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🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's bet is that dragging this into the midterms squeezes Trump politically. Trita Parsi thinks that bet may be backwards, and he's not saying it as a critic of Tehran. Iran isn't rushing back to the table because returning on demand would let Trump treat war and diplomacy... show more

Mario Nawfal

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42,905 просмотров • 18 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran struck Bahrain and Kuwait to prove it could escalate harder than the U.S. was comfortable with, and it worked. Trita Parsi breaks down how both sides may be quietly climbing down. "The pain of that status quo was mainly on the Iranian side. The Iranians escalated to spread the pain." Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran struck Bahrain and Kuwait to prove it could escalate harder than the U.S. was comfortable with, and it worked. Trita Parsi breaks down how both sides may be quietly climbing down. "The pain of that status quo was mainly on the Iranian side. The Iranians escalated to spread the pain." Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump already blinked first and now both sides may finally have a real chance to end 47 years of conflict. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says Iran sent the highest-level delegation he has ever seen because Tehran is not just trying to end the war. It wants real sanctions relief and a path out of decades of economic warfare. He says Trump can now walk away from war, but Iran also sees this as a once-in-a-generation chance to reset the entire relationship. Trita Parsi search. ..

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump already blinked first and now both sides may finally have a real chance to end 47 years of conflict. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says Iran sent the highest-level delegation he has ever seen because Tehran is not just trying to end the war. It wants real sanctions relief and a path out of decades of economic warfare. He says Trump can now walk away from war, but Iran also sees this as a once-in-a-generation chance to reset the entire relationship. Trita Parsi search. ..

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"The Israelis have fought so hard to get the United States to go into a full-scale war with Iran for more than 20 years," says Trita Parsi. "It is in their interest to prolong this war as long as they can, and kill off any potential off-ramps that Trump may be looking for."

"The Israelis have fought so hard to get the United States to go into a full-scale war with Iran for more than 20 years," says Trita Parsi. "It is in their interest to prolong this war as long as they can, and kill off any potential off-ramps that Trump may be looking for."

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump already threw everything he had at the Iranian regime. It didn't change anything. Trita Parsi explains why going back to war would be a catastrophic mistake. "To gamble that away by going back into a war again, based on some sort of a fantasy that a knockout strike is in the cards, it would be just astonishingly foolish in my view." Trump has a ceasefire. The only question is whether he's smart enough to keep it. Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump already threw everything he had at the Iranian regime. It didn't change anything. Trita Parsi explains why going back to war would be a catastrophic mistake. "To gamble that away by going back into a war again, based on some sort of a fantasy that a knockout strike is in the cards, it would be just astonishingly foolish in my view." Trump has a ceasefire. The only question is whether he's smart enough to keep it. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Netanyahu's blood pressure went up when he found out. Trita Parsi breaks down how Kushner, Vance, and Wyckoff pushed for a deal with Iran while Rubio and others demanded strikes, with Trump siding with the diplomacy camp. "If they cannot deliver Trump, it doesn't matter if they want diplomacy, it doesn't matter if they're close to Netanyahu or not." Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Netanyahu's blood pressure went up when he found out. Trita Parsi breaks down how Kushner, Vance, and Wyckoff pushed for a deal with Iran while Rubio and others demanded strikes, with Trump siding with the diplomacy camp. "If they cannot deliver Trump, it doesn't matter if they want diplomacy, it doesn't matter if they're close to Netanyahu or not." Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has dropped every demand except the nuclear weapons one, and that may be the key to avoiding war. Trita Parsi broke down why this shift in tone changes everything. "That may prove to be absolutely crucial, because that was the original red line that he had a year and a half ago. And had he stuck with that red line and not shifted to the Israeli red line of no enrichment, then there wouldn't have been a war back in the summer in the first place." Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has dropped every demand except the nuclear weapons one, and that may be the key to avoiding war. Trita Parsi broke down why this shift in tone changes everything. "That may prove to be absolutely crucial, because that was the original red line that he had a year and a half ago. And had he stuck with that red line and not shifted to the Israeli red line of no enrichment, then there wouldn't have been a war back in the summer in the first place." Trita Parsi

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 “Their sense is that they are close.” Iran expert Trita Parsi says U.S. officials told him they believe Washington and Tehran are nearing a deal, despite recent tensions over Israeli attacks on Lebanon. Parsi said Iran views continued Israeli strikes as a serious red line and is using the issue to test whether President Trump is willing, or able, to restrain Benjamin Netanyahu. “If Trump is unwilling or incapable of holding the Israelis back, then what is the value of a deal with the United States?” Trita Parsi | Ryan Grim | Maysa Mustafa

🇮🇷🇺🇸 “Their sense is that they are close.” Iran expert Trita Parsi says U.S. officials told him they believe Washington and Tehran are nearing a deal, despite recent tensions over Israeli attacks on Lebanon. Parsi said Iran views continued Israeli strikes as a serious red line and is using the issue to test whether President Trump is willing, or able, to restrain Benjamin Netanyahu. “If Trump is unwilling or incapable of holding the Israelis back, then what is the value of a deal with the United States?” Trita Parsi | Ryan Grim | Maysa Mustafa

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🇺🇸 🇮🇱 A single 32-second offhand comment may have quietly upended 25 years of Washington consensus on Iran. Trita Parsi breaks down why it was anything but offhand. "The Israelis know that it's false." Trump is laying the groundwork, and he's only just getting started. Trita Parsi

🇺🇸 🇮🇱 A single 32-second offhand comment may have quietly upended 25 years of Washington consensus on Iran. Trita Parsi breaks down why it was anything but offhand. "The Israelis know that it's false." Trump is laying the groundwork, and he's only just getting started. Trita Parsi

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 Trita Parsi put a number on it: better than 80% odds the fighting escalates past March and April's intensity, inside the next month. He's clear it isn't there yet. Fewer targets, lower tempo. He just doesn't think the direction is in question. "Some of the nightmare scenarios we talked about last time that did not happen are happening now, which means that some of the other ones that did not happen may happen as well" Parsi says that restraint is gone. Whatever gets hit now, Iran intends to hit something equivalent back. Escalation risk accepted rather than avoided. Trita Parsi

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Trita Parsi put a number on it: better than 80% odds the fighting escalates past March and April's intensity, inside the next month. He's clear it isn't there yet. Fewer targets, lower tempo. He just doesn't think the direction is in question. "Some of the nightmare scenarios we talked about last time that did not happen are happening now, which means that some of the other ones that did not happen may happen as well" Parsi says that restraint is gone. Whatever gets hit now, Iran intends to hit something equivalent back. Escalation risk accepted rather than avoided. Trita Parsi

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🇮🇷 🇺🇸 America's entire strategy to contain Iran just collapsed, and Tehran walked out stronger. Middle East analyst Trita Parsi says Washington's decades-long effort to isolate and contain Iran has officially fallen apart, and the war only sped it up. Tehran came out of the conflict in a stronger spot, largely by weaponizing its own geography. The biggest prize is its leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. But Parsi adds a key caveat: Iran's internal economic strife means it can't afford to play that card recklessly, since choking the strait would hurt Tehran nearly as much as everyone else. Trita Parsi

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 America's entire strategy to contain Iran just collapsed, and Tehran walked out stronger. Middle East analyst Trita Parsi says Washington's decades-long effort to isolate and contain Iran has officially fallen apart, and the war only sped it up. Tehran came out of the conflict in a stronger spot, largely by weaponizing its own geography. The biggest prize is its leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. But Parsi adds a key caveat: Iran's internal economic strife means it can't afford to play that card recklessly, since choking the strait would hurt Tehran nearly as much as everyone else. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran has carried out thousands of strikes on the UAE since the war began, and it calls that letting it off the hook. Trita Parsi talked about how the war is aggravating tensions in the Middle East while Israel capitalizes on the chaos to bring max pain to Iran. "There could very well be scenarios where they will try to sabotage the talks." Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran has carried out thousands of strikes on the UAE since the war began, and it calls that letting it off the hook. Trita Parsi talked about how the war is aggravating tensions in the Middle East while Israel capitalizes on the chaos to bring max pain to Iran. "There could very well be scenarios where they will try to sabotage the talks." Trita Parsi

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TRITA PARSI: There was a segment of the Iranian people that seemed to welcome this conflict because they were just so sick and tired of this theocracy. But those sentiments seem to have shifted very fast as it's become clear to them that this is a war on the country, not a war on the regime. Trita Parsi

TRITA PARSI: There was a segment of the Iranian people that seemed to welcome this conflict because they were just so sick and tired of this theocracy. But those sentiments seem to have shifted very fast as it's become clear to them that this is a war on the country, not a war on the regime. Trita Parsi

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran wants full sanctions relief. Israel wants Iran economically crippled for decades. That conflict of interest is why Trump would have to fight Netanyahu, Miriam Adelson, and Mark Levin all at once to close a deal with Iran. And it's why Trita Parsi thinks there's only a 25% chance the U.S. closes a peace deal with Iran in the forseeable future. "It's not that I don't believe that he can win that fight. It's whether I believe that he is willing to have that fight." Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran wants full sanctions relief. Israel wants Iran economically crippled for decades. That conflict of interest is why Trump would have to fight Netanyahu, Miriam Adelson, and Mark Levin all at once to close a deal with Iran. And it's why Trita Parsi thinks there's only a 25% chance the U.S. closes a peace deal with Iran in the forseeable future. "It's not that I don't believe that he can win that fight. It's whether I believe that he is willing to have that fight." Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Striking a country dramatically increases their determination to build a nuclear weapon as a deterrent, and every previous president understood that paradox. Trita Parsi argues the calculus has now shifted toward those inside Iran who want the bomb. "If you were to bomb them, you would maximize the likelihood that they would get a bomb." Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Striking a country dramatically increases their determination to build a nuclear weapon as a deterrent, and every previous president understood that paradox. Trita Parsi argues the calculus has now shifted toward those inside Iran who want the bomb. "If you were to bomb them, you would maximize the likelihood that they would get a bomb." Trita Parsi

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🚨🇮🇷🇦🇪 Iran used Dubai as part of its strategy to survive American sanctions, then bombed it anyway. Trita Parsi broke down his view of why this may have been a painful choice for Iran. "The Iranians were using the Emirates as the key way of circumventing sanctions. They had been for years relying on Dubai. The relationship between Dubai and Iran has gone back long and has tended to be very positive." Trita Parsi

🚨🇮🇷🇦🇪 Iran used Dubai as part of its strategy to survive American sanctions, then bombed it anyway. Trita Parsi broke down his view of why this may have been a painful choice for Iran. "The Iranians were using the Emirates as the key way of circumventing sanctions. They had been for years relying on Dubai. The relationship between Dubai and Iran has gone back long and has tended to be very positive." Trita Parsi

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🚨🇮🇷 Iran’s biggest post-war demand may not be cash reparations but something even more valuable. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says Tehran is likely pushing hardest for primary sanctions relief because Trump can lift those with the stroke of a pen. He says that kind of relief would do more for Iran than any headline-grabbing payout. Trita Parsi

🚨🇮🇷 Iran’s biggest post-war demand may not be cash reparations but something even more valuable. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says Tehran is likely pushing hardest for primary sanctions relief because Trump can lift those with the stroke of a pen. He says that kind of relief would do more for Iran than any headline-grabbing payout. Trita Parsi

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🎥 “This Was a Coordinated Deception”: Dr. Parsi Says Trump Misled Iran Before Israeli Attack Dr. Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) of the Quincy Institute says Israel’s assassination campaign in Iran followed the same playbook it used in Lebanon and Syria: eliminate the chain of command, paralyze military response, and destroy as much as possible. Speaking to Breaking Points, Parsi warned that the Trump administration lulled Iran into a false sense of security with talk of diplomacy — then greenlit the attacks in coordination with Israel. ➤ “They’re doing it in their homes, when they’re asleep, together with their children and families, as well as scores of other families in the same apartment building. If any other country were to do this against the United States… the United States would rightfully call that acts of terrorism.” ➤ “Whatever [trust] that may have been… may have been destroyed precisely because of the manner that he is now bragging about having been a key part of this deception.” ➤ On Europe: “They start off by condemning the Iranian response — no condemnation whatsoever of what the Israelis have done… Nevertheless, they come out and call this self-defense.” ➤ “The Israelis are going to continue to do that until someone stops them. And the United States has the capacity of doing so and so far under Biden and under Trump [has] chosen not to.”

🎥 “This Was a Coordinated Deception”: Dr. Parsi Says Trump Misled Iran Before Israeli Attack Dr. Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) of the Quincy Institute says Israel’s assassination campaign in Iran followed the same playbook it used in Lebanon and Syria: eliminate the chain of command, paralyze military response, and destroy as much as possible. Speaking to Breaking Points, Parsi warned that the Trump administration lulled Iran into a false sense of security with talk of diplomacy — then greenlit the attacks in coordination with Israel. ➤ “They’re doing it in their homes, when they’re asleep, together with their children and families, as well as scores of other families in the same apartment building. If any other country were to do this against the United States… the United States would rightfully call that acts of terrorism.” ➤ “Whatever [trust] that may have been… may have been destroyed precisely because of the manner that he is now bragging about having been a key part of this deception.” ➤ On Europe: “They start off by condemning the Iranian response — no condemnation whatsoever of what the Israelis have done… Nevertheless, they come out and call this self-defense.” ➤ “The Israelis are going to continue to do that until someone stops them. And the United States has the capacity of doing so and so far under Biden and under Trump [has] chosen not to.”

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 One strike on Iran's oil infrastructure could trigger a global energy catastrophe, and Trita Parsi says the U.S. comes out worse every time it goes further down the road of escalation. "Whatever the U.S. does to Iran, Iran can inflict even greater damage, directly or indirectly, on the U.S. in response. Iranians are taking hits, but they can absorb it, whereas Trump politically can't." Trump's military advisers already ran the math. It will never add up. Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇷 One strike on Iran's oil infrastructure could trigger a global energy catastrophe, and Trita Parsi says the U.S. comes out worse every time it goes further down the road of escalation. "Whatever the U.S. does to Iran, Iran can inflict even greater damage, directly or indirectly, on the U.S. in response. Iranians are taking hits, but they can absorb it, whereas Trump politically can't." Trump's military advisers already ran the math. It will never add up. Trita Parsi

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🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱 “IF THE U.S. STRIKES, IRAN MIGHT GO FULL WAR MODE” Trita Parsi warns Iran’s regime believes the U.S. and Israel are trying to fully destroy them, and if they feel cornered, they might hit back hard. "If the U.S. does strike in a limited way, I don’t even know if the Iranians would buy it at this point. The regime believes if they don’t hit back hard now, the U.S. and Israel will just keep going until they’re too weak to fight. I don’t think these Israelis are going to be content with just a decapitation of the regime... they want the U.S. to take out Iran’s military might too. On TV they said after the regime falls, we have to bomb them. After it falls. That silence from Israel these last days? That tells me Trump agreed." Iranian analyst, Trita Parsi

🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱 “IF THE U.S. STRIKES, IRAN MIGHT GO FULL WAR MODE” Trita Parsi warns Iran’s regime believes the U.S. and Israel are trying to fully destroy them, and if they feel cornered, they might hit back hard. "If the U.S. does strike in a limited way, I don’t even know if the Iranians would buy it at this point. The regime believes if they don’t hit back hard now, the U.S. and Israel will just keep going until they’re too weak to fight. I don’t think these Israelis are going to be content with just a decapitation of the regime... they want the U.S. to take out Iran’s military might too. On TV they said after the regime falls, we have to bomb them. After it falls. That silence from Israel these last days? That tells me Trump agreed." Iranian analyst, Trita Parsi

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🇮🇷🇮🇱 TRITA PARSI: “ISRAEL CANNOT START A WAR WITH IRAN WITHOUT U.S. INVOLVEMENT” Parsi says Israel’s ability to escalate against Iran is limited without U.S. backing, and that Washington’s role should shift from enabling conflict to helping build an inclusive regional peace framework. Trita Parsi: "The Israelis cannot commit that type of a war against Iran without American involvement. The U.S. provides so much of the defense of Israel against Iranian missiles that it needs to be put in place before the war, not after. If this peace deal succeeds, the administration should move forward with a larger peace agreement that would include Iran and essentially everyone."

🇮🇷🇮🇱 TRITA PARSI: “ISRAEL CANNOT START A WAR WITH IRAN WITHOUT U.S. INVOLVEMENT” Parsi says Israel’s ability to escalate against Iran is limited without U.S. backing, and that Washington’s role should shift from enabling conflict to helping build an inclusive regional peace framework. Trita Parsi: "The Israelis cannot commit that type of a war against Iran without American involvement. The U.S. provides so much of the defense of Israel against Iranian missiles that it needs to be put in place before the war, not after. If this peace deal succeeds, the administration should move forward with a larger peace agreement that would include Iran and essentially everyone."

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