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Medvedev and Peskov started making assurances that there will be no mobilization in Russia and Russia is not preparing for one. Very recently, I wrote that one of the reasons for restricting the internet and social media in Russia is preparation for mobilization. Yes, there is an anti-drone logic...

346,080 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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Mobile internet in Russia is becoming increasingly restricted. This is happening even in major cities - Moscow and Saint Petersburg. Social media platforms are being shut down, and Telegram is being slowed. Russians are being pushed onto the state-controlled platform MAX, which is under full government control. Why is the Kremlin lowering an iron curtain now? There are no mass protests, the opposition is silent, and everything remains strictly controlled. One possible reason why Russia is now building a digital concentration camp and restricting the internet is a future mobilization. Through the war in Iran, Russia has received extra oil revenue and feels more confident. But it understands that this situation may change. Russia also has no significant successes on the front. Each month, Ukrainians continue to kill increasing numbers of Russian soldiers. To replenish cannon fodder, it is highly likely that Putin may take the unpopular decision to start a mobilization. As a result, emigration sentiments are already increasing in Russia, because Russians have a fair sense that the iron curtain will be lowered completely. Europe must be extremely vigilant and strengthen border controls, as many Wagner mercenaries, FSB agents, and sleeper cells may attempt to enter. And in general, this rule always applies: the more oil money Russia has, the more it wants to wage war. 📹: Russians are making comical Reels about the lack of internet.

Anton Gerashchenko

778,948 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Where we are now and what can we expect in the coming months within the context of Russia's war in Ukraine: ◾️Ukraine and the world continue to await tensely for the results of the US elections. In the meantime, Ukraine and Russia continue active diplomatic actions to consolidate support for their allies. ◾️ Russia's primary focus is on discrediting Ukraine in the West, dividing our allies, and interfering in the US elections to divide Americans and increase instability. ◾️ During his visit to the US, President Zelensky met with President Biden and had meetings with presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. ◾️ Ukraine continues to destroy Russian military depots and military logistics; Ukraine produces its own drones and other weapons. ◾️ Russia increases its weapons and drones production as much as it can, despite sanctions. It uses weapons supplied by Russian allies - Iran and North Korea. There are reports that production of Russian Shahed drones has exceeded Russian original plans. ◾️ Russia is intensifying its strikes on Ukrainian cities, deliberately targeting apartment blocks, hospitals, and nursing homes. Its main purpose is to cause as much panic as possible, intimidate Ukrainians, and force them to leave their lands and homes. Strikes are unfortunately likely to continue, especially for Sumy and Kharkiv. Zaporizhzhia is now within the range of Russian KAB bombs, so it is likely to be under constant strikes as well. ◾️Despite the lack of "cannon fodder", Putin doesn't dare yet to announce open mobilization in Russia and increases hidden mobilization instead: increases payments for signing army contracts and recruits soldiers from other countries, including countries of Africa. Russia is increasing its presence there at an alarming rate which is very dangerous for this region. ◾️ In the coming month, the Russians will probably try to solve the "Kursk issue" at any cost. The "deadline" is likely set before the US elections at most but a desirable timeline for them is before the BRICS summit in Kazan (22-24 October) - to demonstrate to the BRICS guests that Russia is in control of the situation and is a serious partner. Otherwise, the situation when a part of Russia's territory is under Ukrainian control (when Putin had the intention to capture Ukraine "in three days" almost three years ago), is rather humiliating for Russia. During August and September, Russians have accumulated forces, have reformed and will now try to counterattack our troops. How the situation in Kursk region will develop depends on many factors and on the decisions that AFU leaders will make. ◾️ One of the key elements of these upcoming months are the elections in Moldova and Georgia at the end of October, where the influence of Russia and pro-Russian forces is enormous. ◾️We are likely to hear increased nuclear threats and other escalation rhetoric from Russia. ◾️Ukraine will face further problems due to electricity shortage. ◾️ Due to the escalation in the Middle East and the US elections, Ukraine is fading from the information field, which Russia is actively using, knowing that its crimes against Ukrainian civilians will not make the headlines in the Western media. Accordingly, many people outside Ukraine have the impression that the situation is getting better. But this is not the case at all: the situation is very tough and complicated. And it will continue to get worse. The largest war in Europe since the Second World War continues to rage on. The whole world is waiting for the US elections. The situation of strategic uncertainty will last at least until November. It is crucial to go through this period with a cool head, keeping the focus on Ukraine and showing Russia that the West does not withdraw its support. I'd like to end with a reminder of these Putin's words, which he said in June 2024. Nothing has changed for him: he intends to wage a war until the end. And it must become his own end.

Anton Gerashchenko

166,479 просмотров • 1 год назад