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Ocean Heat Source 12: Inverse prediction map complete I worked backwards from the observed abyssal warming and mapped where the missing heat sources would have to be, and how strong they'd have to be. The strongest predicted hotspot is around 51.8°W, 41.1°S. So... Roger (Ethical Skeptic ☀), is there... show more

Stephanie Buchanan

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44,017 次观看 • 4 天前 •via X (Twitter)

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Ocean Heat Source 05: Adiabatic compression doesn’t explain the deep ocean warming observation. Test type: Empirical, an audit of the Johnson 2026 data product and calculation workflow. The idea is basically this..as water sinks, the pressure rises and warms its in situ temperature a little, even without adding heat. So, I traced the Johnson 2026 warming map through the full workflow to see which temperature variable it actually uses. It uses Conservative Temperature, which removes that reversible pressure warming effect. So, the abyssal warming acceleration is still there after the compression effect has been taken out. Adiabatic compression can change the local thermometer reading a little. It can’t produce the Johnson warming signal itself. One mechanism crossed off... next. More details:

Ocean Heat Source 05: Adiabatic compression doesn’t explain the deep ocean warming observation. Test type: Empirical, an audit of the Johnson 2026 data product and calculation workflow. The idea is basically this..as water sinks, the pressure rises and warms its in situ temperature a little, even without adding heat. So, I traced the Johnson 2026 warming map through the full workflow to see which temperature variable it actually uses. It uses Conservative Temperature, which removes that reversible pressure warming effect. So, the abyssal warming acceleration is still there after the compression effect has been taken out. Adiabatic compression can change the local thermometer reading a little. It can’t produce the Johnson warming signal itself. One mechanism crossed off... next. More details:

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Nick Wright thinks LeBron on the Heat would be interesting: “I think the Heat would be fun, I think the Heat would be interesting. It’s a team where the starting lineup makes sense and then it gets very shaky the moment after that. Jovic has regressed a bit. Portis is past his prime. THJ has bounced around the league on minimums. Now you would have Spo, and Giannis. But Giannis is not the most durable guy in the world. You would wonder if that team would have enough shooting.” (Via What’s Wright? with Nick Wright)

Nick Wright thinks LeBron on the Heat would be interesting: “I think the Heat would be fun, I think the Heat would be interesting. It’s a team where the starting lineup makes sense and then it gets very shaky the moment after that. Jovic has regressed a bit. Portis is past his prime. THJ has bounced around the league on minimums. Now you would have Spo, and Giannis. But Giannis is not the most durable guy in the world. You would wonder if that team would have enough shooting.” (Via What’s Wright? with Nick Wright)

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Ocean Heat Source 04: Now that I’ve pinned down the abyssal warming pattern, it’s time to investigate possible sources. I’m working through five main possibilities: 1. Adiabatic compression : could the water only appear warmer because it moved deeper and got squeezed? This one is already looking weak. 2. Redistribution and isopycnal heave: could density layers be moving up and down and shifting existing heat around? 3. Antarctic Bottom Water and overturning: could changing deep ocean circulation be carrying warmer water into the abyss? 4. Geothermal and hydrothermal heating : could heat be entering from the seafloor, ridges, or vents? 5. Electromagnetic induction and ohmic heating: could changing magnetic fields drive electric currents, and could enough of that electrical energy turn into heat? I’ll need my electromagnetic solver to finish that last test. Now, we get to see which mechanisms survive testing.

Ocean Heat Source 04: Now that I’ve pinned down the abyssal warming pattern, it’s time to investigate possible sources. I’m working through five main possibilities: 1. Adiabatic compression : could the water only appear warmer because it moved deeper and got squeezed? This one is already looking weak. 2. Redistribution and isopycnal heave: could density layers be moving up and down and shifting existing heat around? 3. Antarctic Bottom Water and overturning: could changing deep ocean circulation be carrying warmer water into the abyss? 4. Geothermal and hydrothermal heating : could heat be entering from the seafloor, ridges, or vents? 5. Electromagnetic induction and ohmic heating: could changing magnetic fields drive electric currents, and could enough of that electrical energy turn into heat? I’ll need my electromagnetic solver to finish that last test. Now, we get to see which mechanisms survive testing.

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Ocean Heat Source 08: 📢Antarctic Bottom Water and overturning don’t explain the magnitude of the abyssal warming acceleration. Test type: Empirical, data-constrained model comparison This one reminded me how important quantitation is... Antarctic Bottom Water is real, and at first, it actually looked like a surprisingly good match to the abyssal warming signal. The density structure matched surprisingly well. The pathway was plausible. Then, I calculated how much warming acceleration the overturning circulation can actually supply. ECCO produces only ~2% of the observed 4-6 kdbar acceleration. So AABW/overturning may contribute, but it fails as the dominant quantitative explanation. I’m now down to the final 2 mechanisms! We’re getting close to narrowing this down. Next, I’m testing the geothermal/hydrothermal heating mechanism. Details:

Ocean Heat Source 08: 📢Antarctic Bottom Water and overturning don’t explain the magnitude of the abyssal warming acceleration. Test type: Empirical, data-constrained model comparison This one reminded me how important quantitation is... Antarctic Bottom Water is real, and at first, it actually looked like a surprisingly good match to the abyssal warming signal. The density structure matched surprisingly well. The pathway was plausible. Then, I calculated how much warming acceleration the overturning circulation can actually supply. ECCO produces only ~2% of the observed 4-6 kdbar acceleration. So AABW/overturning may contribute, but it fails as the dominant quantitative explanation. I’m now down to the final 2 mechanisms! We’re getting close to narrowing this down. Next, I’m testing the geothermal/hydrothermal heating mechanism. Details:

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