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Non-zero chance that Iran stopped signaling missile attacks and actually seriously targeted USAF fighter-jet assets in Jordan Not just depleting $4 million dollar Patriot PAC-3 stocks with 20-times cheaper missiles but hitting painful targets ➡️ Escalating disproportionally ?

139,487 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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🇮🇷⚔️🇺🇸Iran or US: Who will win missile war or attrition? Russian military expert, historian of the Air Defense Forces Yuri Knutov explains: 💬 "If we look at the numbers being cited, Iran is said to have between 2,000 and 4,000 missiles. At a launch rate of around 100 or more per day, that would suggest roughly a month of sustained high-intensity missile attacks. As for THAAD interceptors, about 650 have been produced in total, with 150 used during a previous attack. That would leave roughly 400 remaining, possibly fewer. With careful and efficient use, that stock could last around 10 days — perhaps as little as five. If we’re talking about Patriot missiles, the US stockpile is larger, of course, but it can be depleted as well. Especially if they launch 10 missiles against a single Iranian ballistic missile, then they would have enough for three weeks, and that's with a very, very large margin. 👉 So Iran has a very important trump card right now. And if it uses its missiles correctly, saving its most technologically advanced ones, the hypersonic Fattahs, for the final stage—and the Fattahs are not intercepted at all by Israeli Arrow-3 missiles, nor by American THAAD and Patriot systems—then Iran essentially has a chance to land a very painful blow on Israel and the US. And in that way, essentially, to take revenge for the surprise attack carried out on Iran. [The US] produces around 55 interceptors per month, which is not enough to rapidly replenish heavy battlefield usage. New production facilities are under construction in Germany and Romania, but they are not yet operational. While some missiles could potentially be sourced from Arab states, yet Arab countries are using these missiles too. That’s why I say that given this intensity, this missile use can endure from two to three weeks, four weeks tops. But we don’t know the situation in Iran. It’s possible Iran has underground plants where ballistic missiles are produced as well."

Sputnik

195,817 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🇮🇷 Iran said it launched three separate waves of attacks today and that its list of potential targets against the U.S. and Israel in the region is “10 times larger” than the targets available to its enemies. Statements from the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters and the IRGC, carried by Mehr News Agency, detail what Iran says it targeted and struck: 💢 In the 34th wave of “Operation True Promise 4,” Iran said it fired Qadr, Emad, Kheibar, and Fattah missiles at Israeli and U.S. targets. ➤ The gathering locations of American soldiers at Al Dhafra Air Base in the UAE and Al Jufair in Bahrain were “effectively targeted” by IRGC missile launches and attack drones. ➤ Iranian missiles “struck” Ramat David Airbase, the civilian airport in Haifa, and missile launchers near Bnei Brak east of Tel Aviv, according to the statement. 💢 Tehran said a 35th wave followed, launching Fattah, Kheibar Shekan, and Khorramshahr missiles toward Tel Aviv, Beit Shemesh, and U.S. bases. 💢 In Wave 36, the IRGC said attacks were carried out against the U.S. Fifth Fleet base in Bahrain, Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, and bases at Al-Adairi and Al-Harir in Iraq’s Kurdistan region, claiming American operational infrastructure was destroyed. 💢 The IRGC also said its air defenses intercepted and destroyed a Hermes-900 drone over Ilam province. 📹 Video released by Iranian media shows Qadr, Emad, and Kheibar Shekan missiles being launched during the 36th wave of “Operation True Promise 4.” Iran once again warned that U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iranian infrastructure and civilians “will not go unanswered.””Now, their days and nights are limited to siren sounds, fleeing, and shelters. We will not let them go,” the forces said.

Drop Site

67,203 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Intense escalation last night between Iran-US Updates after 10 PM Tehran time: • The US targeted the barracks of the Iranian Army's 388th Brigade in Bampour specifically the conscript soldiers' dormitory, resulting several casualties. • The US targeted a mineral water production facility near a village in Ilam Province. • The US targeted 2 warehouses containing grains and wheat flour in Khuzestan province. • Gov Spox: More than 30 civilians were killed in the US attacks in south Iran. • The IRGC says it targeted: 🇧🇭 Several weapon storage, ship parts & aircraft parts warehouses at Sheikh Isa Airbase, in Bahrain 🇰🇼 Deployment site of MQ-9 drones at Ali Al-Salem base, in Kuwait 🇰🇼 Destroyed warehouse belonging to the Kuwait & Gulf Link Holding Company (KGL), which is the largest US Army support center in West Asia, in Mina Abdullah, Kuwait 🇰🇼 Destroyed the satellite communications center, a missile & air defense radar, a MIM-104 Patriot air defense system, logistics units, and M142 HIMARS missile launchers at a US base (likely Camp Buehring), in Kuwait 🇯🇴 Aircraft shelters hosting F-35A, F-15E & F-16C fighter jets, and MQ-9A Reaper UCAVs at the Muwaffaq Salti Air Base, in Jordan 🇧🇭 The management center, C&C center, and ammunition & fuel storages at the US Navy 5th support base, in Bahrain —— IRGC also announcee that the US should expect the closure of oil & gas routes outside the Strait of Hormoz, in response to the US reinstating the blockade against Iran & charging its own tolls. 🇦🇪 Government sources claim Fujairah Port oil terminal was targeted with missiles in the UAE, halting operations 🇰🇼 The Kuwait Army says Iran hit one of its navy ships which injured 4 units of its armed forces —— • Footage 1 shows an Iranian Shahed-136 drone strike an industrial facility in Kuwait. • Footage 2 shows Patriot PAC-3 failing & missing 4 Iranian ballistic missiles that struck the King Faisal Air Base in Jordan • Footage 3: Plumes of smoke coming from a facility targeted by Iranian missiles in Kuwait • Image 4: NASA FIRMS satellite confirms large at warehouses of the KGL, used by the US Army support centre for logistics (h/t: AMK Mapping 🇳🇿)

Arya Yadegaar

140,731 görüntüleme • 3 gün önce

Col. Lawrence Wilkerson exposes the DISASTROUS ineffectiveness of US🇺🇸 weaponry: ‘Lockheed Martin, and RTX Raytheon before them, have made sure that the propaganda is on their side and not on the side of the weapons as it should be. The hit rate for PAC-2s and PAC-3s, Patriot 2s and Patriot 3s, is probably less than 4%. And the videos I saw, I didn't even see the 4%. And it's not just ballistic missiles that are configured for countermeasures and even submunition delivery. It's ballistic missiles coming in with no countermeasures whatsoever. PAC-2 and PAC-3 miss most of the time. Mr. Zelensky, who is going to get the ability to build them in three years or whatever in Ukraine, ought to be thinking really hard about whether or not he wants to go along with any of that because these are not effective weapons systems. And Lockheed Martin, look at the F-35. The F-35 right now in all configurations pushed together is over a trillion-plus dollar aeroplane. More than that over time, the F-35 is having about a 27 to 28% operational ready rate. That means it flies one out of every four times you want it to fly. It's a disaster. It's a very capable aeroplane, but it is so capable, it's a mini AWACS if you will. It is so capable and so desperately in need of proprietary maintenance in order to maintain it in the air, that you only get one out of four hours that it can actually fly for you. And when you put that together, that's not very good.’ —Col. Lawrence Wilkerson, former Chief of Staff at the State Department, joins us for Saturday’s episode of Going Underground Don’t miss it, follow us on X and follow our Rumble channel, link below in the replies👇

Going Underground

29,488 görüntüleme • 1 gün önce

🚀 To Strike Israel from Iran: What a Missile Must Survive (and What It Costs) After decades of planning, $30+ billion spent, 13 integrated missile defense systems-including U.S. CENTCOM assets, NATO-linked radar, and space-based infrared-Israel was still caught off guard by a few missiles hitting old apartments buildings? Iranian missile aiming for Israel has to bypass these systems; 🛰️ TIER 1 — Detection & Tracking (3 systems) ➟ SBIRS (U.S. satellites) Global heat-signature detection within seconds. Real-time cue to all allied defenses. 💰 $19+ billion U.S. program cost since inception ➟ DSP (Defense Support Program) Cold War legacy satellites still supporting IR tracking. 💰 Originally over $15 billion (inflation-adjusted) ➟ Israeli OTH + Green Pine Radar Feeds targeting data to Arrow batteries with 900 km+ range. 💰 Each radar unit: $50–60 million 🛡️ TIER 2 — Strategic Interceptors (4 systems) ➟ Arrow 3 – Hits warheads in space (exo-atmospheric) 💰 $3 million+ per interceptor, $2.2 billion+ development cost ➟ Arrow 2 – Hits during reentry (endo-atmospheric) 💰 Interceptor: $2–2.5 million each 💰 Co-developed with U.S.: ~$1 billion+ in U.S. aid ➟ Aegis BMD (U.S. Navy) – Sea-based SM-3 interceptors 💰 Ship cost: $1.7 billion+ per vessel 💰 Each SM-3 missile: $12–18 million ➟ THAAD – U.S. high-altitude regional defense 💰 Battery: $800 million 💰 Interceptor: $11–13 million each 🎯 These are built to stop Shahab, Sejjil, Ghadr, and Emad-type MRBMs. 🧨 TIER 3 — Close-In Defenses (6 systems) ➟ David’s Sling – Intercepts mid-range & cruise 💰 Each missile: $1 million+ 💰 System dev cost: $1.7 billion+ ➟ Patriot PAC-3 – Ballistic & air threats 💰 Each interceptor: $4–5 million 💰 Battery: $1.1 billion+ ➟ Iron Dome – For short-range rockets & drones 💰 Missile: $40,000–100,000 💰 Full system: $50–70 million per battery 💰 Over $3 billion in U.S. funding to date ➟ Barak-8 – Naval-based interceptor 💰 Missile: $1.5–2 million+ ➟ Sky Dew – Airborne blimp radar 💰 Development: ~$300–400 million range 💰 Experimental, high-maintenance ➟ C-RAM (U.S. Army) – Close-range base defense 💰 ~$15–20 million per setup 💰 Fires 20–30 rounds per second with high cost-per-use Soooooo ➟ Iran must beat $20–30+ billion in integrated defensive infrastructure ➟ That includes: ➟ 3 global detection systems ➟ 4 intercept layers (exo, reentry, mid, terminal) ➟ 6 tactical kill nets surrounding every target zone ➟ Every shot they take faces a defense architecture that costs more than some countries’ entire GDP Also—why isn’t Israel’s automated Red Alert system going off?

Morgan

14,342 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce