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McCullough: U.S. Dollar Weakness Could Trigger Market Correlation Risk 💰 Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough flagged a growing divide between the U.S. Dollar and the S&P 500, gold, and more in this important clip from Thursday’s edition of "The Macro Show." 🔊 With Hedgeye forecasts calling for a renewed rise...

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McCullough: 2025 Drawdown Is Nothing Compared to Historic Bear Markets ⚠️ Most investors underestimate bear markets. On Monday, Tier1 Alpha made that clear with a chart dating back to 1927, showing how long bear markets have lasted and how severe the drawdowns have been. 🔊 In this clip from "The Macro Show," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough lays out a critical warning: if the 2025 drawdown marks the beginning of a new bear market, "News flash: it just got started." “When you’re coming out of a bubble and into a bear market,” McCullough explains, "the next bull market is not the former bubble." Historically, bear markets don't last just three months — they unfold over time, often far longer and deeper than most investors expect. McCullough also highlights several names that are making our subscribers money by generating real alpha in the current market environment. * * * * * Unlock Keith McCullough’s proven risk management process with his free eBook, "Master The Market." Learn how to spot opportunities, avoid costly mistakes, and position your portfolio like a pro—download it now:

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Gold vs. Bitcoin: Navigating The Risk Divergence 📈 A reminder that you don't need to wear a drawdown in Bitcoin (or any asset for that matter) just because someone with "laser eyes" says to buy and hold at all times. At Hedgeye we manage risk, and if you did that properly, you would have handled the 1700 basis points divergence between gold $GLD and Bitcoin $BTC in February. That difference was fueled by a #Quad4 environment - but one that could soon be reversing. "Bitcoin is trying to make up its mind. It's got 3 or 4 days left of that. So what do you do? You wait and you watch," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough explains in this clip from "The Macro Show." "Everything is a number. The question is, do you see it?" * * * * * You can download Keith's new, 52-page eBook "Master The Market: A Hedge Fund Manager's Guide to Process and Profit" for FREE here:
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McCullough: ‘Bitcoin May Be Bottoming’ 📉 In this clip from "The Macro Show," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough breaks down the latest market signals pointing to a potential bottom in Bitcoin after its drawdown from $125,000. Keith explains how Hedgeye’s quantitative risk management process has navigated every major move along the way – the drawdowns, the reversals, and the emerging signs of a regime shift. “So, if you want to go through how things stop signaling Quad 4, look at the worst place it's been Quad 4, which is of course Bitcoin,” McCullough says. Stay ahead of the next big move. Follow all of Keith’s signals with a subscription to "The Macro Show." ➡️

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When Will MSM Tell the Truth on Food Inflation? 🍳 🔊 Prices for U.S. consumers continue to rise, with the cost of eggs in particular skyrocketing over 7% in the last day alone and 12% over the last month. While the mainstream media was quick to report on (imaginary) improved prices for the cost of Thanksgiving dinner, they're predictably silent on this topic. "When people go to the store, they actually notice these things," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough explains in the clip below from "The Macro Show." * * * * * Tired of the MSM BS? We are too. Stay ahead of market moves with "The Macro Show" hosted weekday mornings by Keith McCullough. Get daily, actionable insights from a top Wall Street veteran, guiding you through important macro trends and portfolio risk management. Your edge starts here:

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McCullough: No Recession—Rates Don’t Lie Markets can’t hide from the signals embedded in interest rates. 🔊 In this clip from The Macro Show, Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough unpacks critical signals across the curve—each pointing to the same conclusion: the U.S. economy is accelerating. There’s no recession in sight. "We positioned for Quad 4 from February all the way to April. The Street started talking about a U.S. recession pending, which we did not," McCullough says. "Instead of entering a recession...credit risk continued to go down." That’s the key. While headlines warned of a slowdown, rates told a different story of acceleration, not recession. The yield curve steepened, credit spreads tightened—clear signals of a shifting market structure aligned with a strengthening economy. “We have a process to signal a recession…that is not it,” McCullough explains. “Paying attention to interest rates not only across the curve, inside of the shape of the curve—we’re long a steepener. I was adding to that on Friday too." Stay on top of the real macro signals by subscribing to "The Macro Show".
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McCullough: How We Nailed Dr. Copper (And Why You Shouldn't Chase) The Hedgeye process had our subscribers prepared ahead of Copper's $CPER surge to all-time highs on Wednesday. "The AI signal, the fractal patterns, that we have embedded in our process certainly saw this coming," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough says. Now, what do we do with an all-time-high? A: You do NOT chase it. You sell SOME, lock in some gains, and use those funds to buy something else. "These aren't 'calls.' These are executions of the process." "And if you sell some, you could buy something like uranium. They're both things that are in the same inflation category. One is for sale, the other is overbought." Don't chase the rip after the headlines. Follow the Hedgeye process and subscribe to The Macro Show.

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McCullough: Bitcoin Doesn’t Care About Your Cost Basis 🔊 Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough made it clear this week: when downside accelerates, the market isn’t debating your cost basis or favorite “support level.” In fact, “the situation is accelerating at an accelerating rate,” explains McCullough. That’s why we focus on the rate of change, especially the volatility of volatility. “The volatility of volatility is going to get you to the right answer faster than the crowd.” Get Keith's quantitative Risk Range™ Signals and daily analysis on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and more, with our $BTC Trend Tracker: And for risk management insights you won’t get anywhere else, subscribe to The Macro Show:

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