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🇺🇦 Mearsheimer: Drones Alone Cannot Deliver Ukraine Victory Prof. John Mearsheimer (John Mearsheimer) lays out one of the clearest assessments yet of why Ukraine’s air war cannot succeed — and why drones alone will never deliver victory. ⚠️ He explains the scale of the imbalance: Russia is striking Ukraine...

29,067 次观看 • 14 天前 •via X (Twitter)

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🇷🇺🇺🇦 Prof. John Mearsheimer: ‘Ukraine’s long-range drone attacks into Russia have BACKFIRED, Russia retaliated by closing the Odessa Port and turned Ukraine into a land-locked country.’ ‘The Ukrainian drones have been Ukraine’s great saviour on the battlefield. I believe that this war would have ended a year or two if the Ukrainians didn’t have drones because the Ukrainians have a significant shortage of manpower, a significant shortage of artillery. And in a war that was heavily dependent on just manpower and artillery, I think the Ukrainians would have collapsed a while ago. But the drones have really helped keep them in the fight in an important way. So that’s one dimension to the drone issue. Then there’s the whole question of using drones in long-range attacks into Mother Russia. And this of course is what the Ukrainians have been doing big time in recent months. And I don’t think that those attacks have had any meaningful impact on the course of the war. And of course as you were alluding to, if anything it speeded up the end of the war because there is good reason to think that the Russian response to these long-range drone attacks by the Ukrainians is that the Russians have decided to retaliate by attacking Odessa and other Ukrainian sites on the Black Sea. And this has had a devastating effect on Ukraine because so much of Ukraine’s agricultural product as well as its industrial product moves out of Ukraine via the Black Sea ports. And of course the most prominent one is Odessa. But what’s happened here, and it’s very important to emphasise this, is that the Russians have basically closed the Odessa ports. And the end result is that today Ukraine is effectively a landlocked country. And given the percentage of exports, Ukrainian exports that go out of those ports through the Black Sea, this is going to have devastating effects on the Ukrainian economy. So if anything the long-range drone attack on the part of the Ukrainians against Mother Russia are backfiring.’ Watch the full interview in the quoted post below 👇

Going Underground

17,537 次观看 • 14 天前

Global attention is focused on the Persian Gulf. But we have news too. March 2026 became the first month when, in terms of deep strikes, Ukraine reached parity with Russia. The average number of long-range kamikaze drones launched by Ukraine has significantly increased, while the average number of Russian strike drones launched against Ukraine has currently dropped to 90–110 per day. Experts offer various possible reasons for this decrease: ▪️ drone production in Russia was not fully localized and partially depended on Iran; ▪️ logistics routes have become longer, and Iran itself now needs drones; ▪️ Ukraine is partially hitting production sites and factories; ▪️ possibly, Russia is stockpiling drones, perhaps for hybrid provocations in other regions; ▪️ it is also likely that Russia has started supplying drones to Iran. By spring, Ukraine has significantly increased strikes on Russia using long-range kamikaze drones. For example: on the night of March 18, Russia officially claimed to have "shot down" 238 drones; however, some of them struck a chemical plant in Stavropol Krai and an electronics facility in Sevastopol. Ukraine has also expanded its operational range: over 1,500 km. Russians have openly expressed concern about the security of military infrastructure in the Urals. Ukraine has increased and continues to increase both the production and variety of drones. Moscow has been declared a target: from March 14 to 17, Russia reported about 250 drones in the Moscow air defense zone. 📹: Ukrainian Defenders destroying Russian air defense systems in Bryansk region of Russia

Anton Gerashchenko

715,739 次观看 • 5 个月前