Reality check: Dems are way behind their 2006 & 2018 pace on the generic ballot at this point in the cycle. Ahead by only 2 pt vs. 7 pt in 2006/2018 cycles. Seat-by-seat analysis actually reveals more GOP pickup opportunities than Dems! Very much unlike 2006 & 2018 at... this pt.show more

Going to be a very, very, very long time before Dems can ever hope to have a Senate majority leader again

@josh_hammer This is crazy considering how Trump seems to be sabotaging the GOP at almost every move.

Seems likely that Red is going to continue winning, because any talk of Red Regret just ain't true. In fact, I'd guess Blues Going Red is more likely for some percent. Let's not pretend some blues don't like what's going on and want many of the same things reds voted for.

@asymmetricinfo

We all get to pay tariffs forever because Biden and Trump killed the Democratic party. Seems like it should be able to pull together a moderate opposition coalition, but seems not.

Endogeneity: the more Dems believe the wave is an automatic thing, the more they relax and trust in the wave, and thereby make the wave less likely to happen. ( ...or it could be something else. But endogeneity is always a fun hypothesis.)

@Alicia_Smith19 @xviddl download this

Shh @barnes_law and @Peoples_Pundit and @honestpollster assured me