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PuffPaw is manipulating Polymarket with 500+ bots Polymarket *thinks* the project will 75% launch above $50M and 50/50 to go above $100M But that’s complete bullshit and here’s why: 1) Old project on a barely alive Berachain; 2) Puff2Earn does not work (4 years now); 3) Volumes and demand...

11,297 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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This Polymarket user built a weather AI bot Now he's up $63,853 (started from just $27) It bets on 0.1% odds and constantly makes +10,000% I spent hours analyzing it so you don't have to Here’s how he did it by combining Claude + weather APIs: The bot ignores 50/50 odds completely. Instead, it buys outcomes priced from 0.1% to 10% where upside is 20x. Cheap shares. Asymmetric payout. Low hit rate needed. That’s already enough to beat most traders. But the real edge is data. This bot tracks major weather forecast APIs in real time. When Polymarket asks smth like: “Will London hit 9°C tomorrow?” Forecast models often already shifted hours earlier. But Polymarket hasn’t. So you get moments where YES is priced at 10%, while real probability is closer to 80%. That gap is the trade. And the bot is buying mispriced certainty. Execution is boring on purpose: > Scan markets > Compare odds to forecast probabilities > Ignore anything without big upside > Buy cheap and hold to settlement Same loop every time. Each bet is small, usually $50-$200. Lose a few. Win one. Still up by THOUSANDS. That’s how $50 turns into $5,000 repeatedly. Despite only 33% Win Rate, his PnL curve is always growing. Why this works? Weather is one of the most modeled things on Earth. Airlines, energy grids, governments rely on the same data. > APIs update fast > Prediction markets lag > Bots just harvest that delay Important part most miss: This isn’t magic or unreachable. And these bots aren’t genius. They just compare real probabilities to market odds and act faster than humans. Btw regular traders avoid weather markets, which also decreases the competition. That’s why weather markets look boring and quietly print for those who understand structure. His profile: [ I’m watching a few of these wallets closely. Curious how long this inefficiency stays open. Will share some wallets with you in my next post.

Dexter's Lab

517,496 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

In 2026, 90% of all Polymarket profits will be taken by Python scripts.. And this is not a prediction. It’s already happening. So if you think political pundits and sports gurus are making profits in these areas, let me be the bearer of bad news. Studies have revealed that merely “16% of users are profitable.” More importantly, “most of these users are not human.” How bots are exactly taking your money: Speed. One bot made $313 into $438K in a month. It’s a simple trick: the bot would look at the btc price a few seconds before the price update on Polymarket by checking the price on Binance. There’s no strategy or intelligence involved: simply beating the latency of the system. Risk-Free Arbitrage It looks for markets where "YES + NO" equals less than $1. "94 cents," for example. The bot buys both sides of the market and makes off with 6 cents guaranteed. This occurs thousands of times daily. Not gambling but math. Stream parsing. In esports, the script is faster than the blink of an eye when parsing the stream for games like Dota 2 and League of Legends. A team fight appears on the screen. The bot has already placed its bets on the winner using the old odds. What is meant by the turning point of 2026? Dynamic fees were introduced on Polymarket to get rid of simple bots. But what happened? The difficulty level on this marketplace simply increased. Today, it is not only fast scripts that win. Full-on AI robots have joined this game. They read news and respond to certain events within a millisecond. But here comes the painful part: barrier to entry is dirt cheap. Virtual private servers for $60 per month. Libraries written in Python waiting on GitHub. But here’s the thing: You don’t have to create a bot of your own. All you have to do is copy those which are already winning. PolyCop helps you to track the most profitable wallets and replicate their trades automatically. No code. No infrastructure. Just tap into the wallets that are already dominating. → Copy the winners: Humans deal on intuition and vibes. Bots play on numbers and network latency. In this game, "intuition" always loses against "code." You have two choices here. You could learn how to code or you could “copy” people who have done it before you

Blaze

66,385 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

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Discover

538,087 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

WHITNEY WEBB on how Polymarket, a resurrection of DARPA's Policy Analysis Market, is key for the "privatized panopticon" and "pre-crime" PAM was also a part of DARPA's Total Information Awareness, which was resurrected into Palantir—Palantir and Polymarket are now partnered 🤯 This clip of Webb (Whitney Webb), a contributing editor of Unlimited Hangout and author of One Nation Under Blackmail, and Mark Goodwin (markgoodw.in), is taken from an episode of the Unlimited Hangout podcast posted to YouTube on July 20, 2026 ----------------Partial transcription of clip--------------- "But what was PAM? PAM was part, or the Policy Analysis Market, what these guys have been trying to resurrect, it was part of TIA, and TIA, Total Information Awareness, the goal was not just to see everything going on in the present and find anomalies, find the 'bad guys' in the, in a sea of data, of everyone's data in mass surveillance. It was to predict. It was pre-crime. "It was predictive policing on a massive scale and not— in pretty much every ambit of human life you can think of, right? And so Polymarket, because, you know, the market knows all of these Polymarket odds, just like with PAM, the odds are there to help feed the pre-crime engine. This is what will happen. Or this will not. "And we know that Polymarket bets can be rigged and that Polymarket itself puts out misinformation sometimes to make trades swing one way or the other. And that insider trading is a huge problem. And the context of, of that and as it's meant to interface with what is now Palantir is really unsettling. "And lo and behold, if you look it up, dude, it's there. Polymarket and Palantir are partners. They are partnered and they work together, for the 'market integrity.' So this has already happened and this is the Privatized Panopticon."

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54,970 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce