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Putin said that Russia "historically has always treated a defeated enemy with mercy." And this is what Ukrainian Defenders who survived Russian captivity say: ◾️ Dmytro Polovian: "They forced us to walk to interrogations on broken legs; some were beaten, some were jabbed with an awl." ◾️ Andrii Tarasiuk:... show more

Anton Gerashchenko

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122,142 views • 11 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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Russian propagandist Solovyev: "Putin gave us back our Motherland." In reality, under Putin's regime: ◾️Russia started the bloodiest war on the European continent since WWII; ◾️Russia has been kicked out of G8; ◾️Putin is under a search warrant from the ICC for war crimes; ◾️Russia is allies with Iran, Taliban and North Korea; ◾️NATO's border with Russia grew twice as large; ◾️Russia is losing/lost its influence in the post-Soviet space; ◾️Russian economy is officially in stagnation; all of Russia's oil and gas earnings are spent on war; ◾️Europe is committed to no longer buy Russian oil and gas; ◾️Russia has huge demographic issues; ◾️Countless Russian towns and the people in them exist in poverty and ruins; ◾️Russia is becoming a "satellite" of China; ◾️The Russian army has suffered huge losses and is no longer regarded as the "second army in the world"; ◾️A part of the Black Sea Fleet has been destroyed; the rest is shut down in Novorossiysk; ◾️A large number of Russian regions experience gas shortages. It is due to Putin's actions that propagandist Solovyev lost his Italian villa. Has he forgotten about that?

Russian propagandist Solovyev: "Putin gave us back our Motherland." In reality, under Putin's regime: ◾️Russia started the bloodiest war on the European continent since WWII; ◾️Russia has been kicked out of G8; ◾️Putin is under a search warrant from the ICC for war crimes; ◾️Russia is allies with Iran, Taliban and North Korea; ◾️NATO's border with Russia grew twice as large; ◾️Russia is losing/lost its influence in the post-Soviet space; ◾️Russian economy is officially in stagnation; all of Russia's oil and gas earnings are spent on war; ◾️Europe is committed to no longer buy Russian oil and gas; ◾️Russia has huge demographic issues; ◾️Countless Russian towns and the people in them exist in poverty and ruins; ◾️Russia is becoming a "satellite" of China; ◾️The Russian army has suffered huge losses and is no longer regarded as the "second army in the world"; ◾️A part of the Black Sea Fleet has been destroyed; the rest is shut down in Novorossiysk; ◾️A large number of Russian regions experience gas shortages. It is due to Putin's actions that propagandist Solovyev lost his Italian villa. Has he forgotten about that?

Anton Gerashchenko

175,859 views • 11 months ago

Welcome home, Warriors! Some of them have been in Russian captivity for 30 months. Several people were sentenced by Russian courts to life imprisonment or years in prison. All will need rehabilitation and treatment after the horrors they endured in Russian captivity.

Welcome home, Warriors! Some of them have been in Russian captivity for 30 months. Several people were sentenced by Russian courts to life imprisonment or years in prison. All will need rehabilitation and treatment after the horrors they endured in Russian captivity.

Anton Gerashchenko

206,883 views • 1 year ago

Prime Minister of Belgium Bart De Wever on frozen Russian assets: ◾️The Russian assets will remain immobilized until the end of the war. ◾️Let me be very clear about this. If it were up to me, every single euro of that money would be used for reparations and for the reconstruction of Ukraine. I would be very sad to see even one euro returned to Moscow. ◾️We also have to face a difficult truth: not all European countries are equally pro-Ukrainian. At some point, some may say they no longer want to prolong sanctions. If that happens, the assets would have to be released immediately. ◾️We are not at war with Russia. Europe is not at war with Russia. ◾️You cannot simply confiscate money — that is an act of war, and it should not be underestimated. It has never happened in history. Even during the Second World War, immobilized assets were never confiscated.

Prime Minister of Belgium Bart De Wever on frozen Russian assets: ◾️The Russian assets will remain immobilized until the end of the war. ◾️Let me be very clear about this. If it were up to me, every single euro of that money would be used for reparations and for the reconstruction of Ukraine. I would be very sad to see even one euro returned to Moscow. ◾️We also have to face a difficult truth: not all European countries are equally pro-Ukrainian. At some point, some may say they no longer want to prolong sanctions. If that happens, the assets would have to be released immediately. ◾️We are not at war with Russia. Europe is not at war with Russia. ◾️You cannot simply confiscate money — that is an act of war, and it should not be underestimated. It has never happened in history. Even during the Second World War, immobilized assets were never confiscated.

Anton Gerashchenko

272,502 views • 8 months ago

Russian soldier and collaborator Gubarev said: ◾️“Ukrainians and Russians shouldn’t be killing each other. They need to find a common enemy and wage wars against it.” Any ideas of who that “enemy” can be, according to Russian thinking? ◾️Russians believe they ALWAYS need to invade other countries because they think an army becomes weaker without ground combat experience. This means that, in their view, US and European armies are NOT as strong as they are. ◾️He said they would kill a million, five million, or even the entire nation if Ukrainians don’t share their views. ◾️He adds that he tried to speak in a “friendly” way with locals in Kyiv region after destroying everything they had and burning their house down. And if people don’t believe the Russian version of reality after that, they should “take up arms and die.” ◾️He said that Ukrainians are Russians who are possessed by the demon.

Russian soldier and collaborator Gubarev said: ◾️“Ukrainians and Russians shouldn’t be killing each other. They need to find a common enemy and wage wars against it.” Any ideas of who that “enemy” can be, according to Russian thinking? ◾️Russians believe they ALWAYS need to invade other countries because they think an army becomes weaker without ground combat experience. This means that, in their view, US and European armies are NOT as strong as they are. ◾️He said they would kill a million, five million, or even the entire nation if Ukrainians don’t share their views. ◾️He adds that he tried to speak in a “friendly” way with locals in Kyiv region after destroying everything they had and burning their house down. And if people don’t believe the Russian version of reality after that, they should “take up arms and die.” ◾️He said that Ukrainians are Russians who are possessed by the demon.

Victoria

24,741 views • 5 months ago

I’m surprised how many people were completely unaware that the CIA were openly sharing intelligence with Ukraine. Most of the country have no idea that Ukraine is a proxy of the US. They use our money, weapons, equipment, training, intelligence, etc. The only thing that makes the Ukrainian army Ukrainian, is that they are using Ukrainian bodies instead of American ones. Thats it. Everything else in the Ukrainian military is a US/NATO product. Ukraine’s military is an army that the US/NATO built for fighting Russia indirectly. They are a pawn on a chess board, and the US/NATO view them as dispensable. That’s why Putin escalated in 2014 when the US conducted regime change in Ukraine. He knew what the US were up to. He knew the US were planning to build an army on his border. An army designed to fight Russia. He was right. Flashback to 2016, when corrupt US politicians, Graham, Klobuchar, and McCain, were in Ukraine telling the Ukrainian soldiers that the US will provide them with everything they need to go on the offensive and fight Russia. Most people around the world have no idea that the US started this war.

I’m surprised how many people were completely unaware that the CIA were openly sharing intelligence with Ukraine. Most of the country have no idea that Ukraine is a proxy of the US. They use our money, weapons, equipment, training, intelligence, etc. The only thing that makes the Ukrainian army Ukrainian, is that they are using Ukrainian bodies instead of American ones. Thats it. Everything else in the Ukrainian military is a US/NATO product. Ukraine’s military is an army that the US/NATO built for fighting Russia indirectly. They are a pawn on a chess board, and the US/NATO view them as dispensable. That’s why Putin escalated in 2014 when the US conducted regime change in Ukraine. He knew what the US were up to. He knew the US were planning to build an army on his border. An army designed to fight Russia. He was right. Flashback to 2016, when corrupt US politicians, Graham, Klobuchar, and McCain, were in Ukraine telling the Ukrainian soldiers that the US will provide them with everything they need to go on the offensive and fight Russia. Most people around the world have no idea that the US started this war.

Clandestine

756,827 views • 1 year ago

Peskov gave out a set of statements reflecting Russia's current view of events: ◾️Putin did not invite Donald Trump to the parade in Moscow. ◾️No reaction from Ukraine is required for the May 9 ceasefire. "This is a decision of the Russian head of state, and it will be implemented." ◾️One phone call between Putin and Trump can hardly heal the global situation, as the concentration of conflicts in the world is high. ◾️Putin completely trusts the economic statistics published in the Russian Federation; ◾️There is a trend of GDP decline, the President and the Cabinet of Ministers are making decisions to change it; ◾️Russia is present in Mali due to the necessity declared by the current authorities of that country and will continue to provide assistance; ◾️The Russian Federation will continue the fight against terrorism, extremism, and other negative manifestations, including in Mali; ◾️The decision on a ceasefire in the Ukrainian conflict for Victory Day will be made by Vladimir Putin - at the moment, possible times and dates have not been determined. Moscow has not heard Kyiv's reaction to the truce initiative for Victory Day;

Peskov gave out a set of statements reflecting Russia's current view of events: ◾️Putin did not invite Donald Trump to the parade in Moscow. ◾️No reaction from Ukraine is required for the May 9 ceasefire. "This is a decision of the Russian head of state, and it will be implemented." ◾️One phone call between Putin and Trump can hardly heal the global situation, as the concentration of conflicts in the world is high. ◾️Putin completely trusts the economic statistics published in the Russian Federation; ◾️There is a trend of GDP decline, the President and the Cabinet of Ministers are making decisions to change it; ◾️Russia is present in Mali due to the necessity declared by the current authorities of that country and will continue to provide assistance; ◾️The Russian Federation will continue the fight against terrorism, extremism, and other negative manifestations, including in Mali; ◾️The decision on a ceasefire in the Ukrainian conflict for Victory Day will be made by Vladimir Putin - at the moment, possible times and dates have not been determined. Moscow has not heard Kyiv's reaction to the truce initiative for Victory Day;

Anton Gerashchenko

76,355 views • 4 months ago

Gen. Christopher Cavoli, head of the United States European Command, spoke about the Ukraine-Russia war at a Senate hearing and gave an overview of the general situation on the battlefield (second half of the video). Several points: ◾️The US didn't anticipate Russian losses of that scale back in February 2022, nor did they think the war would last that long. ◾️The quality of the Russian military force, especially their ground force, has been decreasing - although they have some isolated areas of strength. With Ukrainian Forces, it is the other way around. ◾️If NATO had to face Russia now, its positions would be "exponentially better" due to lessons learned in the last two and a half years. ◾️The Russian economy has a very overheated military sector and a "swamped" civil sector.

Gen. Christopher Cavoli, head of the United States European Command, spoke about the Ukraine-Russia war at a Senate hearing and gave an overview of the general situation on the battlefield (second half of the video). Several points: ◾️The US didn't anticipate Russian losses of that scale back in February 2022, nor did they think the war would last that long. ◾️The quality of the Russian military force, especially their ground force, has been decreasing - although they have some isolated areas of strength. With Ukrainian Forces, it is the other way around. ◾️If NATO had to face Russia now, its positions would be "exponentially better" due to lessons learned in the last two and a half years. ◾️The Russian economy has a very overheated military sector and a "swamped" civil sector.

Anton Gerashchenko

253,630 views • 1 year ago

Russian clown Peskov: "We have problems with Poland and Baltic states. For some reason, they are always afraid of us, they demonize us. Everyone who comes to power there begins to hate Russia and the Russians." For some reason? 🤡 FOR SOME REASON. 😂🤡😂🤡

Russian clown Peskov: "We have problems with Poland and Baltic states. For some reason, they are always afraid of us, they demonize us. Everyone who comes to power there begins to hate Russia and the Russians." For some reason? 🤡 FOR SOME REASON. 😂🤡😂🤡

Kate from Kharkiv

693,811 views • 8 months ago

Lavrov: The only thing that is probably fair to say is that all smiles and hugs of Europeans toward Russian representatives before the Ukrainian crisis were just an act. They pretended to be benevolent, but in reality, they always wanted harm and misfortune for Russia. Unfortunately, this 'historical code' has not disappeared. Aggressiveness with a Russophobic accent continues to exist in Europe.

Lavrov: The only thing that is probably fair to say is that all smiles and hugs of Europeans toward Russian representatives before the Ukrainian crisis were just an act. They pretended to be benevolent, but in reality, they always wanted harm and misfortune for Russia. Unfortunately, this 'historical code' has not disappeared. Aggressiveness with a Russophobic accent continues to exist in Europe.

Anton Gerashchenko

231,339 views • 10 months ago

Limiting the size of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to 800,000 troops is acceptable for Ukraine, AFU's Commander-in-Chief, Oleksandr Syrskyi, said. "It really guarantees repelling armed aggression in case of its resumption. This figure also guarantees a planned mobilization process. At first, we were offered to reduce the number of our servicemen to 600,000. But we are satisfied with the figure of 800,000," he said in an interview with Channel 24. Other statements by the Commander-in-Chief: ◾️ Russia planned to fully achieve all the goals of the so-called 'SMO' this year. The plans were grandiose. But we can now state that they did not come to fruition; they were thwarted. The enemy suffered enormous losses. ◾️ We see a change in the structure of the war and its rise to a higher technological level. We observe that the war has become so technologically advanced that drones of all types now dominate the battlefield. Their quantity and quality have increased. ◾️ Russians planned to form 14 new divisions this year. They only managed to form 7, with two marine divisions consisting of only one regiment. They were forced to take these divisions' personnel and redistribute them into battle units. This confirms that they really do have problems recruiting people. ◾️ I recently met with the Chief of the Defense Staff of the UK and the Chief of the General Staff of France. So, the vector has changed. We are being asked to help train their armies and their units. I believe this is the highest praise, when it is no longer us asking, but others turning to us. I am told that we are the first in Europe, and probably in the world. ◾️ Some people are shouting about the insane advance of Russian troops deep into [Ukrainian] territory. Insane advance... Is 4.5 kilometers a month an insane advance, when the enemy pays for it every day with thousands of the lives of its soldiers? ◾️ A contract system has been developed whereby a serviceman who signs a contract with very flexible terms will receive a decent money allowance. It is at least three times higher than the current established level. At the same time, additional payments, bonuses, and financial support will be preserved. ◾️ The mission of our Armed Forces remains unchanged: to defend our homeland, its territory and borders, and to destroy the enemy.

Limiting the size of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to 800,000 troops is acceptable for Ukraine, AFU's Commander-in-Chief, Oleksandr Syrskyi, said. "It really guarantees repelling armed aggression in case of its resumption. This figure also guarantees a planned mobilization process. At first, we were offered to reduce the number of our servicemen to 600,000. But we are satisfied with the figure of 800,000," he said in an interview with Channel 24. Other statements by the Commander-in-Chief: ◾️ Russia planned to fully achieve all the goals of the so-called 'SMO' this year. The plans were grandiose. But we can now state that they did not come to fruition; they were thwarted. The enemy suffered enormous losses. ◾️ We see a change in the structure of the war and its rise to a higher technological level. We observe that the war has become so technologically advanced that drones of all types now dominate the battlefield. Their quantity and quality have increased. ◾️ Russians planned to form 14 new divisions this year. They only managed to form 7, with two marine divisions consisting of only one regiment. They were forced to take these divisions' personnel and redistribute them into battle units. This confirms that they really do have problems recruiting people. ◾️ I recently met with the Chief of the Defense Staff of the UK and the Chief of the General Staff of France. So, the vector has changed. We are being asked to help train their armies and their units. I believe this is the highest praise, when it is no longer us asking, but others turning to us. I am told that we are the first in Europe, and probably in the world. ◾️ Some people are shouting about the insane advance of Russian troops deep into [Ukrainian] territory. Insane advance... Is 4.5 kilometers a month an insane advance, when the enemy pays for it every day with thousands of the lives of its soldiers? ◾️ A contract system has been developed whereby a serviceman who signs a contract with very flexible terms will receive a decent money allowance. It is at least three times higher than the current established level. At the same time, additional payments, bonuses, and financial support will be preserved. ◾️ The mission of our Armed Forces remains unchanged: to defend our homeland, its territory and borders, and to destroy the enemy.

Anton Gerashchenko

65,857 views • 9 months ago

Three years ago, Azovstal Defenders surrendered into Russian captivity. They defended Mariupol and Azovstal for 86 days. Over 800 Defenders from Azov are still captives of Russia, three years later. Russia is very reluctant to exchange them. I remember those days so well. I remember how Ukraine and the world watched the heroism of Azovstal and prayed for our Defenders. How I rushed to subtitle all the videos from there and share them with you (I wonder if anyone has been following me since those early days?) Every weekend, there are many rallies all over Ukraine to free Ukrainian Defenders who are in Russian captivity, including Azov (the video shows one of them in Kyiv). You will see posters and stickers saying Free Azov in many cafes and restaurants in Kyiv. Hoping and praying that Azov Warriors and all Ukrainian Defenders return home soon from Russian captivity.

Three years ago, Azovstal Defenders surrendered into Russian captivity. They defended Mariupol and Azovstal for 86 days. Over 800 Defenders from Azov are still captives of Russia, three years later. Russia is very reluctant to exchange them. I remember those days so well. I remember how Ukraine and the world watched the heroism of Azovstal and prayed for our Defenders. How I rushed to subtitle all the videos from there and share them with you (I wonder if anyone has been following me since those early days?) Every weekend, there are many rallies all over Ukraine to free Ukrainian Defenders who are in Russian captivity, including Azov (the video shows one of them in Kyiv). You will see posters and stickers saying Free Azov in many cafes and restaurants in Kyiv. Hoping and praying that Azov Warriors and all Ukrainian Defenders return home soon from Russian captivity.

Anton Gerashchenko

37,343 views • 1 year ago

The 225th Assault Regiment of Ukraine has captured 64 Russian soldiers. They were supposed to inflitrate into the Ukrainian rear, look for drone crews, gather information and such. Instead, they will help Ukraine free some of our people who are suffering in Russian captivity.

The 225th Assault Regiment of Ukraine has captured 64 Russian soldiers. They were supposed to inflitrate into the Ukrainian rear, look for drone crews, gather information and such. Instead, they will help Ukraine free some of our people who are suffering in Russian captivity.

Anton Gerashchenko

87,148 views • 2 months ago

Ukraine managed to free civilians and military personnel who had been detained in the Russian-occupied territories, even before the Russian full-scale invasion, and wrongfully sentenced to long prison terms - from 10 to 18 years. One of those released had spent 4,013 days in captivity. He was taken prisoner in the Donetsk region back in 2014. ◾️Ukrainians who were captured and convicted by the Russians between 2016 and 2021 are also returning to Ukraine. Among those freed are three women from Donetsk and Luhansk regions. One of them is a primary school teacher who was imprisoned in 2019. ◾️Among the Ukrainian civilians released today is a 27-year-old man who was wrongfully imprisoned by the Russians in 2016. At the time, he was only 18 years old. ◾️In addition to civilians, Defenders from the Mariupol garrison, Navy soldiers, and border guards are also returning home. Ten officers were rescued from captivity. ◾️Two pairs of brothers, who had been held captive since March and April 2022, are returning from Russian captivity. ◾️Most of the freed civilians and military personnel have health problems and disabilities. ◾️The youngest of those released is 26, while the oldest is 74 years old, seven of which (since 2018) he had spent in a Russian prison. 📹: State Border Guard Service of Ukraine

Ukraine managed to free civilians and military personnel who had been detained in the Russian-occupied territories, even before the Russian full-scale invasion, and wrongfully sentenced to long prison terms - from 10 to 18 years. One of those released had spent 4,013 days in captivity. He was taken prisoner in the Donetsk region back in 2014. ◾️Ukrainians who were captured and convicted by the Russians between 2016 and 2021 are also returning to Ukraine. Among those freed are three women from Donetsk and Luhansk regions. One of them is a primary school teacher who was imprisoned in 2019. ◾️Among the Ukrainian civilians released today is a 27-year-old man who was wrongfully imprisoned by the Russians in 2016. At the time, he was only 18 years old. ◾️In addition to civilians, Defenders from the Mariupol garrison, Navy soldiers, and border guards are also returning home. Ten officers were rescued from captivity. ◾️Two pairs of brothers, who had been held captive since March and April 2022, are returning from Russian captivity. ◾️Most of the freed civilians and military personnel have health problems and disabilities. ◾️The youngest of those released is 26, while the oldest is 74 years old, seven of which (since 2018) he had spent in a Russian prison. 📹: State Border Guard Service of Ukraine

Anton Gerashchenko

51,171 views • 1 year ago

Ukrainian defenders who were seriously injured in the russian war and lost their legs learn to walk - and even hike! - with prostheses. That's what an unbreakable Ukrainian spirit is! Thank you, brave men, for our freedom Video: Oleksandr Shvetsov

Ukrainian defenders who were seriously injured in the russian war and lost their legs learn to walk - and even hike! - with prostheses. That's what an unbreakable Ukrainian spirit is! Thank you, brave men, for our freedom Video: Oleksandr Shvetsov

Olena Halushka

221,680 views • 3 years ago

Where we are now and what can we expect in the coming months within the context of Russia's war in Ukraine: ◾️Ukraine and the world continue to await tensely for the results of the US elections. In the meantime, Ukraine and Russia continue active diplomatic actions to consolidate support for their allies. ◾️ Russia's primary focus is on discrediting Ukraine in the West, dividing our allies, and interfering in the US elections to divide Americans and increase instability. ◾️ During his visit to the US, President Zelensky met with President Biden and had meetings with presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. ◾️ Ukraine continues to destroy Russian military depots and military logistics; Ukraine produces its own drones and other weapons. ◾️ Russia increases its weapons and drones production as much as it can, despite sanctions. It uses weapons supplied by Russian allies - Iran and North Korea. There are reports that production of Russian Shahed drones has exceeded Russian original plans. ◾️ Russia is intensifying its strikes on Ukrainian cities, deliberately targeting apartment blocks, hospitals, and nursing homes. Its main purpose is to cause as much panic as possible, intimidate Ukrainians, and force them to leave their lands and homes. Strikes are unfortunately likely to continue, especially for Sumy and Kharkiv. Zaporizhzhia is now within the range of Russian KAB bombs, so it is likely to be under constant strikes as well. ◾️Despite the lack of "cannon fodder", Putin doesn't dare yet to announce open mobilization in Russia and increases hidden mobilization instead: increases payments for signing army contracts and recruits soldiers from other countries, including countries of Africa. Russia is increasing its presence there at an alarming rate which is very dangerous for this region. ◾️ In the coming month, the Russians will probably try to solve the "Kursk issue" at any cost. The "deadline" is likely set before the US elections at most but a desirable timeline for them is before the BRICS summit in Kazan (22-24 October) - to demonstrate to the BRICS guests that Russia is in control of the situation and is a serious partner. Otherwise, the situation when a part of Russia's territory is under Ukrainian control (when Putin had the intention to capture Ukraine "in three days" almost three years ago), is rather humiliating for Russia. During August and September, Russians have accumulated forces, have reformed and will now try to counterattack our troops. How the situation in Kursk region will develop depends on many factors and on the decisions that AFU leaders will make. ◾️ One of the key elements of these upcoming months are the elections in Moldova and Georgia at the end of October, where the influence of Russia and pro-Russian forces is enormous. ◾️We are likely to hear increased nuclear threats and other escalation rhetoric from Russia. ◾️Ukraine will face further problems due to electricity shortage. ◾️ Due to the escalation in the Middle East and the US elections, Ukraine is fading from the information field, which Russia is actively using, knowing that its crimes against Ukrainian civilians will not make the headlines in the Western media. Accordingly, many people outside Ukraine have the impression that the situation is getting better. But this is not the case at all: the situation is very tough and complicated. And it will continue to get worse. The largest war in Europe since the Second World War continues to rage on. The whole world is waiting for the US elections. The situation of strategic uncertainty will last at least until November. It is crucial to go through this period with a cool head, keeping the focus on Ukraine and showing Russia that the West does not withdraw its support. I'd like to end with a reminder of these Putin's words, which he said in June 2024. Nothing has changed for him: he intends to wage a war until the end. And it must become his own end.

Where we are now and what can we expect in the coming months within the context of Russia's war in Ukraine: ◾️Ukraine and the world continue to await tensely for the results of the US elections. In the meantime, Ukraine and Russia continue active diplomatic actions to consolidate support for their allies. ◾️ Russia's primary focus is on discrediting Ukraine in the West, dividing our allies, and interfering in the US elections to divide Americans and increase instability. ◾️ During his visit to the US, President Zelensky met with President Biden and had meetings with presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. ◾️ Ukraine continues to destroy Russian military depots and military logistics; Ukraine produces its own drones and other weapons. ◾️ Russia increases its weapons and drones production as much as it can, despite sanctions. It uses weapons supplied by Russian allies - Iran and North Korea. There are reports that production of Russian Shahed drones has exceeded Russian original plans. ◾️ Russia is intensifying its strikes on Ukrainian cities, deliberately targeting apartment blocks, hospitals, and nursing homes. Its main purpose is to cause as much panic as possible, intimidate Ukrainians, and force them to leave their lands and homes. Strikes are unfortunately likely to continue, especially for Sumy and Kharkiv. Zaporizhzhia is now within the range of Russian KAB bombs, so it is likely to be under constant strikes as well. ◾️Despite the lack of "cannon fodder", Putin doesn't dare yet to announce open mobilization in Russia and increases hidden mobilization instead: increases payments for signing army contracts and recruits soldiers from other countries, including countries of Africa. Russia is increasing its presence there at an alarming rate which is very dangerous for this region. ◾️ In the coming month, the Russians will probably try to solve the "Kursk issue" at any cost. The "deadline" is likely set before the US elections at most but a desirable timeline for them is before the BRICS summit in Kazan (22-24 October) - to demonstrate to the BRICS guests that Russia is in control of the situation and is a serious partner. Otherwise, the situation when a part of Russia's territory is under Ukrainian control (when Putin had the intention to capture Ukraine "in three days" almost three years ago), is rather humiliating for Russia. During August and September, Russians have accumulated forces, have reformed and will now try to counterattack our troops. How the situation in Kursk region will develop depends on many factors and on the decisions that AFU leaders will make. ◾️ One of the key elements of these upcoming months are the elections in Moldova and Georgia at the end of October, where the influence of Russia and pro-Russian forces is enormous. ◾️We are likely to hear increased nuclear threats and other escalation rhetoric from Russia. ◾️Ukraine will face further problems due to electricity shortage. ◾️ Due to the escalation in the Middle East and the US elections, Ukraine is fading from the information field, which Russia is actively using, knowing that its crimes against Ukrainian civilians will not make the headlines in the Western media. Accordingly, many people outside Ukraine have the impression that the situation is getting better. But this is not the case at all: the situation is very tough and complicated. And it will continue to get worse. The largest war in Europe since the Second World War continues to rage on. The whole world is waiting for the US elections. The situation of strategic uncertainty will last at least until November. It is crucial to go through this period with a cool head, keeping the focus on Ukraine and showing Russia that the West does not withdraw its support. I'd like to end with a reminder of these Putin's words, which he said in June 2024. Nothing has changed for him: he intends to wage a war until the end. And it must become his own end.

Anton Gerashchenko

166,479 views • 2 years ago

President Trump announced reciprocal tariffs. Russia was not included in that list. Officially, the US stated that the new US tariffs do not apply to Belarus, Cuba, the DPRK, and Russia. The White House said that these countries are already subject to "extremely high duties" and that the sanctions prevent significant trade with them. However, this may also be part of Trump's negotiation strategy: ◾️ Either you agree to some kind of peace format, or the 500% tariffs promised by Lindsey Graham will be imposed on all goods from countries that buy Russian oil. ◾️ The United States and Russia might be close to a possible signing of an agreement on "rare earth metals," which would not only allow American funds to enter Russian energy production, but also create trading houses for the sale of Russian sanctioned goods, primarily in the EU. This is a complicated process, as it requires the approval of the EU in the first place. But now, having imposed duties on EU goods, Trump can use it. ◾️ In the coming months, the EU will be negotiating with the US on tariffs, security and support for Ukraine. ◾️ Putin's actions suggest that he is going to continue the war. The main negotiating factor for Putin remains the subsoil deal. The situation is getting more complicated.

President Trump announced reciprocal tariffs. Russia was not included in that list. Officially, the US stated that the new US tariffs do not apply to Belarus, Cuba, the DPRK, and Russia. The White House said that these countries are already subject to "extremely high duties" and that the sanctions prevent significant trade with them. However, this may also be part of Trump's negotiation strategy: ◾️ Either you agree to some kind of peace format, or the 500% tariffs promised by Lindsey Graham will be imposed on all goods from countries that buy Russian oil. ◾️ The United States and Russia might be close to a possible signing of an agreement on "rare earth metals," which would not only allow American funds to enter Russian energy production, but also create trading houses for the sale of Russian sanctioned goods, primarily in the EU. This is a complicated process, as it requires the approval of the EU in the first place. But now, having imposed duties on EU goods, Trump can use it. ◾️ In the coming months, the EU will be negotiating with the US on tariffs, security and support for Ukraine. ◾️ Putin's actions suggest that he is going to continue the war. The main negotiating factor for Putin remains the subsoil deal. The situation is getting more complicated.

Anton Gerashchenko

439,299 views • 1 year ago