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🚨❗️🇷🇺 Putin is reportedly increasingly afraid of ending the war without fully seizing Donbas, telling people in his inner circle: “They’ll hang me if I don’t take Donbas,” according to The Economist, citing Kremlin insiders. The Economist says Putin decided to escalate this summer in pursuit of that objective,...

53,044 views • 2 days ago •via X (Twitter)

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❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Vladimir Putin could ultimately decide to end the war by mid-2027, but only if Ukraine survives Russia’s coming winter campaign and preserves its ability to impose growing military and economic costs deep inside Russian territory. According to The Atlantic, the Kremlin appears to be placing a major bet on the coming winter, potentially combining intensified strikes against Ukraine’s energy infrastructure with renewed offensive pressure. But if Ukraine withstands that campaign while continuing to hit Russian military and oil infrastructure, Putin’s calculations could begin to change. The publication argues that Moscow may then see an agreement with Donald Trump as preferable to continuing an increasingly costly war while risking the arrival of a considerably more pro-Ukraine U.S. president after the 2028 election. Under this scenario, mid-2027 could become a critical window for ending the war. Putin could accept most elements of Trump’s 28-point framework without requiring Ukrainian forces to withdraw from the territories they still control, seeking sanctions relief, improved relations with Washington and potentially Russia’s return to the G7. For Ukraine, the strategic equation is therefore brutally simple: survive the winter, maintain pressure deep inside Russia and deny Moscow the battlefield breakthrough it is seeking. If those conditions hold, time could begin working against the Kremlin rather than Kyiv. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

Visioner

16,834 views • 6 days ago

Russian propagandist Simonyan talks about the great sacred war that is not being fought against Ukraine. Take a listen. Putin and his inner circle have stopped talking about peace and negotiations and are raising the stakes. They speak of a "great and sacred war" against Europe and NATO. Why is this happening? It is a consequence of Russia’s failures on the Ukrainian front, where Russians are not advancing and are losing more and more soldiers - over 35,000 every month, more than they recruit - while Ukrainians are expanding the kill zone. It is the growing economic problems and the realization that Russia is heading toward collapse. It is the realization that everyone involved in the war will be punished after it ends, which means they cannot allow the war to end. Putin’s inner circle is aware of this dead-end situation. But Putin himself does not know the real picture, because people are afraid to tell him the truth. Therefore, Putin is convinced that he is winning the war. In addition, he sees that the United States is currently focused on the war in Iran and is no longer reacting to massive attacks on Ukraine and hybrid attacks in Europe. By the way, it is quite possible that the latest attack on Kyiv was organized personally for Putin - to give him the satisfaction of seeing Kyiv burning, especially after the humiliating May 9 parade in Moscow - but in reality, this attack achieved no military objectives and was a waste of millions. In this situation, with no real military successes in Ukraine, Putin’s inner circle, out of fear, may develop a desire to continue the war in a new direction - for example against the Baltic states - so that Putin stops asking about Donbas and Mala Tokmachka. The greater the defeat, the higher the stakes.

Anton Gerashchenko

403,434 views • 3 months ago

Fifth year of the full-scale war - what to expect next? According to military analyst Anders Puck Nielsen, the key dynamics of the war will be shaped less by the frontline itself and more by the state of the economy, mobilization capacity, and international support. ▪️ War of attrition reaches a critical phase Ultimately, victory will favor the side whose economic system can sustain military production, logistics, and resource mobilization for longer. ▪️ Kremlin’s strategy after the blitzkrieg failed After the failed invasion plan in 2022, Russia faced two strategic options: consolidate and declare victory, or shift to a prolonged war of attrition. Putin chose the latter, fully aware that the combined economic potential of Ukraine’s supporters far exceeds Russia’s. The Kremlin’s bet was on political will, assuming that over time Western societies might lose interest in supporting Kyiv, increasing pressure on their governments. ▪️ Challenges for the Russian economy The first years of the war saw some growth in Russia’s economy, driven mainly by sharply increased defense spending. This model is limited, and Russia is already struggling to maintain current levels of military production. As economic difficulties deepen, the defense industry will be affected, giving Ukraine an advantage in a war of attrition. ▪️ Potential negotiations One indicator of serious economic strain could be a shift in Moscow’s negotiating position. If the Kremlin is willing to discuss terms beyond its original "special military operation" objectives, it may signal significant internal pressure. ▪️ Risk of a new mass mobilization Russia has so far relied heavily on contract soldiers and volunteers motivated by high pay. But this resource is finite, and the financial burden on the budget is increasing. Recent Russian losses on the front have outpaced the recruitment of new personnel. Mass mobilization could address manpower shortages and reduce budget pressure. ▪️ Risk of protests Economic hardships and mobilization measures could spark social unrest within Russia. Protests are unlikely to target the war directly; the focus will likely be on worsening economic conditions, dissatisfaction with mobilization, and criticism of military leadership. Authorities are expected to respond with increased repression. ▪️ Situation on the frontline As resources are exhausted, Russian offensive pressure may weaken, and Ukrainian counterattacks could become more effective. If more territory is liberated than captured, it would deal a severe blow to Russia’s narrative of inevitable victory. ▪️ Expansion of hybrid warfare against Europe The Kremlin understands that support from allies is key to Ukraine’s ability to continue resisting. Moscow is likely to try to influence European public opinion through information operations, political pressure, and other hybrid warfare tools. The fifth year of the war is likely to test the economic and political endurance of both sides. Increasingly, the outcome will depend less on individual operations and more on the ability of states to sustain a prolonged confrontation. The war’s trajectory will largely hinge on Russia’s economic resilience and continued international support for Ukraine. 📹: Anders Puck Nielsen / YouTube

Anton Gerashchenko

13,713 views • 6 months ago

Lavrov whiningly accuses Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of a major breach of etiquette. Why? Because Zelenskyy had the audacity to write an open letter to putin and “actually shared it with the rest of the world”, instead of keeping it a secret. According to Lavrov, "polite people don't act that way," and because of this horrific breach of manners, putin has decided negotiating is off the table anyway. "President putin spoke in detail on this topic at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, taking into account, among other things, a long letter from Zelenskyy published the day before, which was addressed to President Putin, but for some reason was sent all over the world. That is probably not how polite people act, and the President assessed this letter rather as an indication that negotiations with Ukraine are not necessary.” Lavrov also echoed putin’s earlier statement that “it is not negotiations but the actions of those involved” on the front lines of Russia’s war “that are crucial to the outcome” of Moscow’s full-scale invasion. The Kremlin, currently busy rewriting international law and tearing up treaties, is suddenly deeply offended by a lack of diplomatic courtesy. They are using a public letter as a convenient pretext to avoid real peace talks, shifting the blame entirely onto Ukraine. Lavrov literally doubles down on putin’s stance that only brutal force on the front lines matters anyway. It’s an impressive routine: starting a full-scale war, and then complaining that the guy you invaded didn't use the proper RSVP format. Classic Kremlin gaslighting.

Yasmina

100,805 views • 2 months ago