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🇮🇷 REGIME CHANGE PLAN COLLIDES WITH REALITY Glenn Diesen says mass protests in Iran are backing the government, not toppling it, undermining expectations of internal collapse. He warns that arming Kurdish proxies risks provoking Turkey, which has repeatedly clashed with Washington over Kurdish forces and may see this as... show more

Mario Nawfal

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79,343 views • 5 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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$🚨🇮🇷 PROXY WAR MEANS BREAKING IRAN, NOT REPLACING IT Glenn Diesen says arming Kurdish groups signals a shift from decapitation to fragmentation, using proxies to fracture Iran from within. He argues there is no viable replacement government waiting in the wings, meaning collapse would likely mean civil war in a country of 90 million, with shockwaves across the region. Glenn Diesen$

🚨🇮🇷 PROXY WAR MEANS BREAKING IRAN, NOT REPLACING IT Glenn Diesen says arming Kurdish groups signals a shift from decapitation to fragmentation, using proxies to fracture Iran from within. He argues there is no viable replacement government waiting in the wings, meaning collapse would likely mean civil war in a country of 90 million, with shockwaves across the region. Glenn Diesen

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🇮🇷🇮🇱 A REGIME CHANGE IN IRAN WOULD SERVE ISRAELI EXPANSIONISM Prof. Glenn Diesen believes Gulf states have urged the U.S. to pursue a diplomatic route with Iran because they fear Iran’s collapse could allow Israel to annex territory across the Middle East. He fears that, in such a scenario, Israel could expand the kind of rule it has imposed on Gaza across the region. Full debate between Glenn Diesen and Joel C. Rosenberg below

🇮🇷🇮🇱 A REGIME CHANGE IN IRAN WOULD SERVE ISRAELI EXPANSIONISM Prof. Glenn Diesen believes Gulf states have urged the U.S. to pursue a diplomatic route with Iran because they fear Iran’s collapse could allow Israel to annex territory across the Middle East. He fears that, in such a scenario, Israel could expand the kind of rule it has imposed on Gaza across the region. Full debate between Glenn Diesen and Joel C. Rosenberg below

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🚨🇷🇺 MOSCOW WON’T SACRIFICE IRAN FOR A PROXY GAMBLE Glenn Diesen says Russia does not want chaos on its southern flank, with Iran central to its Greater Eurasia strategy. He says Moscow and Beijing may quietly provide intelligence or weapons, but neither seeks direct war with the U.S., even as escalation lines can shift faster than expected. Glenn Diesen

🚨🇷🇺 MOSCOW WON’T SACRIFICE IRAN FOR A PROXY GAMBLE Glenn Diesen says Russia does not want chaos on its southern flank, with Iran central to its Greater Eurasia strategy. He says Moscow and Beijing may quietly provide intelligence or weapons, but neither seeks direct war with the U.S., even as escalation lines can shift faster than expected. Glenn Diesen

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🚨🌍 THE WAR IS ESCALATING BECAUSE THE QUICK WIN FAILED Glenn Diesen says Washington expected a rapid decapitation strike to trigger collapse, but nationalism is rallying Iranians around the state instead. He warns that if internal unrest does not materialize, escalation becomes the next step, drawing in European powers and potentially opening the door for Russia to counter the West indirectly. Glenn Diesen

🚨🌍 THE WAR IS ESCALATING BECAUSE THE QUICK WIN FAILED Glenn Diesen says Washington expected a rapid decapitation strike to trigger collapse, but nationalism is rallying Iranians around the state instead. He warns that if internal unrest does not materialize, escalation becomes the next step, drawing in European powers and potentially opening the door for Russia to counter the West indirectly. Glenn Diesen

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Iran’s Nightmare Scenario: The Civil War That Could Topple the Regime. Iran’s Regime Change Scenario Has Begun And It Starts With the Kurds. While the world focuses on U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iranian military targets, a new front may be opening inside Iran itself — the Kurdish front. The Kurds are the largest stateless nation in the world, with around 10 million living inside Iran’s western provinces. Historically oppressed and repeatedly targeted by the Iranian regime, Kurdish armed groups could become a major internal challenge to Tehran. In this video, I explain why the Kurdish factor could dramatically change the strategic equation in Iran. Airstrikes can weaken a regime, but history shows that real regime collapse usually comes from internal pressure. If Kurdish forces launch a ground offensive while Iran is weakened militarily, it could trigger a chain reaction across the country.

Iran’s Nightmare Scenario: The Civil War That Could Topple the Regime. Iran’s Regime Change Scenario Has Begun And It Starts With the Kurds. While the world focuses on U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iranian military targets, a new front may be opening inside Iran itself — the Kurdish front. The Kurds are the largest stateless nation in the world, with around 10 million living inside Iran’s western provinces. Historically oppressed and repeatedly targeted by the Iranian regime, Kurdish armed groups could become a major internal challenge to Tehran. In this video, I explain why the Kurdish factor could dramatically change the strategic equation in Iran. Airstrikes can weaken a regime, but history shows that real regime collapse usually comes from internal pressure. If Kurdish forces launch a ground offensive while Iran is weakened militarily, it could trigger a chain reaction across the country.

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 “EVEN A LIMITED STRIKE WOULD TURN INTO A BIG WAR” Glenn Diesen warns that even a so-called limited U.S. strike on Iran would be seen as an existential threat, not a warning shot. Iran wouldn’t absorb a “bloody nose” quietly, but would respond all-out; targeting U.S. assets, escalating across the region, and potentially shutting down the Strait of Hormuz. Regime change talk ignores Iran’s internal complexity, where collapse could mean fragmentation, chaos, and outcomes far worse than the status quo. And once you start down this road, there’s no clean off-ramp, and history suggests it won’t stay “limited” for long. Full Interview with Joel C. Rosenberg and Glenn Diesen below.

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 “EVEN A LIMITED STRIKE WOULD TURN INTO A BIG WAR” Glenn Diesen warns that even a so-called limited U.S. strike on Iran would be seen as an existential threat, not a warning shot. Iran wouldn’t absorb a “bloody nose” quietly, but would respond all-out; targeting U.S. assets, escalating across the region, and potentially shutting down the Strait of Hormuz. Regime change talk ignores Iran’s internal complexity, where collapse could mean fragmentation, chaos, and outcomes far worse than the status quo. And once you start down this road, there’s no clean off-ramp, and history suggests it won’t stay “limited” for long. Full Interview with Joel C. Rosenberg and Glenn Diesen below.

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60,636 views • 6 months ago

🚨 REPORT: MOSSAD OFFICIALS BEHIND IRAN REGIME-CHANGE PLAN REMOVED FROM POSTS A reported Israeli plan to help trigger the collapse of Iran’s regime relied heavily on Kurdish forces opening a front in the northwest. Kurdish political analyst Halmat Palani explains why that never happened — and why he believes the plan may not be dead yet. WATCH i24NEWS English Halmat Palani

🚨 REPORT: MOSSAD OFFICIALS BEHIND IRAN REGIME-CHANGE PLAN REMOVED FROM POSTS A reported Israeli plan to help trigger the collapse of Iran’s regime relied heavily on Kurdish forces opening a front in the northwest. Kurdish political analyst Halmat Palani explains why that never happened — and why he believes the plan may not be dead yet. WATCH i24NEWS English Halmat Palani

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58,579 views • 8 days ago

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The people warning about nuclear escalation are increasingly treated like the dangerous ones. Diplomacy itself has become politically toxic across much of the West, where even talking to adversaries is framed as weakness or surrender. Geopolitical analyst Glenn Diesen says that mindset is exactly what makes catastrophic escalation more likely. “If they say Iran is an existential threat, it's not that far-fetched. They might see this as an existential threat, and they would use a nuclear weapon. It's not unthinkable.” Glenn Diesen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The people warning about nuclear escalation are increasingly treated like the dangerous ones. Diplomacy itself has become politically toxic across much of the West, where even talking to adversaries is framed as weakness or surrender. Geopolitical analyst Glenn Diesen says that mindset is exactly what makes catastrophic escalation more likely. “If they say Iran is an existential threat, it's not that far-fetched. They might see this as an existential threat, and they would use a nuclear weapon. It's not unthinkable.” Glenn Diesen

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🚨🇮🇷 A REGIME CHANGE WITHOUT A LEGITIMATE PLAN IS JUST A RECIPE FOR TOTAL BALKANIZATION The idea that the Iranian people are waiting for an outside "liberator" is a dangerous myth being pushed by marginal figures. Without a government-in-waiting, toppling the leadership will only lead to a fragmented, war-torn state. Full interview with Glenn Diesen below

🚨🇮🇷 A REGIME CHANGE WITHOUT A LEGITIMATE PLAN IS JUST A RECIPE FOR TOTAL BALKANIZATION The idea that the Iranian people are waiting for an outside "liberator" is a dangerous myth being pushed by marginal figures. Without a government-in-waiting, toppling the leadership will only lead to a fragmented, war-torn state. Full interview with Glenn Diesen below

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🚨🇮🇷 🇺🇸 WASHINGTON LACKS THE TOOLS REQUIRED TO ACTUALLY TOPPLE THE IRANIAN GOVERNMENT Despite the hype and the airstrikes, a successful regime change requires ground troops and domestic sympathy, two things the U.S. currently does not have. Between their own military assets and the backing of great power partners, the Iranian government is likely to withstand this storm. Full interview with Glenn Diesen below

🚨🇮🇷 🇺🇸 WASHINGTON LACKS THE TOOLS REQUIRED TO ACTUALLY TOPPLE THE IRANIAN GOVERNMENT Despite the hype and the airstrikes, a successful regime change requires ground troops and domestic sympathy, two things the U.S. currently does not have. Between their own military assets and the backing of great power partners, the Iranian government is likely to withstand this storm. Full interview with Glenn Diesen below

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76,608 views • 5 months ago

🇷🇺 🇺🇦 Political scientist Glenn Diesen says attacks on Russia's economy may be pushing the war in the opposite direction. Strikes on refineries, warehouses, and commercial infrastructure are designed to pressure ordinary Russians and force the Kremlin toward negotiations. But he believes the strategy misunderstands Moscow's motivations. Diesen says Russia views the conflict as existential and is unlikely to change course because of economic pain. Instead, he warns the pressure campaign could trigger a harsher response and further escalation. Glenn Diesen

🇷🇺 🇺🇦 Political scientist Glenn Diesen says attacks on Russia's economy may be pushing the war in the opposite direction. Strikes on refineries, warehouses, and commercial infrastructure are designed to pressure ordinary Russians and force the Kremlin toward negotiations. But he believes the strategy misunderstands Moscow's motivations. Diesen says Russia views the conflict as existential and is unlikely to change course because of economic pain. Instead, he warns the pressure campaign could trigger a harsher response and further escalation. Glenn Diesen

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66,117 views • 18 days ago

🇺🇸🇮🇷 IRAN IS RATIONAL; THIS WAR IS NOT Norwegian political scientist Glenn Diesen argues Western assessments of Iran are flawed. "It's often presented as just being a bunch of crazy mullahs who wants to acquire nuclear weapons and just burn the world and kill all Jews.” "Once the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran, now they face an existential threat. What else can they do? They go all in.” Glenn Diesen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 IRAN IS RATIONAL; THIS WAR IS NOT Norwegian political scientist Glenn Diesen argues Western assessments of Iran are flawed. "It's often presented as just being a bunch of crazy mullahs who wants to acquire nuclear weapons and just burn the world and kill all Jews.” "Once the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran, now they face an existential threat. What else can they do? They go all in.” Glenn Diesen

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86,287 views • 4 months ago

🇮🇱🇺🇸 ISRAEL ESSENTIALLY HAS VETO OVER WHEN U.S. ENDS WAR Norwegian political scientist Glenn Diesen says Israel had role in U.S. getting into war with Iran, and they will have role in when it gets out. But only to a certain extent. “If the core national security of the United States is under threat, it is possible that the U.S. would make a decision and just tell the Israelis that they have to adjust.” Glenn Diesen

🇮🇱🇺🇸 ISRAEL ESSENTIALLY HAS VETO OVER WHEN U.S. ENDS WAR Norwegian political scientist Glenn Diesen says Israel had role in U.S. getting into war with Iran, and they will have role in when it gets out. But only to a certain extent. “If the core national security of the United States is under threat, it is possible that the U.S. would make a decision and just tell the Israelis that they have to adjust.” Glenn Diesen

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100,930 views • 4 months ago

🚨🇪🇺 EUROPE IS TURNING ITSELF INTO A VASSAL Glenn Diesen says instead of diversifying in a multipolar world, Europe is cutting ties with Russia and China and making itself fully dependent on Washington. He argues this asymmetry lets the U.S. convert economic dependence into political control, accelerating what he calls the “vassalization” of Europe as its economy stagnates. Glenn Diesen

🚨🇪🇺 EUROPE IS TURNING ITSELF INTO A VASSAL Glenn Diesen says instead of diversifying in a multipolar world, Europe is cutting ties with Russia and China and making itself fully dependent on Washington. He argues this asymmetry lets the U.S. convert economic dependence into political control, accelerating what he calls the “vassalization” of Europe as its economy stagnates. Glenn Diesen

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77,876 views • 5 months ago

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran may see the U.S. as slowly rewriting the rules in the Strait of Hormuz, one step at a time. Glenn Diesen argues that this is the logic behind “salami tactics”: chip away at a deal gradually, then make any serious pushback look like an overreaction. “Everything that the opponent will do to resist or oppose it will look like an overreaction. This is by design.” He says Iran may be acting now to stop that process before a new U.S.-controlled status quo takes hold. Glenn Diesen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran may see the U.S. as slowly rewriting the rules in the Strait of Hormuz, one step at a time. Glenn Diesen argues that this is the logic behind “salami tactics”: chip away at a deal gradually, then make any serious pushback look like an overreaction. “Everything that the opponent will do to resist or oppose it will look like an overreaction. This is by design.” He says Iran may be acting now to stop that process before a new U.S.-controlled status quo takes hold. Glenn Diesen

Mario Nawfal

121,212 views • 1 month ago

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 There is no version of this story where the U.S. comes out looking in control. Glenn Diesen laid out the dilemma Iran faces in signing a deal with the U.S. when peace in Lebanon isn't secured. "If Iran says we won't get baited into a conflict that derails peace. But if they do that, for Israel it is open season on Lebanon." Glenn Diesen

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 There is no version of this story where the U.S. comes out looking in control. Glenn Diesen laid out the dilemma Iran faces in signing a deal with the U.S. when peace in Lebanon isn't secured. "If Iran says we won't get baited into a conflict that derails peace. But if they do that, for Israel it is open season on Lebanon." Glenn Diesen

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35,494 views • 2 months ago

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran is acting like the Strait of Hormuz already belongs to the post-American world order. While negotiations drag on, Tehran has already launched a Persian Gulf Strait Authority, complete with its own X account and institutional framework to manage the chokepoint. Geopolitical analyst Glenn Diesen says Iran is not building this to negotiate it away. “So they might as well start to implement it because it's going to be here to stay.” Glenn Diesen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran is acting like the Strait of Hormuz already belongs to the post-American world order. While negotiations drag on, Tehran has already launched a Persian Gulf Strait Authority, complete with its own X account and institutional framework to manage the chokepoint. Geopolitical analyst Glenn Diesen says Iran is not building this to negotiate it away. “So they might as well start to implement it because it's going to be here to stay.” Glenn Diesen

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64,144 views • 3 months ago

🇺🇸🇮🇷 THE U.S. AND IRAN ARE IN A STALEMATE OF MISALIGNED INCENTIVES In Prof. Glenn Diesen’s view, all diplomatic routes between the U.S. and Iran go in circles because Washington is unwilling to make any legitimate concessions. If Trump were to pursue regime change, he believes it would resemble something closer to the Ukraine war than a quick Maduro-style capture, with China and Russia arming Iran if its survival were at stake. NYT Best Seller Joel Rosenberg, meanwhile, argues that the threat Iran poses to Israel and American interests in the Middle East leaves no choice but to treat it as an enemy at every stage of negotiations. Full debate between Glenn Diesen and Joel C. Rosenberg below

🇺🇸🇮🇷 THE U.S. AND IRAN ARE IN A STALEMATE OF MISALIGNED INCENTIVES In Prof. Glenn Diesen’s view, all diplomatic routes between the U.S. and Iran go in circles because Washington is unwilling to make any legitimate concessions. If Trump were to pursue regime change, he believes it would resemble something closer to the Ukraine war than a quick Maduro-style capture, with China and Russia arming Iran if its survival were at stake. NYT Best Seller Joel Rosenberg, meanwhile, argues that the threat Iran poses to Israel and American interests in the Middle East leaves no choice but to treat it as an enemy at every stage of negotiations. Full debate between Glenn Diesen and Joel C. Rosenberg below

Mario Nawfal

37,288 views • 6 months ago

🚨🇮🇱🇮🇷 Israel hit Beirut on the day a deal with Iran is meant to be signed. Glenn Diesen explains why Iran may be forced to include Lebanon in its terms of peace. "The Iranians might have to demand it. They are worried about a common strategy by the U.S. That is to take something off the intense fighting and put it on the slow burner. Israelis can just move in more incrementally." Glenn Diesen

🚨🇮🇱🇮🇷 Israel hit Beirut on the day a deal with Iran is meant to be signed. Glenn Diesen explains why Iran may be forced to include Lebanon in its terms of peace. "The Iranians might have to demand it. They are worried about a common strategy by the U.S. That is to take something off the intense fighting and put it on the slow burner. Israelis can just move in more incrementally." Glenn Diesen

Mario Nawfal

84,242 views • 2 months ago

🚨🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Want a cheaper toll through the Strait of Hormuz? Iran's price is cutting your ties with Washington. Geopolitical analyst Glenn Diesen says the toll booth is now permanent and beyond negotiation, with rates set to vary by country based on participation in sanctions and the hosting of U.S. bases. The less aligned with Washington a country is, the cheaper its passage. He sees flexibility on the nuclear file but none on the strait, which Tehran treats as core to its survival. The only real card the U.S. holds is sanctions relief, and Glenn doubts it will ever be offered. Glenn Diesen

🚨🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Want a cheaper toll through the Strait of Hormuz? Iran's price is cutting your ties with Washington. Geopolitical analyst Glenn Diesen says the toll booth is now permanent and beyond negotiation, with rates set to vary by country based on participation in sanctions and the hosting of U.S. bases. The less aligned with Washington a country is, the cheaper its passage. He sees flexibility on the nuclear file but none on the strait, which Tehran treats as core to its survival. The only real card the U.S. holds is sanctions relief, and Glenn doubts it will ever be offered. Glenn Diesen

Mario Nawfal

69,415 views • 2 months ago