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🇺🇸🇮🇷 One strike on Iran's oil infrastructure could trigger a global energy catastrophe, and Trita Parsi says the U.S. comes out worse every time it goes further down the road of escalation. "Whatever the U.S. does to Iran, Iran can inflict even greater damage, directly or indirectly, on the... show more

Mario Nawfal

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🚨🇺🇸 This strategy may be backfiring on the U.S. economy. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute, Iran expert, says the blockade is pushing oil prices up instead of down, hurting Trump politically. Both sides think the other will break first, but both may be miscalculating. Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸 This strategy may be backfiring on the U.S. economy. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute, Iran expert, says the blockade is pushing oil prices up instead of down, hurting Trump politically. Both sides think the other will break first, but both may be miscalculating. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸 BOOTS ON THE GROUND COULD TRIGGER A DISASTER Trita Parsi says sending U.S. troops into Iran would hand Tehran exactly what it wants, more American targets. He says even limited moves like taking Kharg Island could spiral fast, exposing U.S. forces to drones, missiles, and massive retaliation. Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸 BOOTS ON THE GROUND COULD TRIGGER A DISASTER Trita Parsi says sending U.S. troops into Iran would hand Tehran exactly what it wants, more American targets. He says even limited moves like taking Kharg Island could spiral fast, exposing U.S. forces to drones, missiles, and massive retaliation. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran struck Bahrain and Kuwait to prove it could escalate harder than the U.S. was comfortable with, and it worked. Trita Parsi breaks down how both sides may be quietly climbing down. "The pain of that status quo was mainly on the Iranian side. The Iranians escalated to spread the pain." Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷THE U.S. LOST CONTROL OF THIS WAR Trita Parsi says the original plan failed and now it’s just about forcing Iran to give in. He says neither side can end it, but it’s clear the U.S. is no longer calling the shots and is stuck with bad options. Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷THE U.S. LOST CONTROL OF THIS WAR Trita Parsi says the original plan failed and now it’s just about forcing Iran to give in. He says neither side can end it, but it’s clear the U.S. is no longer calling the shots and is stuck with bad options. Trita Parsi

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🇮🇷 INTERVIEW – TRITA PARSI: “ISRAEL WANTED TO TURN IRAN INTO ANOTHER SYRIA OR LEBANON” Trita Parsi says Israel aimed to strike Iran with impunity, but the reality proved far more costly than expected. Trita Parsi: “The goal was to turn Iran into a country Israel could strike at will, like Syria or Lebanon. But Israel could not even carry out this attack without U.S. support. They hoped to achieve more with the first strike, but Iran’s missile response was stronger than expected. Toward the end of the war, more missiles were penetrating Israeli defenses and causing serious damage. Military censorship in Israel has limited public understanding, but the full picture is starting to emerge. Israel likely would have kept going if the U.S. had stayed in the fight. Once Washington pulled back, the cost-benefit shifted, and Israel agreed to a ceasefire.”

🇮🇷 INTERVIEW – TRITA PARSI: “ISRAEL WANTED TO TURN IRAN INTO ANOTHER SYRIA OR LEBANON” Trita Parsi says Israel aimed to strike Iran with impunity, but the reality proved far more costly than expected. Trita Parsi: “The goal was to turn Iran into a country Israel could strike at will, like Syria or Lebanon. But Israel could not even carry out this attack without U.S. support. They hoped to achieve more with the first strike, but Iran’s missile response was stronger than expected. Toward the end of the war, more missiles were penetrating Israeli defenses and causing serious damage. Military censorship in Israel has limited public understanding, but the full picture is starting to emerge. Israel likely would have kept going if the U.S. had stayed in the fight. Once Washington pulled back, the cost-benefit shifted, and Israel agreed to a ceasefire.”

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🇺🇸 INTERVIEW – TRITA PARSI: “MILITARY POWER ALONE DIDN’T WORK FOR THE U.S. AND WON’T WORK FOR ISRAEL” Trita Parsi says overwhelming force may win battles, but it cannot deliver lasting security or stability. Trita Parsi: “The U.S. is the most powerful military in the world, and yet it lost both Iraq and Afghanistan after quick battlefield victories. Spending $2 trillion to replace the Taliban with... the Taliban shows the limits of force. During the era of U.S. hegemony, conflicts in the region jumped from 5 in 1998 to 22 by 2020. Military power alone hasn’t even worked for the U.S. There’s no reason to believe it will work for Israel.”

🇺🇸 INTERVIEW – TRITA PARSI: “MILITARY POWER ALONE DIDN’T WORK FOR THE U.S. AND WON’T WORK FOR ISRAEL” Trita Parsi says overwhelming force may win battles, but it cannot deliver lasting security or stability. Trita Parsi: “The U.S. is the most powerful military in the world, and yet it lost both Iraq and Afghanistan after quick battlefield victories. Spending $2 trillion to replace the Taliban with... the Taliban shows the limits of force. During the era of U.S. hegemony, conflicts in the region jumped from 5 in 1998 to 22 by 2020. Military power alone hasn’t even worked for the U.S. There’s no reason to believe it will work for Israel.”

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🚨🇮🇷 DETERRENCE IS NON-NEGOTIABLE Trita Parsi, an expert in international relations, claims the U.S. must drop demands for Iran to scrap its missile program. Parsi argues that missiles are Iran's only remaining deterrence against countries that have already attacked them twice. Trita believes it is "inconceivable" for Tehran to give up its primary defense in the middle of active negotiations. Trita Parsi

🚨🇮🇷 DETERRENCE IS NON-NEGOTIABLE Trita Parsi, an expert in international relations, claims the U.S. must drop demands for Iran to scrap its missile program. Parsi argues that missiles are Iran's only remaining deterrence against countries that have already attacked them twice. Trita believes it is "inconceivable" for Tehran to give up its primary defense in the middle of active negotiations. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 THE U.S. AND IRAN DISAGREE ON WHAT THE CEASEFIRE COVERS Middle East geopolitical analyst, Trita Parsi, says that's Netanyahu building his own off-ramp. If the threat is gone, the war can stop without admitting defeat. But he's also excluding Lebanon from the ceasefire and escalating against Hezbollah. The White House agreed. Iran and Pakistan say Lebanon is included. Parsi says Iran will push this specifically to answer one question: can Trump actually control Israel? Friday in Islamabad may give us the answer. Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 THE U.S. AND IRAN DISAGREE ON WHAT THE CEASEFIRE COVERS Middle East geopolitical analyst, Trita Parsi, says that's Netanyahu building his own off-ramp. If the threat is gone, the war can stop without admitting defeat. But he's also excluding Lebanon from the ceasefire and escalating against Hezbollah. The White House agreed. Iran and Pakistan say Lebanon is included. Parsi says Iran will push this specifically to answer one question: can Trump actually control Israel? Friday in Islamabad may give us the answer. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 Iran told Washington it would strike hard if Israel didn't hold back in Lebanon, and the U.S. watched Iran deliver on its promise. Trita Parsi explained why Trump called Netanyahu out and didn't even try to hide it. This was a historically rare moment of foreign policy pressure on Israel. "Trump forced Netanyahu to apologize to the emir of Qatar. The only other example I could find of that was when Obama forced him to apologize to Erdogan." Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 Iran told Washington it would strike hard if Israel didn't hold back in Lebanon, and the U.S. watched Iran deliver on its promise. Trita Parsi explained why Trump called Netanyahu out and didn't even try to hide it. This was a historically rare moment of foreign policy pressure on Israel. "Trump forced Netanyahu to apologize to the emir of Qatar. The only other example I could find of that was when Obama forced him to apologize to Erdogan." Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran has carried out thousands of strikes on the UAE since the war began, and it calls that letting it off the hook. Trita Parsi talked about how the war is aggravating tensions in the Middle East while Israel capitalizes on the chaos to bring max pain to Iran. "There could very well be scenarios where they will try to sabotage the talks." Trita Parsi

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 “Their sense is that they are close.” Iran expert Trita Parsi says U.S. officials told him they believe Washington and Tehran are nearing a deal, despite recent tensions over Israeli attacks on Lebanon. Parsi said Iran views continued Israeli strikes as a serious red line and is using the issue to test whether President Trump is willing, or able, to restrain Benjamin Netanyahu. “If Trump is unwilling or incapable of holding the Israelis back, then what is the value of a deal with the United States?” Trita Parsi | Ryan Grim | Maysa Mustafa

🇮🇷🇺🇸 “Their sense is that they are close.” Iran expert Trita Parsi says U.S. officials told him they believe Washington and Tehran are nearing a deal, despite recent tensions over Israeli attacks on Lebanon. Parsi said Iran views continued Israeli strikes as a serious red line and is using the issue to test whether President Trump is willing, or able, to restrain Benjamin Netanyahu. “If Trump is unwilling or incapable of holding the Israelis back, then what is the value of a deal with the United States?” Trita Parsi | Ryan Grim | Maysa Mustafa

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🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱 “IF THE U.S. STRIKES, IRAN MIGHT GO FULL WAR MODE” Trita Parsi warns Iran’s regime believes the U.S. and Israel are trying to fully destroy them, and if they feel cornered, they might hit back hard. "If the U.S. does strike in a limited way, I don’t even know if the Iranians would buy it at this point. The regime believes if they don’t hit back hard now, the U.S. and Israel will just keep going until they’re too weak to fight. I don’t think these Israelis are going to be content with just a decapitation of the regime... they want the U.S. to take out Iran’s military might too. On TV they said after the regime falls, we have to bomb them. After it falls. That silence from Israel these last days? That tells me Trump agreed." Iranian analyst, Trita Parsi

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According to proponents of a U.S. blockade, "Iran should have crumbled about 10 days ago, and it clearly has not happened,” says Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) of Quincy Institute. “That's part of the reason why you see the president increasingly using desperate language and even considering desperate moves such as moving U.S. warships through the Persian Gulf in order to protect other ships.”

According to proponents of a U.S. blockade, "Iran should have crumbled about 10 days ago, and it clearly has not happened,” says Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) of Quincy Institute. “That's part of the reason why you see the president increasingly using desperate language and even considering desperate moves such as moving U.S. warships through the Persian Gulf in order to protect other ships.”

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's bet is that dragging this into the midterms squeezes Trump politically. Trita Parsi thinks that bet may be backwards, and he's not saying it as a critic of Tehran. Iran isn't rushing back to the table because returning on demand would let Trump treat war and diplomacy as a switch he flips whenever it suits him. Refusing takes the switch away. "I do fear that they're going to drag it out, and they may have miscalculated" Meanwhile Kuwait's desalination and power plants were both hit days after the U.S. struck the same categories inside Iran. Nobody's behaving like they want off-ramps. Trita Parsi

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's bet is that dragging this into the midterms squeezes Trump politically. Trita Parsi thinks that bet may be backwards, and he's not saying it as a critic of Tehran. Iran isn't rushing back to the table because returning on demand would let Trump treat war and diplomacy as a switch he flips whenever it suits him. Refusing takes the switch away. "I do fear that they're going to drag it out, and they may have miscalculated" Meanwhile Kuwait's desalination and power plants were both hit days after the U.S. struck the same categories inside Iran. Nobody's behaving like they want off-ramps. Trita Parsi

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Dr. Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) | Middle East Expert | Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft: Diplomacy can still work to stop the war - but it has become much harder. Despite escalation in Lebanon, attacks on Iran & Iranian strikes on GCC states, diplomacy was never shut down. That tells you the desire for a deal on both sides is strong enough to weather even these setbacks. But the last 5-6% of the distance comes down to trust. And that is exactly where they are stuck.

Dr. Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) | Middle East Expert | Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft: Diplomacy can still work to stop the war - but it has become much harder. Despite escalation in Lebanon, attacks on Iran & Iranian strikes on GCC states, diplomacy was never shut down. That tells you the desire for a deal on both sides is strong enough to weather even these setbacks. But the last 5-6% of the distance comes down to trust. And that is exactly where they are stuck.

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🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 U.S. WILL LEAD THE IRAN WAR, BUT IT WASN’T TRUMP’S IDEA, IT WAS ISRAEL’S Iranian analyst Trita Parsi says Trump was persuaded by Netanyahu on Dec 29 to lead the strikes on Iran, well before the protests escalated to where they are today. The reason was never about the protestors. "My expectation was that Israel would push for war and get the U.S. to support it, not lead it. But what happened is the opposite. Trump was convinced at Mar-a-Lago to take the lead. It’s being framed as his war now. But it wasn’t his idea. The protests have nothing to do with this. In fact, they might have delayed it. The plan was already made on December 29 at the White House. The justification is protests, but the real issue is missiles. This war is about finishing what wasn’t finished last June." Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 U.S. WILL LEAD THE IRAN WAR, BUT IT WASN’T TRUMP’S IDEA, IT WAS ISRAEL’S Iranian analyst Trita Parsi says Trump was persuaded by Netanyahu on Dec 29 to lead the strikes on Iran, well before the protests escalated to where they are today. The reason was never about the protestors. "My expectation was that Israel would push for war and get the U.S. to support it, not lead it. But what happened is the opposite. Trump was convinced at Mar-a-Lago to take the lead. It’s being framed as his war now. But it wasn’t his idea. The protests have nothing to do with this. In fact, they might have delayed it. The plan was already made on December 29 at the White House. The justification is protests, but the real issue is missiles. This war is about finishing what wasn’t finished last June." Trita Parsi

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🇮🇱 INTERVIEW – TRITA PARSI: “WITHOUT U.S. SUPPORT, ISRAEL’S WAR IN GAZA WOULD END IN 5 DAYS” Trita Parsi says Israel’s military power is heavily dependent on uninterrupted American backing. Trita Parsi: “Israel is not a superpower on its own. Its military strength depends on U.S. support. In November 2023, an Israeli general said the war in Gaza would end in 5 days if the U.S. stopped arms transfers. Israel has a strong high-tech sector, but it cannot sustain the pace of munitions and weapons use without American resupply. The war effort relies on Washington.”

🇮🇱 INTERVIEW – TRITA PARSI: “WITHOUT U.S. SUPPORT, ISRAEL’S WAR IN GAZA WOULD END IN 5 DAYS” Trita Parsi says Israel’s military power is heavily dependent on uninterrupted American backing. Trita Parsi: “Israel is not a superpower on its own. Its military strength depends on U.S. support. In November 2023, an Israeli general said the war in Gaza would end in 5 days if the U.S. stopped arms transfers. Israel has a strong high-tech sector, but it cannot sustain the pace of munitions and weapons use without American resupply. The war effort relies on Washington.”

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As Trump lashes out at Israel for continuing to strike Iran even after his announcement of a ceasefire, analyst Trita Parsi says the core problem the U.S. president is encountering in his Middle East diplomatic efforts is that "Israel does not want peace."

As Trump lashes out at Israel for continuing to strike Iran even after his announcement of a ceasefire, analyst Trita Parsi says the core problem the U.S. president is encountering in his Middle East diplomatic efforts is that "Israel does not want peace."

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The real story of these negotiations is buried, and it cuts against the simple narrative. Trita Parsi explained how the U.S. and Iran are not simply stuck in a seemingly hopeless deadlock as it's often portrayed. "There's been a lot of concessions on all sides, which is actually what a real negotiation ultimately means." The problem is Trump's envoys kept negotiating orally, without interpreters, without written records, and without the president's sign-off. Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The real story of these negotiations is buried, and it cuts against the simple narrative. Trita Parsi explained how the U.S. and Iran are not simply stuck in a seemingly hopeless deadlock as it's often portrayed. "There's been a lot of concessions on all sides, which is actually what a real negotiation ultimately means." The problem is Trump's envoys kept negotiating orally, without interpreters, without written records, and without the president's sign-off. Trita Parsi

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🇮🇷🇮🇱 TRITA PARSI: “ISRAEL CANNOT START A WAR WITH IRAN WITHOUT U.S. INVOLVEMENT” Parsi says Israel’s ability to escalate against Iran is limited without U.S. backing, and that Washington’s role should shift from enabling conflict to helping build an inclusive regional peace framework. Trita Parsi: "The Israelis cannot commit that type of a war against Iran without American involvement. The U.S. provides so much of the defense of Israel against Iranian missiles that it needs to be put in place before the war, not after. If this peace deal succeeds, the administration should move forward with a larger peace agreement that would include Iran and essentially everyone."

🇮🇷🇮🇱 TRITA PARSI: “ISRAEL CANNOT START A WAR WITH IRAN WITHOUT U.S. INVOLVEMENT” Parsi says Israel’s ability to escalate against Iran is limited without U.S. backing, and that Washington’s role should shift from enabling conflict to helping build an inclusive regional peace framework. Trita Parsi: "The Israelis cannot commit that type of a war against Iran without American involvement. The U.S. provides so much of the defense of Israel against Iranian missiles that it needs to be put in place before the war, not after. If this peace deal succeeds, the administration should move forward with a larger peace agreement that would include Iran and essentially everyone."

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