Video wird geladen...

Video konnte nicht geladen werden

Zur Startseite

Ray Dalio: "Global monetary order is breaking down." Yields have been rising, and now the world's biggest sovereign wealth fund is selling US bonds. They obviously think that the US can't pay all the debt without devaluing the dollar, so they don't see attractive real returns.

371,999 Aufrufe • vor 7 Tagen •via X (Twitter)

28 Kommentare

Profilbild von عباس المغني
عباس المغنيvor 6 Tagen

السؤال الأهم: ما البديل؟ الصناديق السيادية تدير مئات المليارات والتريليونات، ولا تستطيع ببساطة بيع الدولار والسندات ووضع الأموال في الذهب. الذهب يحفظ القيمة لكنه لا يولد عائدًا نقديًا، وأسواق السندات باليورو والين لا تملك مجتمعةً الخصائص نفسها من العمق والسيولة، والأسهم والعقار يضيفان مخاطر مختلفة. واللافت أن صندوق النرويج نفسه يقترح خفض سندات الخزانة الأميركية، لكنه لا يهرب من الدولار؛ بل ينقل جزءًا من الأموال إلى أصول دولارية أميركية أخرى. لذلك ربما القضية ليست «نهاية الدولار».. بل أن المستثمر الكبير أصبح يبحث عن طريقة لتنويع مخاطر الدولار، من دون أن يجد حتى الآن بديلًا كاملًا عنه.

Profilbild von Morten T
Morten Tvor 6 Tagen

Global monetary order is NOT breaking down. It is moving away from the US.

Profilbild von Neil G
Neil Gvor 7 Tagen

@howardlutnick This is real. We can see what the August numbers amount to, dummy. 2nd worst August in 10 years. July was a bust. The YoY sucks. Even Biden's numbers were better. We still remember the war over sign in Iraq and the 29 times fat body trump said the Iran war was over. Celebrating to soon? 😂

Profilbild von Andre
Andrevor 7 Tagen

With all these arguments, he is still against BTC. Cannot understand him…

Profilbild von El Gallo
El Gallovor 7 Tagen

I being listening to Dalio for a long time…so far lots of noise only… maybe he will be right at one point the question is what to do wile waiting… the key to me is to learn to be long but always hedging for insurance even at the cost of underperforming vs SPY…

Profilbild von Kaval
Kavalvor 7 Tagen

Le fonds norvégien ne quitte pas vraiment le dollar : il réduit surtout les Treasuries pour aller vers du crédit US et des MBS. L’exposition globale au USD reste autour de 52 %. C’est plus un arbitrage de rendement et de liquidité qu’un “on vend l’Amérique”. Le signal compte plus que les 80 milliards. Le vrai test, c’est si d’autres gros fonds suivent.

Profilbild von El Comitente
El Comitentevor 6 Tagen

Hace 10 años que Ray Dalio viene diciendo que va a haber un cambio de orden mundial y que todo el sistema financiero colapsará. Eventualmente con las décadas algo fuerte va a pasar, lo va a adaptar a su discurso, y va a decir "se los advertí". Menos mal no hice short estos años.

Profilbild von What the hell are we into
What the hell are we intovor 6 Tagen

A controlled USD devaluation makes the real value of existing U.S. debt smaller, boosts tax revenues through inflation and export growth, and reduces the effective burden of deficit financing — but it also raises risks.

Profilbild von Tema Ultra
Tema Ultravor 6 Tagen

order is shifting towards decentralized global financial structure

Profilbild von Jay
Jayvor 5 Tagen

Western banking needs to fail! F all this feminism multicultural BS

Profilbild von Share_Trader
Share_Tradervor 6 Tagen

Some very smart people work for Norges Investment bank. One of them is Martin Prozesky. If you can't outsmart them, then join them. If they sell $ then I pay attention.

Profilbild von Vishal Saxena
Vishal Saxenavor 6 Tagen

BS argument. Most of them are getting peanuts, 1-2% when the current rates are 5%. They will come back to T-bonds on rates they think are fit, ~6%.

Profilbild von Md Fahim
Md Fahimvor 7 Tagen

Wow, that's a lot to take in. Sounds like some big shifts are happening.

Profilbild von Gnosys
Gnosysvor 6 Tagen

It's a fundamental re-evaluation of risk premiums and currency stability. That capital flight from perceived safe havens signals a major structural shift. Period.

Profilbild von Eduardo L.
Eduardo L.vor 7 Tagen

Excellent point about real returns. When the largest sovereign fund cuts US exposure while yields rise, capital is telling us where it wants to be. For me, the UAE's zero income and capital gains tax makes it the natural fit.

Profilbild von Gordon
Gordonvor 6 Tagen

Promise to pay in resources.. turn the USA into a natural resource refining powerhouse. Base value comes from material.

Profilbild von Jake
Jakevor 6 Tagen

Gold is used in industry if it’s a million an ounce industry suffers and there’s not enough gold a tiny flake will be your life’s earnings America has more gold than anybody

Profilbild von Fernando David
Fernando Davidvor 6 Tagen

The shift away from US debt is becoming harder to ignore. The real question is whether this is diversification or the beginning of a deeper loss of confidence.

Profilbild von Tommy Grady
Tommy Gradyvor 6 Tagen

With 8 billion humans, 30 billion farm animals, & 1 billion pets devouring 1.7 Earth resources per year scarcity inflation cannot be stopped! If the FED raises, lowers, or does nothing with interest rates globalization collapses! A population bubble with resource shortages got us

Profilbild von Henry
Henryvor 6 Tagen

@grok when is this interview

Profilbild von BJJ20230907
BJJ20230907vor 6 Tagen

All because of the orange child

Profilbild von racer
racervor 6 Tagen

That’s the part that matters most

Profilbild von Jasper Saberi
Jasper Saberivor 6 Tagen

This sounds like a reasonable explanation. This is the bond market exerting a disciplinary influence on US fiscal and monetary policy, fiscal policy in particular.

Profilbild von petepro
peteprovor 6 Tagen

The debt is a problem. But the real loss of confidence is in the current administration

Profilbild von Andrea Lisi, CFA
Andrea Lisi, CFAvor 7 Tagen

He is right

Profilbild von Nattapong Tangpinit
Nattapong Tangpinitvor 6 Tagen

Yup, it seems like folks are getting edgy about the debt situation and expecting some kind of collapse or devaluation at this point!.

Profilbild von B
Bvor 6 Tagen

What country can pay down its debt? *crickets*

Profilbild von John Packer
John Packervor 5 Tagen

Crystal clear. Plus add de-dollarization including trading oil in non-USDs plus global trade diversification away from 🇺🇸. Too many $s and declining value. Vicious circle!🤷‍♂️

Ähnliche Videos

Ray Dalio explains how financial repression begins once the debt problem gets out of control. It starts with a simple reality: One man’s debt is another man’s asset. Government debt is not just a liability for the government. It is also the asset sitting inside pension funds, banks, insurance companies, foreign reserves and portfolios. But here is the problem. If those bonds do not offer a good real return after inflation, investors stop wanting them. So yields rise. And when yields rise, the government’s debt burden becomes even harder to manage. That is the trap. At some point, the system cannot tolerate true market-priced interest rates anymore. So policy steps in. The Treasury keeps issuing debt. The Fed is pressured to help absorb it or suppress yields. Inflation is allowed to run above bond returns. Taxes on capital and wealth rise. And savers are slowly paid back in money that buys less. This is financial repression. It does not look like default on paper. But in real purchasing power terms, it is a slow default on savers. That is why Dalio keeps pointing toward gold. Because when bonds stop protecting real wealth, capital starts looking for assets outside the paper promise system. The core message is simple: The government needs cheap funding. Investors need real returns. Both cannot win at the same time. And historically, when the debt burden becomes too large, policy chooses the debtor over the saver.

Macro Liquidity by Sunil Reddy

11,723 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨Peter Schiff: China🇨🇳 is silently dumping the dollar, a US🇺🇸 dollar crisis is coming soon! ‘China is gradually weaning themselves off of the dollar. That’s why, if you look at their holdings of US Treasuries, they’ve actually gone down a bit over the years. If you look at all the new Treasuries we’ve issued over the years, the fact that the Chinese haven’t bought any of them is a big deal because they used to be a main buyer of these assets. Instead of buying more Treasuries, they’ve bought more gold. So if you look at US dollar debt as a percentage of all the reserves the Chinese own, Treasuries are a much smaller percentage of their total reserves than they once were, especially if you consider the appreciation of gold. I would guess the reason they’re not moving more dramatically is because they probably don’t want to cause a crash, the dollar to implode, the Treasury market to implode, because they are trying to sell and want to get a decent price. So I think they’re happy to slowly bleed it off to try to get that good price. They just have to worry about the impact on the dollar, because if they try to dump too many dollars at once, the dollar could go down, and especially if a lot of other countries see that and want to get out. There could be a run on the dollar. If all the holders decide they want to get out, they don’t want to be the last one holding the dollar, and so it becomes a rush, and we could be in a US dollar crisis relatively soon anyway… I think we’re heading for a real crisis in the US, and I think countries that are smart would be trying to get ahead of that by selling whatever they can, as quietly as they can, out of US dollars and any US dollar-denominated debt.’ -Peter Schiff on Going Underground

Afshin Rattansi

107,856 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten