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Price increases at Dollar Tree that began in the second quarter will continue through the end of the year, with more $3 and $5 items. The company warned prices will continue climbing as tariffs under President Trump drive up the cost of imported goods.

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ABOUT TARIFFS... Can I just explain how wrong Donald Trump sounds to those of us in the import business? He’s bullshitting you. Here’s the truth: I work in imports, and Trump’s claims are false. The importer (the company bringing goods into the U.S.) pays the tariffs, and that cost is added to the price of the product. Depending on the profit margin, part of that cost gets passed on to you, the consumer—but it's not a fixed amount. The country where the product comes from doesn’t pay the tariff. Tariffs are added to the price when the goods arrive in the U.S. So, in the end, WE—the American consumers—are the ones paying the tariffs through higher prices at the store.
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Cook: Based on the available data for September, it is estimated that the PCE price index rose 2.8% in the 12 months ending in September—significantly above the 2% target. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy categories, was also estimated at 2.8%. Both of these readings are as high or higher than those from a year earlier, propped up by an increase in tariff-affected goods prices. My outreach to business leaders suggests that the pass-through of tariffs to consumer prices is not yet complete. Many firms have adopted a strategy of running down inventories purchased at lower price levels before raising prices. Others have reported waiting until tariff uncertainty is resolved before passing increases on to consumers. As new car models, clothing lines, and other products enter the market, that process will continue to provide firms with opportunities to reset prices. As such, I expect inflation to remain elevated over the next year.
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Cook: Based on the available data for September, it is estimated that the PCE price index rose 2.8% in the 12 months ending in September—significantly above the 2% target. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy categories, was also estimated at 2.8%. Both of these readings are as high or higher than those from a year earlier, propped up by an increase in tariff-affected goods prices. My outreach to business leaders suggests that the pass-through of tariffs to consumer prices is not yet complete. Many firms have adopted a strategy of running down inventories purchased at lower price levels before raising prices. Others have reported waiting until tariff uncertainty is resolved before passing increases on to consumers. As new car models, clothing lines, and other products enter the market, that process will continue to provide firms with opportunities to reset prices. As such, I expect inflation to remain elevated over the next year.

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