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🇮🇷🇺🇸 One sharp truth the Navy isn't talking about loudly enough. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar just laid it out clearly. "Imagine your sonar men are looking for torpedoes, and your deck men are looking for incoming missile. And actually the missile is skimming across the top of the water."... show more

Mario Nawfal

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65,826 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran may not have a navy powerful enough to defeat the U.S., but it has enough asymmetric weapons to make any war painfully costly. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down how the Strait of Hormuz, buried missile launchers, and swarm tactics change every calculation. "As military operations continue, the options only get worse." And with China and Russia now drawing red lines, the window for a clean military solution may already be closed. Anthony Aguilar

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran may not have a navy powerful enough to defeat the U.S., but it has enough asymmetric weapons to make any war painfully costly. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down how the Strait of Hormuz, buried missile launchers, and swarm tactics change every calculation. "As military operations continue, the options only get worse." And with China and Russia now drawing red lines, the window for a clean military solution may already be closed. Anthony Aguilar

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 A blockade is an act of war, the ceasefire was already broken, and the U.S. may have wanted Iran to shoot first. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar just laid it all out. "Not only possible. I think that throughout history we've seen that that is often the case." This conflict is nowhere near over. Anthony Aguilar

🇺🇸🇮🇷 A blockade is an act of war, the ceasefire was already broken, and the U.S. may have wanted Iran to shoot first. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar just laid it all out. "Not only possible. I think that throughout history we've seen that that is often the case." This conflict is nowhere near over. Anthony Aguilar

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The ceasefire isn't holding, and the next few hours could change it all. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down where it stands and why the UAE, Israel, and the U.S. are waiting on another before making a move. "The ceasefire is within inches of collapsing." @AnthonyAgu88102

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. Navy may have intentionally baited Iran into revealing its firing positions. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down how the destroyers were likely part of a textbook recon-by-fire operation in the Strait of Hormuz, absorbing Iran’s strike just long enough to lock coordinates and destroy the source. “This is classic reconnaissance by fire. You move in with military assets, draw the enemy’s capability, then counter and destroy it.” Anthony Aguilar

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. Navy may have intentionally baited Iran into revealing its firing positions. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down how the destroyers were likely part of a textbook recon-by-fire operation in the Strait of Hormuz, absorbing Iran’s strike just long enough to lock coordinates and destroy the source. “This is classic reconnaissance by fire. You move in with military assets, draw the enemy’s capability, then counter and destroy it.” Anthony Aguilar

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🇮🇱🇮🇷🇺🇸 The Strait of Hormuz is becoming the Rubicon. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says Israel has little incentive to support a ceasefire because the military and financial burden falls largely on Washington. “Israel isn’t playing with house money. Israel is playing with U.S. money, with U.S. resources, with the U.S. Navy, not their own.” Anthony Aguilar

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🇺🇸 "We're low keying it"... That's how the war is being described while American troops sit in the blast radius. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar has no patience for the vague reassurances coming out of Washington, the "it always works out" framing applied to a conflict where service members are living under missile threat. Downplaying it may play fine at home. Anthony says it creates a dangerous gap between the rhetoric and what the front line actually looks like.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Intense missile barrages are rapidly burning through interceptor stockpiles, leaving strategic bases exposed to high-consequence strikes. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar emphasizes that the unsustainable depletion rate of air defense systems is now directly shaping political outcomes. Anthony cautions that multi-front drone and missile saturation will soon leave U.S. forces facing critical defense shortages. "We're not winning this war. The math isn't mathing."

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Intense missile barrages are rapidly burning through interceptor stockpiles, leaving strategic bases exposed to high-consequence strikes. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar emphasizes that the unsustainable depletion rate of air defense systems is now directly shaping political outcomes. Anthony cautions that multi-front drone and missile saturation will soon leave U.S. forces facing critical defense shortages. "We're not winning this war. The math isn't mathing."

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran just fired a missile specifically engineered to sink an American warship, and 11 U.S. Navy ships are now boxed into waters Iran knows by heart. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down why the geometry is as dangerous as the weapon itself. "Iran really has an idea of where these U.S. ships are concentrated." This isn't a warning shot anymore. It's a targeting solution.

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran just fired a missile specifically engineered to sink an American warship, and 11 U.S. Navy ships are now boxed into waters Iran knows by heart. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down why the geometry is as dangerous as the weapon itself. "Iran really has an idea of where these U.S. ships are concentrated." This isn't a warning shot anymore. It's a targeting solution.

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 One sharp question is driving all of this: how far can Iran push before Trump is forced to respond? Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar just laid it all out. "Iran is trying to figure out, okay, where is that red line? Where is that point of response? Where is that button? So we know how far we can go." The UAE is getting hit, the Strait of Hormuz is in play, and nobody knows what's coming next. Anthony Aguilar

🇮🇷🇺🇸 One sharp question is driving all of this: how far can Iran push before Trump is forced to respond? Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar just laid it all out. "Iran is trying to figure out, okay, where is that red line? Where is that point of response? Where is that button? So we know how far we can go." The UAE is getting hit, the Strait of Hormuz is in play, and nobody knows what's coming next. Anthony Aguilar

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 One missile, placed right, and a U.S. cruiser goes down. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar explains why dismissing Iran's mosquito fleet is a dangerous mistake. “A small ship can take out an aircraft carrier, a navy cruiser, or a destroyer, because they do.” Control of the Strait of Hormuz is the whole game, and right now Iran holds the leverage. @AnthonyAgu88102

🇺🇸🇮🇷 One missile, placed right, and a U.S. cruiser goes down. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar explains why dismissing Iran's mosquito fleet is a dangerous mistake. “A small ship can take out an aircraft carrier, a navy cruiser, or a destroyer, because they do.” Control of the Strait of Hormuz is the whole game, and right now Iran holds the leverage. @AnthonyAgu88102

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Full-blown war is off the table, but what replaces it may not be any safer. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar predicts decapitation strikes on Iran are imminent. "I'm quite confident that the president of the United States, through the direction of the secretary of Defense, has the orders or the plans for U.S. forces to conduct two pronged assault operations to seize and control." Anthony Aguilar

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 One wrong move between the U.S. and Iran could end with a tactical nuclear strike, and Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says the probability climbs higher every single day. "I absolutely could see that. And I would not be shocked if it happened." We are 57 days in, talks have collapsed, and both sides have stopped speaking entirely. Anthony Aguilar

🇺🇸🇮🇷 One wrong move between the U.S. and Iran could end with a tactical nuclear strike, and Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says the probability climbs higher every single day. "I absolutely could see that. And I would not be shocked if it happened." We are 57 days in, talks have collapsed, and both sides have stopped speaking entirely. Anthony Aguilar

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The excitement about an imminent Iran agreement is smoke and mirrors. As the Trump administration has said, a deal isn't done until it's done. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar just talked about the roadblocks that lay ahead. "Trump's base will not allow Trump to surrender to this." @AnthonyAgu88102

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The excitement about an imminent Iran agreement is smoke and mirrors. As the Trump administration has said, a deal isn't done until it's done. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar just talked about the roadblocks that lay ahead. "Trump's base will not allow Trump to surrender to this." @AnthonyAgu88102

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🇺🇸 America has a missile that kills the driver and spares the passenger inches away. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar pulls back the curtain on one of the most specialized weapons in the US arsenal: the R9X variant of the Hellfire missile. There's no explosive warhead on this thing. It kills through sheer kinetic energy and extending blades, built to eliminate one specific person with surgical accuracy, a driver in a vehicle, while the passenger sitting inches away walks away untouched. Aguilar notes the technology stays highly specialized, striking silently and without the massive collateral damage of traditional ordnance. The kind of tool you only hear about after it's been used.

🇺🇸 America has a missile that kills the driver and spares the passenger inches away. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar pulls back the curtain on one of the most specialized weapons in the US arsenal: the R9X variant of the Hellfire missile. There's no explosive warhead on this thing. It kills through sheer kinetic energy and extending blades, built to eliminate one specific person with surgical accuracy, a driver in a vehicle, while the passenger sitting inches away walks away untouched. Aguilar notes the technology stays highly specialized, striking silently and without the massive collateral damage of traditional ordnance. The kind of tool you only hear about after it's been used.

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73,961 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The strikes are about reconnaissance by fire, probing Iran's defenses before something far bigger. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down why control of the islands inside the strait changes everything. "Trump is not negotiating in a position of strength, and he knows that." This isn't Project Freedom 2.0. anymore. @AnthonyAgu88102

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The strikes are about reconnaissance by fire, probing Iran's defenses before something far bigger. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down why control of the islands inside the strait changes everything. "Trump is not negotiating in a position of strength, and he knows that." This isn't Project Freedom 2.0. anymore. @AnthonyAgu88102

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🇮🇱🇮🇷 The 12 Day War would have been catastrophic for Israel without American radar and munitions backing the Iron Dome. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar was on the ground in Beersheba, a block from where a ballistic missile hit, and watched the entire air defense system nearly collapse in real time. "Without the United States cooperation and support in its radar functionality to identify missiles further out, the Iron Dome would become overwhelmed." Anthony Aguilar

🇮🇱🇮🇷 The 12 Day War would have been catastrophic for Israel without American radar and munitions backing the Iron Dome. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar was on the ground in Beersheba, a block from where a ballistic missile hit, and watched the entire air defense system nearly collapse in real time. "Without the United States cooperation and support in its radar functionality to identify missiles further out, the Iron Dome would become overwhelmed." Anthony Aguilar

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🇮🇷🇺🇸Every major concession in the ceasefire deal points in one direction. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down why "ending the conflict" is not the same as winning it. "Those are each one of those are wins for Iran. The only thing the United States gets out of this is ending the conflict. Yeah, but that is not a win." Israel may pull back from Lebanon, but the scoreboard tells a different story.

🇮🇷🇺🇸Every major concession in the ceasefire deal points in one direction. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down why "ending the conflict" is not the same as winning it. "Those are each one of those are wins for Iran. The only thing the United States gets out of this is ending the conflict. Yeah, but that is not a win." Israel may pull back from Lebanon, but the scoreboard tells a different story.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Two exits remain from this war, and both of them are catastrophic. Ground troops or a tactical nuclear weapon... that's the choice Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says Washington has narrowed itself down to: "Donald Trump right now wants a way out of this. And the only way out is to give the perception that there's been a victory." Anthony isn't arguing either option works. His point is that the search for something that looks like a win has replaced the search for something that ends it.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Two exits remain from this war, and both of them are catastrophic. Ground troops or a tactical nuclear weapon... that's the choice Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says Washington has narrowed itself down to: "Donald Trump right now wants a way out of this. And the only way out is to give the perception that there's been a victory." Anthony isn't arguing either option works. His point is that the search for something that looks like a win has replaced the search for something that ends it.

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran may be baiting the U.S. Navy into the Strait of Hormuz Iran's new anti-ship missile may be less about sinking an American carrier today than deciding where the U.S. Navy fights tomorrow. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar argues Tehran is trying to bait American warships deeper into the Strait of Hormuz. The reason is geography. With regional ports damaged, Aguilar says U.S. ships are operating with restricted maneuverability and increasingly difficult supply lines, including reliance on Diego Garcia more than 2,000 miles away. Iran, meanwhile, knows roughly where those ships have to operate. Now it has demonstrated a medium-range anti-ship ballistic missile specifically designed for warships and equipped, Aguilar says, with capabilities intended to defeat shipboard countermeasures. His expectation is that Washington may respond by doing exactly what Tehran wants: pushing naval forces farther into Hormuz to demonstrate U.S. control and strip Iran of its biggest negotiating lever. Aguilar thinks that attempt would fail. And Iran has spent months preparing the neighborhood with missiles, drones, mines and coastal weapons. The U.S. wants to prove it can control the Strait. Iran may be trying to convince it to come closer and prove it.

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran may be baiting the U.S. Navy into the Strait of Hormuz Iran's new anti-ship missile may be less about sinking an American carrier today than deciding where the U.S. Navy fights tomorrow. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar argues Tehran is trying to bait American warships deeper into the Strait of Hormuz. The reason is geography. With regional ports damaged, Aguilar says U.S. ships are operating with restricted maneuverability and increasingly difficult supply lines, including reliance on Diego Garcia more than 2,000 miles away. Iran, meanwhile, knows roughly where those ships have to operate. Now it has demonstrated a medium-range anti-ship ballistic missile specifically designed for warships and equipped, Aguilar says, with capabilities intended to defeat shipboard countermeasures. His expectation is that Washington may respond by doing exactly what Tehran wants: pushing naval forces farther into Hormuz to demonstrate U.S. control and strip Iran of its biggest negotiating lever. Aguilar thinks that attempt would fail. And Iran has spent months preparing the neighborhood with missiles, drones, mines and coastal weapons. The U.S. wants to prove it can control the Strait. Iran may be trying to convince it to come closer and prove it.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 92% of Israelis believe Iran won the war. Only 10 to 15% of Americans agree. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says the gap comes down to who actually felt the impact and who's paying attention to the fine print. "Print out the one and a half page 14 point MoU and read it. It is very clear from a strategic and operational framework that the United States of America lost this war." Most Americans are one Fox News segment away from believing we won.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 92% of Israelis believe Iran won the war. Only 10 to 15% of Americans agree. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says the gap comes down to who actually felt the impact and who's paying attention to the fine print. "Print out the one and a half page 14 point MoU and read it. It is very clear from a strategic and operational framework that the United States of America lost this war." Most Americans are one Fox News segment away from believing we won.

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