JUST IN: Republican Matt Van Epps is expected to win Tennessee's 7th District by just 7 points, a district Trump won by 22 points in 2024. Here are the shifts by county compared to the 2024 presidential election: Davidson: 25 points to the left. Dickson: 12 points to the... left. Hickman: 8 points to the left. Humphreys: 12 points to the left. Wayne: 7 points to the left. Decatur: 9 points to the left. Benton: 9 points to the left. Houston: 12 points to the left. Perry: 15 points to the left.show more

Tommy sums up pretty well 👇🏽

Comparing the turnout of a special election and a presidential election is pointless, it's just a way to cope with a loss. Same thing happened after Randy Fine won his special election months ago when Dems thought they could win that race.

Winning!

The Democrat party is a mess.

I’m interested to see the numbers for total voter turnout compared to when Trump won. The closeness happens for Rs in off cycle elections, and I tend to think it’s less about voters turning against Rs and more about Rs not showing up. For Demtards elections and politics are a religion. So anytime they can pay homage to their gods at the polls they will show up.

It’s because the left knows how to push the vote in non presidential elections

Maybe Trump should hire competent people vs the sycophants he has running our country into the ground right now 🤷‍♂️

Democrats dumped a large load of money into Behn’s campaign. That was one reason.

Let's get some perspective shall we? Time to wake up and FOCUS!!

I live in Tennessee. GOP didn’t even try. Had no idea there was an election until about 3 weeks ago and I still don’t know who Van Epps is. Just know the crazy stuff the other candidate said.

Tennessee turned out BIG tonight! Very grateful we're keeping that state red, despite all the libs that recently moved to Nashville. America won this election 🫡 🇺🇲

Just don't go to sleep!

A big seal of approval on Trumps Presidency and a sign of what’s to come in the midterms.

@seanspicer It appears that 286,000 (of 466,000) skipped voting. It's hard to say anything about swings when apathy is SO common. Republicans don't turn out unless it's a presidential election. That has to be fixed in eleven months.

Need the same energy in the Midterms!

This is a major problem. Republicans better get their 💩 together the next 11 months

Republican turnout historically for special elections is around 11%. This is actually really solid.

Davidson is the real story here The shift to the left could be marked up to low republican turnout for an off year election Matt outperformed polling but underperformed in Davidson/Nashville counties

None of this is good news for Republicans thanks to the @gop being so in love with Democrats giving them crumbs!

He won by 9 points.

This is a special election - not even a mid-term. Let's not get all chicken-little here, folks.

Interesting to see such a big shift in Davidson. I wonder what's driving it.

off years the numbers always drop, and the libs don't work as much as GOP. That is why election day for President should be a national holiday

Hmmm this doesn’t seem like a good shift, Collin.

9 points. And it’s an off year. Settle down girlie!

Bro these “shift by county” charts are the political version of doom porn, designed to freak out people who don’t understand how special elections work, because yeah, everything swung left on paper, but that’s what happens when Republicans treat early voting like it’s kryptonite while Democrats mail in ballots like it’s a national sport, yet even with the left flooding the zone, even with every activist, donor, and MSNBC addict crawling out of the woodwork, the GOP still walked out with the W, which tells you everything you need to know, the Democrat ceiling is fake strength built on turnout gimmicks, the Republican floor is real strength built on voters who show up when it matters, this wasn’t a warning shot, it was a free lesson, if Republicans bank votes early in 2026 the left won’t just lose counties, they’ll get wiped off the damn scoreboard, Democrats threw everything at TN-7 and STILL couldn’t steal it, that’s not a shift, that’s a sign their best punch still isn’t enough.

With turnout of only 26%, it really is about who is motivated to vote. Voters are always more motivated by fear and anger than opportunity. Democrats are mad. Republicans are content. That is the reason.

Election fraud. In plain sight imo. Who would vote for the bat-s#it crazy woman, nearly 50%?! Some past samples

It is because of the focus abroad instead of at home, no balanced budget, trash H-1B policies, 600K Chinese students, lack of deportations, zero arrests of corrupt politicians, and no Epstein files.

Republicans need to pay attention. This is clearly not a win.

2026 is going to be a blue wave.

There was a close to 220,000 less total voter turnout than 2024 and about 180k from that from the previous midterm year. It’s a special election (highly boring) that was never going to be a loss for Republicans, get over it

Let’s throw a party in NashVegas now! 🎉

No, it was 9 points and that was due to a low turnout, remember, this is a SPECIAL election. Many ppl did not even know there was an election today. The @GOP has to do better with their ground game and getting the word out but ppl need to calm down. He carried every county easily other than one being Davidson and that is because we have been flooded with Democrats into Nashville the past 4 years.