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Payouts processed in under 60 seconds, with proof. Request them on-demand as soon as right after closing a trade, starting at a minimum of $50. → No minimum profitable days → No consistency rule → Every payout is on-demand, not just the first one before a bi-weekly schedule takes... show more

Fundex

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12,672 views • 21 days ago •via X (Twitter)

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The word “instant” has become one of the most overused words in the prop firm industry. Because in many cases, “instant” still comes with conditions attached. A review, a payout window, an approval process. We believe profits should be available when traders want them, not when a schedule says they can have them. Your profits, your timing. We're giving one of you a free $10,000 account, so you can test on-demand payouts yourself. Comment "instant" and we'll pick a winner within 24 hours.

The word “instant” has become one of the most overused words in the prop firm industry. Because in many cases, “instant” still comes with conditions attached. A review, a payout window, an approval process. We believe profits should be available when traders want them, not when a schedule says they can have them. Your profits, your timing. We're giving one of you a free $10,000 account, so you can test on-demand payouts yourself. Comment "instant" and we'll pick a winner within 24 hours.

Fundex

11,230 views • 2 months ago

Some of the best prop firm traders in the world just debated one of the most controversial rules in funded trading: the consistency rule. Kyle – holder of the largest propfirm payout ($2.5M) and nearly $5M in total payouts says ignore it completely and maximise the opportunity: “If I had a massive day… I’d just keep trading until the consistency got back under 30%.” And Trader Kane — over $2M+ in prop firm payouts argues the consistency rule actually forces better trading discipline: “Why would I want to make $10K a day on a $2.5K payout account?” Two completely different perspectives… From traders who’ve collectively made millions from prop firms. The reality? There’s no single answer. Some traders use the consistency rule as a safety mechanism. Others see it as something to exploit once they have a buffer. The real question is: Do you trade around the consistency rule… Or do you completely ignore it once opportunity appears? This roundtable episode is packed with debates like this from some of the best traders in the prop firm space. Watch the full episode below 👇

Some of the best prop firm traders in the world just debated one of the most controversial rules in funded trading: the consistency rule. Kyle – holder of the largest propfirm payout ($2.5M) and nearly $5M in total payouts says ignore it completely and maximise the opportunity: “If I had a massive day… I’d just keep trading until the consistency got back under 30%.” And Trader Kane — over $2M+ in prop firm payouts argues the consistency rule actually forces better trading discipline: “Why would I want to make $10K a day on a $2.5K payout account?” Two completely different perspectives… From traders who’ve collectively made millions from prop firms. The reality? There’s no single answer. Some traders use the consistency rule as a safety mechanism. Others see it as something to exploit once they have a buffer. The real question is: Do you trade around the consistency rule… Or do you completely ignore it once opportunity appears? This roundtable episode is packed with debates like this from some of the best traders in the prop firm space. Watch the full episode below 👇

Riz Iqbal

24,012 views • 3 months ago

The question every trader should ask is simple: Do your incentives actually align with the prop firm you're trading with? Because the moment trader profits become a cost to the firm, things get complicated fast. That's the single biggest problem we're solving at FUNDEX, and we're doing it by a-booking our funded traders. When your profits are something the firm celebrates instead of fears, it unlocks conditions like: > Instant on-demand payouts > No consistency rules > No daily drawdown > A monthly bonus up to $2,000 /mo, no matter how you perform And right now, every challenge purchase also enters you into our raffle for a chance to win: 1x MacBook Pro 14" 3x iPhone 17 Pro 5x AirPods Pro Participate here 👉

The question every trader should ask is simple: Do your incentives actually align with the prop firm you're trading with? Because the moment trader profits become a cost to the firm, things get complicated fast. That's the single biggest problem we're solving at FUNDEX, and we're doing it by a-booking our funded traders. When your profits are something the firm celebrates instead of fears, it unlocks conditions like: > Instant on-demand payouts > No consistency rules > No daily drawdown > A monthly bonus up to $2,000 /mo, no matter how you perform And right now, every challenge purchase also enters you into our raffle for a chance to win: 1x MacBook Pro 14" 3x iPhone 17 Pro 5x AirPods Pro Participate here 👉

FUNDEX

14,196 views • 3 months ago

ATS Funded is officially rebranding to Fundex. When we launched in december 2025, we had one goal: build a prop firm that actually works for traders. Three weeks ago we launched real market execution, the core infrastructure our entire ecosystem is built on. No conflict of interest, instant payouts with no cap, a monthly salary for every funded trader, and zero restrictive rules at funded stage. Fundex is the new ecosystem we're building, starting today, aiming to deliver additional products at the support of traders. If you are an existing ATS Funded user, nothing has changed, your account is exactly where you left it. Log in at using your existing credentials. Your account, balance, and funded status are exactly where you left them. 👉 Website: 👉 Trading Terminal: To celebrate this moment with the community that made it possible, we are giving away $300,000 in funded capital: 30x $10,000 accounts To enter: - Follow - RT this post - Comment "fundex" below Winners announced in 72 hours

ATS Funded is officially rebranding to Fundex. When we launched in december 2025, we had one goal: build a prop firm that actually works for traders. Three weeks ago we launched real market execution, the core infrastructure our entire ecosystem is built on. No conflict of interest, instant payouts with no cap, a monthly salary for every funded trader, and zero restrictive rules at funded stage. Fundex is the new ecosystem we're building, starting today, aiming to deliver additional products at the support of traders. If you are an existing ATS Funded user, nothing has changed, your account is exactly where you left it. Log in at using your existing credentials. Your account, balance, and funded status are exactly where you left them. 👉 Website: 👉 Trading Terminal: To celebrate this moment with the community that made it possible, we are giving away $300,000 in funded capital: 30x $10,000 accounts To enter: - Follow - RT this post - Comment "fundex" below Winners announced in 72 hours

Fundex

557,214 views • 5 months ago

Tradeify payouts are actually ridiculous. I hit “request payout” on my five Lightning Funded 150k accounts and tracked everything. Approval in 1:45. Security key processed at 8:20. Funds hit Rise at 8:30. Then the money hit my bank account in 12 minutes on the dot. $27,000 total in two payouts. Tradeify is insane and one of my top prop firms to trade with. How fast was your quickest payout with any firm? 💸⚡️ If you are not watching my FREE morning livestreams, you are missing out on setups, trading psychology, real education, and a community that wins ⚡️You can catch it live every morning at 8 AM EST! Want to trade on a prop firm like Tradeify, Take Profit Trader, Apex, or FundingTicks? ▶️ For the BEST deals use code: RIPS

Tradeify payouts are actually ridiculous. I hit “request payout” on my five Lightning Funded 150k accounts and tracked everything. Approval in 1:45. Security key processed at 8:20. Funds hit Rise at 8:30. Then the money hit my bank account in 12 minutes on the dot. $27,000 total in two payouts. Tradeify is insane and one of my top prop firms to trade with. How fast was your quickest payout with any firm? 💸⚡️ If you are not watching my FREE morning livestreams, you are missing out on setups, trading psychology, real education, and a community that wins ⚡️You can catch it live every morning at 8 AM EST! Want to trade on a prop firm like Tradeify, Take Profit Trader, Apex, or FundingTicks? ▶️ For the BEST deals use code: RIPS

RIPS

23,667 views • 8 months ago

The prop firm industry was born to solve a real problem: give skilled traders capital to trade with when they don't have it. (read this to the end, we have something big for you 👇) But somewhere down the road it turned into building a system with rules so tight and absurd that 98% of traders fail, so firms could keep profiting from the challenge fees paid upfront. If you're reading this, don't pretend it never happened to you, or someone you know. Working for days, weeks, sometimes months, just to get a payout denied for the most absurd excuse. The reason that happens is simple: most prop firms simulate your trades, they don't execute them. Your profits are a cost to them. So the whole model is engineered to make you fail. We asked ourselves: if that many payouts are being denied, it means there are more profitable traders out there than the industry wants you to believe. So we took everything wrong with this industry and fixed it. Here's what we built: 1/ Real Market Execution. Instant Payouts. Your trades hit the real market. Not a simulation. You make $100 profit and want to withdraw it immediately? You can. Instantly, with no waiting period, or absurd excuses. Ah, if you were about to ask, there's no daily cap either. 2/ Zero Restrictive Rules at Funded Stage. No daily drawdown, consistency rules, or other absurd ones. Those rules only exist at evaluation stage, to assess whether you can manage risk properly or not. Once funded, they're gone. Trade freely. 3/ A Monthly Salary. Just for Being Funded. ATS Funded is still the only prop firm paying a monthly retainer to its traders. 1% of your account balance, every month, regardless of whether you're up, down, or flat. A bad month means stress, and stress means bad decisions. The salary is there so a bad month doesn't interfere with your strategy. So, what now? If you made it this far, we built this for you, and a gift is waiting in the pinned comment below. Stop trading with your own capital when you can trade with ours. Get Funded 👉 Video Breakdown 👉

The prop firm industry was born to solve a real problem: give skilled traders capital to trade with when they don't have it. (read this to the end, we have something big for you 👇) But somewhere down the road it turned into building a system with rules so tight and absurd that 98% of traders fail, so firms could keep profiting from the challenge fees paid upfront. If you're reading this, don't pretend it never happened to you, or someone you know. Working for days, weeks, sometimes months, just to get a payout denied for the most absurd excuse. The reason that happens is simple: most prop firms simulate your trades, they don't execute them. Your profits are a cost to them. So the whole model is engineered to make you fail. We asked ourselves: if that many payouts are being denied, it means there are more profitable traders out there than the industry wants you to believe. So we took everything wrong with this industry and fixed it. Here's what we built: 1/ Real Market Execution. Instant Payouts. Your trades hit the real market. Not a simulation. You make $100 profit and want to withdraw it immediately? You can. Instantly, with no waiting period, or absurd excuses. Ah, if you were about to ask, there's no daily cap either. 2/ Zero Restrictive Rules at Funded Stage. No daily drawdown, consistency rules, or other absurd ones. Those rules only exist at evaluation stage, to assess whether you can manage risk properly or not. Once funded, they're gone. Trade freely. 3/ A Monthly Salary. Just for Being Funded. ATS Funded is still the only prop firm paying a monthly retainer to its traders. 1% of your account balance, every month, regardless of whether you're up, down, or flat. A bad month means stress, and stress means bad decisions. The salary is there so a bad month doesn't interfere with your strategy. So, what now? If you made it this far, we built this for you, and a gift is waiting in the pinned comment below. Stop trading with your own capital when you can trade with ours. Get Funded 👉 Video Breakdown 👉

FUNDEX

162,304 views • 5 months ago

TJR CALLS traders “dumb” for staying on funded accounts instead of going LIVE after big payouts 😳📉 “If people have gotten multiple six figures in payouts… why wouldn’t you just put that money into a live account? You could scale way more and risk properly.” “If you’ve pulled multiple six figures and still haven’t gone live, you’re actually dumb for that. All because you wanted a base level Huracan?” “All these rules like consistency rules, minimum trading days… that’s not real trading. Those rules are just there to mess with your psychology.” “On a live account you can lose a week and move on. On a funded account you fail the challenge and now you have to start everything all over again.”

TJR CALLS traders “dumb” for staying on funded accounts instead of going LIVE after big payouts 😳📉 “If people have gotten multiple six figures in payouts… why wouldn’t you just put that money into a live account? You could scale way more and risk properly.” “If you’ve pulled multiple six figures and still haven’t gone live, you’re actually dumb for that. All because you wanted a base level Huracan?” “All these rules like consistency rules, minimum trading days… that’s not real trading. Those rules are just there to mess with your psychology.” “On a live account you can lose a week and move on. On a funded account you fail the challenge and now you have to start everything all over again.”

Hiastra

103,055 views • 6 months ago

🚨NEW INSTANT PRO ACCOUNT🚨 GFT introduces the first instant plan with NO DAILY DRAWDOWN! Here’s what’s on the table: ✅ No Daily DD ✅ 1:50 Leverage ✅ Up to 100% Profit Split ✅ Bi-weekly or on Demand Payouts Enjoy the launch promo: 🔥40% OFF SITEWIDE 🎟️ Code: 40SPECIAL Available for a limited time only! • 2,5K Instant Pro Plan for just $42 • 100K Instant Pro Plan for just $489 Skip the Challenge and start trading right away Trade like the greatest 🏆

🚨NEW INSTANT PRO ACCOUNT🚨 GFT introduces the first instant plan with NO DAILY DRAWDOWN! Here’s what’s on the table: ✅ No Daily DD ✅ 1:50 Leverage ✅ Up to 100% Profit Split ✅ Bi-weekly or on Demand Payouts Enjoy the launch promo: 🔥40% OFF SITEWIDE 🎟️ Code: 40SPECIAL Available for a limited time only! • 2,5K Instant Pro Plan for just $42 • 100K Instant Pro Plan for just $489 Skip the Challenge and start trading right away Trade like the greatest 🏆

Goat Funded Trader

41,973 views • 11 months ago

Coastal First Nations, is a NGO. They are similar to Green Peace. They have no veto rights. They are a not-for-profit, that has been funded by US billionaires. So, why is our Prime Minister meeting with an activist group over lifting the tanker ban on the coast of BC? 🧐

Coastal First Nations, is a NGO. They are similar to Green Peace. They have no veto rights. They are a not-for-profit, that has been funded by US billionaires. So, why is our Prime Minister meeting with an activist group over lifting the tanker ban on the coast of BC? 🧐

Mario Zelaya

47,030 views • 8 months ago

AOC: We the people demand guaranteed health care for every American as a right and not a privilege. We the people demand that one job with no need for overtime should be enough for our most basic needs, which also include rest. And we must recognize that that can only happen in an economy where Black women are not the first to be pushed out and the last to be brought back in.

AOC: We the people demand guaranteed health care for every American as a right and not a privilege. We the people demand that one job with no need for overtime should be enough for our most basic needs, which also include rest. And we must recognize that that can only happen in an economy where Black women are not the first to be pushed out and the last to be brought back in.

Acyn

101,172 views • 16 days ago

Your first payout should be a massive accomplishment, not a punishment. 🛑 There is one rule every futures prop trader hates: the maximum loss limit sliding to zero at your first payout. Every other futures firm in the world uses this rule to trap traders. If you take a payout—whether it’s $100 or $10,000—that is supposed to be a happy moment. At Alpha Futures, we refuse to slide your loss limit to zero. We don’t punish you for taking your profits. Trade with a firm that actually wants you to keep your capital. 🔗 Start your evaluation today at the link in our bio.

Your first payout should be a massive accomplishment, not a punishment. 🛑 There is one rule every futures prop trader hates: the maximum loss limit sliding to zero at your first payout. Every other futures firm in the world uses this rule to trap traders. If you take a payout—whether it’s $100 or $10,000—that is supposed to be a happy moment. At Alpha Futures, we refuse to slide your loss limit to zero. We don’t punish you for taking your profits. Trade with a firm that actually wants you to keep your capital. 🔗 Start your evaluation today at the link in our bio.

Alpha Futures

29,903 views • 2 months ago

On April 20th 2020, something "impossible" happened: oil futures prices crashed through the floor, settling at MINUS $37.62 a barrel The reason? Because of lockdowns, demand for fuel crashed, oil tanks filled up, and no storage space was left, so those who held oil for delivery had to dump contracts at any price. Important to notice how, in 2020, speculative traders were positioned heavily long on Oil futures under the assumption lockdowns would not have lasted long and demand quickly spiked as soon as they were lifted, propping up the depressed crude oil prices. What would it take for the exact opposite to happen and for oil prices to suddenly skyrocket? Logically speaking, the answer is: SPR, Commercial, and Cushing inventories all at critical lows at the same time while demand remains strong and supply is in deficit. Does anything I said sound familiar? Of course it does, because that's exactly where we are right now. Those who say all-time low SPRs don't matter might be right. Those who say low commercial inventories do not matter might be right. Those who say Cushing hitting tank bottoms do not matter might be right too. Yes, they might be right if you consider these factors in isolation. The problem is that all-time low SPRs, low commercial inventories, Cushing about to hit tank bottoms, while demand remains strong (otherwise monster drawdowns would not happen) ARE ALL HAPPENING AT THE SAME TIME. Beware: trading models are always based upon what happened in the past, but they aren't the right tool to try to predict something that never happened for the simple reason they have no data points to be built on. This is the reason why those who just looked at their models and charts could not see coming what happened in 2020. The same is happening today; that's just how the system works. Furthermore, opposite to what happened in 2020, speculative traders are holding a significant amount of short positions, effectively betting against the laws of Mother Nature, exactly like in 2020.

On April 20th 2020, something "impossible" happened: oil futures prices crashed through the floor, settling at MINUS $37.62 a barrel The reason? Because of lockdowns, demand for fuel crashed, oil tanks filled up, and no storage space was left, so those who held oil for delivery had to dump contracts at any price. Important to notice how, in 2020, speculative traders were positioned heavily long on Oil futures under the assumption lockdowns would not have lasted long and demand quickly spiked as soon as they were lifted, propping up the depressed crude oil prices. What would it take for the exact opposite to happen and for oil prices to suddenly skyrocket? Logically speaking, the answer is: SPR, Commercial, and Cushing inventories all at critical lows at the same time while demand remains strong and supply is in deficit. Does anything I said sound familiar? Of course it does, because that's exactly where we are right now. Those who say all-time low SPRs don't matter might be right. Those who say low commercial inventories do not matter might be right. Those who say Cushing hitting tank bottoms do not matter might be right too. Yes, they might be right if you consider these factors in isolation. The problem is that all-time low SPRs, low commercial inventories, Cushing about to hit tank bottoms, while demand remains strong (otherwise monster drawdowns would not happen) ARE ALL HAPPENING AT THE SAME TIME. Beware: trading models are always based upon what happened in the past, but they aren't the right tool to try to predict something that never happened for the simple reason they have no data points to be built on. This is the reason why those who just looked at their models and charts could not see coming what happened in 2020. The same is happening today; that's just how the system works. Furthermore, opposite to what happened in 2020, speculative traders are holding a significant amount of short positions, effectively betting against the laws of Mother Nature, exactly like in 2020.

JustDario

67,745 views • 3 months ago

everything is about to change, 1/5 have you ever had a payout denied by a prop firm? you followed the rules, you were profitable and they still found a reason not to pay you it's not a mistake, it's the system working exactly as designed stay tuned, we will show you why

everything is about to change, 1/5 have you ever had a payout denied by a prop firm? you followed the rules, you were profitable and they still found a reason not to pay you it's not a mistake, it's the system working exactly as designed stay tuned, we will show you why

Fundex

35,902 views • 6 months ago

Introducing RiskDesk 👇 Every prop firm has a risk team. A group of people responsible for reviewing accounts, flagging violations, and deciding whether a payout gets approved or denied. The problem? Humans have emotions, internal pressures, and incentives that do not always align with a fair outcome. At firms where your payout is a cost to the business, that is a dangerous combination. RiskDesk removes that variable entirely. Every review is conducted by an AI agent that applies the same logic, the same criteria, and the same standard to every single case. No discretion, no influence, no bad days. A review that takes a human risk team hours - takes RiskDesk just five minutes. And if you disagree with the outcome, you can always escalate to a human review from our team. This is what fair and FAST risk management looks like.

Introducing RiskDesk 👇 Every prop firm has a risk team. A group of people responsible for reviewing accounts, flagging violations, and deciding whether a payout gets approved or denied. The problem? Humans have emotions, internal pressures, and incentives that do not always align with a fair outcome. At firms where your payout is a cost to the business, that is a dangerous combination. RiskDesk removes that variable entirely. Every review is conducted by an AI agent that applies the same logic, the same criteria, and the same standard to every single case. No discretion, no influence, no bad days. A review that takes a human risk team hours - takes RiskDesk just five minutes. And if you disagree with the outcome, you can always escalate to a human review from our team. This is what fair and FAST risk management looks like.

FUNDEX

24,585 views • 4 months ago

The narrative that Kikuyus hate Luos is one of the most dangerous lies ever sold to this country. It was never about tribe it was about power, fear, and manipulation. Those who built that wall between us did it for their own selfish survival, not for the people. Look around you Uhuru Kenyatta is broken by Raila Odinga’s death, SK Macharia is still in disbelief, and Martha Karua reminds us that grace and strength have no tribe. JB Muturi stood there, heavy with emotion, not as a Kikuyu, but as a Kenyan mourning a national icon. Because grief has no language, no accent, and no boundary. Let’s be clear a drunk Macharia does not represent the Kikuyus, just as a confused Onyango doesn’t speak for the Luos. The rotten few should never define the whole tribe. We are one nation under God bound by shared pain, shared joy, and one destiny. Those who profit from division will fade, but Kenya united and awakened will endure forever.

The narrative that Kikuyus hate Luos is one of the most dangerous lies ever sold to this country. It was never about tribe it was about power, fear, and manipulation. Those who built that wall between us did it for their own selfish survival, not for the people. Look around you Uhuru Kenyatta is broken by Raila Odinga’s death, SK Macharia is still in disbelief, and Martha Karua reminds us that grace and strength have no tribe. JB Muturi stood there, heavy with emotion, not as a Kikuyu, but as a Kenyan mourning a national icon. Because grief has no language, no accent, and no boundary. Let’s be clear a drunk Macharia does not represent the Kikuyus, just as a confused Onyango doesn’t speak for the Luos. The rotten few should never define the whole tribe. We are one nation under God bound by shared pain, shared joy, and one destiny. Those who profit from division will fade, but Kenya united and awakened will endure forever.

𝙋𝘼𝙐𝙇 𝐍𝐄𝐊𝐎

118,965 views • 10 months ago

🚨Hakeem Jeffries promises that masked ICE agents will be identified: "This is America. This is not the Soviet Union. We're not behind the Iron Curtain. This is not the 1930s. And every single one of them, no matter what it takes, no matter how long it takes, will, of course, be identified." Per the Trump admin, ICE agents are wearing masks because people are posting their photos online with death threats to their families. Jeffries, of course, knows that.

🚨Hakeem Jeffries promises that masked ICE agents will be identified: "This is America. This is not the Soviet Union. We're not behind the Iron Curtain. This is not the 1930s. And every single one of them, no matter what it takes, no matter how long it takes, will, of course, be identified." Per the Trump admin, ICE agents are wearing masks because people are posting their photos online with death threats to their families. Jeffries, of course, knows that.

Western Lensman

1,614,629 views • 1 year ago

He’s pulled over $1.5M in prop firm payouts. Trader Yush did it by mastering the one thing most traders lose control of. “I set strict limits… I’m only going to spend 5–6K in evals if I need to.” Most traders don’t track this. They go on tilt. They keep resetting. They keep buying new accounts. “You don’t realize it until you stop… and think: what did I just do?” That’s where it gets dangerous. Because the real mistake isn’t just losing…It’s rushing. “If you try to pass quickly… those habits carry into the funded account.” Now you’re not trading. You’re chasing a payout. And that pressure? It compounds. So he flipped it: No rush. No forcing trades. No need to hit targets on day one. “I give myself multiple days… some days there’s just no setups.” Slower… but sharper. That’s how you fix your spend-to-payout ratio. And more importantly… your decision making. Because most traders aren’t trading their edge… they’re just trying to get their money back as fast as possible. Full episode👇

He’s pulled over $1.5M in prop firm payouts. Trader Yush did it by mastering the one thing most traders lose control of. “I set strict limits… I’m only going to spend 5–6K in evals if I need to.” Most traders don’t track this. They go on tilt. They keep resetting. They keep buying new accounts. “You don’t realize it until you stop… and think: what did I just do?” That’s where it gets dangerous. Because the real mistake isn’t just losing…It’s rushing. “If you try to pass quickly… those habits carry into the funded account.” Now you’re not trading. You’re chasing a payout. And that pressure? It compounds. So he flipped it: No rush. No forcing trades. No need to hit targets on day one. “I give myself multiple days… some days there’s just no setups.” Slower… but sharper. That’s how you fix your spend-to-payout ratio. And more importantly… your decision making. Because most traders aren’t trading their edge… they’re just trying to get their money back as fast as possible. Full episode👇

Riz Iqbal

23,309 views • 5 months ago

It’s funny how standards change. In almost any other industry, waiting days or weeks to access your own money would be unacceptable. However, in prop trading, many people started treating it as normal. We don’t think it should be. That’s why Fundex was built around one simple idea: When a trader generates profit, he needs to be able to withdraw them right away if he wants to. 30% OFF all-plans for the next 16 hours, use code "MATES" 👉 Get funded now and access instant on demand payouts.

It’s funny how standards change. In almost any other industry, waiting days or weeks to access your own money would be unacceptable. However, in prop trading, many people started treating it as normal. We don’t think it should be. That’s why Fundex was built around one simple idea: When a trader generates profit, he needs to be able to withdraw them right away if he wants to. 30% OFF all-plans for the next 16 hours, use code "MATES" 👉 Get funded now and access instant on demand payouts.

FUNDEX

17,940 views • 2 months ago

Persi Diaconis walked into a lecture at the University of Washington, held up a coin, and told a room of physicists that Richard Feynman was fooled by it his entire life. He was right. In 2007, Diaconis proved a coin flip is not 50/50. It lands on the side it started on about 51 percent of the time. The bias comes from the physics of rotation under gravity. Every physicist since Newton had assumed 50/50 without ever testing it. Every trading model built on that assumption is running on the same lie. The lecture was on Feynman's book "The Meaning of it All." Diaconis quoted the most famous line in it: "the first principle is that you must not fool yourself, and you are the easiest person to fool." Then he pointed out that Feynman himself was fooled by every coin he ever flipped. Feynman's own rule would have killed the 50/50 assumption on day one. The market is the same setup at scale. Every model that assumes independent 50/50 outcomes at the base layer is built on a physical impossibility. Order flow, positioning, forced flows, expiries all leave biases larger than 1 percent. Your gut cannot see them. The math already knows they are there. Diaconis's rule: before you trust a random process, check it. Actually check it. Not with a simulation. With a proof or an experiment. The coin is where you start. The chart is where the same rule pays. The only random thing about markets is how thoroughly you refuse to check them.

Persi Diaconis walked into a lecture at the University of Washington, held up a coin, and told a room of physicists that Richard Feynman was fooled by it his entire life. He was right. In 2007, Diaconis proved a coin flip is not 50/50. It lands on the side it started on about 51 percent of the time. The bias comes from the physics of rotation under gravity. Every physicist since Newton had assumed 50/50 without ever testing it. Every trading model built on that assumption is running on the same lie. The lecture was on Feynman's book "The Meaning of it All." Diaconis quoted the most famous line in it: "the first principle is that you must not fool yourself, and you are the easiest person to fool." Then he pointed out that Feynman himself was fooled by every coin he ever flipped. Feynman's own rule would have killed the 50/50 assumption on day one. The market is the same setup at scale. Every model that assumes independent 50/50 outcomes at the base layer is built on a physical impossibility. Order flow, positioning, forced flows, expiries all leave biases larger than 1 percent. Your gut cannot see them. The math already knows they are there. Diaconis's rule: before you trust a random process, check it. Actually check it. Not with a simulation. With a proof or an experiment. The coin is where you start. The chart is where the same rule pays. The only random thing about markets is how thoroughly you refuse to check them.

veles

18,798 views • 1 month ago