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$LNG, $GLNG, $FLNG -- Europe is facing a complex energy crisis as current data shows that storage levels are significantly lower than in previous years. This scarcity is exacerbated by a shrinking pool of uncontracted LNG amid Middle East conflict.

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JaguarAnalytics

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21,904 views • 6 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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In my Spring Meetings Curtain Raiser speech this week, I laid out how the war in the Middle East is a large, global, and asymmetric supply shock—cutting oil and LNG flows, raising energy costs, and disrupting supply chains worldwide. Watch my full speech:
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In my Spring Meetings Curtain Raiser speech this week, I laid out how the war in the Middle East is a large, global, and asymmetric supply shock—cutting oil and LNG flows, raising energy costs, and disrupting supply chains worldwide. Watch my full speech:

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What impact does the attack on Iran have? Geopolitical Instability: The speaker asserts that the U.S. is facing a potential military defeat in the Middle East, exacerbated by a lack of support from traditional allies like Europe and Japan. Economic Vulnerability: The current economic growth is described as an "AI bubble" heavily dependent on foreign investment, specifically from Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds. Financial Chain Reaction: A withdrawal of Middle Eastern capital could lead to a Wall Street collapse, a run on the banks, and a significant devaluation of the U.S. Dollar. Impact on Citizens: A weaker dollar would lead to hyperinflation, significantly increasing the cost of living (gas, groceries) while wages remain stagnant. Global Power Shift: The speaker warns that China and Russia are poised to capitalize on U.S. instability to establish a new world order and control global trade.
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What impact does the attack on Iran have? Geopolitical Instability: The speaker asserts that the U.S. is facing a potential military defeat in the Middle East, exacerbated by a lack of support from traditional allies like Europe and Japan. Economic Vulnerability: The current economic growth is described as an "AI bubble" heavily dependent on foreign investment, specifically from Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds. Financial Chain Reaction: A withdrawal of Middle Eastern capital could lead to a Wall Street collapse, a run on the banks, and a significant devaluation of the U.S. Dollar. Impact on Citizens: A weaker dollar would lead to hyperinflation, significantly increasing the cost of living (gas, groceries) while wages remain stagnant. Global Power Shift: The speaker warns that China and Russia are poised to capitalize on U.S. instability to establish a new world order and control global trade.

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EUROPE STORAGE CRASHES TO 28%: THE 2026-27 WINTER BLACKOUT LOOMS LARGE Europe entered the 2026 injection season with gas storage at critically low levels after a harsh winter. The sudden closure of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a global LNG supply shock that wiped out roughly 20 percent of worldwide trade flows. Official outlooks now warn that Europe cannot refill its tanks in time and faces a brutal winter ahead. THE STORAGE SHOCK ➡️ EU gas storage stood at just 28 percent full on April 1 2026 matching pre-2022 crisis levels. ➡️ By late May it has only recovered to 35 to 37 percent still 13 to 15 points below seasonal norms. ➡️ The working gas deficit sits at a massive 15 to 20 billion cubic meter hole below five-year averages. THE HORMUZ SUPPLY SHOCK ➡️ The Iran conflict closed the Strait of Hormuz since late February removing Qatar’s entire 112 billion cubic meter annual LNG output. ➡️ This represents a sudden 17 to 20 percent effective cut to global LNG supply with Asia competing fiercely for every remaining cargo. ➡️ Europe which imported a record 146 billion cubic meters of LNG in 2025 now needs 40 to 56 billion cubic meters more just to survive the summer. THE REFILL MATH NIGHTMARE ➡️ ENTSOG calculates that hitting the 90 percent storage target requires 86 billion cubic meters of LNG imports during April to September. ➡️ Equinor states Europe is unlikely to reach even 80 percent storage and Dutch TTF prices could spike toward 90 euros per megawatt hour. ➡️ Weak and often negative summer to winter price spreads of around 1.3 euros per megawatt hour are killing the financial incentive to inject gas now. THE WINTER 2026-27 OUTLOOK ➡️ Entering winter at only 70 to 80 percent full would leave the EU with a far thinner buffer than any year since the original crisis. ➡️ Stress tests show real risks of shortfalls especially during any cold snap with no Russian pipeline gas left as backup. ➡️ The fallout includes sustained high prices industrial curtailments energy poverty spikes and significant GDP damage across the continent. THE BOTTOM LINE Europe is staring down a perfect storm worse than 2022 in every critical way with historic low starting storage a sudden 20 percent global LNG chokepoint loss and failing market signals that discourage exactly the injections needed most. Without immediate Hormuz reopening or aggressive demand destruction the continent risks rationing and its most painful energy squeeze since the original crisis began. This is the sound of Europe’s vaunted resilience being pushed to its absolute limit. $EQNR #EuropeEnergyCrisis #HormuzShock #GasStorageLow #LNGSupplyCut #WinterEnergyRisk #TTFSpike #EnergySecurity
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EUROPE STORAGE CRASHES TO 28%: THE 2026-27 WINTER BLACKOUT LOOMS LARGE Europe entered the 2026 injection season with gas storage at critically low levels after a harsh winter. The sudden closure of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a global LNG supply shock that wiped out roughly 20 percent of worldwide trade flows. Official outlooks now warn that Europe cannot refill its tanks in time and faces a brutal winter ahead. THE STORAGE SHOCK ➡️ EU gas storage stood at just 28 percent full on April 1 2026 matching pre-2022 crisis levels. ➡️ By late May it has only recovered to 35 to 37 percent still 13 to 15 points below seasonal norms. ➡️ The working gas deficit sits at a massive 15 to 20 billion cubic meter hole below five-year averages. THE HORMUZ SUPPLY SHOCK ➡️ The Iran conflict closed the Strait of Hormuz since late February removing Qatar’s entire 112 billion cubic meter annual LNG output. ➡️ This represents a sudden 17 to 20 percent effective cut to global LNG supply with Asia competing fiercely for every remaining cargo. ➡️ Europe which imported a record 146 billion cubic meters of LNG in 2025 now needs 40 to 56 billion cubic meters more just to survive the summer. THE REFILL MATH NIGHTMARE ➡️ ENTSOG calculates that hitting the 90 percent storage target requires 86 billion cubic meters of LNG imports during April to September. ➡️ Equinor states Europe is unlikely to reach even 80 percent storage and Dutch TTF prices could spike toward 90 euros per megawatt hour. ➡️ Weak and often negative summer to winter price spreads of around 1.3 euros per megawatt hour are killing the financial incentive to inject gas now. THE WINTER 2026-27 OUTLOOK ➡️ Entering winter at only 70 to 80 percent full would leave the EU with a far thinner buffer than any year since the original crisis. ➡️ Stress tests show real risks of shortfalls especially during any cold snap with no Russian pipeline gas left as backup. ➡️ The fallout includes sustained high prices industrial curtailments energy poverty spikes and significant GDP damage across the continent. THE BOTTOM LINE Europe is staring down a perfect storm worse than 2022 in every critical way with historic low starting storage a sudden 20 percent global LNG chokepoint loss and failing market signals that discourage exactly the injections needed most. Without immediate Hormuz reopening or aggressive demand destruction the continent risks rationing and its most painful energy squeeze since the original crisis began. This is the sound of Europe’s vaunted resilience being pushed to its absolute limit. $EQNR #EuropeEnergyCrisis #HormuzShock #GasStorageLow #LNGSupplyCut #WinterEnergyRisk #TTFSpike #EnergySecurity

Mark

22,542 views • 3 months ago

This is a historic week as we finally have peace in the Middle East! But why has the conflict been going on for years? Dinesh D'Souza’s new film “The Dragon Prophecy” unlocked the biblical mysteries behind the Middle East conflict. Watch now Gan Jing World👉
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This is a historic week as we finally have peace in the Middle East! But why has the conflict been going on for years? Dinesh D'Souza’s new film “The Dragon Prophecy” unlocked the biblical mysteries behind the Middle East conflict. Watch now Gan Jing World👉

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33,586 views • 11 months ago

🚨🇷🇺PUTIN: MIDDLE EAST IS ON THE BRINK OF A DISASTER “The confrontation between Israel and Iran is also growing. It looks like a chain reaction, and it puts the entire Middle East on the brink of a disaster, and the humanitarian situation is also exacerbated. An independent Palestinian state must be established that would peacefully coexist with Israel. Fixing this unfairness towards the Palestinian people can serve as a guarantee of peace in the Middle East. Until this matter is resolved, this vicious circle of violence will not be broken.” Source: RT
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🚨🇷🇺PUTIN: MIDDLE EAST IS ON THE BRINK OF A DISASTER “The confrontation between Israel and Iran is also growing. It looks like a chain reaction, and it puts the entire Middle East on the brink of a disaster, and the humanitarian situation is also exacerbated. An independent Palestinian state must be established that would peacefully coexist with Israel. Fixing this unfairness towards the Palestinian people can serve as a guarantee of peace in the Middle East. Until this matter is resolved, this vicious circle of violence will not be broken.” Source: RT

Mario Nawfal

320,673 views • 1 year ago