正在加载视频...

视频加载失败

加载此视频时出现问题。这可能是由于临时网络问题，或视频可能不可用。

🇹🇼🇰🇷One supply chain detail could bring semiconductor production to its knees. Analyst David Lin breaks down why a Strait of Hormuz closure hits tech far harder than markets realize. "45 to 50% of Taiwan's helium comes from the GCC countries, 40 to 50% of South Korea's helium comes from... show more

Mario Nawfal

3,721,748 subscribers

72,951 次观看 • 1 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

0 条评论

暂无评论

原始帖子的评论将显示在这里

相关视频

🇶🇦 Semiconductor stocks are dropping as markets react to a potential helium supply shock tied to disruptions in Qatar, a major global supplier. Helium is critical for cooling in chip manufacturing, and countries like South Korea and Taiwan depend heavily on Qatari supply for companies like Samsung, SK Hynix, and TSMC. Any prolonged disruption risks slowing production across the global chip chain,and markets are already pricing in that worst-case scenario. The supply chain stress is showing up in real time. Source: Bloomberg, The Compound

🇶🇦 Semiconductor stocks are dropping as markets react to a potential helium supply shock tied to disruptions in Qatar, a major global supplier. Helium is critical for cooling in chip manufacturing, and countries like South Korea and Taiwan depend heavily on Qatari supply for companies like Samsung, SK Hynix, and TSMC. Any prolonged disruption risks slowing production across the global chip chain,and markets are already pricing in that worst-case scenario. The supply chain stress is showing up in real time. Source: Bloomberg, The Compound

Mario Nawfal

46,860 次观看 • 4 个月前

Nobody's talking about the helium problem. About a third of the world's helium supply which is critical to high-end chip manufacturing, is locked in Qatar. Iranian strikes have hit Qatari natural gas facilities, which is where helium production comes from and even undamaged supply can't ship because the Strait of Hormuz is closed. Now the workaround is a pipeline through Saudi Arabia to the Suez Canal, BUT Iran's allies in Yemen have already flagged they're willing to shut that route down too. Tech prices were already multiple times higher than a year ago. Chips were already in short supply. AI companies and consumers are already fighting over the same inventory. It gets worse from here unfortunately unless something changes.

Nobody's talking about the helium problem. About a third of the world's helium supply which is critical to high-end chip manufacturing, is locked in Qatar. Iranian strikes have hit Qatari natural gas facilities, which is where helium production comes from and even undamaged supply can't ship because the Strait of Hormuz is closed. Now the workaround is a pipeline through Saudi Arabia to the Suez Canal, BUT Iran's allies in Yemen have already flagged they're willing to shut that route down too. Tech prices were already multiple times higher than a year ago. Chips were already in short supply. AI companies and consumers are already fighting over the same inventory. It gets worse from here unfortunately unless something changes.

Philip DeFranco 👊🏻

95,209 次观看 • 4 个月前

🚨 In 2024, President Joe Biden sold America's largest helium reserve to a company with ties to China's supply chain. Around one-third of the world's helium supply coming out of Qatar has been knocked offline by the Iran War. Helium isn't about balloons. Helium affects everything from semiconductors to MRIs to space launches and key military tech. And we just gave up control of it.

🚨 In 2024, President Joe Biden sold America's largest helium reserve to a company with ties to China's supply chain. Around one-third of the world's helium supply coming out of Qatar has been knocked offline by the Iran War. Helium isn't about balloons. Helium affects everything from semiconductors to MRIs to space launches and key military tech. And we just gave up control of it.

Brandon Weichert

62,278 次观看 • 3 个月前

🇹🇼🇮🇷 The Iran war's most dangerous casualty might be your phone... Taiwan makes 90% of the world's advanced chips. Those chips need two things from the Strait of Hormuz: helium from Qatar to cool silicon wafers during manufacturing, and LNG to keep the power on. Taiwan gets roughly 70% of its helium and a third of its electricity fuel from the Gulf. The island has 11 days of LNG storage. Helium evaporates from tanks within 45 days regardless. Qatar's Ras Laffan has been bombed multiple times. A third of global helium supply vanished overnight. TSMC alone uses 10% of Taiwan's entire electricity output. No power, no chips. No chips, no phones, no cars, no AI servers, no modern economy. Put simply: Tech giants are spending $650 billion this year on AI infrastructure that depends on a supply chain running through a warzone. Source: Substack, Futurism, Atlantic Council Clip: Shawn Ryan

🇹🇼🇮🇷 The Iran war's most dangerous casualty might be your phone... Taiwan makes 90% of the world's advanced chips. Those chips need two things from the Strait of Hormuz: helium from Qatar to cool silicon wafers during manufacturing, and LNG to keep the power on. Taiwan gets roughly 70% of its helium and a third of its electricity fuel from the Gulf. The island has 11 days of LNG storage. Helium evaporates from tanks within 45 days regardless. Qatar's Ras Laffan has been bombed multiple times. A third of global helium supply vanished overnight. TSMC alone uses 10% of Taiwan's entire electricity output. No power, no chips. No chips, no phones, no cars, no AI servers, no modern economy. Put simply: Tech giants are spending $650 billion this year on AI infrastructure that depends on a supply chain running through a warzone. Source: Substack, Futurism, Atlantic Council Clip: Shawn Ryan

Mario Nawfal

276,719 次观看 • 4 个月前

#WATCH | Morbi, Gujarat: President of Morbi Ceramic Manufacturers Association, Manoj Arvadiya says, "Talking about the current war between Iran, Israel, and the United States, and the subsequent wars in all the GCC countries. Most of the gas and petroleum products come from the GCC countries. The entire gas supply for the Morbi ceramic industry, which relies on gas, comes from the GCC countries. Currently, all vessels passing through are being stopped at an area controlled by Iran. A complete barricade has been erected there. The area has been completely blocked. Because of this, vessels carrying petroleum products and gas are unable to reach the region. Therefore, there is a gas shortage here. If the gas supply is not adequate, we anticipate that the entire Morbi Ceramic Industry will have to be shut down." (03.03)

#WATCH | Morbi, Gujarat: President of Morbi Ceramic Manufacturers Association, Manoj Arvadiya says, "Talking about the current war between Iran, Israel, and the United States, and the subsequent wars in all the GCC countries. Most of the gas and petroleum products come from the GCC countries. The entire gas supply for the Morbi ceramic industry, which relies on gas, comes from the GCC countries. Currently, all vessels passing through are being stopped at an area controlled by Iran. A complete barricade has been erected there. The area has been completely blocked. Because of this, vessels carrying petroleum products and gas are unable to reach the region. Therefore, there is a gas shortage here. If the gas supply is not adequate, we anticipate that the entire Morbi Ceramic Industry will have to be shut down." (03.03)

ANI

15,078 次观看 • 5 个月前

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Bessent says pipelines make Hormuz irrelevant within two years, but helium doesn't travel through pipelines. The claim reaching Trump is that 70% of the energy crossing the strait could be rerouted underground, and fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson stops the conversation to explain why that's fantasy. Oil is only part of what moves through there: roughly a quarter of the world's LNG, 30 to 35% of its urea and sulfur, and 40% of the helium that chip manufacturing runs on. None of it fits in a pipe: "Bessent's got his head so far up his a** he's wondering why is it dark?" SonofNewAmericanRevolution

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Bessent says pipelines make Hormuz irrelevant within two years, but helium doesn't travel through pipelines. The claim reaching Trump is that 70% of the energy crossing the strait could be rerouted underground, and fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson stops the conversation to explain why that's fantasy. Oil is only part of what moves through there: roughly a quarter of the world's LNG, 30 to 35% of its urea and sulfur, and 40% of the helium that chip manufacturing runs on. None of it fits in a pipe: "Bessent's got his head so far up his a** he's wondering why is it dark?" SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

138,196 次观看 • 2 天前

"TAIWAN REJECTS US PROPOSAL FOR 50-50 SPLIT IN SEMICONDUCTOR PRODUCTION" On October 1, Taiwan's Vice Premier and top tariff negotiator, Cheng Li-chiun, firmly rejected a US proposal to relocate half of the island's semiconductor manufacturing to the United States. The US push stems from ongoing efforts to bolster domestic semiconductor production amid geopolitical tensions, particularly concerns over Taiwan's vulnerability to potential Chinese aggression. Rejecting the split protects its dominance in advanced chipmaking, but risks escalating trade frictions. It seems to me that Taiwan is reluctant to transfer its production to the US. The underlying reason is that production plays a crucial role in protecting Taiwan's sovereignty. A full-scale invasion or blockade of Taiwan by China could be used to weaponize the semiconductor industry and dominate the global supply. The United States would never allow that.

"TAIWAN REJECTS US PROPOSAL FOR 50-50 SPLIT IN SEMICONDUCTOR PRODUCTION" On October 1, Taiwan's Vice Premier and top tariff negotiator, Cheng Li-chiun, firmly rejected a US proposal to relocate half of the island's semiconductor manufacturing to the United States. The US push stems from ongoing efforts to bolster domestic semiconductor production amid geopolitical tensions, particularly concerns over Taiwan's vulnerability to potential Chinese aggression. Rejecting the split protects its dominance in advanced chipmaking, but risks escalating trade frictions. It seems to me that Taiwan is reluctant to transfer its production to the US. The underlying reason is that production plays a crucial role in protecting Taiwan's sovereignty. A full-scale invasion or blockade of Taiwan by China could be used to weaponize the semiconductor industry and dominate the global supply. The United States would never allow that.

WORLD AT WAR

223,191 次观看 • 10 个月前

🇺🇸 The world's emergency reserves would run dry long before American oil could fill a Gulf shutdown. David Lin breaks down why there's no switch Washington can flip if the strait closes for good: "I think the reserves will run out before that happens. The world is going to run out of energy, in particular Europe and Asia." Drilling more at home doesn't help on a timeline that matters. David Lin

🇺🇸 The world's emergency reserves would run dry long before American oil could fill a Gulf shutdown. David Lin breaks down why there's no switch Washington can flip if the strait closes for good: "I think the reserves will run out before that happens. The world is going to run out of energy, in particular Europe and Asia." Drilling more at home doesn't help on a timeline that matters. David Lin

Mario Nawfal

88,597 次观看 • 12 天前

🇮🇷 Iran didn't mean to become the world's greatest advocate for nuclear energy. But here we are. Iran is mining the Strait of Hormuz, choking off 20% of the world's daily oil supply. And it's not just fuel. Oil is plastics, fertilizer, aviation. The entire global supply chain runs on it. Nuclear emits 12 grams of CO2 per kilowatt hour. It doesn't need shipping lanes and can't be blockaded overnight. Germany scrapped its reactors anyway. France kept its and is building more. The 21st century will be won by countries that aren't grinding to a halt every time a regime decides to hold their energy supply hostage. Source: Al Jazeera

🇮🇷 Iran didn't mean to become the world's greatest advocate for nuclear energy. But here we are. Iran is mining the Strait of Hormuz, choking off 20% of the world's daily oil supply. And it's not just fuel. Oil is plastics, fertilizer, aviation. The entire global supply chain runs on it. Nuclear emits 12 grams of CO2 per kilowatt hour. It doesn't need shipping lanes and can't be blockaded overnight. Germany scrapped its reactors anyway. France kept its and is building more. The 21st century will be won by countries that aren't grinding to a halt every time a regime decides to hold their energy supply hostage. Source: Al Jazeera

Mario Nawfal

126,029 次观看 • 5 个月前

Professor Jiang explains to SNEAKO why Gulf countries like the UAE could collapse in the near future 😲📉 “The problem is that these countries are not sustainable. They have no fresh water supply and rely on desalination plants. Secondly, they need to import 89% of their food from overseas. If the Strait of Hormuz stays closed, people could starve. These are not real societies. So we could see billions of dollars and many people leave these countries in the next few weeks.”

Professor Jiang explains to SNEAKO why Gulf countries like the UAE could collapse in the near future 😲📉 “The problem is that these countries are not sustainable. They have no fresh water supply and rely on desalination plants. Secondly, they need to import 89% of their food from overseas. If the Strait of Hormuz stays closed, people could starve. These are not real societies. So we could see billions of dollars and many people leave these countries in the next few weeks.”

Daily SNEAKO

67,995 次观看 • 5 个月前

🇺🇸 The global economy survived four months of a closed Hormuz, but the clock is quickly running out... David Lin breaks down why the numbers are about to stop working. After four months with the Strait of Hormuz shut, the global economy is somehow still standing, but he says that grace period is fading fast: "If the Strait of Hormuz stays closed, we're going to see $100 by September." The doomsday crowd kept screaming about $250 a barrel and never got it. David's real worry is the number hiding in plain sight, a far more modest $100 that the world still hasn't braced for. David Lin

🇺🇸 The global economy survived four months of a closed Hormuz, but the clock is quickly running out... David Lin breaks down why the numbers are about to stop working. After four months with the Strait of Hormuz shut, the global economy is somehow still standing, but he says that grace period is fading fast: "If the Strait of Hormuz stays closed, we're going to see $100 by September." The doomsday crowd kept screaming about $250 a barrel and never got it. David's real worry is the number hiding in plain sight, a far more modest $100 that the world still hasn't braced for. David Lin

Mario Nawfal

27,464 次观看 • 1 个月前

GCC: THE LYNCHPIN OF THE US EMPIRE—WHY ITS DESTRUCTION BY IRAN COULD BRING EVERYTHING CRASHING DOWN Prof. Jiang reveals a shocking truth about the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and its unbreakable tie to American power. By selling oil for US dollars and funneling billions into Wall Street, the GCC props up the entire US economy. But what if that flow stops? The fallout could be catastrophic, sparking a chain reaction from stock market dives to full-blown depression. THE CORE THESIS: GCC AS EMPIRE'S FOUNDATION ✅ The GCC sells oil exclusively in US dollars. ➡️ Those dollars flood straight into American financial markets—exploding investments from UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait since 2012. ➡️ It's the safest haven for their wealth, fueling US growth like never before. WHY IS IRAN TARGETING THE GCC? ❌ Cut off oil access, and GCC nations burn resources on self-defense—no more Wall Street billions. 📉 Result? US stock market implodes, dragging the economy down with it. ➡️ The real engine: Seven AI giants like Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, and Apple drive a quarter of market growth—all heavily backed by GCC cash. ➡️ If GCC investments vanish, these tech titans crater, unleashing economic depression across America. WHY IRAN IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE ITS GOAL ➡️If the US couldn't protect a $1.1 BILLION radar inside its OWN base using its best defence tech — how is it going to protect: ❌ Oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz? ❌Saudi refineries? ❌Global shipping lanes? ❌Valuable infrastructure and installations THE BOTTOM LINE Destroy the GCC's oil-dollar pipeline, and watch the US Empire tremble. One move could rewrite global power. #USEmpire #GCCOil #EconomicCollapse #AIInvestments #Geopolitics #MiddleEastWar #GlobalEnergyCrisis

GCC: THE LYNCHPIN OF THE US EMPIRE—WHY ITS DESTRUCTION BY IRAN COULD BRING EVERYTHING CRASHING DOWN Prof. Jiang reveals a shocking truth about the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and its unbreakable tie to American power. By selling oil for US dollars and funneling billions into Wall Street, the GCC props up the entire US economy. But what if that flow stops? The fallout could be catastrophic, sparking a chain reaction from stock market dives to full-blown depression. THE CORE THESIS: GCC AS EMPIRE'S FOUNDATION ✅ The GCC sells oil exclusively in US dollars. ➡️ Those dollars flood straight into American financial markets—exploding investments from UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait since 2012. ➡️ It's the safest haven for their wealth, fueling US growth like never before. WHY IS IRAN TARGETING THE GCC? ❌ Cut off oil access, and GCC nations burn resources on self-defense—no more Wall Street billions. 📉 Result? US stock market implodes, dragging the economy down with it. ➡️ The real engine: Seven AI giants like Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, and Apple drive a quarter of market growth—all heavily backed by GCC cash. ➡️ If GCC investments vanish, these tech titans crater, unleashing economic depression across America. WHY IRAN IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE ITS GOAL ➡️If the US couldn't protect a $1.1 BILLION radar inside its OWN base using its best defence tech — how is it going to protect: ❌ Oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz? ❌Saudi refineries? ❌Global shipping lanes? ❌Valuable infrastructure and installations THE BOTTOM LINE Destroy the GCC's oil-dollar pipeline, and watch the US Empire tremble. One move could rewrite global power. #USEmpire #GCCOil #EconomicCollapse #AIInvestments #Geopolitics #MiddleEastWar #GlobalEnergyCrisis

Mark

37,504 次观看 • 5 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 A closed shipping lane thousands of miles away could push your credit card rates, your mortgage, and global bond yields all higher at once. David Lin breaks down exactly how the financial contagion spreads from the Middle East to your wallet. "The faster this gets resolved, the sooner we have a normalization." Every day this drags on costs ordinary people more. David Lin

🇺🇸🇮🇷 A closed shipping lane thousands of miles away could push your credit card rates, your mortgage, and global bond yields all higher at once. David Lin breaks down exactly how the financial contagion spreads from the Middle East to your wallet. "The faster this gets resolved, the sooner we have a normalization." Every day this drags on costs ordinary people more. David Lin

Mario Nawfal

48,835 次观看 • 1 个月前

🚨 STRAIT OF HORMUZ STANDOFF COULD TRIGGER GLOBAL SHIPPING CRISIS Analyst Michael Yon: Callsign BIG HONEY is warning the situation around the Strait of Hormuz is far more serious than many realize. According to Yon, major shipping companies are already staying out of the waterway - not necessarily because it’s physically closed, but because insurance markets are refusing to cover ships entering the conflict zone. “Nobody big is going through right now,” Yon said, pointing to major players like Maersk avoiding the route entirely. That matters because the Strait of Hormuz is one of the most critical energy chokepoints in the world, carrying a massive share of global oil shipments. Yon also warned that if tensions escalate and U.S. warships attempt to force passage, they could face direct attacks. “The ships could take fire… they could be sunk,” he said. His broader warning: if shipping through the strait collapses, it could trigger a cascading global economic shock affecting energy, shipping, and supply chains.

🚨 STRAIT OF HORMUZ STANDOFF COULD TRIGGER GLOBAL SHIPPING CRISIS Analyst Michael Yon: Callsign BIG HONEY is warning the situation around the Strait of Hormuz is far more serious than many realize. According to Yon, major shipping companies are already staying out of the waterway - not necessarily because it’s physically closed, but because insurance markets are refusing to cover ships entering the conflict zone. “Nobody big is going through right now,” Yon said, pointing to major players like Maersk avoiding the route entirely. That matters because the Strait of Hormuz is one of the most critical energy chokepoints in the world, carrying a massive share of global oil shipments. Yon also warned that if tensions escalate and U.S. warships attempt to force passage, they could face direct attacks. “The ships could take fire… they could be sunk,” he said. His broader warning: if shipping through the strait collapses, it could trigger a cascading global economic shock affecting energy, shipping, and supply chains.

LindellTV

13,551 次观看 • 5 个月前

🇮🇷 One third of global oil supply could be wiped out if the ceasefire falls apart. Glenn Diesen breaks down how Iran holds cards nobody wants to see played, from the Strait of Hormuz to Gulf infrastructure to a coordinated strike across three critical energy chokepoints. "You're not going to gradually, incrementally go up that escalation ladder, punish Iran more without Iran responding in some way." The next move could reshape energy markets for everyone. Glenn Diesen

🇮🇷 One third of global oil supply could be wiped out if the ceasefire falls apart. Glenn Diesen breaks down how Iran holds cards nobody wants to see played, from the Strait of Hormuz to Gulf infrastructure to a coordinated strike across three critical energy chokepoints. "You're not going to gradually, incrementally go up that escalation ladder, punish Iran more without Iran responding in some way." The next move could reshape energy markets for everyone. Glenn Diesen

Mario Nawfal

39,102 次观看 • 3 个月前

What does a worldwide depression look like? David Morgan breaks down the devastating chain reaction the Iran war and instability in the Strait of Hormuz could unleash. It won't be the elites struggling to put food on the table. It'll be everyone else. Full breakdown on Sanchez Effect.

What does a worldwide depression look like? David Morgan breaks down the devastating chain reaction the Iran war and instability in the Strait of Hormuz could unleash. It won't be the elites struggling to put food on the table. It'll be everyone else. Full breakdown on Sanchez Effect.

Rick Sanchez

20,524 次观看 • 29 天前

The Global Sumud Flotilla is on its way to Gaza, attempting to deliver supplies and aid. More than 50 ships and hundreds of volunteers from over 40 countries are part of the flotilla, making this one of the largest maritime humanitarian aid missions to Gaza.

The Global Sumud Flotilla is on its way to Gaza, attempting to deliver supplies and aid. More than 50 ships and hundreds of volunteers from over 40 countries are part of the flotilla, making this one of the largest maritime humanitarian aid missions to Gaza.

AJ+

50,987 次观看 • 11 个月前

🇨🇳 Half of China's energy runs through the Strait of Hormuz, and that single fact shapes everything Beijing says and does right now. CGTN Broadcaster Xu Quindo breaks down why China sees this not as a regional conflict but as a direct threat to its economic survival. "China has about 50% of its energy import come through the Strait of Hormuz, coming through this region." When the world's largest trading nation calls a war illegal and watches its energy lifeline close, neutrality stops being an option. QinduoXu

🇨🇳 Half of China's energy runs through the Strait of Hormuz, and that single fact shapes everything Beijing says and does right now. CGTN Broadcaster Xu Quindo breaks down why China sees this not as a regional conflict but as a direct threat to its economic survival. "China has about 50% of its energy import come through the Strait of Hormuz, coming through this region." When the world's largest trading nation calls a war illegal and watches its energy lifeline close, neutrality stops being an option. QinduoXu

Mario Nawfal

25,632 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨🇺🇸 The Valero Port Arthur refinery is one of the largest in the United States The facility processes roughly 395,000 barrels of crude oil per day, making it a critical piece of America's fuel supply chain. Port Arthur sits along the Gulf Coast refining corridor that handles nearly half of all U.S. refining capacity. This comes at the worst possible time. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed. Iraq declared force majeure on its oil production. Qatar's LNG hub is damaged. Global crude is above $100. And the U.S. just authorized sales of Iranian and Russian oil to keep markets from spiraling further. Even a temporary shutdown of a facility this size tightens domestic fuel supply at a moment when Americans are already paying $3.90+ at the pump. If repairs take weeks, gas prices in the Gulf Coast region could spike ahead of the rest of the country. Source: KHOU / Reuters

🚨🇺🇸 The Valero Port Arthur refinery is one of the largest in the United States The facility processes roughly 395,000 barrels of crude oil per day, making it a critical piece of America's fuel supply chain. Port Arthur sits along the Gulf Coast refining corridor that handles nearly half of all U.S. refining capacity. This comes at the worst possible time. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed. Iraq declared force majeure on its oil production. Qatar's LNG hub is damaged. Global crude is above $100. And the U.S. just authorized sales of Iranian and Russian oil to keep markets from spiraling further. Even a temporary shutdown of a facility this size tightens domestic fuel supply at a moment when Americans are already paying $3.90+ at the pump. If repairs take weeks, gas prices in the Gulf Coast region could spike ahead of the rest of the country. Source: KHOU / Reuters

Mario Nawfal

954,107 次观看 • 4 个月前

BREAKING : This is MIND BLOWING 🤯 Journalist : What do you think Iran will negotiate to open Strait of Hormuz? Iran Analyst 🇮🇷: "Iran is negotiating an end to the blockade on the Strait of Hormuz by allowing countries to pass if they shift from US $ to Chinese Yuan for oil trades, This would cost the US $3 trillion a year and weaken the dominance of the dollar" Iran has now become a headache for Trump who thought he could isolate them from the world 😭

BREAKING : This is MIND BLOWING 🤯 Journalist : What do you think Iran will negotiate to open Strait of Hormuz? Iran Analyst 🇮🇷: "Iran is negotiating an end to the blockade on the Strait of Hormuz by allowing countries to pass if they shift from US $ to Chinese Yuan for oil trades, This would cost the US $3 trillion a year and weaken the dominance of the dollar" Iran has now become a headache for Trump who thought he could isolate them from the world 😭

Amock_

943,033 次观看 • 4 个月前