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Regional visions for Gaza’s future are colliding again: 🇶🇦 Hamas, backed by Qatar and Turkey, still controls roughly 47% of the Strip, refuses to disarm, and is now consolidating power by eliminating rival clans. 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia has handed $90 million to the Palestinian Authority, betting that shoring up...

61,048 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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🪖🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia is hedging against regional disorder from multiple directions while filling some of the strategic space created by Iran’s weakening and withdrawal. 🇸🇦🇹🇷🇵🇰 The Saudi-Turkey-Pakistan defense pact is not an anti-Iran coalition. Turkey and Pakistan have been sleeping in the same bed with the Iranian regime for decades. 🕋 The Mecca Defense Agreement has been in the making for roughly two years, but it was accelerated by regional upheaval and growing Saudi disappointment with Washington as the ultimate guarantor of Gulf security. Riyadh is increasingly seeking greater strategic autonomy rather than relying on a single external protector. 🌎 Saudi Arabia needs deterrent capabilities of its own. Its nuclear ambitions have not produced an independent nuclear deterrent, while massive investment in armament and localization of the military industry has yet to deliver the level of strategic independence Riyadh wants. 🪖 The new pact allows Saudi Arabia to pool strategic assets with two powerful partners: 🇵🇰 Pakistan brings nuclear deterrence and significant military capabilities; 🇹🇷 Turkey brings NATO experience and a sophisticated, rapidly expanding defense industry; Saudi Arabia brings money, geography, and political weight. 🇺🇸🇸🇦 Nor is Saudi Arabia replacing Washington as its primary defense partner. KSA is diversifying its security portfolio and building on an existing web of bilateral defense relationships, including Saudi-Pakistan, Turkey-Pakistan, Turkey-Qatar, and Pakistan-Kuwait, etc. 📺 Watch my interview with Natasha Raquel Kirtchuk on i24NEWS English today on this topic:

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43,599 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

⭕️ REPORT | Based on Sec. of State Marco Rubio’s comments Friday and recent remarks from a Fatah spokesperson, it’s increasingly clear that Israel and its Western backers are withholding the reopening of Gaza’s borders and the flow of adequate aid until the “Board of Peace,” the non-partisan Palestinian technocratic governing committee, the International stabilization force (ISF) and a newly trained, “vetted” Palestinian police force are installed inside Gaza. Rubio was asked about children freezing to death in Gaza because Israel is blocking tents, mobile homes, and basic shelter materials, despite a ceasefire that was supposed to allow unrestricted aid. He said large-scale aid cannot yet be delivered because it risks being looted, arguing that aid must wait until there is a party on the other side the U.S. and Israel can work with. In effect, Rubio endorsed conditioning aid on the rollout of what the U.S. calls a “stabilization force,” which will include both a multinational presence and a newly vetted Palestinian police apparatus. Thousands of police have reportedly been trained in Egypt and Jordan in recent months for this purpose, under foreign oversight. Rubio’s looting claim directly contradicts the World Food Programme, whose representative said this week that the ceasefire has “eliminated” the widespread looting seen earlier in the war, when Israel controlled aid access. The ceasefire itself mandates the free flow of aid, not aid contingent on political or security restructuring. At the same time, a new report by The Sunday Times underscores what that restructuring may look like on the ground. Israel-backed armed groups operating east of Gaza’s “yellow line” told the outlet they expect to be folded into a UN-approved “vetted Palestinian police force” under Donald Trump’s plan, effectively “replacing” Gaza’s existing police. Hamas and Islamic Jihad leaders recently interviewed in Doha by Drop Site’s Jeremy Scahill and Jawa Ahmad warned that excluding Gaza’s current civil security officers risks replaying the 2003 U.S. “de-Baathification” disaster of Iraq under Paul Bremer, which helped trigger state collapse and a civil-war-like insurgency. In Rafah, militia leader Ghassan Duhine told the paper his faction has been “clearing” Hamas “sleeper cells” ahead of reconstruction and a planned population-movement mechanism, alongside a stabilization force, and expects formal incorporation into the new police structure. Along the Rafah–Khan Younis corridor, Shawqi Abu Nasira of the Popular Army’s Central Forces said his group is already operating under the assumption it will be absorbed into the future force and maintains close ties with the Palestinian Authority. In Khan Younis, Hossam al-Astal, who leads the so-called Counterterrorism Strike Force, said his roughly 100 fighters are “sure” they will join the Palestinian police once details are finalized. Separately, a Fatah spokesperson in Gaza told Al Araby TV that the Rafah crossing—the primary gateway for people and aid into Gaza, jointly controlled by Israel and Egypt—cannot reopen to international operation without the Palestinian Authority’s presence, saying the European Union has indicated it would not operate the crossing absent PA control. Put plainly: aid is still being used as leverage to impose a post-war security order in Gaza - one that sidelines Hamas not through elections or consensus, but by starving and immiserating the civilian population until a governing and policing architecture preferable to Israel can be put in place. Israel (and the U.S.) may also be unwilling to allow Hamas the political “victory” of securing aid for Gaza’s population, though the ceasefire it signed requires it.

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