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$PLTR Software is Free 🧵 Palantir's software is effectively “free” upfront because the company absorbs 100% of the risk of value creation and only gets paid a share(often structured as a percentage or portion) of the actual, measurable value or cost savings it helps generate for the customer. Dr....

90,412 次观看 • 3 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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$PLTR alright folks superbowl coming up after the bell regardless of what happens to the stock, being part of this community and getting to cover Palantir's journey has been one of the greatest blessings in my life. i really can't express my gratitude for people trusting me as a source for their Palantir news and coverage. it's been 4 years, 2k videos, 200 episodes of a weekly Palantir podcast...and I wouldn't have changed a single thing. having said that, we've got a ton of storylines going into earnings that can affect the stock: - is the SARs expense priced in or not? how bad is the hit? - does Palantir need to guide upwards of 35% YoY growth in 2025 for the street to be happy given the multiple its trading at or can they be at 30% and below? - if topline growth isn't as strong, are FCF growth, operating income margins, rule of 40, etc. enough to allow the street to feel Palantir will continue to grow into their potential? - if DeepSeek proved that LLMs are commodities and an LLM company like OpenAI is about to raise at $340B, what does that mean for a company like Palantir that's profitable and growing in the public markets? - what does government growth look like now with DOGE and can Palantir guide for some type of catalyst because of the government's willingness to spend more on software? Overall, I think Dr. Karp, Shaym Sankar and the entire team are going to crush it by essentially making the same argument they have made for 2 years: Palantir creates outcomes and that is what their customers pay for, not LLMs that can be found a dime-a-dozen and simply plugged into AIP, which is the software layered on Foundry that Palantir believes can create such incredible and transformative use cases (and we've seen many case studies of this already) that lead to them becoming one of the most important companies in the world. The stock will likely see algos and headlines that can move it, but this quarter is going to be determined by guidance, their ability to show continued growth and the market's overall interpretation of where Palantir lies in the broader AI sector. TIME TO EMBRACE ANOTHER CHAPTER IN THE ONGOING STORY OF ONE OF THE MOST EXCITING COMPANIES ON PLANET EARTH. & the best part is, we get to all embrace that chapter together, as a community. LFG.

amit

180,612 次观看 • 1 年前

$PLTR THIS IS WHY ALEX KARP IS ALEX MF KARP. “The typical way you are taught to build a software company is your customer thinks they are getting laid but they’re actually getting f’ed. We used to internally say that Palantir is actually in the mutually pleasuring business.” Couple points of analysis here… 1. He’s right. Completely 1000% correct. Traditional software companies build software they can sell, not software that is meant to provide value, which is why they can never achieve a Rule of 40 well beyond 40 or why so much of their revenue is spent on sales & marketing. Building something that works is much, much harder. 2. One thing I’ve noticed about Karp, which quite frankly was the reason I invested years ago, is his willingness to take risks with his rhetoric. Most CEOs self-censor themselves, are afraid to be charismatic, and keep it very cookie-cutter. In today’s world, AUTHENTICITY is the only thing that works to break through the noise. Karp making a bit of a vulgar joke not only lightened the mood and got peoples’ attention — the joke, as all good jokes, was rooted in truth! The ability to attach effective charisma, charm, and excitement towards delivering that message is what matters. People will say that these types of communication tactics are inconsequential— I’d say Palantir’s multiple disagrees. People invest in someone who can get them to believe in their vision. They also want to invest in someone who says what they believe in…when it comes to politics, how Karp feels about analysts that wrote of the business in 2022, or the software industrial complex — he is going to tell you what he actually feels. People want to invest in someone that genuinely cares about their mission & isn’t going to hide behind their truth when they communicate publicly. In a world of full of grifting, BS, and manipulation…Alex Karp is the authentic CEO that the public markets need which is part of the reason why people care about his company.

amit

317,423 次观看 • 1 年前

This is what EVERYONE should be talking about “Donald Trump's Big Beautiful bill contains a clause that bars all 50 states from regulating AI for the next decade. Now, the Trump administration just granted Palantir Technologies significant contracts to develop a federal state platform. Powered by its AI Driven Foundry software, the platform consolidates sensitive personal data from irs, Social Security Administration, immigration services and other agencies to streamline service and decision making. The company was founded by Alex Karp and Peter thiel of the PayPal mafia, and a significant portion of the company is currently owned by BlackRock. The surveillance state was inevitable regardless who became president. Oh, and it gets better. This announcement follows Elon's resignation from DOGE, which managed to cut less than $100 billion in wasteful spending. Numerous Doge employees not only worked for Palantir, but they lobbied on behalf of them, raising questions about whether DOGE's initial purpose was to access classified data while creating the illusion of bureaucratic reform in trillions in savings, which again actually came out to around $6 trillion estimated. In reality, this may have been an effort to expand the surveillance state and provide Palantir with backdoor access. So how about that for your golden age? The only members of Congress to speak out against this were Thomas Massie and Marjorie Taylor Greene. — So all members of Congress, including the Republican Party, have failed us here.” Alex Karp, CEO of Palantir, says his software was solely responsible for defeating the far right in Europe

Wall Street Apes

270,515 次观看 • 1 年前

Why is Palantir so expensive? You don’t need to look at spreadsheets. Just consider this: The market knows NVIDIA sells the shovels for the AI goldrush. The market is realizing that AI isn’t being monetized at the commercial level because although it’s cool, it’s not unlocking any real insights yet. The market now anticipates that Palantir is selling the maps to find the gold…. Gold being AI-driven insights that actually solve difficult problems. Software that works. Since 2021, NVIDIA’s revenue has exploded from $16B to $96B. Palantir’s TTM revenue is $2.5B. The trajectory of Palantir has changed since AIP released in 2023, which is enabling the company to scale. If NVIDIA sells the shovels, and Palantir provides the maps, then the market believes Palantir will see the same explosion of growth within the commercial market, which the market believes has an almost unlimited TAM for Palantir. A lot of people missed out on NVIDIA. While Palantir’s market cap is expensive at $95B, it is nothing compared to NVIDIA’s $3.26T market cap in terms of size. The market doesn’t want to miss out on the next big thing. At this point, investors have thrown all standard methods of valuation out of the window… Those days were years ago. To me, at this point, buying the stock is betting on NVIDIA-like growth (No I’m not saying the company will shoot to a $3T market cap in 2 years — you get the point). If the company does not show this sort of revenue growth, the stock will be punished. This is the risk investors are willing to take. While I am very bullish on the company in the long run, I, like everyone else, have no clue what will actually happen in the short term. This is not a stock to play on the short term. This is why I continue to hold, regardless of how “expensive” the stock gets. I personally believe Palantir does in fact carry the potential to see explosive revenue growth to more than enough justify its current ratios. I’m not saying it will happen this quarter. But the potential is there. It’s a matter of when, in my opinion. I would never risk selling what I view as my golden ticket to wealth with the justification of “it’s too expensive, the price will come back down and I can buy even more then”. If the stock crashes, I can start buying more shares regardless — I don’t want to get greedy and try to time the market. I would never forgive myself if I sold and the stock ended up soaring so high that even after a crash, it would be far too expensive for me to get back in with my original position size (plus capital gains tax). I don’t care who agrees with me or who thinks I’m crazy for saying this — it’s a real risk to me and I’m not willing to take it. This is not me telling you to buy $PLTR. My average is $8.50. Only you can decide what is right, and your decision should be made on your own level of conviction from studying the company — nothing else. This is me telling you why it’s so expensive. Again, I believe that if the stock does not continue to crush earnings each quarter, even the slightest miss, the stock will be punished in the short term. For longs, it’s another opportunity to accumulate more. This is my opinion, of course. 5-10 years from now, we’ll see who was right. Chips & Ontology.

Jack Prescott

258,450 次观看 • 1 年前

Marc Benioff just exposed the biggest hypocrisy in the AI boom. The companies building the AI that’s supposed to kill software are some of Salesforce’s largest customers. Benioff: “The AI companies love our products and they can’t buy enough of them. They’re some of our largest customers now: Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, Amazon, you name it.” Let that land. The most advanced AI labs on earth. The companies with more engineering talent and compute than anyone. The ones building the technology that analysts say will make traditional software obsolete. Still buying traditional software. At scale. Benioff: “No one has a company that’s running entirely on a large language model because it’s not real.” Not because they haven’t tried. Because an LLM is not a foundation. It’s a feature. Benioff: “Yeah, Minority Report, I watched the movie. Great guys, fantastic. But I’m in the present-moment reality right now. We’re living in this world. This is 2026.” The analysts writing reports about fully autonomous AI companies have never had to run one. Benioff is running one of the largest enterprise software companies on earth. The gap between those two perspectives is where billions of dollars are being misallocated. Benioff: “How are we doing our financials, our HR, our customer information? How are we doing all of these aspects of our business?” A neural network that hallucinates cannot execute a financial transaction that has to be right every single time. Cannot secure customer data with zero tolerance for error. Cannot provide the determinism that every real business runs on. Benioff: “We need the determinism, and the programmability, and the security, and the sharing.” AI doesn’t replace those requirements. It sits on top of them. Benioff: “I think the software industry is going to be bigger and broader and do more this year than ever before.” The future isn’t AI replacing software. It’s AI making software exponentially more powerful. The smartest people building the future already know this. They’re the ones still buying the software.

Dustin

203,575 次观看 • 5 个月前

Every Fortune 500 executive is buying AI subscriptions and calling it a strategy. Palantir CEO Alex Karp has a word for that. Karp: “The general approach of just buying models is going to be essentially self-pleasuring for an enterprise at the cost of the enterprise.” Karp: “You buy some large language model, you party with it basically, and the next day you have a hangover.” The entire corporate world is mispricing the AI transition. They are renting intelligence with no foundation to run it on. A raw model floating in a vacuum hallucinates over your unstructured data, generates the illusion of work, and executes nothing. The party ends. The hangover begins. Nothing changed. Karp identified exactly where the value actually goes. Karp: “All the value in the market is going to go to chips and what we call ontology.” Not the models. Not the subscriptions. Not the chatbot interfaces layered on top of them. The ontology. The precise digital architecture of how an organization actually operates. Its security permissions. Its supply chain physics. It’s operational logic. Karp: “The ontology will allow you to take a large language model and use it, refine it, and then impose it on your enterprise in the logic of your enterprise, in the security model of your enterprise.” When you bind a frontier model to the strict underlying logic of a specific enterprise, something fundamental shifts. It stops generating text. It starts generating action. Karp: “We’re using it on the battlefield, we’re using it to compress margins. We’re making engineers better engineers. We’re making people who are not engineers into engineers using our ontology and a large language model.” The traditional engineering bottleneck does not slow down. It disappears. Karp: “We are sitting on the only thing that actually creates quantifiable, transformational value.” The companies renting models are paying for the feeling of transformation. The companies building ontologies are executing the actual thing. One of them will define the next decade. The other will wake up in 2030 wondering where their market share went. Exactly like a hangover.

Dustin

210,359 次观看 • 4 个月前

Chamath just asked the question nobody in AI wants to answer (Save this). "Okay guys, you've spent $3 trillion in the last four years. What is the ROI of these tokens?" It is the most important question in technology right now and the data suggests most of the people being asked cannot answer it. A PwC CEO survey published in January 2026 found that 56% of CEOs report no increase in revenue and no decrease in costs attributable to AI over the past year meaning the majority of companies deploying AI tools have not yet produced a single dollar of auditable return. And only 12% reported experiencing both benefits. Hyperscalers alone are on track to spend $675 billion on AI infrastructure in 2026, up 63% year over year, with total global AI investment approaching $2.5 trillion this year alone against a backdrop where most enterprise buyers cannot yet quantify what any of it produced. Chamath's answer to the question is the real insight. He said what happens next is that enterprises go to guys like Mark Benioff and say: "please sell my tokens." In other words, the AI labs built the capability but the enterprise software giants are the ones who have the customer relationships, the distribution, the workflows and the trust to actually convert token consumption into measurable business outcomes and therefore into revenue that justifies the spend. Mark Benioff was sitting in the same conversation and confirmed exactly that, he said Salesforce is about to spend $300 million on Anthropic. But listen to what Benioff did with Salesforce's own balance sheet at the same time. He announced the largest stock buyback in enterprise software history $50 billion, or 28% of Salesforce's entire market cap while simultaneously admitting the stock has fallen 36% over the past year. In March, Salesforce launched the largest accelerated share repurchase in history to execute $25 billion of it immediately, financed in part with debt it will be carrying until 2066. Chamath is pointing at the underlying structural problem that has triggered the SaaS rout of 2026, software forward P/E multiples have now fallen below the S&P 500 for the first time in history, the iShares software ETF is down over 21% year to date and 30% from its September 2025 peak, and companies like Adobe, and Workday have seen their valuation multiples drop 47-54% in a single year. The core fear is not that AI does not work but rather that AI is breaking the seat based model that built the entire B2B software industry. If one AI agent can do the work of five employees, enterprises stop buying 500 seats and start buying 100, or renegotiate entirely and the recurring revenue that made SaaS stocks trade at 40 times forward earnings simply evaporates. Chamath's prediction is that AI multiples come way back down while infrastructure plays go back up and find a balance is essentially already happening in real time.

Milk Road AI

115,608 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨Kim Dotcom Exposes Alleged Palantir Hack With Explosive Claims That Could Rock the World 🌎 Internet legend Kim Dotcom has broken this story. He says Palantir was hacked using an AI agent that got full super-user access. If true, the fallout could be massive for governments, leaders, and global security. Here are the key allegations in simple terms: - Peter Thiel and Alex Karp ran huge secret surveillance on world leaders and top business figures. - They hold thousands of hours of recorded and searchable private talks with Donald Trump, JD Vance, and Elon Musk. - They installed secret backdoors in phones, cars, and private jets of major leaders and built the largest blackmail file ever seen. - Palantir is building nuclear and biological weapons for Ukraine with the CIA to defeat Russia. They think they are one year from success and are using fake peace talks to keep Russia tied down. - Palantir created the AI targeting system that caused most Palestinian deaths in Gaza. - Palantir works as a direct arm of the CIA. All data from clients around the world gets copied straight into a secret CIA cloud. - Palantir has turned into the most dangerous company on Earth. Employees have the right to know what their AI is really being used for. - The stolen Palantir data will now be handed to Russia and/or China. Kim Dotcom says he was picked as the trusted person to release this. He was not part of the hack and does not know the hackers, but he confirms the breach happened.

J Stewart

83,606 次观看 • 5 个月前

Jensen Huang is on fire at CES 2026 Event 🎯 "How you run the software, how you develop the software fundamentally changed. The entire five-layer stack of the computer industry is being reinvented. You no longer program the software, you train the software. You don't run it on CPUs, you run it on GPUs. And whereas applications were pre-recorded, pre-compiled, and run on your device, now applications understand the context and generate every single pixel, every single token, completely from scratch every single time. Computing has been fundamentally reshaped as a result of accelerated computing, as a result of artificial intelligence. Every single layer of that five-layer cake is now being reinvented. Well, what that means is some ten trillion dollars or so of the last decade of computing is now being modernized to this new way of doing computing. What that means is hundreds of billions of dollars, a couple of hundred billion dollars in VC funding each year, is going into modernize and inventing this new world. And what it means is a hundred trillion dollars of industry, several percent of which is R&D budget, is shifting over to artificial intelligence. People ask where is the money coming from? That's where the money is coming from. The modernization to AI, the shifting of R&D budgets from classical methods to now artificial intelligence methods. Enormous amounts of investments coming into this industry, which explains why we're so busy. And this last year was no difference. This last year was incredible. This last year... there's a slide coming."

Rohan Paul

185,487 次观看 • 6 个月前