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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท No one knows yet if Tehran ordered the Apache hit or if an IRGC commander made the call on the ground. Fmr. IDF spokesperson Jonathan Conricus says that distinction matters because it changes how Washington reads the attack. He says it could have been a senior order to...

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Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช The UAE has defended itself well, but silence invites more attacks. Ex-IDF Spox Jonathan Conricus breaks down the dilemma: fight alone and set a price, or wait for the coalition. "If I were an Emirati, I wouldn't agree to this kind of aggression and let it go unanswered." Deterrence costs something. So does doing nothing. Jonathan Conricus

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ If this war ends with Iran's proxies and nuclear program intact, Iran won. That's the test Jonathan Conricus, fmr. IDF spokesperson, set months ago, and he stands by it now: "If it ends with an intact Iranian network of terror organizations and with an intact nuclear weapons program, then that will be a victory for the Iranian regime and a lack of success for Israel and for the US." By his own measure, the scoreboard isn't reading well. Trita Parsi & Jonathan Conricus

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The cowardly move just exposed the Iranian regime for what it is. Ex-IDF Spox Jonathan Conricus says attacking the UAE instead of the Americans tells you everything. "The cowardly Iranians should be picking a fight with the Americans, not with the UAE." Their neighbors won't forget this. Jonathan Conricus

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Fmr IDF spokesperson just made it crystal clear: This isn't a limited strike to bring Iran to the table. The heads of the IRGC, Basij, army, navy, judiciary; all targeted in the opening wave. "This is a clear frontal assault on the centers of power. The first stage of bringing down the regime." Jonathan Conricus
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Fmr IDF spokesperson just made it crystal clear: This isn't a limited strike to bring Iran to the table. The heads of the IRGC, Basij, army, navy, judiciary; all targeted in the opening wave. "This is a clear frontal assault on the centers of power. The first stage of bringing down the regime." Jonathan Conricus

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท One sharp question is driving every calculation right now: what happens if Iran goes too far? Ex-IDF Spox Jonathan Conricus breaks it down. A strike on a U.S. vessel changes everything. A strike on the UAE is murkier, and it comes down to casualties, damage, and whether the Emiratis decide they've had enough. "The Emiratis have an air force, missiles, advanced weaponry, pilots, and they can do that." Iran is forcing a peaceful nation to do the math it never wanted to do. Jonathan Conricus
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท One sharp question is driving every calculation right now: what happens if Iran goes too far? Ex-IDF Spox Jonathan Conricus breaks it down. A strike on a U.S. vessel changes everything. A strike on the UAE is murkier, and it comes down to casualties, damage, and whether the Emiratis decide they've had enough. "The Emiratis have an air force, missiles, advanced weaponry, pilots, and they can do that." Iran is forcing a peaceful nation to do the math it never wanted to do. Jonathan Conricus

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