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$MSTR - Bitcoin set to double/triple S&P returns over 4–8 years despite near-term pressure; Strategy continues accumulation as volatility creates opportunity. Full Interview 👇

184,088 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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🔊 “Short-term price action is noise. Focus on the thesis. The goal is to win long-term.” describes the aggressive BTC accumulation from Michael Saylor as “loading the spring” for a potential outbreak in 2025. There’s likely motives that are driving this behavior behind speculation of the SBR and how to optimize the new accounting changes from FASB. It will be interesting to see the narrative that the Strategy team focuses on in 2025 as Bitcoin continues to push to new all time highs. MicroStrategy isn’t just a Bitcoin play—it’s the Bitcoin strategy. Tune into Anders_ ✝️🇩🇰🇧🇷🥩🥩🍸 MSTR Monday’s with and Adrian to hear their expectations for MicroStrategy heading into 2025. Key insights from full discussion: 🕰️ Long-Term Vision: Saylor’s strategy prioritizes Bitcoin per share growth. Short-term volatility is noise; the company remains focused on building value through Bitcoin accumulation. [03:57] 📈 Bitcoin Stockpile Growth: MicroStrategy aims for 500,000 BTC by year-end, aggressively frontloading ahead of potential nation-state accumulation that could reshape markets. [17:31] ➡️ NASDAQ-100 Rebalancing: MicroStrategy’s NASDAQ-100 inclusion triggers significant capital shifts starting this month, with billions in buy pressure expected. Momentum builds. [18:31] 🌟 2025 Outlook: Catalysts are aligning: favorable accounting rules, Bitcoin’s price appreciation, and post-halving momentum set the stage for MicroStrategy to dominate. [22:53] 🇺🇸 US Reserve Speculation: Speculation grows that the US could adopt Bitcoin in its reserves. If true, it could set off global demand, price surges, and unprecedented market dynamics. [30:17] Full video:

J64 - SignalStation.app

21,012 просмотров • 1 год назад

Strategy $MSTR is one of the most misunderstood stocks in the market. And Robin Seyr believes it could eventually become the most valuable company in the world. In our latest conversation, we went deep into: → Why $MSTR could massively outperform Bitcoin in the next bull market → Strategy selling Bitcoin to support $STRC → The rapidly growing $4.65B USD reserve → Why $STRC could return to par → Strategy vs. Strive $ASST & Metaplanet $MPJPY $MTPLF → The hidden custody risks of Bitcoin treasury companies → The Coldcard incident & the future of self-custody → The risk of Bitcoin rehypothecation → And Robin's extraordinary long-term 200–300x $MSTR thesis Robin went from dismissing Strategy entirely to believing it may be the biggest investment opportunity he's ever seen. This was a fun one. 00:00 From Tesla to Bitcoin — Robin’s Investment Journey 07:31 Why Robin Is So Bullish on Strategy (MSTR) 14:36 Could 2026 Be Strategy’s Best Bitcoin Accumulation Year Ever? 21:24 Why $STRC Will Return to $100 25:30 Why Is $MSTR So Cheap Right Now? 34:01 Strategy’s $4.65B Cash Reserve — Is It Too Big? 39:50 Would Robin Buy Strategy Preferred Stock? 44:49 Strategy vs. Strive, Metaplanet & Other Bitcoin Treasuries 53:27 The Coldcard Incident Changed Bitcoin Self-Custody 59:09 The Biggest Risks When Investing in Strategy (MSTR) 01:04:33 Is Bitcoin Rehypothecation a Real Risk for Strategy? 01:12:08 The 200–300x Long-Term Strategy Thesis 01:14:40 Robin’s Most Important Advice for Bitcoin Investors 01:15:59 Where to Follow Robin Seyr Full episode 👇

One Chair

32,736 просмотров • 13 дней назад

🚀WHAT PRICE WILL MSTR BE AT $1 MILLION BITCOIN?🚀 I handicapped the absolute hell out of this model. Bitcoin rises from $65,993 to $1,000,000 over 8 full years. The entire STR preferred stack remains at a 12% dividend rate for all 96 months. The rate never declines. MSTR common stock is issued to fund every dollar of dividends, so shareholders absorb the dilution. No additional debt is added. No MSTR is sold at a premium to acquire Bitcoin... EVER. mNAV is only permitted to rise modestly as STRC scales. Strategy has already raised approximately $16.4 billion in 2026 through July 19, a roughly $29.9 billion annualized pace. Yet these scenarios allow only $0 to $6 billion of annual STRC issuance: $0/month - no STRC ever issued | 1.023× mNAV | $2,100 MSTR | 21.08× return | 1.39× Bitcoin’s multiple (+39%) $100M/month | $1.2B/year, 4% of current pace | 1.10× mNAV | $2,292 MSTR | 23.01× | 1.52× Bitcoin (+52%) $200M/month | $2.4B/year, 8% of pace | 1.20× mNAV | $2,540 MSTR | 25.50× | 1.68× Bitcoin (+68%) $300M/month | $3.6B/year, 12% of pace | 1.30× mNAV | $2,796 MSTR | 28.07× | 1.85× Bitcoin (+85%) $400M/month | $4.8B/year, 16% of pace | 1.40× mNAV | $3,060 MSTR | 30.73× | 2.03× Bitcoin (+103%) $500M/month | $6B/year, 20% of pace | 1.50× mNAV | $3,333 MSTR | 33.47× | 2.21× Bitcoin (+121%) Bitcoin itself returns 15.15×. The most important result is the first one. With zero new STRC issuance and absolutely zero mNAV expansion, MSTR still reaches approximately $2,100 and outperforms Bitcoin. Stock Multiple = BTC Multiple × CEBE Sats/Share Multiple × CEBE mNAV Multiple 15.15× BTC appreciation × 1.39× CEBE sats/share accretion × 1.00× mNAV change = 21.08× MSTR. The amplification is already embedded in the balance sheet. The market does not need to award MSTR a higher valuation multiple for it to work. Even in the $500M monthly STRC scenario, Strategy finishes with only 987,098 Bitcoin. Yes, the $3,333 model example includes a scenario where they fail to reach 1 million BTC in the next 8 years. If Bitcoin goes up... the machine works:

Adam Livingston

46,212 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

My Bitcoin Treasury & $MSTR Playbook discussion with Joe Burnett, MSBA. 0:00 - Intro 0:31 - Harvard to Strategy: CJ’s bitcoin treasury role 2:24 - The most important KPI for bitcoin treasury companies 5:14 - Why outperforming bitcoin is the ultimate benchmark 6:59 - Short-term price dislocations vs long-term performance 9:24 - Saylor’s forever time horizon 11:00 - Why volatility and volume matter for capital markets strategy 13:08 - The ideal bitcoin strategy for emerging treasury companies 16:04 - Why preferred equity is replacing convertible notes 19:03 - How Strategy designs its preferred equity products 21:02 - Should other companies copy Strategy’s preferred equity playbook? 23:17 - How leverage supports accretive dilution 26:58 - Who’s buying Strategy’s preferred equity products? 30:28 - The “iPhone moment” for bitcoin-backed securities 33:22 - How Strategy manages price stability for preferred equity 35:57 - Could stablecoin issuers adopt bitcoin-backed preferred equity? 38:03 - Credit amplification vs “speculative attack” 40:41 - Harvard’s $100M bitcoin buy 44:19 - Bitcoin’s terminal growth rate and the S&P 500 47:07 - Why bitcoin treasury companies trade at a NAV premium 49:18 - Strategy’s new mNAV issuance guidance 53:39 - The digital transformation of investor relations 56:17 - Why bitcoin is now Wall Street’s biggest fee generator 58:51 - Closing thoughts and where to find CJ

Chaitanya Jain

190,673 просмотров • 1 год назад

My Bitcoin Treasury discussion with Joe Burnett, MSBA. 0:00 – Intro 1:00 – First priority as Director of Bitcoin Strategy 3:11 – Should Bitcoin companies copy MSTR’s preferreds? 5:02 – Structuring credit: BTC Ratings from 2 to 10 6:25 – Long-term CAGR for Bitcoin vs. S&P 500 8:28 – Why Bitcoin has fewer risks than stocks 10:36 – The global index with no counterparty risk 15:14 – Is Bitcoin a global productivity index? 16:56 – Will MSTR join the S&P 500? 18:14 – Why Vanguard owns MSTR 19:23 – Unlocking passive capital for Bitcoin 21:14 – Why BTC companies magnetize capital 23:24 – Mag 7 adoption playbook: fast vs. slow 25:47 – Most CEOs don’t want the money 27:15 – Who should adopt Bitcoin—and who won’t 29:20 – Why MSTR is going all-in on preferreds 31:21 – Preferreds are better than convertibles 32:32 – Will BTC companies still trade above NAV in bear markets? 34:09 – Why 2022 was a crypto-catalyzed bear market 35:14 – The difference between 1.1x and 100x leverage 37:07 – How to defend BTC NAV with credit instruments 39:14 – How to create a Bitcoin short squeeze 41:20 – Why shorts don’t have the courage 43:20 – The future of BTC-backed credit and equity 45:04 – A new theory of Bitcoin corporate finance 49:30 – Copy MSTR: it’s good for everyone 50:26 – Harvard’s outdated Bitcoin case study 52:16 – Why the smartest firms are making bad moves 54:16 – Why academics ignore Strategy’s success 55:15 – How the world could look in four years 57:09 – Final thoughts and wrap-up

Michael Saylor

484,592 просмотров • 1 год назад