithm exploiting a gap in market mechanics. I searched to see if anyone else found this wallet. Turns out yes. There is a Telegram bot that auto-copies trades from wallets like this. I connected it to the same address. Every entry matched what my terminal showed. You can now copy-trade an algorithm in real time. That capability did not exist 12 months ago. Comment "OpenClaw" and I will send you everything. Must Follow me Himanshu Kumar to get the DM.

Himanshu Kumar

13,204 次观看 • 5 个月前

A Chinese engineer from a Shenzhen HFT shop told me over hotpot that Wall Street is building the wrong half of the trade I met him through a founder I was helping in Futian. He hadn't slept in two days. His firm runs latency arb on Binance futures. "Every desk in New York predicts where BTC goes. Up. Down. Wrong question. The real question is who is too slow to update" I asked what he meant. "Chainlink" He pulled up Polymarket on his phone. "400 BTC windows a day. 5 minutes each. UP or DOWN. Resolves on the Chainlink feed. Chainlink lags Binance by 14 seconds on average. When Binance and Coinbase both move 50 bucks the same way, Chainlink follows within 2 minutes 94% of the time" He drew on a napkin soaked in chili oil. "You don't have to guess direction. Binance already told you. You just buy the side Chainlink hasn't reached yet. 4 minute window. Free money until the feed catches up" His wallet: "Wall Street builds $800M models to forecast BTC close. You just race a public oracle. Different equation. Different result" I flew home. Opened Claude Code. Typed what he said. "Build a 5-minute BTC engine on Polymarket. Enter 60-180 seconds after open when Binance and Coinbase both diverge from Chainlink by $50. Confirm with order book imbalance above 1.8. Exit at 75c. Stop at 35c" 86M historical trades. Claude ranked every window by Chainlink lag. Wrote the combiner overnight. NERVE GRID. BTC. ETH. SOL. AVAX. 400+ windows a day. Edge table live: Binance+Coinbase $50 divergence vs Chainlink. 63% alone. Book imbalance 1.8+ in the 30-90s window. 63% alone. Both signals agree. 71%. The system kills 85% of setups. Enters 50-60 a day. Winners are 4.2x the losers. Fill rate 96%. Avg latency 15ms. Early exit at 75c. Stop at 35c. Never trade the last 60 seconds. +$14,200 from $2,000 seed. 30 days. Sharpe 2.84. Infrastructure: $20 Claude. $5 Hetzner VPS. Four repos open source. $25/month. Copied the setup here: Texted him two weeks later with a screenshot. "You're racing the oracle" Claude built it from one hotpot dinner. "Good. Now try ETH during Tokyo hours. Chainlink updates slower on thinner pairs. Bigger window" I already was. He could see it in the second tab. Long pause. "You build faster than most quants at my firm. And you don't argue. That's the rare part" I didn't argue. I just listened.

Lunar

35,630 次观看 • 4 个月前

My dad called me at 7 AM on a Sunday. I need you to look at something. Do not tell your mother. I thought he was sick. He sent me a screenshot. A Claude terminal. Live Polymarket odds. Green numbers. +$14,200. He is 56. Retired electrician. Calls WiFi the internet box. Dad what the fuck is this? I found an article about connecting Claude to Polymarket. Told Claude to install it. One prompt. Four commands. 45 tools running on his old Dell laptop. Live orderbooks. Volume spikes. Closing deadlines. All inside Claude. He does not know what MCP means. Does not care. Every morning at 5 AM. Before mom wakes up. Reading glasses and black coffee. He asks Claude: What is closing today with mispriced odds? Claude cross-references markets in one call. Spots where the price disagrees with the news. He does not out-execute bots. He out-waits them. Quarter Kelly. $500 from his fishing fund. Last 60 days: 680 trades 90.2% win rate +$14,200 Best trade: Claude alert pinged him during Sunday football. Volume spike on a geopolitics market. Entry $0.09. Resolved $1.00. +$2,800. Mom thought he was checking the score. He was not checking the score. Last week he booked her a cruise. Said he had been saving since January. He has not saved anything since January. When are you telling her? When I hit $25K. I am buying the lake house. Dad you do not even know what an API is. I do not need to. The machine knows. He still calls Claude the machine. The machine prints money. I built the entire framework he used: Claude MCP setup Polymarket mispricing detection Quarter Kelly position sizing Volume spike alerts Cron-based market scanning The system runs 24/7. Finds mispriced odds before the crowd adjusts. Executes before the edge compresses. No emotions. No FOMO. Just math. You only need Claude + device + 1 hour per day. Giving this free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment the word money 2. Like and retweet this 3. Follow me Himanshu Kumar so I can DM you Save this post. Deploy the mispricing system this week. Start with $500. Scale on evidence.

Himanshu Kumar

18,287 次观看 • 2 个月前

Sent a friend a Polymarket wallet. Told him: this is definitely a quant. He made $310,000 in just 8 months. Friend replied: 'bro, this is info from Econ 101. Feed these formulas to your AI agent and it will replicate his results'. 1 minute to set up. I checked. Started digging. Same markets as thousands of people. Same prices. But there was one thing he did differently. He held his position. Most people exit an event within 1-2 days. He sat until resolution. A formula from Econ 101. V = A / (1 + k × D). Sounds complicated. In reality — one sentence. And it explains why 89% of traders lose money for no reason. The brain devalues everything that's far away in time. Say you enter a market with +80% potential. Resolution in 10 days. After 2 days your position is up 30%. Brain recalculates: +80% in 10 days feels like +32% today. The gap between that and your +30% - a measly 2%. You exit. In reality you just walked away from another +50%. Impeachment. Entered at 12 cents. Day 3: price at 28. Position up 133%. Any normal person exits. Day 19: resolves at 91. +$34,000. If he exited on day three - $4,800. A 7x difference. Set up an agent in 1 minute. One instruction: don't exit until resolution. 31 trades. +68%. When I traded manually - 47 trades and +16%. This is how Wall Street quants trade Polymarket. One formula and 1 minute to set up an agent. Try it, ask your agent to optimize your strategy and let me know how much your winrate improved.

may.crypto {🦅}

33,444 次观看 • 5 个月前