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“NO. NO, THEY WILL NOT”: US ERASED CHINA’S CLAIM — SMEARED INTERNATIONAL LAW AS CRIMINAL Energy Secretary Chris Wright stood in Caracas and described a 100-year grab of 17 fields — about 65 billion barrels — as “commerce over conflict.” Then he said the quiet part out loud. China,...

133,410 次观看 • 11 天前 •via X (Twitter)

11 条评论

Tom Taisuke 的头像
Tom Taisuke11 天前

The Trump administration is forgetting that our actions today can be used by Russia and China to justify similar actions in the future.

🔻𓂆 🎒|🐻|🧱|☣️=£¥€$|⚡🔗M12/BC - ²naisreP🔻 的头像
🔻𓂆 🎒|🐻|🧱|☣️=£¥€$|⚡🔗M12/BC - ²naisreP🔻11 天前

Wright....😆 Clown..

Mark 的头像
Mark11 天前

Honest question: who in the Trump administration isn’t actually a clown?

Mathias Meyer 的头像
Mathias Meyer11 天前

There will be bad blood . China will answer through the backdoor .

ESCW23 的头像
ESCW239 天前

Venezuela maduro stole the election in that country with help by china and that nullified chinas rights to anything in Venezuela.

RicardoOtxoa18 的头像
RicardoOtxoa1811 天前

Of course you realize this is time for lofty words.

billygreen99 的头像
billygreen9911 天前

Hopefully the Chinese companies will now start to buy crude oil again and push the prices up…..

HowDareU💖 的头像
HowDareU💖11 天前

Why bother investing billions when you can kidnap a leader and get everything.

Jake 的头像
Jake11 天前

Well, guess we make weapon systems from mud, rocks and sticks.

My Name 的头像
My Name10 天前

So they stage a putsch in V, pay some scumbags to betray the boss AND THE COUNTRY, install them as the (probably temporary) new boss, and have him/her sign away the riches of the country with a f'ing paper illusion fake "contract". Sad LOL. How long will that "contract" last???

Angelaiski1 的头像
Angelaiski111 天前

🤑

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AMERICA'S IRAN HUMILIATION: THE LESSON THAT EMPOWERS CHINA AND BRICS FOREVER Former British diplomat Alastair Crooke delivers a blunt assessment of the Iran conflict. What was long treated as unchallengeable American military power has been exposed as brittle and limited. The consequences reach far beyond the region and are already strengthening the rising influence of BRICS. THE SHREDDED US STANDING ➡️ This war is shredding the standing of the US military presence. ➡️ It was thought to be invulnerable, unable to be contested or attacked. That has all been proved wrong. ➡️ American military structures have their arches healed. They do not have enough defense weapons. They do not have enough wherewithal to launch a major war. ➡️ They are not doing very well even with a localized war and are making mistakes. THE FIFTH FLEET HOSTAGE ➡️ In 1979 the embassy hostages brought down an American administration. There are no students in an embassy now. There is the Fifth Fleet. ➡️ Where is that? Of Bahrain. That is quite a big hostage. ➡️ Effectively the Fifth Fleet is an Iranian hostage. ➡️ Someone in the White House needs to wise up and get out of this quite quickly. Otherwise it becomes a complete catastrophe for the United States, for its image and for its presence in the world. It will be a humiliation. THE TWO CHOICES ➡️ One path is climbing down from the tree. Psychologically that may prove impossible. ➡️ The other is all-out war. That will finish the standing of the United States as a serious political player or serious military power. ➡️ People will have learned from the Iranian experience exactly how to deal with the United States. THE LESSONS THAT STICK ➡️ The first lesson is to trust in nothing. Nothing said, nothing written, nothing. ➡️ Young people on the streets of Iran ask why anyone is negotiating. He will say one thing one moment and pull it back the next. There is no point talking to a person like that. Forget it. We do not need to deal with the United States. ➡️ The second lesson is clearer still. If you punch the United States in the face, they cannot deal with those blows. They cannot stop them. They are more vulnerable than people thought. THE BRICS BOOST ➡️ This strengthens the BRICS because they can see a weakening America. ➡️ If America has failed to subordinate Iran and reduce it to a vassal, it will not succeed with Russia or China. ➡️ Those states will take strong encouragement from Iran winning the war. ➡️ It will increase China’s insistence on a close relationship with Iran to secure energy supplies. ➡️ China already views the entire process as an attempt to put it under siege by squeezing its energy routes. THE BOTTOM LINE The order that existed before this war is gone forever. Iran has emerged stronger. American military standing has been shredded in public. BRICS powers are drawing the direct conclusion that US dominance is no longer unchallengeable. This is the sound of multipolar power rising while American control slips away. #BRICSRise #IranVictory #USHumiliation #FifthFleetHostage #AlastairCrooke #AmericanDecline #MultipolarWorld HT: YouTube Daniel Davis / Deep Dive

Mark

18,591 次观看 • 1 个月前

ECKARD: $125 IS NOT A RANDOM NUMBER — THE VETERAN TRADER’S PHYSICAL-BARREL CASE Veteran oil trader Troy Eckard is not arguing that high prices always last. He is arguing that this rally is different. Secretary Bessent can talk $40 oil after the war. The barrels, the reserve, and the military tape are telling another story. THE $125 QUESTION ➡️ Eckard’s question is simple: what is the right price of oil when the disruption is real and the resolution is not? ➡️ He says $125 is not a dart throw. The probability rises every week the war does not end. ➡️ “Do I just pick that number randomly? No, I don’t.” THE $40 STORY VERSUS THE TAPE ➡️ Bessent says that once the Iran war is over, oil could fall to $40 or below. ➡️ Eckard grants the math. New supply plus a later global recession could crush demand for a time. ➡️ Then he draws the line he has been repeating for months: don’t watch the lips. Watch the actions. WHY THIS IS NOT 2008 ➡️ In 2008 T. Boone Pickens talked $300 oil. The tape ran to $145 on speculation. ➡️ Eckard was there. He says this tape is not that tape. ➡️ Today it is physical barrels. Ongoing military action. No settlement in sight. Both sides say they will slow down. The continuation happens anyway. WHAT WASHINGTON IS ACTUALLY DOING ➡️ The United States is still exporting crude it cannot refine — about five million barrels a day. ➡️ It is still draining the Strategic Petroleum Reserve instead of filling it. ➡️ If $40 after the war were the real base case, Eckard says the move would be obvious: stop the export flood and put barrels back in the SPR for financial and military security. ➡️ That is not what is happening. The actions say that without those extra barrels in the market, there is not enough oil. THE NEAR-TERM MAP ➡️ Oil is $94 — a sharp lift from two or three weeks ago, when a resolution still looked possible. ➡️ Eckard’s next checkpoint: $98 to $105 by Friday. “No more fudge factor. There’s no more room to play.” ➡️ Every “the war is about over” statement has been followed by more fire: Houthis hitting Saudi facilities, more cross-border action, more uncertainty across the Gulf. THE 90-DAY RISK ➡️ He puts midterms about 60 days out. Iran, in his read, is hoping Trump loses the House, the Senate, or both. ➡️ A divided Congress would look like weakness in Tehran — and that, he says, would invite more disruption, not less. ➡️ The only clean end he can see is boots on the ground. Nobody wants that. The other side has everything to lose and a lot to gain. That is how wars refuse to end. THE BOTTOM LINE Eckard’s call is $4 to $5 higher by Friday and $110 to $125 within 90 days — not because a trader shouted a number, but because physical supply is tight, the reserve is being emptied instead of refilled, and the war has no off-ramp. The $40 speech is a later chapter. This chapter is still being written in missing barrels. #OilPrices #TroyEckard #OilTo125 #SPR #EnergyCrisis #MiddleEastOil #CrudeOil HT: YouTube Eckard Enterprises | Oil & Gas Investing

Mark

18,769 次观看 • 6 天前

This is yet another attempt by the People’s Republic of China to undermine the final and binding 2016 Arbitral Award on the South China Sea. China’s claim that the award is invalid because it did not participate in the proceedings is baseless under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), to which China is a party. The arbitral tribunal, constituted under Annex VII of UNCLOS, directly addressed this argument in its 2015 jurisdictional ruling and 2016 merits award, emphasizing robust procedural safeguards to ensure fairness. Under Article 286 of UNCLOS, states parties are obliged to settle disputes through peaceful means, including binding arbitration under Part XV. By ratifying UNCLOS in 1996, China accepted these compulsory procedures. Article 287 permits states to choose a forum, but in the absence of such a choice, arbitration under Annex VII applies—a basis invoked by the Philippines in its 2013 notification. The tribunal confirmed jurisdiction over the Philippines’ submissions, clarifying that China’s objections did not bar it from ruling on maritime entitlements under UNCLOS. UNCLOS provides that non-appearance does not halt proceedings. Instead, it imposes a “special responsibility” on the tribunal to ensure claims are well founded in fact and law. The tribunal discharged this duty by: -Continuously notifying China of developments and sharing transcripts of hearings; -Repeatedly inviting China to participate or submit evidence; -Treating China’s 2014 Position Paper as a formal jurisdictional submission; and -Examining extensive documentary evidence, expert reports, and historical records. The tribunal concluded that China’s absence did not prevent proceedings from going forward, consistent with broader principles of international law, including Article 53 of the ICJ Statute. Article 296 of UNCLOS makes clear that arbitral awards are “final and binding” on the parties concerned. The award binds China and the Philippines and carefully avoided adjudicating sovereignty disputes or third-party rights. China’s policy of “four no’s”—no acceptance, participation, recognition, or implementation—does not alter these legal realities. International law is clear: non-participation is not a veto. Precedent, including the 1999 Southern Bluefin Tuna arbitration, confirms that tribunals proceed even when a party refuses to appear. For China, the path forward lies not in rejecting a treaty it helped shape, but in RECOMMITTING TO UNCLOS. China was a leader during UNCLOS negotiation. China should lead in preserving it for world peace and stability, not in undermining it for selfish and illegal claims.

Jay Tarriela

131,191 次观看 • 11 个月前

China has been relatively restrained toward the Philippines because Manila is still an ASEAN member. But this is changing. The Philippines is no longer just making noise in the South China Sea. It is trying to manufacture territorial claims over Chinese waters, coordinate with external powers, and even work with Japan — a defeated fascist state that once slaughtered Asians and burned half the region — to pressure China over territory that does not belong to them. That crosses a line. The key phrase in this Chinese report is not just “illegal claims.” It is this: undermining the post-WWII international order. That is the real signal. China is no longer treating the Philippines as a small neighbor being manipulated by Washington. It is beginning to treat Manila as part of the same fascist militarism chain as Japan: using colonial-era arrangements, foreign backing, and legal theater to challenge the territorial order created after Japan’s defeat. The Philippines was shaped by Spanish and American colonial rule. Its boundaries were defined by treaties. None of those treaties gave it Huangyan Dao. None of them gave it China’s Nansha Islands. Proximity is not sovereignty. If proximity decided ownership, the world map would collapse overnight. So when Manila claims Chinese islands because they are “closer,” it is not defending international law. It is trying to rewrite it. And when it does so alongside Japan, the symbolism becomes even uglier: a former colony and a former fascist aggressor trying to divide the waters of a WWII victor. China’s patience is not weakness. Reports like this are not just academic documents. They are legal groundwork. And once Beijing starts framing your actions as a threat to the postwar international order, you are no longer just playing a media game. You are being placed in the same historical category as the countries that tried to overturn Asia by force. China is putting the Philippines in Fascist Japan’s historical shadow.

𝘊𝘰𝘳𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘦

18,095 次观看 • 2 个月前

FORMER NATO SUPREME COMMANDER: THIS WAR IS NOW EXISTENTIAL FOR US HEGEMONY — NO EXIT ALLOWED Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Wesley Clark just laid out the real thinking inside Washington. This is no longer about Iran. It is about whether the United States remains the global hegemon or watches its power collapse in real time. Stopping is not an option. That is the hard line now being drawn. THE EXISTENTIAL STAKES ➡️ Clark makes it clear: if America pulls back and lets Iran keep control of the Strait of Hormuz, the hit to US global leadership is permanent. ➡️ He warns it would damage American deterrence, weaken influence in Asia, and undermine the security of Europe in one stroke. ➡️ This is the decision point. Failure here is not a temporary setback. It is the end of the post-1945 order. THE NO-EXIT REALITY ➡️ Clark rejects any idea of simply walking away or signing a weaker deal. ➡️ “Pulling back, that’s no good,” he states without hesitation. ➡️ An MOU worse than the last one would signal American weakness to every rival watching. ➡️ China and Russia are already feeling good about the current trajectory. Clark says they should not be allowed to celebrate further. THE STRATEGIC TRAP ➡️ There is no easy military solution, yet retreat is worse. ➡️ The near-term fight must stay focused on keeping the Strait open and isolating the theater of operations. ➡️ Any pause only gives Iran time to rebuild, rearm, and dig in deeper. ➡️ Clark insists the longer-term threat of Iranian missiles and nuclear capability cannot be ignored either. THE BOTTOM LINE Wesley Clark is not speaking as a pundit. He is speaking as a former NATO Supreme Commander who understands exactly how the deep state and neoconservative core in Washington now view this conflict. This war has become existential for American global power. Stopping is no longer on the table. HT: YouTube Piers Morgan Uncensored #WesleyClark #IranWar #USHegemony #NoExit #GlobalLeadership #StraitOfHormuz #AmericanPower

Mark

422,674 次观看 • 1 个月前

China urges US, EU to stop lies and meddling in China's internal affairs by hyping up ethnic issues The West always looks at China’s ethnic policy through the mirror of its own crimes. They committed genocide against indigenous peoples. They built settler states on mass graves. They erased languages, cultures, tribes, and entire civilizations. So they assume China must be doing the same. But China is not the West. China is a multi-ethnic civilization-state where ethnic minorities are not colonial subjects, not museum props, and not disposable populations. They are Chinese citizens, part of the same national community. That is why most Chinese ethnic minorities abroad introduce themselves simply as Chinese — not because their identity was erased, but because the national identity is real. And the panic over “extraterritorial application” is comedy. Chinese citizens abroad are still Chinese citizens. They receive Chinese consular protection. They carry Chinese passports. They are naturally subject to Chinese law where applicable. That is not “long-arm jurisdiction.” Long-arm jurisdiction is Washington hunting foreign citizens across the world, sanctioning companies in third countries, freezing assets, kidnapping executives, and pretending U.S. domestic law is international law. The U.S. and EU are not worried about human rights. They are worried that China refuses to let them weaponize ethnicity, separatism, and identity politics as tools of internal sabotage. They are not defending minorities. They are trying to manufacture another pressure point. China has seen this script before. Different costume. Same empire.

𝘊𝘰𝘳𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘦

15,431 次观看 • 2 个月前

Beijing rejects the West’s new “tribute system” lie. China stood at the height of world civilization for most of its long history. Yet it did not bomb half the world like the United States, a country with only 250 years of history and only 17 years without war. It did not colonize the entire Earth like the British Empire. China became the center of an Asian civilizational order — not a global machine of plunder. That is what the West still cannot understand. They look at China through their own jungle logic: If you are strong, you must dominate. If you rise, you must conquer. If others trade with you, they must be your “tribute system.” But no. Chinese civilization has always despised bullying the weak, worshiping power, and kneeling to foreigners. That is why Chinese people instinctively look down on self-colonized traitors, reverse nationalists, and postwar Japan — people who sold their spine and called the leash civilization. China’s moral line is very clear: What is ours, we will not give up an inch. What is not ours, we do not covet. That is why China defeated India and Vietnam, but did not occupy an extra inch beyond its own claims. Unlike Israel. Unlike Japan. Unlike America. Ask ordinary Chinese people whether China should invade another country, and 99% would reject it. Ask them whether China should defend itself from humiliation, invasion, and national collapse again, and 100% would rather pay the price. The West cannot imagine a powerful China that does not behave like the West. They look at China and see themselves. They fail to understand that China is a civilization masquerading as a nation. A civilization does not need to conquer or tame others. It commands its own gravity.

𝘊𝘰𝘳𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘦

19,670 次观看 • 2 个月前

China did not even bother to dignify Panama’s accusations. It dismissed them with disdain. Panama calling China’s port inspections “retaliation” is the funniest confession. Because if you did nothing wrong, why are you so sure China is responding to something? Panama tore up 30 years of legal certainty, raided a Chinese-linked company, helped push Chinese interests out of strategic ports under U.S. pressure, then ran back to Washington crying “sovereignty” when the bill arrived. A cheap client-state melodrama. China does not bully small countries. China works with Africa, Latin America, and the Global South every day. Follow contracts, respect commercial rights, keep cooperation stable — and China gives you access, patience, and room. But Panama chose another path. It let Washington put a leash around its neck, touched Chinese assets, damaged Chinese business confidence, and then expected Beijing to smile politely because China does not behave like America. No bombs. No coups. No Marines landing at dawn. No kidnapped presidents. Just inspections. Rules. Delays. Paperwork. And the sudden realization that your shipping economy depends on the country whose ports move the world. Seven of the world’s top ten most efficient ports are in China. China is the world’s largest shipbuilding power. China is a maritime giant. So no, China does not need aircraft carriers to make Panama feel pain. Sometimes power is not a missile. Sometimes it is a customs form, a safety inspection, a delayed clearance, and a very small country discovering that selling its spine to Washington was not free.

𝘊𝘰𝘳𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘦

119,613 次观看 • 2 个月前

PAPE: IRAN JUST GRABBED THE OIL ARTERY — NEXT STOP: THE GULF BANKS AND IRAN BECOMES A WORLD POWER. University of Chicago professor Robert Pape sat down on "At the Waters Edge" on September 13 and said the last three days were not noise. In his read, Iran just tightened a grip on the oil routes that feed the world — and the next move is not more missiles. It is politics over the governments that sit on hundreds of billions in U.S. Treasuries. THE WEEKEND SHIFT ➡️ Pape says the Houthis now appear to control the Red Sea, and those three days are “shaking the world.” He calls it pretty bad, and getting worse before it gets better. ➡️ The East-West pipeline that was supposed to bypass Hormuz has been hit and shut, he says, so there are no loadings at Yanbu. That is not a side show. The host put it near 4% of global oil. Pape did not blink. THE PLAN HE SAYS WAS ALREADY ON THE CALENDAR ➡️ On June 15 he mapped Iran’s “period of maximum leverage” as three buffers running down: the U.S. SPR, China’s extra buying, and the Houthis. ➡️ Starting July 20, after IRGC advisers landed in Sanaa, the Houthis began hitting Saudi tankers — not random ships. ➡️ Hormuz shipping was already being squeezed again. Then Iran-backed militias in Iraq hit the land pipe. Pape’s line is blunt: this is a coherent, multi-prong offensive, not a weekend accident. THE BYPASS THAT ARRIVED TOO LATE Scott Bessent’s idea that Hormuz becomes “irrelevant in two years” because of new bypasses is, in Pape’s words, three months late and about $300 billion short. ➡️ “Right in front of our eyes they’re becoming a world power.” He does not mean Turkey and Pakistan. He means a Persian Gulf core, then a “security resistance belt” from the Mediterranean to the Red Sea to the Gulf. NO FLEET IS STEAMING IN Europe, he says after Brussels, is not mustering for the Red Sea. It is staring at Ukraine, Russia, and a dark winter at home. ➡️ The U.S. Navy is tapped out in Hormuz. Japan, Britain, and France cannot magically reopen Bab el-Mandeb. Flag officers talking B-2 carpet bombing miss the point he has taught for 30 years: air power without a ground or surface “anvil” just scatters the enemy. The Houthis will not sit in a kill box and wait. THE PRICE PATH HE IS WATCHING ➡️ Oil has gone “straight up” since mid-July. Trump can talk. The tape is not listening. ➡️Diesel, Pape says, is already at a historic U.S. high. Pump prices around $4.30–$4.45 a gallon jumped almost 20 cents in a week. He sees a path over $5, maybe $5.50 — with food riding diesel, not gasoline. ➡️If SPR draws keep the current pace, his sketch has the reserve effectively gone by early April. That is his scenario, not a printed date. WHAT HE SAYS COMES NEXT The last three days, in his framing, already put a tight grip on “our artery of oil.” ➡️ The next six months are political: more influence over frontline Gulf capitals — because those central banks hold the Treasuries. Regime-change logic, he says, is realism 101. If Washington treated it as fair game against Tehran, do not be shocked when Tehran treats Gulf governments the same way. He is describing a trajectory, not announcing a coup. THE BOTTOM LINE Pape’s warning is simple. The off-ramps are gone, the buffers are thinning, and the fight has moved from tankers to the map itself. First the oil artery. Then the governments that sit on the money. Iran is not waiting for a better offer. It is building the leverage while the West argues about who should sail first. #RobertPape #RedSea #Hormuz #Houthis #OilPrices #EnergyCrisis #BombingToWin HT: YouTube At the Waters Edge

Mark

42,249 次观看 • 1 天前

IRAN'S OIL WEAPON: TRUMP IS STUCK IN A LOSE-LOSE CATCH-22 University of Chicago strategist Prof. Robert Pape, just mapped the last few days of the Iran fight. He says this is not random tit-for-tat. Iran built a trap. The scoreboard he uses is simple: the daily price of oil. THE OIL SCOREBOARD ➡️ Early in the war, Pape says, oil stayed surprisingly low. ➡️ Trump could still talk the price down, and SPR inventories helped. ➡️ “What’s happened since the midpoint in July is it’s basically straight up.” ➡️ “Who’s controlling that price of oil? Not Trump. And his ability to talk it down is essentially disappeared.” ➡️ That chart, Pape argues, is not just energy. It is power. It is also the price of gas outside his door in Chicago. THE CATCH-22 ➡️ Iran built an offensive pattern that puts Trump on two bad horns. ➡️ Do nothing, and Iran looks like it is gaining power. ➡️ Hit back, and Iran out-escalates him — and he looks like he is losing power anyway. ➡️ “This is a no-win scenario for Trump.” ➡️ Tactical hits can still look like wins. Strategically, Pape says, the United States gets weaker. THE MIDTERM WEAPON ➡️ As oil ticks higher, Pape says Trump’s midterm prospects move the other way. ➡️ He calls that path “tremendous damage” to the presidency — “maybe irrevocable.” ➡️ CNN this morning, he notes, already has national gas prices rising in red states and blue states alike. ➡️ “Trump has lost control of the economy and Iran has gained it.” ➡️ That, in his reading, is the point of the strategy: keep baiting, keep the price climbing, and let November do the rest. THE BOTTOM LINE Pape’s claim is blunt. Iran is not just firing back. It is using oil as a political weapon, and Trump keeps walking into the same lose-lose trap. Watch the pump, not the press conference. HT: YouTube Mario Nawfal Robert A. Pape #IranOil #RobertPape #OilPrices #EscalationTrap #Trump #Midterms #Hormuz

Mark

38,926 次观看 • 12 天前