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$PLTR Software is Free 🧵 Palantir's software is effectively “free” upfront because the company absorbs 100% of the risk of value creation and only gets paid a share(often structured as a percentage or portion) of the actual, measurable value or cost savings it helps generate for the customer. Dr....

90,412 views • 5 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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$PLTR alright folks superbowl coming up after the bell regardless of what happens to the stock, being part of this community and getting to cover Palantir's journey has been one of the greatest blessings in my life. i really can't express my gratitude for people trusting me as a source for their Palantir news and coverage. it's been 4 years, 2k videos, 200 episodes of a weekly Palantir podcast...and I wouldn't have changed a single thing. having said that, we've got a ton of storylines going into earnings that can affect the stock: - is the SARs expense priced in or not? how bad is the hit? - does Palantir need to guide upwards of 35% YoY growth in 2025 for the street to be happy given the multiple its trading at or can they be at 30% and below? - if topline growth isn't as strong, are FCF growth, operating income margins, rule of 40, etc. enough to allow the street to feel Palantir will continue to grow into their potential? - if DeepSeek proved that LLMs are commodities and an LLM company like OpenAI is about to raise at $340B, what does that mean for a company like Palantir that's profitable and growing in the public markets? - what does government growth look like now with DOGE and can Palantir guide for some type of catalyst because of the government's willingness to spend more on software? Overall, I think Dr. Karp, Shaym Sankar and the entire team are going to crush it by essentially making the same argument they have made for 2 years: Palantir creates outcomes and that is what their customers pay for, not LLMs that can be found a dime-a-dozen and simply plugged into AIP, which is the software layered on Foundry that Palantir believes can create such incredible and transformative use cases (and we've seen many case studies of this already) that lead to them becoming one of the most important companies in the world. The stock will likely see algos and headlines that can move it, but this quarter is going to be determined by guidance, their ability to show continued growth and the market's overall interpretation of where Palantir lies in the broader AI sector. TIME TO EMBRACE ANOTHER CHAPTER IN THE ONGOING STORY OF ONE OF THE MOST EXCITING COMPANIES ON PLANET EARTH. & the best part is, we get to all embrace that chapter together, as a community. LFG.

amit

180,612 views • 1 year ago

This is what EVERYONE should be talking about “Donald Trump's Big Beautiful bill contains a clause that bars all 50 states from regulating AI for the next decade. Now, the Trump administration just granted Palantir Technologies significant contracts to develop a federal state platform. Powered by its AI Driven Foundry software, the platform consolidates sensitive personal data from irs, Social Security Administration, immigration services and other agencies to streamline service and decision making. The company was founded by Alex Karp and Peter thiel of the PayPal mafia, and a significant portion of the company is currently owned by BlackRock. The surveillance state was inevitable regardless who became president. Oh, and it gets better. This announcement follows Elon's resignation from DOGE, which managed to cut less than $100 billion in wasteful spending. Numerous Doge employees not only worked for Palantir, but they lobbied on behalf of them, raising questions about whether DOGE's initial purpose was to access classified data while creating the illusion of bureaucratic reform in trillions in savings, which again actually came out to around $6 trillion estimated. In reality, this may have been an effort to expand the surveillance state and provide Palantir with backdoor access. So how about that for your golden age? The only members of Congress to speak out against this were Thomas Massie and Marjorie Taylor Greene. — So all members of Congress, including the Republican Party, have failed us here.” Alex Karp, CEO of Palantir, says his software was solely responsible for defeating the far right in Europe

Wall Street Apes

270,515 views • 1 year ago

Why is Palantir so expensive? You don’t need to look at spreadsheets. Just consider this: The market knows NVIDIA sells the shovels for the AI goldrush. The market is realizing that AI isn’t being monetized at the commercial level because although it’s cool, it’s not unlocking any real insights yet. The market now anticipates that Palantir is selling the maps to find the gold…. Gold being AI-driven insights that actually solve difficult problems. Software that works. Since 2021, NVIDIA’s revenue has exploded from $16B to $96B. Palantir’s TTM revenue is $2.5B. The trajectory of Palantir has changed since AIP released in 2023, which is enabling the company to scale. If NVIDIA sells the shovels, and Palantir provides the maps, then the market believes Palantir will see the same explosion of growth within the commercial market, which the market believes has an almost unlimited TAM for Palantir. A lot of people missed out on NVIDIA. While Palantir’s market cap is expensive at $95B, it is nothing compared to NVIDIA’s $3.26T market cap in terms of size. The market doesn’t want to miss out on the next big thing. At this point, investors have thrown all standard methods of valuation out of the window… Those days were years ago. To me, at this point, buying the stock is betting on NVIDIA-like growth (No I’m not saying the company will shoot to a $3T market cap in 2 years — you get the point). If the company does not show this sort of revenue growth, the stock will be punished. This is the risk investors are willing to take. While I am very bullish on the company in the long run, I, like everyone else, have no clue what will actually happen in the short term. This is not a stock to play on the short term. This is why I continue to hold, regardless of how “expensive” the stock gets. I personally believe Palantir does in fact carry the potential to see explosive revenue growth to more than enough justify its current ratios. I’m not saying it will happen this quarter. But the potential is there. It’s a matter of when, in my opinion. I would never risk selling what I view as my golden ticket to wealth with the justification of “it’s too expensive, the price will come back down and I can buy even more then”. If the stock crashes, I can start buying more shares regardless — I don’t want to get greedy and try to time the market. I would never forgive myself if I sold and the stock ended up soaring so high that even after a crash, it would be far too expensive for me to get back in with my original position size (plus capital gains tax). I don’t care who agrees with me or who thinks I’m crazy for saying this — it’s a real risk to me and I’m not willing to take it. This is not me telling you to buy $PLTR. My average is $8.50. Only you can decide what is right, and your decision should be made on your own level of conviction from studying the company — nothing else. This is me telling you why it’s so expensive. Again, I believe that if the stock does not continue to crush earnings each quarter, even the slightest miss, the stock will be punished in the short term. For longs, it’s another opportunity to accumulate more. This is my opinion, of course. 5-10 years from now, we’ll see who was right. Chips & Ontology.

Jack Prescott

278,422 views • 2 years ago

$PLTR $AMD | Dr. Karp and Dr. Su were right! ✍️ Companies are now fighting back. Dr. Karp, Palantir CEO, recently told CNBC that enterprises are privately "unhappy" with frontier AI labs like OpenAI and Anthropic, accusing them of prioritizing "tokenmaxxing" or maximizing AI token consumption to signal activity over delivering real business value and understanding customer needs. Uber, Coinbases routing to capping token usage or routing to cheaper models to keep cost under control. or Microsoft revoked Claude Code licenses companywide, Priceline imposed token limits after sharp cost spikes, and reports cite Meta, Salesforce, and multiple unnamed firms facing 3x+ budget overruns or $ hundreds of millions in unexpected spend by mid-2026. Analysts note this as an emerging industry pattern, with FinOps and executives describing "existential crises" over token bills; dozens of enterprises are now adding guardrails, though public complaints remain concentrated among high-profile tech firms experimenting at scale. Dr. Lisa Su anticipated the pivot to inference economics and CPU-dense systems for agentic AI, correctly predicting that token costs, power efficiency, and deployability on standard platforms would determine scalable adoption long before the current enterprise pushback. Dr. Alex Karp accurately diagnosed the disconnect in frontier labs' approach, calling out "tokenmaxxing" as activity without outcomes; enterprises are indeed demanding real implementation and business-specific value rather than raw volume that inflates bills without proportional ROI. Together, their independent foresight validates the maturing AI thesis, efficient infrastructure (AMD Helios/EPYC optimized for lowest TCO & $/M Tokens) paired with outcome-focused platforms (Palantir AIP/Foundry) positions both companies to benefit as the market shifts from hype-driven consumption to sustainable, value-driven deployment. Yes it may look good on the revenue growth for AI Labs to show off on IPOs investors/bankers, but the customers have to find value in those tokens spent where $NVDA & In-house chips on inference claims are just false. At the end of the day, ~Token cost needs to go down more & more particularly inference by owning more AMD chips/racks. In-house chips can make all kind of claims for years, but the bills enterprises paid have to obey economic. ~Enterprises want a thick software OS or solution focused, they do not want to have unlimited budget for "tokenmaxxing" where it is leading to high costs with limited business transformation; success increasingly depends on implementation layers that route tasks, enforce policies, and connect AI to existing workflows. Not Financial Advice! DYOR!

Mike

253,557 views • 3 months ago

$PLTR BILLIONAIRE INVESTOR MARIO GABELLI MENTIONED PALANTIR CEO ALEX KARP’S BOOK TODAY ON CNBC. I really think this book is going to change the way people look at business, technology and the broader trajectory of humanity. We’re seeing it already in some of the world’s most famous investors referencing it as they speak about the issues of our time. Mario was asked about a company like John Deere being impacted by tariffs & immigration. He responded: “The Technological Republic, a new book by Alex Karp, is going to be a GAME CHANGER in how people value companies,” implying that after reading the book — your entire worldview can change on the nature of what it means to derive a company’s value. Mario claims that John Deere is not going to be concerned about tariffs and immigration IF they embrace technology — the conventional “bad” or “external macro” events can be mitigated & even flipped into something positive which increases the ability for John Deere to weather that storm. This, in turn, expands their multiple as they provide value to society IN SPITE of global events that their competitors cannot weather through because they DO NOT embrace technology. Why is this world view of the Technological Republic important? Well, it’s the same world view Alex Karp has been speaking about for a decade that is now coming to fruition as we enter the greatest technology revolution of our lifetimes… Transformational software changes the existential paradigm of how an enterprise can achieve, build, and expand their value. What is the promise of Palantir’s software to government and commercial clients? Becoming more efficient, decreasing costs, expanding operating margins, growing the top and bottom line — essentially an ontological representation of your business can lead to transformational business results which are good for HUMANITY. These ideas were seen as radical and unable to reach the masses. Now, they are becoming mainstream because they are the ONLY important ideas that people want to embrace. When your business flips overnight due to a war, pandemic, etc. then you NEED transformational software to survive. I think this book is going to introduce the world to ideas that Palantir as an organization has embodied for two decades. It’s why the company is so special and gets valued the way it does. There’s not many tech CEOs writing philosophical messages at the intersection of Western Values and technology… Alex Karp is & that is simply why Palantir continues to be one of the companies the street cannot deny. Book is available for preorder and launching on Feb 18th:

amit

151,692 views • 1 year ago

Marc Benioff just exposed the biggest hypocrisy in the AI boom. The companies building the AI that’s supposed to kill software are some of Salesforce’s largest customers. Benioff: “The AI companies love our products and they can’t buy enough of them. They’re some of our largest customers now: Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, Amazon, you name it.” Let that land. The most advanced AI labs on earth. The companies with more engineering talent and compute than anyone. The ones building the technology that analysts say will make traditional software obsolete. Still buying traditional software. At scale. Benioff: “No one has a company that’s running entirely on a large language model because it’s not real.” Not because they haven’t tried. Because an LLM is not a foundation. It’s a feature. Benioff: “Yeah, Minority Report, I watched the movie. Great guys, fantastic. But I’m in the present-moment reality right now. We’re living in this world. This is 2026.” The analysts writing reports about fully autonomous AI companies have never had to run one. Benioff is running one of the largest enterprise software companies on earth. The gap between those two perspectives is where billions of dollars are being misallocated. Benioff: “How are we doing our financials, our HR, our customer information? How are we doing all of these aspects of our business?” A neural network that hallucinates cannot execute a financial transaction that has to be right every single time. Cannot secure customer data with zero tolerance for error. Cannot provide the determinism that every real business runs on. Benioff: “We need the determinism, and the programmability, and the security, and the sharing.” AI doesn’t replace those requirements. It sits on top of them. Benioff: “I think the software industry is going to be bigger and broader and do more this year than ever before.” The future isn’t AI replacing software. It’s AI making software exponentially more powerful. The smartest people building the future already know this. They’re the ones still buying the software.

Dustin

203,697 views • 7 months ago

Every Fortune 500 executive is buying AI subscriptions and calling it a strategy. Palantir CEO Alex Karp has a word for that. Karp: “The general approach of just buying models is going to be essentially self-pleasuring for an enterprise at the cost of the enterprise.” Karp: “You buy some large language model, you party with it basically, and the next day you have a hangover.” The entire corporate world is mispricing the AI transition. They are renting intelligence with no foundation to run it on. A raw model floating in a vacuum hallucinates over your unstructured data, generates the illusion of work, and executes nothing. The party ends. The hangover begins. Nothing changed. Karp identified exactly where the value actually goes. Karp: “All the value in the market is going to go to chips and what we call ontology.” Not the models. Not the subscriptions. Not the chatbot interfaces layered on top of them. The ontology. The precise digital architecture of how an organization actually operates. Its security permissions. Its supply chain physics. It’s operational logic. Karp: “The ontology will allow you to take a large language model and use it, refine it, and then impose it on your enterprise in the logic of your enterprise, in the security model of your enterprise.” When you bind a frontier model to the strict underlying logic of a specific enterprise, something fundamental shifts. It stops generating text. It starts generating action. Karp: “We’re using it on the battlefield, we’re using it to compress margins. We’re making engineers better engineers. We’re making people who are not engineers into engineers using our ontology and a large language model.” The traditional engineering bottleneck does not slow down. It disappears. Karp: “We are sitting on the only thing that actually creates quantifiable, transformational value.” The companies renting models are paying for the feeling of transformation. The companies building ontologies are executing the actual thing. One of them will define the next decade. The other will wake up in 2030 wondering where their market share went. Exactly like a hangover.

Dustin

210,664 views • 6 months ago

Meta Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang on why your product can be better and still lose, because perception is more real than reality: Most founders assume the best product wins. Build something that works, prove it with data, and customers will see it. Wang says that assumption breaks down when you sell to large organisations. "Probably a lot of the companies that you all have worked with, they're very data-driven companies. It feels like the truth makes its way... everybody serves a shared sense of reality and whatnot. That's not true at most large companies and also not true within the government, unfortunately." So what do they run on instead? Perception. "At a lot of large customers, perception is more real than reality. The reality is just so ugly most of the time that very rarely do people actually confront reality, and most of the time they just sort of choose to believe the perceptions that they live in." That is how a better product loses. If buyers aren't judging reality, being better in reality isn't enough. The deal goes to whoever owns the perception. Wang spells out what this means for anyone building or selling to enterprises: "If you end up doing enterprise sales or you end up building enterprise products... just as much as your job is to improve the reality, it is to shape the perception." The product still matters, but by his reckoning, it's only half the job. One company he singles out for mastering the other half is Palantir: "One of Palantir's superpowers is that they shape the perception better than most other technology companies do, because I think they view themselves... it's like a combination of a sort of acting troupe combined with a software company." And Alexandr Wang means it literally: "They literally give an acting book to all of the new hires, or they did for a very long time." A software company that trained its people in performance. That tells you how seriously Palantir took the perception half of the job.

Big Brain Business

164,451 views • 1 day ago