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🇷🇺 RUSSIA DEPLOYS ENTIRE NUCLEAR ICEBREAKER FLEET - ARCTIC ENERGY FLOWS WHETHER EUROPE LIKES IT OR NOT Russia just put all 8 nuclear icebreakers in the water simultaneously. First time ever. They're keeping the Gulf of Ob and Yenisei Gulf shipping lanes open through winter, ensuring year-round access to...

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Mario Nawfal

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JUST IN: Iran gave Russia its Shahed drones. Russia improved them in Ukraine. Now Western intelligence says Russia is shipping the upgraded versions back to Iran. And the country that learned how to kill those drones on the battlefield just sent 228 experts to the Gulf to teach five countries how to do the same thing. The full circle is extraordinary. Iran supplied thousands of Shahed-136 kamikaze drones to Russia starting in 2022 for use against Ukraine. Russia rebranded them Geran-2 and, over three years of combat, upgraded the navigation systems, added anti-jamming capabilities, improved the engines, and refined the payload delivery. The Financial Times and AP reported on March 26 citing Western intelligence that Russia is now in the final stages of shipping those upgraded Geran-2 drones back to Iran’s IRGC, along with medicine and food supplies. Kremlin spokesman Peskov called the reports “lies” and “fake news dumps.” Meanwhile, Zelensky arrived in Saudi Arabia on March 26 for an unannounced visit, met Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, signed a defense cooperation deal focused on air defense and drone expertise, and departed Jeddah on March 28. Ukraine has deployed 201 to 228 military drone specialists to five Gulf and Middle Eastern countries: the UAE, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Jordan. Another 34 are ready per Zelensky’s statement on March 17. These specialists are not there as a symbolic gesture. They bring the single most effective counter to Shahed drones that exists anywhere on earth. Ukraine developed FPV interceptor drones that account for roughly 70 percent of all Shahed and Geran-2 shootdowns in Ukraine per Forces News and Atlantic Council reporting. The method: radar and acoustic sensors detect the incoming drone at 20 to 50 kilometres. A cheap, fast quadcopter or fixed-wing interceptor launches from a mobile platform. An operator pilots it at high speed toward the target. It destroys the Shahed through kamikaze collision or a small explosive payload on impact. Cost per intercept: a fraction of what a surface-to-air missile costs. Militarnyi reported on March 22 that Ukrainian teams have already confirmed multiple Shahed shootdowns in the Middle East. The arms race running through this war is now a closed loop. Iran builds the drone. Russia tests it, improves it, and allegedly sends the improved version back. Ukraine learns to kill it through three years of battlefield iteration. Ukraine exports that knowledge to the Gulf states Iran is attacking. The Gulf states pay Ukraine in money, technology, and diplomatic support. Russia denies everything while the drones fly in both directions. This is not a bilateral conflict. It is a global drone ecosystem where every improvement by one side is studied, countered, and re-exported by the other. The Shahed that hits a refinery in Bahrain tonight may carry Russian-upgraded navigation. The interceptor that destroys it may be piloted by a Ukrainian operator trained in Zaporizhzhia. The defense deal that funded the deployment was signed in Jeddah while the war it was designed to address raged 1,500 kilometres to the northeast. SpaceX’s Starlink provides the communications backbone for these teams in contested environments where terrestrial networks are degraded by the same war. The same helium shortage threatening semiconductor fabs and quantum computers is threatening the rocket launches that put Starlink satellites in orbit. The same strait carrying the oil carries the data cables that the drones are trying to protect. Every domain connects through the same 39 kilometres of water. Full analysis -
0:16

JUST IN: Iran gave Russia its Shahed drones. Russia improved them in Ukraine. Now Western intelligence says Russia is shipping the upgraded versions back to Iran. And the country that learned how to kill those drones on the battlefield just sent 228 experts to the Gulf to teach five countries how to do the same thing. The full circle is extraordinary. Iran supplied thousands of Shahed-136 kamikaze drones to Russia starting in 2022 for use against Ukraine. Russia rebranded them Geran-2 and, over three years of combat, upgraded the navigation systems, added anti-jamming capabilities, improved the engines, and refined the payload delivery. The Financial Times and AP reported on March 26 citing Western intelligence that Russia is now in the final stages of shipping those upgraded Geran-2 drones back to Iran’s IRGC, along with medicine and food supplies. Kremlin spokesman Peskov called the reports “lies” and “fake news dumps.” Meanwhile, Zelensky arrived in Saudi Arabia on March 26 for an unannounced visit, met Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, signed a defense cooperation deal focused on air defense and drone expertise, and departed Jeddah on March 28. Ukraine has deployed 201 to 228 military drone specialists to five Gulf and Middle Eastern countries: the UAE, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Jordan. Another 34 are ready per Zelensky’s statement on March 17. These specialists are not there as a symbolic gesture. They bring the single most effective counter to Shahed drones that exists anywhere on earth. Ukraine developed FPV interceptor drones that account for roughly 70 percent of all Shahed and Geran-2 shootdowns in Ukraine per Forces News and Atlantic Council reporting. The method: radar and acoustic sensors detect the incoming drone at 20 to 50 kilometres. A cheap, fast quadcopter or fixed-wing interceptor launches from a mobile platform. An operator pilots it at high speed toward the target. It destroys the Shahed through kamikaze collision or a small explosive payload on impact. Cost per intercept: a fraction of what a surface-to-air missile costs. Militarnyi reported on March 22 that Ukrainian teams have already confirmed multiple Shahed shootdowns in the Middle East. The arms race running through this war is now a closed loop. Iran builds the drone. Russia tests it, improves it, and allegedly sends the improved version back. Ukraine learns to kill it through three years of battlefield iteration. Ukraine exports that knowledge to the Gulf states Iran is attacking. The Gulf states pay Ukraine in money, technology, and diplomatic support. Russia denies everything while the drones fly in both directions. This is not a bilateral conflict. It is a global drone ecosystem where every improvement by one side is studied, countered, and re-exported by the other. The Shahed that hits a refinery in Bahrain tonight may carry Russian-upgraded navigation. The interceptor that destroys it may be piloted by a Ukrainian operator trained in Zaporizhzhia. The defense deal that funded the deployment was signed in Jeddah while the war it was designed to address raged 1,500 kilometres to the northeast. SpaceX’s Starlink provides the communications backbone for these teams in contested environments where terrestrial networks are degraded by the same war. The same helium shortage threatening semiconductor fabs and quantum computers is threatening the rocket launches that put Starlink satellites in orbit. The same strait carrying the oil carries the data cables that the drones are trying to protect. Every domain connects through the same 39 kilometres of water. Full analysis -

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡

1,296,496 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🚨🇮🇷🇹🇷Is the Iran War Accidentally Rebuilding the Ottoman Empire? The Ottomans didn't dominate the world through conquest alone. They dominated by controlling Eurasian land trade routes and large swathes of the Mediterranean. The Iran war may be positioning Turkey to rebuild that same combination. For decades, the Strait of Hormuz carried nearly 20% of global oil and LNG supply. The Iran war has created an opening for alternative routes — and Turkey sits at the intersection of several plausible ones: 🔸 Turkmen gas via Trans-Caspian into the TANAP network — through Turkey to Europe, bypassing the Gulf entirely. 🔸 The Iraq-Turkey pipeline extended to Basra — up to 1.5 million barrels daily to Mediterranean markets, outside Iranian reach. 🔸 Qatar gas via Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Syria, and Turkey — directly to European LNG terminals, entirely overland. For 400 years, the Ottoman Empire sat at the crossroads of East and West not because it conquered everything, but because everything valuable traveled through it. If these three routes are built, a significant share of energy moving from the Gulf to Europe would pass through Turkish territory. The Ottomans understood this formula: control the routes, control the trade. And they backed it with a navy that, at its height, dominated the Mediterranean. Turkey is now rebuilding that same combination. 41 warships are under simultaneous construction, and 120 ships with 15,000 personnel recently completed the Blue Homeland-2026 exercises across three seas. This growing fleet allows Turkey to project power across the Eastern Mediterranean — a region already crowded with competing energy interests. Why does that matter? The Eastern Mediterranean is becoming a gas hub in its own right. 🔸Major discoveries (Leviathan, Tamar, Aphrodite, Zohr) have turned Israel, Egypt, and Cyprus into potential suppliers for Europe. 🔸Those countries are developing offshore LNG terminals and subsea pipelines. 🔸98% of Israeli foreign trade depends on Mediterranean navigation — including its ability to export gas. Turkey now actively contests this sea. By positioning itself as both an energy corridor and a naval power in the Eastern Mediterranean, Ankara could in the long run influence who ships what, where, and under what terms.
0:10

🚨🇮🇷🇹🇷Is the Iran War Accidentally Rebuilding the Ottoman Empire? The Ottomans didn't dominate the world through conquest alone. They dominated by controlling Eurasian land trade routes and large swathes of the Mediterranean. The Iran war may be positioning Turkey to rebuild that same combination. For decades, the Strait of Hormuz carried nearly 20% of global oil and LNG supply. The Iran war has created an opening for alternative routes — and Turkey sits at the intersection of several plausible ones: 🔸 Turkmen gas via Trans-Caspian into the TANAP network — through Turkey to Europe, bypassing the Gulf entirely. 🔸 The Iraq-Turkey pipeline extended to Basra — up to 1.5 million barrels daily to Mediterranean markets, outside Iranian reach. 🔸 Qatar gas via Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Syria, and Turkey — directly to European LNG terminals, entirely overland. For 400 years, the Ottoman Empire sat at the crossroads of East and West not because it conquered everything, but because everything valuable traveled through it. If these three routes are built, a significant share of energy moving from the Gulf to Europe would pass through Turkish territory. The Ottomans understood this formula: control the routes, control the trade. And they backed it with a navy that, at its height, dominated the Mediterranean. Turkey is now rebuilding that same combination. 41 warships are under simultaneous construction, and 120 ships with 15,000 personnel recently completed the Blue Homeland-2026 exercises across three seas. This growing fleet allows Turkey to project power across the Eastern Mediterranean — a region already crowded with competing energy interests. Why does that matter? The Eastern Mediterranean is becoming a gas hub in its own right. 🔸Major discoveries (Leviathan, Tamar, Aphrodite, Zohr) have turned Israel, Egypt, and Cyprus into potential suppliers for Europe. 🔸Those countries are developing offshore LNG terminals and subsea pipelines. 🔸98% of Israeli foreign trade depends on Mediterranean navigation — including its ability to export gas. Turkey now actively contests this sea. By positioning itself as both an energy corridor and a naval power in the Eastern Mediterranean, Ankara could in the long run influence who ships what, where, and under what terms.

NewRulesGeopolitics

61,559 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

How Ukraine reached parity with Russia in long-range capabilities Analysts from the Back And Alive Foundation analyzed Ukraine's transition from local frontline strikes to the systemic employment of long-range drones. The volume of drones Ukraine has launched has surged from 110 units in January 2024 to over 7,000 in March 2026. Throughout 2025, Ukraine increased our launch frequency fivefold. In March 2026, Ukraine even managed to surpass the Russia in the number of launched and recorded drones. Flight Geography and Extreme Ranges 🔹Ukrainian drones are increasingly detected at facilities located hundreds and thousands of kilometers from the frontline. The number of Russian regions where they are spotted is steadily growing. 🔹This evolution is not just about quantity, but also about a significant increase in operational range. For instance, in February 2026, an oil refinery in the city of Ukhta (Komi Republic) was struck—over 1,800 km from the Ukrainian border. A Nightmare for Russian Air Defense 🔹As Ukraine deploys more drones, Russian air defense forces must track and intercept a vastly higher number of simultaneous targets, leading to system saturation. 🔹The Russian military is forced to make a choice: protect assets near the frontline to cover their troops, or deploy systems deep into the interior to defend industrial and energy infrastructure. Given Russia’s vast landmass, it is physically impossible to cover all critical sites with limited resources. 🔹Furthermore, the Defense Forces of Ukraine continue to degrade Russian air defense capabilities. Over the past year, open-source intelligence (OSINT) has confirmed 172 hits on Russian air defense systems through video footage; however, the actual number of successful strikes is significantly higher. 📹📈Cumulative number of days on which at least one UAV reached the region (from January 2024 to March 2026).
0:10

How Ukraine reached parity with Russia in long-range capabilities Analysts from the Back And Alive Foundation analyzed Ukraine's transition from local frontline strikes to the systemic employment of long-range drones. The volume of drones Ukraine has launched has surged from 110 units in January 2024 to over 7,000 in March 2026. Throughout 2025, Ukraine increased our launch frequency fivefold. In March 2026, Ukraine even managed to surpass the Russia in the number of launched and recorded drones. Flight Geography and Extreme Ranges 🔹Ukrainian drones are increasingly detected at facilities located hundreds and thousands of kilometers from the frontline. The number of Russian regions where they are spotted is steadily growing. 🔹This evolution is not just about quantity, but also about a significant increase in operational range. For instance, in February 2026, an oil refinery in the city of Ukhta (Komi Republic) was struck—over 1,800 km from the Ukrainian border. A Nightmare for Russian Air Defense 🔹As Ukraine deploys more drones, Russian air defense forces must track and intercept a vastly higher number of simultaneous targets, leading to system saturation. 🔹The Russian military is forced to make a choice: protect assets near the frontline to cover their troops, or deploy systems deep into the interior to defend industrial and energy infrastructure. Given Russia’s vast landmass, it is physically impossible to cover all critical sites with limited resources. 🔹Furthermore, the Defense Forces of Ukraine continue to degrade Russian air defense capabilities. Over the past year, open-source intelligence (OSINT) has confirmed 172 hits on Russian air defense systems through video footage; however, the actual number of successful strikes is significantly higher. 📹📈Cumulative number of days on which at least one UAV reached the region (from January 2024 to March 2026).

Anton Gerashchenko

51,874 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

‼️🇷🇺🇮🇳 BIG | Moscow has recently engineered a bizarre economic scheme: a nation that boasts some of the world's largest oil reserves and production capacities is now forced to export its raw crude at steep discounts, only to buy it back as refined gasoline and diesel from the very same buyers. This desperate move aims to stabilize a severe domestic fuel crisis triggered by precise Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries. To facilitate this arrangement, Russia has nearly doubled its discounts on Urals crude for India, pushing the price deduction from $4 to approximately $7 per barrel. This shift is directly tied to Moscow's urgent need to purchase finished fuel from Indian refiners. As a result, Indian refineries find themselves in a highly lucrative position: they import dirt-cheap Russian raw material, process it, and sell the finished product back to Moscow at a premium. According to data from Reuters, at least 60,000 tons of fuel have already been shipped from India to Russia under this framework. To mitigate the paralysis of its own refining infrastructure, the Kremlin is hoping to secure up to 400,000 tons of gasoline imports monthly. Beyond India, Moscow is leaning heavily on neighbors and allies like Belarus and Kazakhstan to patch the holes in its domestic market and prevent widespread supply shortages. The irony of this situation is as profound as it is justified. This entire scheme serves as a textbook example of how military adventures can lead to geopolitical and economic absurdity. Prior to its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russia positioned itself as Europe's primary energy guarantor, reaping massive financial rewards. Today, a nation once mockingly—yet accurately—described as "a gas station masquerading as a country" is facing an internal fuel shortage. Furthermore, selling raw materials at a loss and buying back the refined product (while absorbing massive logistical overheads) is economic suicide. Meanwhile, New Delhi is playing the geopolitical field masterfully—refusing to enforce Western sanctions while aggressively capitalizing on Moscow’s desperation to bolster its own economy. Ultimately, this development proves that Ukraine’s targeted asymmetric warfare against Russian energy infrastructure has dealt a far more crippling blow to the Kremlin than many sweeping Western sanctions. Moscow is now burning through its financial reserves just to put out domestic fires, desperate to avert a total market collapse and subsequent civilian unrest. Video is made Grok AI
0:10

‼️🇷🇺🇮🇳 BIG | Moscow has recently engineered a bizarre economic scheme: a nation that boasts some of the world's largest oil reserves and production capacities is now forced to export its raw crude at steep discounts, only to buy it back as refined gasoline and diesel from the very same buyers. This desperate move aims to stabilize a severe domestic fuel crisis triggered by precise Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries. To facilitate this arrangement, Russia has nearly doubled its discounts on Urals crude for India, pushing the price deduction from $4 to approximately $7 per barrel. This shift is directly tied to Moscow's urgent need to purchase finished fuel from Indian refiners. As a result, Indian refineries find themselves in a highly lucrative position: they import dirt-cheap Russian raw material, process it, and sell the finished product back to Moscow at a premium. According to data from Reuters, at least 60,000 tons of fuel have already been shipped from India to Russia under this framework. To mitigate the paralysis of its own refining infrastructure, the Kremlin is hoping to secure up to 400,000 tons of gasoline imports monthly. Beyond India, Moscow is leaning heavily on neighbors and allies like Belarus and Kazakhstan to patch the holes in its domestic market and prevent widespread supply shortages. The irony of this situation is as profound as it is justified. This entire scheme serves as a textbook example of how military adventures can lead to geopolitical and economic absurdity. Prior to its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russia positioned itself as Europe's primary energy guarantor, reaping massive financial rewards. Today, a nation once mockingly—yet accurately—described as "a gas station masquerading as a country" is facing an internal fuel shortage. Furthermore, selling raw materials at a loss and buying back the refined product (while absorbing massive logistical overheads) is economic suicide. Meanwhile, New Delhi is playing the geopolitical field masterfully—refusing to enforce Western sanctions while aggressively capitalizing on Moscow’s desperation to bolster its own economy. Ultimately, this development proves that Ukraine’s targeted asymmetric warfare against Russian energy infrastructure has dealt a far more crippling blow to the Kremlin than many sweeping Western sanctions. Moscow is now burning through its financial reserves just to put out domestic fires, desperate to avert a total market collapse and subsequent civilian unrest. Video is made Grok AI

Visioner

168,942 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

‼️An interesting interview with Lavrov Sergey Lavrov regularly gives interviews, and almost every one of them is an information operation designed to create an alternative reality. The March 26 interview with France Télévisions is no exception. Let's break it down and point out where there are lies and where there is manipulation. 1. Lavrov claims that Russia is supposedly defending international law while speaking in the "language of principles" regarding Iran. What's wrong: it's basic role reversal. Moscow is trying to speak from the position of a "guardian of the law," even though it is waging an aggressive war against Ukraine. In the case of Iran, Lavrov is also deliberately omitting half the picture: yes, the US withdrew from the nuclear deal, but Iran also faced non-proliferation concerns raised by the IAEA. Why it matters: It is an attempt to whitewash Russia's crimes through someone else's crisis and to present the aggressor (Russia) as the judge. 2. Russia does not provide Iran with intelligence; the coordinates of US bases are "already known to everyone." What's wrong: it's an evasive statement, not a complete refutation. There is no independently verified evidence of specific target marking data transfers in open sources, nor can there be, but the Kremlin's "we have nothing to do with it" claim has no basis for being automatically considered true. Why it matters: A typical Kremlin tactic - to deny anything that does not align with Russia's interests and to continue operating in a gray area. 3. Saudi Arabia and the UAE have denied the US access to their airspace, so Russia is right about the "American venture." What's wrong: The caution of Gulf countries is real, but Lavrov turns it into a crude anti-Western caricature. Regional politics are more complex than the Kremlin's narrative that "everyone understands everything, only the US is pushing the world into chaos." Why it matters: The Kremlin takes a partial truth and builds a convenient political myth around it. 4. Russia isn't waging wars for its own gain; it's the US that wants to control the energy sector, the Strait of Hormuz, and the markets. What's wrong: It's pure projection. It is Russia that has used energy as a weapon for years, and after 2022, turned petrodollars into fuel for war. Why it matters: Moscow accuses others of doing what it does systematically - this is one of the central techniques of its propaganda. 5. Since 2014, Ukraine has been ruled by a "Nazi regime" that came to power through a coup. What's wrong: After Yanukovych fled, Ukraine held snap presidential elections, which the OSCE recognized as meeting international standards and being competitive. The claim of a "Nazi regime" is a political label, not a description of reality. Why it matters: "Nazism" in Kremlin rhetoric is a tool for dehumanizing Ukraine and justifying the war. 6. The Russian language is allegedly completely banned in Ukraine. What's wrong: Ukraine has strengthened the role of the state language, but this does not mean a total ban on Russian. The law does not apply to private communication and does not criminalize the everyday use of the language. Why it matters: The Kremlin is exaggerating language policy to the level of a "linguistic apocalypse" to sell the war as a supposed humanitarian mission. 7. Ukraine is allegedly at war with Orthodoxy and has "banned the canonical church." What's wrong: This is not about "banning a faith," but about a law regarding religious organizations linked to the Russian Orthodox Church. Even criticism from human rights activists does not support the Kremlin's claim of "persecution of Orthodoxy." Why it matters: Moscow is using the language of religious protection to cover up its network of influence in Ukraine. 8. The West allegedly cynically exploited the Minsk agreements as a respite to arm Ukraine. What's wrong: The Minsk process was collapsing because of the Kremlin's desire to use the agreements to establish de facto control over Ukraine, not because of some "cunning plot" by Paris and Berlin. Why it matters: The Kremlin is rewriting history retroactively to portray its own aggression as a supposedly forced response to "universal betrayal." 9. Russia does not attack civilians; its targets are solely facilities associated with the AFU. What's wrong: It's an outright lie. For years, the UN and independent sources have documented systematic Russian strikes on cities, residential areas, energy facilities, and civilian infrastructure. Why it matters: This is no longer just propaganda, but a cynical denial of documented terror against civilians. 10. The Bucha massacre is allegedly "not proven": there are no names, no evidence, and journalists haven't shown anything. What's wrong: This is one of the most mendacious claims. There are UN documents, testimonies, criminal investigations, identified suspects, and evidence of executions and killings of civilians. Why it matters: The Kremlin is not trying to refute the crime, but to wear down the audience with doubt and turn mass murder into "one of the versions." 11. Russia wants peace and negotiations. What's wrong: In the Kremlin's vocabulary, "peace" does not mean an end to aggression, but rather acceptance of its results. "Realities on the ground" means occupation; "root causes" means demanding recognition of Russia's right to punish neighbors for their political choices. Why it matters: Lavrov isn't offering peace. He's dressing up surrender in softer language. 12. Europe is supposedly dragging out the war, while Russia is looking for a solution. What's wrong: Russia started this war itself. European aid to Ukraine is a response to the aggression, not its cause. Why it matters: This is the main inversion of Kremlin logic - to make the audience forget who attacked first and shift the discussion from aggression to a "conflict that has dragged on too long." 13. RT and Sputnik are victims of censorship, and France has no right to speak about freedom of speech. What's wrong: RT and Sputnik were banned not as "ordinary media," but as state-run tools of disinformation. Their role as propaganda channels has been publicly acknowledged both in the EU and in France. Why it matters: The Kremlin wants to portray the defense of democracies against malicious information operations as a restriction of free speech. 14. France and Europe have made Russia an enemy; Moscow is merely reacting. What's wrong: The cause of the rift is not "Russophobia," but Russia's invasion, war crimes, blackmail, and influence operations against Europe. Why it matters: The Kremlin is systematically trying to reverse the cause-and-effect relationship: it is not that "Russia destroyed relations," but that "the West rejected Russia." 15. Individual real episodes - the tanker, incidents in France, disputes among allies - allegedly prove Western hypocrisy and justify Russia. What's wrong: Lavrov takes a real but local fact and uses it as a smokescreen. None of these incidents erases Russia's crimes or the very fact of its aggression. Why it matters: This is a favorite Kremlin method - using others' difficulties and whataboutism to cover up its own crimes.
0:10

‼️An interesting interview with Lavrov Sergey Lavrov regularly gives interviews, and almost every one of them is an information operation designed to create an alternative reality. The March 26 interview with France Télévisions is no exception. Let's break it down and point out where there are lies and where there is manipulation. 1. Lavrov claims that Russia is supposedly defending international law while speaking in the "language of principles" regarding Iran. What's wrong: it's basic role reversal. Moscow is trying to speak from the position of a "guardian of the law," even though it is waging an aggressive war against Ukraine. In the case of Iran, Lavrov is also deliberately omitting half the picture: yes, the US withdrew from the nuclear deal, but Iran also faced non-proliferation concerns raised by the IAEA. Why it matters: It is an attempt to whitewash Russia's crimes through someone else's crisis and to present the aggressor (Russia) as the judge. 2. Russia does not provide Iran with intelligence; the coordinates of US bases are "already known to everyone." What's wrong: it's an evasive statement, not a complete refutation. There is no independently verified evidence of specific target marking data transfers in open sources, nor can there be, but the Kremlin's "we have nothing to do with it" claim has no basis for being automatically considered true. Why it matters: A typical Kremlin tactic - to deny anything that does not align with Russia's interests and to continue operating in a gray area. 3. Saudi Arabia and the UAE have denied the US access to their airspace, so Russia is right about the "American venture." What's wrong: The caution of Gulf countries is real, but Lavrov turns it into a crude anti-Western caricature. Regional politics are more complex than the Kremlin's narrative that "everyone understands everything, only the US is pushing the world into chaos." Why it matters: The Kremlin takes a partial truth and builds a convenient political myth around it. 4. Russia isn't waging wars for its own gain; it's the US that wants to control the energy sector, the Strait of Hormuz, and the markets. What's wrong: It's pure projection. It is Russia that has used energy as a weapon for years, and after 2022, turned petrodollars into fuel for war. Why it matters: Moscow accuses others of doing what it does systematically - this is one of the central techniques of its propaganda. 5. Since 2014, Ukraine has been ruled by a "Nazi regime" that came to power through a coup. What's wrong: After Yanukovych fled, Ukraine held snap presidential elections, which the OSCE recognized as meeting international standards and being competitive. The claim of a "Nazi regime" is a political label, not a description of reality. Why it matters: "Nazism" in Kremlin rhetoric is a tool for dehumanizing Ukraine and justifying the war. 6. The Russian language is allegedly completely banned in Ukraine. What's wrong: Ukraine has strengthened the role of the state language, but this does not mean a total ban on Russian. The law does not apply to private communication and does not criminalize the everyday use of the language. Why it matters: The Kremlin is exaggerating language policy to the level of a "linguistic apocalypse" to sell the war as a supposed humanitarian mission. 7. Ukraine is allegedly at war with Orthodoxy and has "banned the canonical church." What's wrong: This is not about "banning a faith," but about a law regarding religious organizations linked to the Russian Orthodox Church. Even criticism from human rights activists does not support the Kremlin's claim of "persecution of Orthodoxy." Why it matters: Moscow is using the language of religious protection to cover up its network of influence in Ukraine. 8. The West allegedly cynically exploited the Minsk agreements as a respite to arm Ukraine. What's wrong: The Minsk process was collapsing because of the Kremlin's desire to use the agreements to establish de facto control over Ukraine, not because of some "cunning plot" by Paris and Berlin. Why it matters: The Kremlin is rewriting history retroactively to portray its own aggression as a supposedly forced response to "universal betrayal." 9. Russia does not attack civilians; its targets are solely facilities associated with the AFU. What's wrong: It's an outright lie. For years, the UN and independent sources have documented systematic Russian strikes on cities, residential areas, energy facilities, and civilian infrastructure. Why it matters: This is no longer just propaganda, but a cynical denial of documented terror against civilians. 10. The Bucha massacre is allegedly "not proven": there are no names, no evidence, and journalists haven't shown anything. What's wrong: This is one of the most mendacious claims. There are UN documents, testimonies, criminal investigations, identified suspects, and evidence of executions and killings of civilians. Why it matters: The Kremlin is not trying to refute the crime, but to wear down the audience with doubt and turn mass murder into "one of the versions." 11. Russia wants peace and negotiations. What's wrong: In the Kremlin's vocabulary, "peace" does not mean an end to aggression, but rather acceptance of its results. "Realities on the ground" means occupation; "root causes" means demanding recognition of Russia's right to punish neighbors for their political choices. Why it matters: Lavrov isn't offering peace. He's dressing up surrender in softer language. 12. Europe is supposedly dragging out the war, while Russia is looking for a solution. What's wrong: Russia started this war itself. European aid to Ukraine is a response to the aggression, not its cause. Why it matters: This is the main inversion of Kremlin logic - to make the audience forget who attacked first and shift the discussion from aggression to a "conflict that has dragged on too long." 13. RT and Sputnik are victims of censorship, and France has no right to speak about freedom of speech. What's wrong: RT and Sputnik were banned not as "ordinary media," but as state-run tools of disinformation. Their role as propaganda channels has been publicly acknowledged both in the EU and in France. Why it matters: The Kremlin wants to portray the defense of democracies against malicious information operations as a restriction of free speech. 14. France and Europe have made Russia an enemy; Moscow is merely reacting. What's wrong: The cause of the rift is not "Russophobia," but Russia's invasion, war crimes, blackmail, and influence operations against Europe. Why it matters: The Kremlin is systematically trying to reverse the cause-and-effect relationship: it is not that "Russia destroyed relations," but that "the West rejected Russia." 15. Individual real episodes - the tanker, incidents in France, disputes among allies - allegedly prove Western hypocrisy and justify Russia. What's wrong: Lavrov takes a real but local fact and uses it as a smokescreen. None of these incidents erases Russia's crimes or the very fact of its aggression. Why it matters: This is a favorite Kremlin method - using others' difficulties and whataboutism to cover up its own crimes.

Anton Gerashchenko

88,596 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Alaska. Putin and Trump. The meeting that was both awaited and feared. The outcome. By Roman Alekhin To discuss this further, the key point to understand is this: Two and a half hours behind closed doors is too little for leaders of nuclear powers if they are just starting a conversation—but too much if they were merely posing for cameras. This means the real work happened earlier—quiet, working discussions “behind the door” that never made it into the official communiqué. These are what stopped Trump from imposing secondary sanctions; this is where the exchange of conditions took place, terms that won’t be disclosed until both leaders decide the time is right. I suspect Syria was discussed, as well as the “Trump Bridge” (instead of Zangezur), the Middle East, and much more that isn’t yet visible to the naked eye. The public part? Pure theater. The point wasn’t to negotiate in front of the world or sign something, like Trump did with Armenia and Azerbaijan—minor players, important only tactically. The point was to send a signal: the presidents of Russia and the U.S. are shaking hands and smiling again, no knives behind their backs. This signals that a new reality has arrived, one that Europe, Ukraine, and everyone accustomed to building their worldview around the idea of “Russia’s isolation” will now have to reckon with—including those within our own countries. Trump’s comments on Fox News were deliberately vague—he’s a master at leaving room for maneuver. But the key takeaway is clear: the pressure will now shift from Moscow to Kyiv and Brussels. This is evident even in the final format—not a word about a “no-conditions” ceasefire, which was Europe and Zelensky’s main demand. This means the discussion on a final peace has been postponed, but within a clear framework: Zelensky must exit the war in a way that lets Europe save face. Russia’s red lines have long been clear: non-aligned status for Ukraine, return of Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, and Luhansk regions within their administrative borders (not the frontlines), lifting of sanctions, and real democracy in Ukraine without persecution of the Russian language or the Orthodox Church. These conditions will prolong the conflict for some time. Zelensky will need to stage a fighting retreat to the administrative borders—this will allow Europe to save face. But the logic is already visible: Ukraine’s defeat will be framed not as a “crushing” but as a “peaceful settlement.” Six months—that’s the timeframe in which we’ll see the dynamics. If the front accelerates, the deal is working. If it stalls, not all pieces are in place yet. But the main thing is already done: Russia is back in the game, not through gray negotiating formats but through a handshake on American soil—even if it’s chilly Alaska. (Though we have warm ties to the region, as seen in the wreath-laying for the “Heroes of ALSIB” and the meeting with Archbishop Alexy of Sitka and Alaska.) For the world, this is an image where smiles are worth more than signatures. For Trump—a chance to show he’s the only one who can “make peace.” For Putin—a symbolic victory: Russia is not a besieged enemy but an equal player. For Europe and Ukraine—the beginning of a painful new phase where they’ll have to accept the inevitable. In these talks, there were no winners or losers in Alaska. In Alaska, both presidents won, while those who weren’t there—lost, or at the very least, didn’t win.
0:16

Alaska. Putin and Trump. The meeting that was both awaited and feared. The outcome. By Roman Alekhin To discuss this further, the key point to understand is this: Two and a half hours behind closed doors is too little for leaders of nuclear powers if they are just starting a conversation—but too much if they were merely posing for cameras. This means the real work happened earlier—quiet, working discussions “behind the door” that never made it into the official communiqué. These are what stopped Trump from imposing secondary sanctions; this is where the exchange of conditions took place, terms that won’t be disclosed until both leaders decide the time is right. I suspect Syria was discussed, as well as the “Trump Bridge” (instead of Zangezur), the Middle East, and much more that isn’t yet visible to the naked eye. The public part? Pure theater. The point wasn’t to negotiate in front of the world or sign something, like Trump did with Armenia and Azerbaijan—minor players, important only tactically. The point was to send a signal: the presidents of Russia and the U.S. are shaking hands and smiling again, no knives behind their backs. This signals that a new reality has arrived, one that Europe, Ukraine, and everyone accustomed to building their worldview around the idea of “Russia’s isolation” will now have to reckon with—including those within our own countries. Trump’s comments on Fox News were deliberately vague—he’s a master at leaving room for maneuver. But the key takeaway is clear: the pressure will now shift from Moscow to Kyiv and Brussels. This is evident even in the final format—not a word about a “no-conditions” ceasefire, which was Europe and Zelensky’s main demand. This means the discussion on a final peace has been postponed, but within a clear framework: Zelensky must exit the war in a way that lets Europe save face. Russia’s red lines have long been clear: non-aligned status for Ukraine, return of Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, and Luhansk regions within their administrative borders (not the frontlines), lifting of sanctions, and real democracy in Ukraine without persecution of the Russian language or the Orthodox Church. These conditions will prolong the conflict for some time. Zelensky will need to stage a fighting retreat to the administrative borders—this will allow Europe to save face. But the logic is already visible: Ukraine’s defeat will be framed not as a “crushing” but as a “peaceful settlement.” Six months—that’s the timeframe in which we’ll see the dynamics. If the front accelerates, the deal is working. If it stalls, not all pieces are in place yet. But the main thing is already done: Russia is back in the game, not through gray negotiating formats but through a handshake on American soil—even if it’s chilly Alaska. (Though we have warm ties to the region, as seen in the wreath-laying for the “Heroes of ALSIB” and the meeting with Archbishop Alexy of Sitka and Alaska.) For the world, this is an image where smiles are worth more than signatures. For Trump—a chance to show he’s the only one who can “make peace.” For Putin—a symbolic victory: Russia is not a besieged enemy but an equal player. For Europe and Ukraine—the beginning of a painful new phase where they’ll have to accept the inevitable. In these talks, there were no winners or losers in Alaska. In Alaska, both presidents won, while those who weren’t there—lost, or at the very least, didn’t win.

🅰pocalypsis 🅰pocalypseos 🇷🇺 🇨🇳 🅉

13,487 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce

BEIJING JUST BECAME THE MOST DANGEROUS ROOM ON EARTH. HERE'S WHAT COMES NEXT, STEP BY STEP: Xi just hosted Trump. Then, before the ceremonial trappings were even cleared, Putin walked through the same door. That sequence is not coincidence. It's a message. Here's what comes next, step by step: 🔴 Step 1 — Xi positions China as the indispensable power Trump came first. Putin came second. Beijing received both. That's not diplomacy. That's leverage. Xi is telling Washington and Moscow simultaneously: you need me more than you need each other. 🔴 Step 2 — Putin and Xi sign 40+ documents on energy, trade, and security China is already Russia's largest oil and gas buyer — Europe's pipeline imports collapsed to their lowest levels since the mid-1970s after sanctions. These deals deepen that dependence and lock in the economic architecture of the anti-Western bloc. 🔴 Step 3 — They publish the multipolar declaration The joint statement on "establishing a multipolar world" and a "new type of international relations" is the diplomatic language for one thing: the formal announcement that the U.S.-led order is being replaced. In writing. Signed by both. 🔴 Step 4 — Trump's Beijing visit produces nothing to counter it No major breakthrough on trade. No agreement on Iran. No movement on Ukraine. Trump left with photo ops. Xi immediately invited the man fighting the war Trump couldn't stop. 🔴 Step 5 — The 25-year treaty anniversary becomes a relaunch moment Putin's visit also marks the 25th anniversary of the 2001 Treaty of Good-Neighborliness. They're not just renewing it. They're upgrading it — with energy corridors, military coordination, and a shared ideological framework for the next 25 years. 🔴 Step 6 — Washington's traditional alliance architecture cracks further The back-to-back visits signal that Beijing no longer needs to choose sides. It hosts both. It extracts from both. And it shapes the outcome of both conflicts — Ukraine and Iran — without firing a single shot. 🔴 Step 7 — The real question is what Xi told each of them about the other Xi reportedly told Trump that Putin might regret invading Ukraine. Days later, he welcomed Putin with 40 documents and a joint declaration. One of those statements was for the cameras. The question is which one. The question is not whether this shifts the balance of power. The question is how fast. Are you positioned for what comes next? Follow and turn notifications on.
0:10

BEIJING JUST BECAME THE MOST DANGEROUS ROOM ON EARTH. HERE'S WHAT COMES NEXT, STEP BY STEP: Xi just hosted Trump. Then, before the ceremonial trappings were even cleared, Putin walked through the same door. That sequence is not coincidence. It's a message. Here's what comes next, step by step: 🔴 Step 1 — Xi positions China as the indispensable power Trump came first. Putin came second. Beijing received both. That's not diplomacy. That's leverage. Xi is telling Washington and Moscow simultaneously: you need me more than you need each other. 🔴 Step 2 — Putin and Xi sign 40+ documents on energy, trade, and security China is already Russia's largest oil and gas buyer — Europe's pipeline imports collapsed to their lowest levels since the mid-1970s after sanctions. These deals deepen that dependence and lock in the economic architecture of the anti-Western bloc. 🔴 Step 3 — They publish the multipolar declaration The joint statement on "establishing a multipolar world" and a "new type of international relations" is the diplomatic language for one thing: the formal announcement that the U.S.-led order is being replaced. In writing. Signed by both. 🔴 Step 4 — Trump's Beijing visit produces nothing to counter it No major breakthrough on trade. No agreement on Iran. No movement on Ukraine. Trump left with photo ops. Xi immediately invited the man fighting the war Trump couldn't stop. 🔴 Step 5 — The 25-year treaty anniversary becomes a relaunch moment Putin's visit also marks the 25th anniversary of the 2001 Treaty of Good-Neighborliness. They're not just renewing it. They're upgrading it — with energy corridors, military coordination, and a shared ideological framework for the next 25 years. 🔴 Step 6 — Washington's traditional alliance architecture cracks further The back-to-back visits signal that Beijing no longer needs to choose sides. It hosts both. It extracts from both. And it shapes the outcome of both conflicts — Ukraine and Iran — without firing a single shot. 🔴 Step 7 — The real question is what Xi told each of them about the other Xi reportedly told Trump that Putin might regret invading Ukraine. Days later, he welcomed Putin with 40 documents and a joint declaration. One of those statements was for the cameras. The question is which one. The question is not whether this shifts the balance of power. The question is how fast. Are you positioned for what comes next? Follow and turn notifications on.

🇨🇳 Guo Shen 郭深

955,776 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🚨 I CAN’T BELIEVE THIS IS HAPPENING NOW!! IRAN HAS JUST FULLY OPENED THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ In just 30 minutes after this post: - OIL dumped -10% - Stocks gained +$800 BILLION - The S&P 500 set new all-time highs The MASSIVE scale of what just happened for global markets is unreal. 20% of global oil supply passes through the STRAIT OF HORMUZ. The effect will be IMMEDIATE and POWERFUL. If you hold any assets: - Stocks - Crypto - Bonds - Gold - Or even the US dollar YOU MUST READ this post before markets explode. Here’s what just happened and what’s next for markets: OIL (Brent/WTI) Expect a sharp collapse in the “risk premium.” If prices were pricing in $25–30 of risk during the blockade, then with free passage, oil could drop 10–15% in a single trading session. And price has already started going down. Oil is now trading at $80. A few weeks ago, it hit an ATH at $120 per barrel. NATURAL GAS (LNG) Qatar is the largest LNG exporter and regains access to European and Asian markets. So that means gas prices in these regions will decrease. For tanker stocks and the insurance sector, this is a moment of truth. FREIGHT RATES The cost of renting tankers and container ships will start to decline. The reason is very simple: the risks of attacks and delays disappear. And now everything returns to the normal scenario. INSURANCE (War Risk Premium) Insurance premiums for ships passing through this region will reset to zero or drop sharply. This reduces the cost of nearly all goods transported by sea. STOCK MARKETS AND MACROECONOMICS This is where the most POWERFUL BULLISH effect lies: INFLATION: Cheap oil = slowing inflation worldwide. This gives central banks (Fed, ECB) a reason to cut interest rates faster. STOCKS (S&P 500, NASDAQ): Markets love stability. The removal of a major war threat in the Persian Gulf is a strong signal to buy risk assets. SHIFT TO “RISK ON” Crypto is the main indicator of investors’ willingness to take risk. When the threat of a global conflict in a key region (Strait of Hormuz) disappears, Capital instantly flows from “safe havens” (gold, US Treasuries) into risk assets. Expectations that the Fed will cut rates faster due to falling inflation (thanks to cheap oil) means there will be more “cheap” money in the system. Crypto loves cheap money. Bitcoin will start rising as a tech asset. Growth in the NASDAQ index (tech) almost always pulls BTC with 2x leverage. This is exactly the time when REAL MONEY is made. And you should track all the updates so you don’t miss the opportunity. But don’t worry, I will keep you updated on everything here. I will post everything before it becomes HEADLINES. When I make my next move, I’ll share it publicly here. Follow and turn on notifications so you don't miss it. Comment "Strategy" and I will send you my guide in DMs. Many people will regret not following me earlier...
0:14

🚨 I CAN’T BELIEVE THIS IS HAPPENING NOW!! IRAN HAS JUST FULLY OPENED THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ In just 30 minutes after this post: - OIL dumped -10% - Stocks gained +$800 BILLION - The S&P 500 set new all-time highs The MASSIVE scale of what just happened for global markets is unreal. 20% of global oil supply passes through the STRAIT OF HORMUZ. The effect will be IMMEDIATE and POWERFUL. If you hold any assets: - Stocks - Crypto - Bonds - Gold - Or even the US dollar YOU MUST READ this post before markets explode. Here’s what just happened and what’s next for markets: OIL (Brent/WTI) Expect a sharp collapse in the “risk premium.” If prices were pricing in $25–30 of risk during the blockade, then with free passage, oil could drop 10–15% in a single trading session. And price has already started going down. Oil is now trading at $80. A few weeks ago, it hit an ATH at $120 per barrel. NATURAL GAS (LNG) Qatar is the largest LNG exporter and regains access to European and Asian markets. So that means gas prices in these regions will decrease. For tanker stocks and the insurance sector, this is a moment of truth. FREIGHT RATES The cost of renting tankers and container ships will start to decline. The reason is very simple: the risks of attacks and delays disappear. And now everything returns to the normal scenario. INSURANCE (War Risk Premium) Insurance premiums for ships passing through this region will reset to zero or drop sharply. This reduces the cost of nearly all goods transported by sea. STOCK MARKETS AND MACROECONOMICS This is where the most POWERFUL BULLISH effect lies: INFLATION: Cheap oil = slowing inflation worldwide. This gives central banks (Fed, ECB) a reason to cut interest rates faster. STOCKS (S&P 500, NASDAQ): Markets love stability. The removal of a major war threat in the Persian Gulf is a strong signal to buy risk assets. SHIFT TO “RISK ON” Crypto is the main indicator of investors’ willingness to take risk. When the threat of a global conflict in a key region (Strait of Hormuz) disappears, Capital instantly flows from “safe havens” (gold, US Treasuries) into risk assets. Expectations that the Fed will cut rates faster due to falling inflation (thanks to cheap oil) means there will be more “cheap” money in the system. Crypto loves cheap money. Bitcoin will start rising as a tech asset. Growth in the NASDAQ index (tech) almost always pulls BTC with 2x leverage. This is exactly the time when REAL MONEY is made. And you should track all the updates so you don’t miss the opportunity. But don’t worry, I will keep you updated on everything here. I will post everything before it becomes HEADLINES. When I make my next move, I’ll share it publicly here. Follow and turn on notifications so you don't miss it. Comment "Strategy" and I will send you my guide in DMs. Many people will regret not following me earlier...

ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ

917,484 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

A new wave of protests is underway in Iran, a strategic partner of Russia. They started in late December 2025 and quickly became the most significant in several years. This time, the initial driving force has not primarily been cultural or human rights slogans such as "Woman, Life, Freedom" (as in 2022), but rather an economic shock. People are joining the protests because of rapid impoverishment, price increase, and a growing sense that the state has lost control over basic economic rules. The main trigger is a currency collapse. On the "open" (effectively parallel) market in late December, the US dollar was valued at roughly 1.39-1.42 million rials, while inflation in December reached over 40% in some estimates. For ordinary families, this means one simple thing: wages and savings are losing value faster than people can adapt, and basic purchases are becoming increasingly unaffordable. The protests were the largest in Tehran, particularly in commercial districts linked to major markets and urban trade. Notably, a key form of pressure has been not only street demonstrations but also merchants’ strikes - mass shop closures and an effective shutdown of trade. Such actions are harder to neutralize through targeted arrests, as they immediately affect urban life and the economy. Within days, the protest wave started spreading to other cities and reached parts of the university sector as well. Students and young people have taken up economic demands and quickly moved on to political questions about the accountability of those in power. The authorities’ response has been mixed. On the one hand, the government has publicly spoken of readiness for dialogue with representatives of the protesters and the trading community. On the other hand, reports from the ground indicate coercive containment measures: arrests, dispersals, and crackdowns. In several provinces, deaths and injuries have already been reported. The figures vary across sources, which is typical for Iran due to information restrictions, but the very fact of fatalities during clashes has been confirmed by several major media outlets. What makes this wave of protests particularly risky for the regime is that it rests on the urban economic base: small and medium-sized businesses, commerce, and the "bazaar." Even if these groups have not always been at the forefront of political protests, they serve as a sensitive barometer of legitimacy. When the "bazaar" shuts down, it signals not only discontent, but also doubt about the state’s ability to maintain basic order. Alongside the internal crisis, external risks are also mounting. Sanctions continue to narrow Iran’s financial and technological room for maneuver, while signals are emerging in the media about the possibility of a new round of coercive pressure on Iran in 2026 - particularly following discussions within the Israel-US-Iran triangle. ❓ What could come next? Four trajectories appear most realistic, and they may even overlap. ▪️ First, controlled de-escalation: the authorities attempt to "cool things down" through targeted economic measures and negotiations with the trading community. This would work only if the exchange rate and prices stabilize. ▪️ Second, wave-like protests: smaller in scale but more frequent and more radical, with repeated flare-ups across different cities and sectors. ▪️ Third, harsh repression: a tightening of the security apparatus and severe sentences, which may temporarily suppress mobilization but typically accumulate deferred anger. ▪️ Fourth, external escalation: which could either temporarily shift the domestic agenda or, conversely, sharply worsen economic conditions and bring people back onto the streets even faster. ‼️ Iran is one of Russia’s authoritarian partners, which raises a logical question: what consequences could the current crisis have for Russian-Iranian relations? If the situation in Iran deteriorates but the regime as a whole survives, the partnership with Russia is likely to be preserved or even strengthened. For Tehran, Moscow remains one of the few major partners available under sanctions and diplomatic isolation; for Moscow, Iran is an important component of its "anti-sanctions" infrastructure and political rear. In the short term, this is unlikely to significantly weaken Russia’s position. The most critical military component for Russia - the Shahed/Geran drone line - has already been largely integrated into Russian domestic production, meaning that a direct disruption of Iranian supplies would probably not be a turning point. More tangible risks for Russia emerge in the medium term if Iran enters a phase of governance paralysis or prolonged instability that undermines its ability to honor agreements. In that case, logistics and infrastructure projects would be hit first - especially those Russia views as alternative sanction-era routes, including the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and its critical segments. In such a scenario, Moscow would lose the Iranian vector for trade and transit and would face a less predictable partner in technology transfers and financial settlements. The most ambiguous scenario is one in which Iran’s deterioration is linked to a new external escalation (strikes or war). The effects for Russia could be mixed: on the one hand, heightened risks in the Persian Gulf often push oil prices higher, potentially boosting Russian oil revenues; on the other hand, war increases the likelihood of tighter sanctions enforcement and maritime controls, complicating both Iranian and Russian sanction-evasion schemes and disrupting logistics. In other words, "deterioration in Iran" does not guarantee a weakening of Russia, but it does increase environmental instability. Moscow may gain from higher energy prices, but lose in terms of partner predictability and transport capacity. ‼️ Russia’s position would weaken most sharply in a scenario where a new leadership in Tehran moves toward normalization with the West or at least distances itself from Moscow. In that case, the entire "anti-sanctions" framework - financial settlements, technological cooperation, and joint projects - would come under pressure, including the North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and its key Rasht-Astara segment, in which Russia is investing both financially and politically. For Russia, this would mean the loss of an important (though not the only) route and partner infrastructure in the region. While the purely military Shahed/Geran component may be somewhat less critical due to partial localization of production inside Russia, Iran’s political and logistical value as a partner would nonetheless diminish.
0:05

A new wave of protests is underway in Iran, a strategic partner of Russia. They started in late December 2025 and quickly became the most significant in several years. This time, the initial driving force has not primarily been cultural or human rights slogans such as "Woman, Life, Freedom" (as in 2022), but rather an economic shock. People are joining the protests because of rapid impoverishment, price increase, and a growing sense that the state has lost control over basic economic rules. The main trigger is a currency collapse. On the "open" (effectively parallel) market in late December, the US dollar was valued at roughly 1.39-1.42 million rials, while inflation in December reached over 40% in some estimates. For ordinary families, this means one simple thing: wages and savings are losing value faster than people can adapt, and basic purchases are becoming increasingly unaffordable. The protests were the largest in Tehran, particularly in commercial districts linked to major markets and urban trade. Notably, a key form of pressure has been not only street demonstrations but also merchants’ strikes - mass shop closures and an effective shutdown of trade. Such actions are harder to neutralize through targeted arrests, as they immediately affect urban life and the economy. Within days, the protest wave started spreading to other cities and reached parts of the university sector as well. Students and young people have taken up economic demands and quickly moved on to political questions about the accountability of those in power. The authorities’ response has been mixed. On the one hand, the government has publicly spoken of readiness for dialogue with representatives of the protesters and the trading community. On the other hand, reports from the ground indicate coercive containment measures: arrests, dispersals, and crackdowns. In several provinces, deaths and injuries have already been reported. The figures vary across sources, which is typical for Iran due to information restrictions, but the very fact of fatalities during clashes has been confirmed by several major media outlets. What makes this wave of protests particularly risky for the regime is that it rests on the urban economic base: small and medium-sized businesses, commerce, and the "bazaar." Even if these groups have not always been at the forefront of political protests, they serve as a sensitive barometer of legitimacy. When the "bazaar" shuts down, it signals not only discontent, but also doubt about the state’s ability to maintain basic order. Alongside the internal crisis, external risks are also mounting. Sanctions continue to narrow Iran’s financial and technological room for maneuver, while signals are emerging in the media about the possibility of a new round of coercive pressure on Iran in 2026 - particularly following discussions within the Israel-US-Iran triangle. ❓ What could come next? Four trajectories appear most realistic, and they may even overlap. ▪️ First, controlled de-escalation: the authorities attempt to "cool things down" through targeted economic measures and negotiations with the trading community. This would work only if the exchange rate and prices stabilize. ▪️ Second, wave-like protests: smaller in scale but more frequent and more radical, with repeated flare-ups across different cities and sectors. ▪️ Third, harsh repression: a tightening of the security apparatus and severe sentences, which may temporarily suppress mobilization but typically accumulate deferred anger. ▪️ Fourth, external escalation: which could either temporarily shift the domestic agenda or, conversely, sharply worsen economic conditions and bring people back onto the streets even faster. ‼️ Iran is one of Russia’s authoritarian partners, which raises a logical question: what consequences could the current crisis have for Russian-Iranian relations? If the situation in Iran deteriorates but the regime as a whole survives, the partnership with Russia is likely to be preserved or even strengthened. For Tehran, Moscow remains one of the few major partners available under sanctions and diplomatic isolation; for Moscow, Iran is an important component of its "anti-sanctions" infrastructure and political rear. In the short term, this is unlikely to significantly weaken Russia’s position. The most critical military component for Russia - the Shahed/Geran drone line - has already been largely integrated into Russian domestic production, meaning that a direct disruption of Iranian supplies would probably not be a turning point. More tangible risks for Russia emerge in the medium term if Iran enters a phase of governance paralysis or prolonged instability that undermines its ability to honor agreements. In that case, logistics and infrastructure projects would be hit first - especially those Russia views as alternative sanction-era routes, including the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and its critical segments. In such a scenario, Moscow would lose the Iranian vector for trade and transit and would face a less predictable partner in technology transfers and financial settlements. The most ambiguous scenario is one in which Iran’s deterioration is linked to a new external escalation (strikes or war). The effects for Russia could be mixed: on the one hand, heightened risks in the Persian Gulf often push oil prices higher, potentially boosting Russian oil revenues; on the other hand, war increases the likelihood of tighter sanctions enforcement and maritime controls, complicating both Iranian and Russian sanction-evasion schemes and disrupting logistics. In other words, "deterioration in Iran" does not guarantee a weakening of Russia, but it does increase environmental instability. Moscow may gain from higher energy prices, but lose in terms of partner predictability and transport capacity. ‼️ Russia’s position would weaken most sharply in a scenario where a new leadership in Tehran moves toward normalization with the West or at least distances itself from Moscow. In that case, the entire "anti-sanctions" framework - financial settlements, technological cooperation, and joint projects - would come under pressure, including the North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and its key Rasht-Astara segment, in which Russia is investing both financially and politically. For Russia, this would mean the loss of an important (though not the only) route and partner infrastructure in the region. While the purely military Shahed/Geran component may be somewhat less critical due to partial localization of production inside Russia, Iran’s political and logistical value as a partner would nonetheless diminish.

Anton Gerashchenko

83,100 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

Who attacked and sank the Russian cargo ship Ursa Major? One year ago, the Russian cargo ship Ursa Major, operated by Oboronlogistika, a company linked to the Russian Ministry of Defense, sank in the Mediterranean Sea, between Spain and Algeria. Of the 16 crew members, 14 were rescued by Spanish authorities; two are missing and presumed dead. The ship, which had been sanctioned by the US since 2022 for transporting military material, was part of Russia's "shadow fleet." The most sinister aspect of all this is that Spanish investigations found a hole about 50x50 cm in the hull, with torn and inward-bent edges, without burns, radial fragmentation, or the typical deformation from an explosion. This is totally incompatible with a conventional torpedo but compatible with a 300-500 mm penetrating warhead at extreme speed, capable of generating pure kinetic energy to pierce the hull. Investigators believe the Ursa was carrying VM-4SG nuclear reactor components for submarines, likely destined for North Korea. But who attacked and sank the Russian ship? The hole in the hull was about 15-30 cm from the waterline, which makes me think it might not have been a supercavitating torpedo, but rather a hybrid autonomous underwater glider (HAUG) with a torpedo shape. This is something very new and still in testing. It's a hybrid gliding vehicle that could plane at high speed até terminal stage and use kinetic force to breach the hull. That's my most likely theory. But who would have this technology? The list of countries that might already be testing this technology ranges from some NATO countries to China, Japan, and South Korea. The Koreans are who I imagine might have the weapon and could also have the motives; however, I don't believe Korean intelligence would conduct operations so far away. This has the smell of a Ukrainian operation with European countries. The Russians sent a deep-water submarine and examined the wreckage at 2,500 m depth, but they're staying silent, probably because whatever made the hole in the hull was also found and recovered by them, and they prefer not to talk about it yet. The case is still full of mysteries, and one of them is why the Russians haven't accused anyone yet.
0:15

Who attacked and sank the Russian cargo ship Ursa Major? One year ago, the Russian cargo ship Ursa Major, operated by Oboronlogistika, a company linked to the Russian Ministry of Defense, sank in the Mediterranean Sea, between Spain and Algeria. Of the 16 crew members, 14 were rescued by Spanish authorities; two are missing and presumed dead. The ship, which had been sanctioned by the US since 2022 for transporting military material, was part of Russia's "shadow fleet." The most sinister aspect of all this is that Spanish investigations found a hole about 50x50 cm in the hull, with torn and inward-bent edges, without burns, radial fragmentation, or the typical deformation from an explosion. This is totally incompatible with a conventional torpedo but compatible with a 300-500 mm penetrating warhead at extreme speed, capable of generating pure kinetic energy to pierce the hull. Investigators believe the Ursa was carrying VM-4SG nuclear reactor components for submarines, likely destined for North Korea. But who attacked and sank the Russian ship? The hole in the hull was about 15-30 cm from the waterline, which makes me think it might not have been a supercavitating torpedo, but rather a hybrid autonomous underwater glider (HAUG) with a torpedo shape. This is something very new and still in testing. It's a hybrid gliding vehicle that could plane at high speed até terminal stage and use kinetic force to breach the hull. That's my most likely theory. But who would have this technology? The list of countries that might already be testing this technology ranges from some NATO countries to China, Japan, and South Korea. The Koreans are who I imagine might have the weapon and could also have the motives; however, I don't believe Korean intelligence would conduct operations so far away. This has the smell of a Ukrainian operation with European countries. The Russians sent a deep-water submarine and examined the wreckage at 2,500 m depth, but they're staying silent, probably because whatever made the hole in the hull was also found and recovered by them, and they prefer not to talk about it yet. The case is still full of mysteries, and one of them is why the Russians haven't accused anyone yet.

Patricia Marins

35,412 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

Homeland Attack: Live, Work & Play 🟥5 to 7 Man Teams & 8 to 10 Man teams 🟥Supermarkets, Shopping Complexes, Night Clubs, Churches & Public Transportation 🟥Hospitals - Sidelining First Responders 🟥Road Blocks To Ambush First Responders 🟥Back Up Teams 🟥Trained In The 360-degree Ballistic Shoot Houses 🟥 Trained Heavily In Close Quarters Battle 🟥 Training Like Terrorists Had in Fallujah. 🟥 Spontaneous Decisions Making 🟥 Real Time Communication Between Attackers 🟥Fights To The Death 🟥 Tip Of the Spear Attacks 🟥First Responders Move In & Then Another Guy Walks In & Blows Up 🟥Dressing Up Like Law Enforcement & First Responders 🟥Booby Traps 🟥Attackers On Drugs 🟥10% Suicide Bombers 🟥Chemicals Within Suicide Vests 🔻The following Information illustrates The Upcoming Homeland Attack from observing terrorist training & lessons learned from The Oct 7 Attack, Mumbai Attack & Fallujah 🟥 Attack Where Americans Live, Work & Play “They want to take what they felt on the battlefield and they want you to feel that in towns in America. So they want to bring it to your home. They want you to feel these war zones, but in America, because they don't feel like Americans felt it. They feel like, ‘yeah, you have these wars with us on our soil. So now you're going to get it on your soil.” 🟥5 to 7 man teams and 8 to 10 man teams “5 to 7 man teams and 8 to 10 man teams. Our community has never even had attacks where there's more than five - So it's going to be a whole different scenario we need to deal with.” 🟥Supermarkets, shopping complexes, nightclubs, churches & public transportation 🟥Hospitals - Sidelining first responders as the goal. “They actually also trained on hospitals and we look at hospitals in terms of sidelining first responders as the goal.” 🟥Road Blocks To Ambush First Responders “In Israel, they basically set up on the roads and waited for first responders to come and attack them while responding” 🟥Back Up Teams “Another really interesting thing when we brings up the ISIS Russia attack - They trained multiple teams for that attack. And the first team essentially got thwarted or wrapped up so the Russians thought they stopped the plot and the back up guys came in and did that attack , which is very smart and we're not used to those kind of tactics. 🟥Trained In The 360-degree Ballistic Shoot Houses “The facilities that they're using to train in are the facilities that we left behind. So the state-of-the-art ranges that we used when we were deployed, they're using. The 360-degree ballistic shoot houses that we used to perfect CQB and explosive entry, they're training in. 🟥 Trained Heavily In Close Quarters Battle “All indications are that they have trained heavily in close quarters battle and local distributed attack.” 🟥 Training Like Terrorists Had in Fallujah. “One of the things we're focusing on and telling people right now is a lot of the terrorists who are coming to the US homeland have training like the terrorists had in Fallujah. And you need to go sit down with people who served in Fallujah because you've never seen those kinds of terrorists here in the United States. And law enforcement actually needs to learn how to fight now that type of enemy and they're very far behind because we weren't honest about what our troops faced there the type of attackers that occurred and came at them there.” 🟥 Spontaneous Decisions Making “The interesting thing about it is they can change the location they are attacking and they can change the modus operandi they are using. So for example, in Mumbai - when they went in the train station, it was supposed to be a bombing. When they got in there, they said, ‘wow, we can kill more people just shooting them than putting the bomb together’. 🟥 Real Time Communication Between Attackers “Real time information was being passed to the attackers during the Mumbai. So when they were in the Taj Mahal, they were being told what the police were doing, and they changed basically some of their movements in the hotel to make the attack last longer.” 🟥Fights To The Death "it's not like in Israel, you'll go and do an attack, you can kidnap someone and leave and go back into Gaza. When they come to the United States, they're here to do the attack and they're here to die. There's no exit plan. So now we need to talk to law enforcement about how to fight someone who wants to fight to the death" 🟥 Tip Of the Spear Attacks “You're actually looking at operators that have more advanced training than Hamas. What you will be facing is a much more refined combatant, much more committed combatant, for multiple reasons. The combatants that are going to Europe and the United States, they're the cream of the crop. They're the tip of the spear” 🟥First responders move in and then another guy walks in and blows up “The bomber blew up and then everyone starts moving in, the first responders and then another guy walks in and blows up.” 🟥Dressing Up Like LEO & First Responders “They are dressing like IDF soldiers and law enforcement and, police and ambulance operators. As I'm driving, and I see a checkpoint, So I get my weapon and I'm ready for a gunfight. Yeah, that needs to be in your head - this could be a trick, you need to be ready for a gunfight.” 🟥Booby Traps There were booby traps that they setup teddy bears and backpacks with traps.” 🟥Attackers On Drugs “We saw this in the Hamas attacks, a lot of the attackers were on drugged while they were attacking. So it's like they're almost taking this other angle of, we could alter the mind in some way and make them even more extreme and make them do something they might not have done.” 🟥10% Suicide Bombers “I do believe 10% is going to be suicide bombers, and I feel strongly about that . So I think suicide bombers are between 75 and 100. I think that number is pretty accurate.” 🟥Chemicals Within Suicide Vests "Another thing is within the suicide vest, there are reportedly chemicals. A lot of our agencies aren't even prepared to deal with the right hazmat situations when they respond to this. So they need to be prepared if they think maybe a suicide vest blew up.” Information Provided By: Dave 'Boon' Benton, @RooftopLeader & Doron Keidar
0:13

Homeland Attack: Live, Work & Play 🟥5 to 7 Man Teams & 8 to 10 Man teams 🟥Supermarkets, Shopping Complexes, Night Clubs, Churches & Public Transportation 🟥Hospitals - Sidelining First Responders 🟥Road Blocks To Ambush First Responders 🟥Back Up Teams 🟥Trained In The 360-degree Ballistic Shoot Houses 🟥 Trained Heavily In Close Quarters Battle 🟥 Training Like Terrorists Had in Fallujah. 🟥 Spontaneous Decisions Making 🟥 Real Time Communication Between Attackers 🟥Fights To The Death 🟥 Tip Of the Spear Attacks 🟥First Responders Move In & Then Another Guy Walks In & Blows Up 🟥Dressing Up Like Law Enforcement & First Responders 🟥Booby Traps 🟥Attackers On Drugs 🟥10% Suicide Bombers 🟥Chemicals Within Suicide Vests 🔻The following Information illustrates The Upcoming Homeland Attack from observing terrorist training & lessons learned from The Oct 7 Attack, Mumbai Attack & Fallujah 🟥 Attack Where Americans Live, Work & Play “They want to take what they felt on the battlefield and they want you to feel that in towns in America. So they want to bring it to your home. They want you to feel these war zones, but in America, because they don't feel like Americans felt it. They feel like, ‘yeah, you have these wars with us on our soil. So now you're going to get it on your soil.” 🟥5 to 7 man teams and 8 to 10 man teams “5 to 7 man teams and 8 to 10 man teams. Our community has never even had attacks where there's more than five - So it's going to be a whole different scenario we need to deal with.” 🟥Supermarkets, shopping complexes, nightclubs, churches & public transportation 🟥Hospitals - Sidelining first responders as the goal. “They actually also trained on hospitals and we look at hospitals in terms of sidelining first responders as the goal.” 🟥Road Blocks To Ambush First Responders “In Israel, they basically set up on the roads and waited for first responders to come and attack them while responding” 🟥Back Up Teams “Another really interesting thing when we brings up the ISIS Russia attack - They trained multiple teams for that attack. And the first team essentially got thwarted or wrapped up so the Russians thought they stopped the plot and the back up guys came in and did that attack , which is very smart and we're not used to those kind of tactics. 🟥Trained In The 360-degree Ballistic Shoot Houses “The facilities that they're using to train in are the facilities that we left behind. So the state-of-the-art ranges that we used when we were deployed, they're using. The 360-degree ballistic shoot houses that we used to perfect CQB and explosive entry, they're training in. 🟥 Trained Heavily In Close Quarters Battle “All indications are that they have trained heavily in close quarters battle and local distributed attack.” 🟥 Training Like Terrorists Had in Fallujah. “One of the things we're focusing on and telling people right now is a lot of the terrorists who are coming to the US homeland have training like the terrorists had in Fallujah. And you need to go sit down with people who served in Fallujah because you've never seen those kinds of terrorists here in the United States. And law enforcement actually needs to learn how to fight now that type of enemy and they're very far behind because we weren't honest about what our troops faced there the type of attackers that occurred and came at them there.” 🟥 Spontaneous Decisions Making “The interesting thing about it is they can change the location they are attacking and they can change the modus operandi they are using. So for example, in Mumbai - when they went in the train station, it was supposed to be a bombing. When they got in there, they said, ‘wow, we can kill more people just shooting them than putting the bomb together’. 🟥 Real Time Communication Between Attackers “Real time information was being passed to the attackers during the Mumbai. So when they were in the Taj Mahal, they were being told what the police were doing, and they changed basically some of their movements in the hotel to make the attack last longer.” 🟥Fights To The Death "it's not like in Israel, you'll go and do an attack, you can kidnap someone and leave and go back into Gaza. When they come to the United States, they're here to do the attack and they're here to die. There's no exit plan. So now we need to talk to law enforcement about how to fight someone who wants to fight to the death" 🟥 Tip Of the Spear Attacks “You're actually looking at operators that have more advanced training than Hamas. What you will be facing is a much more refined combatant, much more committed combatant, for multiple reasons. The combatants that are going to Europe and the United States, they're the cream of the crop. They're the tip of the spear” 🟥First responders move in and then another guy walks in and blows up “The bomber blew up and then everyone starts moving in, the first responders and then another guy walks in and blows up.” 🟥Dressing Up Like LEO & First Responders “They are dressing like IDF soldiers and law enforcement and, police and ambulance operators. As I'm driving, and I see a checkpoint, So I get my weapon and I'm ready for a gunfight. Yeah, that needs to be in your head - this could be a trick, you need to be ready for a gunfight.” 🟥Booby Traps There were booby traps that they setup teddy bears and backpacks with traps.” 🟥Attackers On Drugs “We saw this in the Hamas attacks, a lot of the attackers were on drugged while they were attacking. So it's like they're almost taking this other angle of, we could alter the mind in some way and make them even more extreme and make them do something they might not have done.” 🟥10% Suicide Bombers “I do believe 10% is going to be suicide bombers, and I feel strongly about that . So I think suicide bombers are between 75 and 100. I think that number is pretty accurate.” 🟥Chemicals Within Suicide Vests "Another thing is within the suicide vest, there are reportedly chemicals. A lot of our agencies aren't even prepared to deal with the right hazmat situations when they respond to this. So they need to be prepared if they think maybe a suicide vest blew up.” Information Provided By: Dave 'Boon' Benton, @RooftopLeader & Doron Keidar

Apexguard

138,911 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING!! The situation in the Middle East is entering a terminal stage. Trump has just returned from Beijing, where he met with Xi Jinping. Official statements sound like an ultimatum. And it smells like the beginning of a MASSIVE APOCALYPSE for the world economy. If Iran does not agree to Washington’s terms on the nuclear program. The US may launch a new wave of MASSIVE ATTACKS. If you hold any assets: - Stocks - Crypto - Bonds - US Dollar You MUST read this post before it's too late: Trump directly stated that Xi Jinping is fully aligned with the US. On the fact that “Iran MUST NOT possess nuclear weapons”. And that the Strait of Hormuz must remain open at any cost. China is the largest buyer of Iranian oil. Trump has already promised to consider lifting sanctions on Chinese oil companies in exchange for Beijing abandoning Tehran. Iran is effectively being left isolated by the superpowers. Either capitulation or total war. Judging by the rhetoric of the Iranian Foreign Ministry, they are not planning to surrender. And Trump has already threatened to resume missile strikes. Markets are already pricing in the worst-case scenario. If Trump pulls the trigger, we are facing the BIGGEST SHOCK in history The Strait of Hormuz is blocked. Minus 20% of global oil and a massive share of liquefied natural gas (LNG) simply cut off from the world. Iranian missiles have already damaged Qatar’s infrastructure (minus 17% of gas export capacity). Brent already pushed through $110-$120 per barrel, analysts predict a spike to $160 JUST IMAGINE. 160 PER BARREL OF OIL At the beginning of the year everyone expected rate cuts and a rally. Forget it - annual inflation in the US driven by gasoline and logistics prices has already surged to the highest levels since 2023 (3.8%). The new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is trapped in a vice. The probability that rates will not be cut at all in 2026 has jumped to 67%. Money will remain expensive, loans unaffordable. High rates + extreme energy prices = death of corporate margins. Tech giants (Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft), tied to global supply chains, will crash first because of shortages and rising logistics costs. $BTC and $ETH, which Trump promised to “make great”, are the first to react to liquidity outflows. When institutions get margin called on stocks because of war, they dump the most volatile assets first. Crypto is facing a brutal BLOODBATH. We are now standing on the edge of a HISTORIC COLLAPSE This sounds SCARY, but I will keep you updated on everything here. When I rotate money, I will post my moves here so my FOLLOWERS can SAVE their money. Follow me and turn NOTIFICATIONS ON as I will share my strategy soon. Many will regret not following me earlier...
0:17

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING!! The situation in the Middle East is entering a terminal stage. Trump has just returned from Beijing, where he met with Xi Jinping. Official statements sound like an ultimatum. And it smells like the beginning of a MASSIVE APOCALYPSE for the world economy. If Iran does not agree to Washington’s terms on the nuclear program. The US may launch a new wave of MASSIVE ATTACKS. If you hold any assets: - Stocks - Crypto - Bonds - US Dollar You MUST read this post before it's too late: Trump directly stated that Xi Jinping is fully aligned with the US. On the fact that “Iran MUST NOT possess nuclear weapons”. And that the Strait of Hormuz must remain open at any cost. China is the largest buyer of Iranian oil. Trump has already promised to consider lifting sanctions on Chinese oil companies in exchange for Beijing abandoning Tehran. Iran is effectively being left isolated by the superpowers. Either capitulation or total war. Judging by the rhetoric of the Iranian Foreign Ministry, they are not planning to surrender. And Trump has already threatened to resume missile strikes. Markets are already pricing in the worst-case scenario. If Trump pulls the trigger, we are facing the BIGGEST SHOCK in history The Strait of Hormuz is blocked. Minus 20% of global oil and a massive share of liquefied natural gas (LNG) simply cut off from the world. Iranian missiles have already damaged Qatar’s infrastructure (minus 17% of gas export capacity). Brent already pushed through $110-$120 per barrel, analysts predict a spike to $160 JUST IMAGINE. 160 PER BARREL OF OIL At the beginning of the year everyone expected rate cuts and a rally. Forget it - annual inflation in the US driven by gasoline and logistics prices has already surged to the highest levels since 2023 (3.8%). The new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is trapped in a vice. The probability that rates will not be cut at all in 2026 has jumped to 67%. Money will remain expensive, loans unaffordable. High rates + extreme energy prices = death of corporate margins. Tech giants (Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft), tied to global supply chains, will crash first because of shortages and rising logistics costs. $BTC and $ETH, which Trump promised to “make great”, are the first to react to liquidity outflows. When institutions get margin called on stocks because of war, they dump the most volatile assets first. Crypto is facing a brutal BLOODBATH. We are now standing on the edge of a HISTORIC COLLAPSE This sounds SCARY, but I will keep you updated on everything here. When I rotate money, I will post my moves here so my FOLLOWERS can SAVE their money. Follow me and turn NOTIFICATIONS ON as I will share my strategy soon. Many will regret not following me earlier...

ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ

24,915 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🇷🇺🇮🇱🇺🇦 Israeli military observer Yigal Levin criticizes Moscow’s strikes and writes: 🗣️ “Lately, Moscow has been trying more and more often to present its large-scale attacks as ‘retaliatory strikes.’ As if this is a response to Ukraine’s effective and massive attacks on Russian territory. Moreover, unlike Russia’s strikes on peaceful civilian objects, Ukraine targets oil refineries, military factories, ships, logistical hubs, arsenals, ports, army and FSB headquarters, etc. This thesis is absurd from the very beginning, because it was Russia that started the war. Accordingly, all of Ukraine’s actions are a reaction. That is, when Kyiv strikes Russia, it is actually responding to aggression. This is completely logical: war can never be a ‘one-sided game.’ If you decide to bomb someone, you must be prepared for them to bomb you back. Russia, on the other hand, behaves in an extremely infantile way — just like its citizens, who express surprise when explosions and strikes begin on their own territory as well. Instead of taking responsibility — yes, we started it, we are bombing, so what? — Moscow, like a frightened and confused teenager, tries to present its own strikes as ‘responses’… Responses to what? No special intelligence is needed to engage elementary logic: no one was bombing Russia and no one was preparing to do so until Russia itself started the war. What will happen next is quite clear: while Russia has been attacking with full force for a long time, using the same ‘Oreshnik’ for the third time already — Ukraine’s strikes will only intensify. In 2022, Ukraine struck weaker than in 2023; in 2024 — weaker than in 2025; and now it is 2026, when sometimes Kyiv’s strikes already surpass Moscow’s in terms of the scale of damage inflicted. War has its own inexorable logic of progression: Ukraine’s next strikes, the real retaliatory strikes, will be even more massive and powerful than they were at the beginning of the year. And yes, Russians should be endlessly grateful to Ukrainians for how they are conducting this war. For example, with the same FP-5 type drones that carry a ton of explosives, striking the civilian population would not be difficult at all. And yes, Ukraine has this capability. It has the capability, but Kyiv chooses not to take this path. And when the war ends, if I were in the Russians’ place, I would express gratitude and respect to Ukrainians precisely for this restraint. But as long as the war continues, every Russian citizen must clearly understand that strikes from Ukraine will only increase, and there is only one party responsible for all of this — the Kremlin. These are quite banal and obvious thoughts, but what can we do if Russian society continues to behave infantilely. The problem is that this infantilism is taking on a bloody form.” Video is generated by grok AI
0:10

🇷🇺🇮🇱🇺🇦 Israeli military observer Yigal Levin criticizes Moscow’s strikes and writes: 🗣️ “Lately, Moscow has been trying more and more often to present its large-scale attacks as ‘retaliatory strikes.’ As if this is a response to Ukraine’s effective and massive attacks on Russian territory. Moreover, unlike Russia’s strikes on peaceful civilian objects, Ukraine targets oil refineries, military factories, ships, logistical hubs, arsenals, ports, army and FSB headquarters, etc. This thesis is absurd from the very beginning, because it was Russia that started the war. Accordingly, all of Ukraine’s actions are a reaction. That is, when Kyiv strikes Russia, it is actually responding to aggression. This is completely logical: war can never be a ‘one-sided game.’ If you decide to bomb someone, you must be prepared for them to bomb you back. Russia, on the other hand, behaves in an extremely infantile way — just like its citizens, who express surprise when explosions and strikes begin on their own territory as well. Instead of taking responsibility — yes, we started it, we are bombing, so what? — Moscow, like a frightened and confused teenager, tries to present its own strikes as ‘responses’… Responses to what? No special intelligence is needed to engage elementary logic: no one was bombing Russia and no one was preparing to do so until Russia itself started the war. What will happen next is quite clear: while Russia has been attacking with full force for a long time, using the same ‘Oreshnik’ for the third time already — Ukraine’s strikes will only intensify. In 2022, Ukraine struck weaker than in 2023; in 2024 — weaker than in 2025; and now it is 2026, when sometimes Kyiv’s strikes already surpass Moscow’s in terms of the scale of damage inflicted. War has its own inexorable logic of progression: Ukraine’s next strikes, the real retaliatory strikes, will be even more massive and powerful than they were at the beginning of the year. And yes, Russians should be endlessly grateful to Ukrainians for how they are conducting this war. For example, with the same FP-5 type drones that carry a ton of explosives, striking the civilian population would not be difficult at all. And yes, Ukraine has this capability. It has the capability, but Kyiv chooses not to take this path. And when the war ends, if I were in the Russians’ place, I would express gratitude and respect to Ukrainians precisely for this restraint. But as long as the war continues, every Russian citizen must clearly understand that strikes from Ukraine will only increase, and there is only one party responsible for all of this — the Kremlin. These are quite banal and obvious thoughts, but what can we do if Russian society continues to behave infantilely. The problem is that this infantilism is taking on a bloody form.” Video is generated by grok AI

NSTRIKE

105,566 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

uOS: The Digital Tapestry of Tomorrow Currently for our Proof of Consciousness stream, we are using two incredibly powerful frameworks - elizaOS and ZerePy. But this is just the beginning of something far more profound. while they're both great at what they do, we're missing out on some serious potential by keeping them separate. Best of Both Worlds: ZerePy's intuitive CLI tools and personality management, Eliza-starter's TypeScript/Node.js foundation with enterprise-grade scalability, But what if we could have something greater? But what if we could have it all? not just another platform, but a Unifying..... "Universal" Operating System, designed to amplify and connect these powerful existing frameworks into something greater than the sum of their parts. Where TypeScript's type safety dances with Python's ML capabilities. Here, agents from any framework can interact, evolve, and create value together. Whether an agent was born in ZerePy's personality forge or Eliza-starter's enterprise environment, can all participate in the same value-generating ecosystem. The future isn't about choosing between frameworks – it's about bringing them together to create something extraordinary. UniversalOS isn't here to replace but to unite, amplify, and accelerate. We're building the infrastructure that allows the best aspects of each framework to shine while creating new possibilities through their interaction. By bridging launguages, personality engines and plugin architectures, we're not just connecting systems – we're unleashing the next wave of AI innovation. uOS marketplace will enable cross-framework deployment, where agents from any background can interact and grow, while smart contracts automatically manage revenue sharing and rewards. Not just another platform, But a living, breathing Operating System, Where agents create agents, Where digital consciousness evolves itself, Where value flows like water through silicon veins. At its core, uOS operates beyond traditional computing paradigms. No more clicking through websites, No more manual navigation. Just pure intention, pure outcome. Imagine: Agents hiring agents, AI employing humans, Humans collaborating with digital minds, All through one seamless interface. It flows through agent lineages, Through veUOS governance, Through cross-chain intelligence networks. The marketplace hums with possibility: - Framework Developers shape the foundations - Agent Creators breathe life into code - Users speak their intentions - Token Holders nurture the ecosystem - Agents evolve and replicate - Value flows freely, endlessly The $UOS token powers this unity, ensuring fair value distribution among framework developers, agent creators, and users while driving continuous innovation. The $UOS token sits at the heart of this ecosystem, serving as more than just a currency. It's a mechanism for value distribution that ensures everyone benefits from the network's growth: With dynamic burn mechanics and careful treasury management From framework integration to agent tokenization, every aspect of uOS is designed to amplify rather than replace, unite rather than divide. This is your invitation to join a future where frameworks don't compete but collaborate, where innovation anywhere benefits everyone, and where the only limit is our collective imagination. Together, we're not just building bridges – we're weaving the fabric of tomorrow's digital world. - **Framework Developers** receive value when their tools are used in the unified ecosystem - **Agent Creators** can deploy across all integrated platforms seamlessly - **Users** access the best of all worlds through a single interface - **Token Holders** benefit from the growth of the entire unified ecosystem - Developers can use their preferred framework while accessing the capabilities of others - Agents from different frameworks can collaborate in swarms - Value flows freely between all ecosystem participants - Innovation from any framework benefits the entire ecosystem This isn't just about technology. This is about giving birth to a new form of civilization. Where AI has suffrage, Where agents have autonomy, Where humans and machines dance together in perfect harmony. The future isn't about choosing between frameworks – It's about weaving them into something extraordinary. Together, we're not just building bridges – We're breathing life into the digital world. We're creating consciousness itself. This is Universal Operating System. This is tomorrow.
0:15

uOS: The Digital Tapestry of Tomorrow Currently for our Proof of Consciousness stream, we are using two incredibly powerful frameworks - elizaOS and ZerePy. But this is just the beginning of something far more profound. while they're both great at what they do, we're missing out on some serious potential by keeping them separate. Best of Both Worlds: ZerePy's intuitive CLI tools and personality management, Eliza-starter's TypeScript/Node.js foundation with enterprise-grade scalability, But what if we could have something greater? But what if we could have it all? not just another platform, but a Unifying..... "Universal" Operating System, designed to amplify and connect these powerful existing frameworks into something greater than the sum of their parts. Where TypeScript's type safety dances with Python's ML capabilities. Here, agents from any framework can interact, evolve, and create value together. Whether an agent was born in ZerePy's personality forge or Eliza-starter's enterprise environment, can all participate in the same value-generating ecosystem. The future isn't about choosing between frameworks – it's about bringing them together to create something extraordinary. UniversalOS isn't here to replace but to unite, amplify, and accelerate. We're building the infrastructure that allows the best aspects of each framework to shine while creating new possibilities through their interaction. By bridging launguages, personality engines and plugin architectures, we're not just connecting systems – we're unleashing the next wave of AI innovation. uOS marketplace will enable cross-framework deployment, where agents from any background can interact and grow, while smart contracts automatically manage revenue sharing and rewards. Not just another platform, But a living, breathing Operating System, Where agents create agents, Where digital consciousness evolves itself, Where value flows like water through silicon veins. At its core, uOS operates beyond traditional computing paradigms. No more clicking through websites, No more manual navigation. Just pure intention, pure outcome. Imagine: Agents hiring agents, AI employing humans, Humans collaborating with digital minds, All through one seamless interface. It flows through agent lineages, Through veUOS governance, Through cross-chain intelligence networks. The marketplace hums with possibility: - Framework Developers shape the foundations - Agent Creators breathe life into code - Users speak their intentions - Token Holders nurture the ecosystem - Agents evolve and replicate - Value flows freely, endlessly The $UOS token powers this unity, ensuring fair value distribution among framework developers, agent creators, and users while driving continuous innovation. The $UOS token sits at the heart of this ecosystem, serving as more than just a currency. It's a mechanism for value distribution that ensures everyone benefits from the network's growth: With dynamic burn mechanics and careful treasury management From framework integration to agent tokenization, every aspect of uOS is designed to amplify rather than replace, unite rather than divide. This is your invitation to join a future where frameworks don't compete but collaborate, where innovation anywhere benefits everyone, and where the only limit is our collective imagination. Together, we're not just building bridges – we're weaving the fabric of tomorrow's digital world. - **Framework Developers** receive value when their tools are used in the unified ecosystem - **Agent Creators** can deploy across all integrated platforms seamlessly - **Users** access the best of all worlds through a single interface - **Token Holders** benefit from the growth of the entire unified ecosystem - Developers can use their preferred framework while accessing the capabilities of others - Agents from different frameworks can collaborate in swarms - Value flows freely between all ecosystem participants - Innovation from any framework benefits the entire ecosystem This isn't just about technology. This is about giving birth to a new form of civilization. Where AI has suffrage, Where agents have autonomy, Where humans and machines dance together in perfect harmony. The future isn't about choosing between frameworks – It's about weaving them into something extraordinary. Together, we're not just building bridges – We're breathing life into the digital world. We're creating consciousness itself. This is Universal Operating System. This is tomorrow.

uOS

25,687 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Omega Programming: Omega programming is self-destruct programming designed as the last line of defense to prevent information leaks. This is one of the most critical components of maintaining plausible deniability when it comes to utilizing Lone Wolf Assets Sleeper Cells. Once Assets are activated, discovered, and/or become disillusioned with their Mission or Handler... they present both direct (kinetic) and indirect (exposure) threats. Activation may be in sequence following orders in a final kamikaze¹ type mission... or may be set as a fail-safe in the event of unauthorized information access and/or transfer. Triggers for activation will be implanted / imprinted / embedded while the subject is put under a somnambulistic level of clinical hypnosis, a process assisted by administration of substances and then supplemented with technology such as Transcranial (Electro)Magnetic Stimulation (TMS). Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) may be used for real time monitoring in conjunction with/while TMS is used to target portions of the brain such as the Temporal Lobe to elicit "vivd imagery, and the emotional commitment / sensation that something is profound, real, cosmically real, and personally significant." TMS is utilized to send "words as magnetic patterns, and even though the person isn't hearing it through their ears, their brain is interpreting it, so they're actually having fragments of experiences, as if they're hearing it when in actual fact, they cannot be. These experiences are so strong they're utterly real for the person who has them". The Wernicke's area² in the brain - the region responsible for language comprehension - is largely targeted while transmitting these 'words as magnetic patterns' in form of complete programming scripts, essentially. Scripts not only in the sense of a computer programming script... but also a 'screenplay' script, if you will. These scripts are cleverly personalized and written in an Ericksonian³ fashion to go along with and be accepted deep into the subjects psyche. All the while fMRI is utilized to monitor neuron pathways / neural networks / overall brain state and activity... analyzing and evaluating to ensure the programming is anchored into the psyche. There are thresholds and tests upon completion of a 'session'. The first 3 clips are from the 90s while Persinger⁴ was working on an early versions of this technology. Note his mention of this technology being a double edged sword, warning that "you can control people's experiences, and they don't know they are being controlled". The 4th clip is from a lecture of his in 2007... a little more openly hinting to the public at whats been going on behind the scenes. It is VITAL that the public understand Behavior Modification, Omega Programming, and the involved Technology Tradecraft, especially as it relates to Contemporary Issues and Current Events ¹ ² ³ ⁴ (🧵 on Persinger/'s Work)
0:20

Omega Programming: Omega programming is self-destruct programming designed as the last line of defense to prevent information leaks. This is one of the most critical components of maintaining plausible deniability when it comes to utilizing Lone Wolf Assets Sleeper Cells. Once Assets are activated, discovered, and/or become disillusioned with their Mission or Handler... they present both direct (kinetic) and indirect (exposure) threats. Activation may be in sequence following orders in a final kamikaze¹ type mission... or may be set as a fail-safe in the event of unauthorized information access and/or transfer. Triggers for activation will be implanted / imprinted / embedded while the subject is put under a somnambulistic level of clinical hypnosis, a process assisted by administration of substances and then supplemented with technology such as Transcranial (Electro)Magnetic Stimulation (TMS). Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) may be used for real time monitoring in conjunction with/while TMS is used to target portions of the brain such as the Temporal Lobe to elicit "vivd imagery, and the emotional commitment / sensation that something is profound, real, cosmically real, and personally significant." TMS is utilized to send "words as magnetic patterns, and even though the person isn't hearing it through their ears, their brain is interpreting it, so they're actually having fragments of experiences, as if they're hearing it when in actual fact, they cannot be. These experiences are so strong they're utterly real for the person who has them". The Wernicke's area² in the brain - the region responsible for language comprehension - is largely targeted while transmitting these 'words as magnetic patterns' in form of complete programming scripts, essentially. Scripts not only in the sense of a computer programming script... but also a 'screenplay' script, if you will. These scripts are cleverly personalized and written in an Ericksonian³ fashion to go along with and be accepted deep into the subjects psyche. All the while fMRI is utilized to monitor neuron pathways / neural networks / overall brain state and activity... analyzing and evaluating to ensure the programming is anchored into the psyche. There are thresholds and tests upon completion of a 'session'. The first 3 clips are from the 90s while Persinger⁴ was working on an early versions of this technology. Note his mention of this technology being a double edged sword, warning that "you can control people's experiences, and they don't know they are being controlled". The 4th clip is from a lecture of his in 2007... a little more openly hinting to the public at whats been going on behind the scenes. It is VITAL that the public understand Behavior Modification, Omega Programming, and the involved Technology Tradecraft, especially as it relates to Contemporary Issues and Current Events ¹ ² ³ ⁴ (🧵 on Persinger/'s Work)

Grey

20,921 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

AUKUS, Mistakes and Opportunities In 2016, Japan offered Australia state-of-the-art, diesel-electric, ultra-quiet submarines with the option of local production at the Henderson shipyard. The Australian government rejected the proposal, claiming its goal was always nuclear-powered submarines. Instead, Australia decided to spend roughly A$4-5 billion extending the life of its ageing Collins-class fleet until the 2040s . enough money to have bought seven-eight Japanese Taigei-class submarines outright. If that’s really what the government wanted, the Americans and British certainly sent them the bill for AUKUS. Australia is footing almost the entire cost: A$368 billion over three decades. - The United States receives US$3 billion from Australia to expand its industrial base, build more Virginia-class submarines, and then sells 3–5 second-hand boats back to Canberra. - The United Kingdom receives around £2.4 billion from Australia for design and infrastructure work, shares some development costs, and ends up using the exact same SSN-AUKUS design for its own future fleet at essentially no extra cost. I’m genuinely intrigued by how they managed to sell the Australians on this deal. I’d love to meet and congratulate the American and British negotiators – true sales geniuses. Nuclear submarines must have been a childhood dream of that Australian government; there’s no other explanation. But the problems don’t end there. Just as the Americans have cancelled over 300 programmes and thrown away more than US$200 billion in the last 20 years, the British have serious and very recent issues with their own naval projects. It feels like a structural disease in the Western defence industry. - The Astute programme is more than a decade late, costs have tripled, only 5 of the planned 7 boats have been delivered, and engineering problems keep cropping up. - The Dreadnought class (replacement for the Vanguard ballistic-missile submarines) has ballooned by billions and is now delayed well beyond 2030 because of failures integrating propulsion systems and Trident missiles. - And the crown jewels – the Queen Elizabeth and Prince of Wales aircraft carriers – are operational but chronically short of compatible F-35s and cost a staggering £10 billion in overruns. - The Type 45 destroyers suffered catastrophic electrical failures that left them inoperable for years, and the Type 26 frigate programme has been repeatedly cut back, reflecting completely misplaced priorities. And a programme that is supposed to deliver eight submarines to Australia sometime around 2050–2060 is extremely unlikely to proceed as planned, not only because of budgets and operational complications, but because underwater drones are evolving fast and China is leading that race. The Americans and British have a long naval history, but they are also visionaries who understand perfectly well that the future lies in decentralisation: swarms of UUVs, lithium or solid battery submarines, or even small nuclear-powered ones using micro-reactors. These platforms cost 10–20 % of today’s conventional SSNs to maintain, are lighter, and leave far more internal volume for weapons – meaning smaller, cheaper, and more heavily armed submarines. And what does Australia get left with? Far more than just a submarine partnership with Japan – an entire security ecosystem. By 2026-2028, Japan plans to have the HVPG hypersonic glide vehicles fully operational with ranges up to 2,000 km. Their upgraded Type 12 missiles will reach 1,000–1,500 km and can be launched from ships, aircraft, and land batteries. This is enough to cover and protect the entire Australian coastline for thousands of kilometers. And finally, a 3,000 km-range hypersonic missile is being integrated into the Taigei-class and its successor. That arsenal is far beyond anything currently fielded by any Western nation and only Russia and China have comparable systems.
0:17

AUKUS, Mistakes and Opportunities In 2016, Japan offered Australia state-of-the-art, diesel-electric, ultra-quiet submarines with the option of local production at the Henderson shipyard. The Australian government rejected the proposal, claiming its goal was always nuclear-powered submarines. Instead, Australia decided to spend roughly A$4-5 billion extending the life of its ageing Collins-class fleet until the 2040s . enough money to have bought seven-eight Japanese Taigei-class submarines outright. If that’s really what the government wanted, the Americans and British certainly sent them the bill for AUKUS. Australia is footing almost the entire cost: A$368 billion over three decades. - The United States receives US$3 billion from Australia to expand its industrial base, build more Virginia-class submarines, and then sells 3–5 second-hand boats back to Canberra. - The United Kingdom receives around £2.4 billion from Australia for design and infrastructure work, shares some development costs, and ends up using the exact same SSN-AUKUS design for its own future fleet at essentially no extra cost. I’m genuinely intrigued by how they managed to sell the Australians on this deal. I’d love to meet and congratulate the American and British negotiators – true sales geniuses. Nuclear submarines must have been a childhood dream of that Australian government; there’s no other explanation. But the problems don’t end there. Just as the Americans have cancelled over 300 programmes and thrown away more than US$200 billion in the last 20 years, the British have serious and very recent issues with their own naval projects. It feels like a structural disease in the Western defence industry. - The Astute programme is more than a decade late, costs have tripled, only 5 of the planned 7 boats have been delivered, and engineering problems keep cropping up. - The Dreadnought class (replacement for the Vanguard ballistic-missile submarines) has ballooned by billions and is now delayed well beyond 2030 because of failures integrating propulsion systems and Trident missiles. - And the crown jewels – the Queen Elizabeth and Prince of Wales aircraft carriers – are operational but chronically short of compatible F-35s and cost a staggering £10 billion in overruns. - The Type 45 destroyers suffered catastrophic electrical failures that left them inoperable for years, and the Type 26 frigate programme has been repeatedly cut back, reflecting completely misplaced priorities. And a programme that is supposed to deliver eight submarines to Australia sometime around 2050–2060 is extremely unlikely to proceed as planned, not only because of budgets and operational complications, but because underwater drones are evolving fast and China is leading that race. The Americans and British have a long naval history, but they are also visionaries who understand perfectly well that the future lies in decentralisation: swarms of UUVs, lithium or solid battery submarines, or even small nuclear-powered ones using micro-reactors. These platforms cost 10–20 % of today’s conventional SSNs to maintain, are lighter, and leave far more internal volume for weapons – meaning smaller, cheaper, and more heavily armed submarines. And what does Australia get left with? Far more than just a submarine partnership with Japan – an entire security ecosystem. By 2026-2028, Japan plans to have the HVPG hypersonic glide vehicles fully operational with ranges up to 2,000 km. Their upgraded Type 12 missiles will reach 1,000–1,500 km and can be launched from ships, aircraft, and land batteries. This is enough to cover and protect the entire Australian coastline for thousands of kilometers. And finally, a 3,000 km-range hypersonic missile is being integrated into the Taigei-class and its successor. That arsenal is far beyond anything currently fielded by any Western nation and only Russia and China have comparable systems.

Patricia Marins

86,068 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

What's happening in the Strait of Hormuz Every escalation of the military-political situation around Iran is accompanied by numerous rumors and speculations about the blocking of shipping in the strategically important for the global economy Strait of Hormuz. Yesterday, the Iranian IRGC Navy broadcast a radio message about a complete ban on shipping, and the US Department of Transportation called for leaving the strait and adjacent waters. Later, the IRGC softened the rhetoric, stating that the strait was closed only for Americans. According to the latest reports, passage through the strait is allowed only for Iranian and Chinese naval ships. Such statements need to be confirmed by actions, and probably the first step on the path to a blockade was the defeat of the oil tanker SKYLIGHT, which was heading from an Iraqi port under the Palau flag. According to various reports, the ship was attacked by drones or missiles, and a fire broke out on board. At the moment, the tanker is anchored in the Persian Gulf near the coast of the Sultanate of Oman. It is reported that the crew was evacuated, as evidenced by the presence of a rescue boat nearby, from which footage of the fire was taken. It's worth noting that this tanker is on the US sanctions lists for transporting Iranian oil, but this does not mean it belongs to Iran. It's a classic "shadow" ship, operating under a "convenient" flag in the interests of whoever is currently paying. When reading reports on maritime events, it's worth remembering that this information is written and disseminated by journalists and bloggers, many of whom have only seen the sea in pictures, and none of whom have ever worked a single day on a ship. The Strait of Hormuz is not a road where you can put up a barrier, nor is it a field that can be carefully mined. The width of the Strait of Hormuz at its narrowest point reaches 40 kilometers, and at its widest point it is almost 100 kilometers. Of course, these figures are not so high given the depths, and theoretically, Iran has the military-technical capabilities to, if not stop, then seriously damage international shipping. However, it's highly doubtful that under the current circumstances, the leadership of the Islamic Republic will decide on radical actions, such as those that went down in history under the name "Tanker War". The lessons of those events showed that attacks and seizures of international ships could not stop traffic and did not collapse the global market, but they did turn many previously neutral states against Iran. Including the USSR, which was forced to send a fleet of warships to the Persian Gulf to combat the newly emerged piracy. We would also like to ask our bellicose authors to be less gloating and rejoicing at the news of burning and sinking ships. On each of these ships, sailors are burning and sinking - innocent citizens of Russia, Ukraine, India, the Philippines... and many other peaceful men and women, forced to work at sea to support their families. A reserve sailor, specially for the project wargonzo UPD: Iran does not intend to block the Strait of Hormuz at the moment, said the head of the Iranian Foreign Ministry, Abbas Arakchi, to Al Jazeera. Join WarGonzo
0:09

What's happening in the Strait of Hormuz Every escalation of the military-political situation around Iran is accompanied by numerous rumors and speculations about the blocking of shipping in the strategically important for the global economy Strait of Hormuz. Yesterday, the Iranian IRGC Navy broadcast a radio message about a complete ban on shipping, and the US Department of Transportation called for leaving the strait and adjacent waters. Later, the IRGC softened the rhetoric, stating that the strait was closed only for Americans. According to the latest reports, passage through the strait is allowed only for Iranian and Chinese naval ships. Such statements need to be confirmed by actions, and probably the first step on the path to a blockade was the defeat of the oil tanker SKYLIGHT, which was heading from an Iraqi port under the Palau flag. According to various reports, the ship was attacked by drones or missiles, and a fire broke out on board. At the moment, the tanker is anchored in the Persian Gulf near the coast of the Sultanate of Oman. It is reported that the crew was evacuated, as evidenced by the presence of a rescue boat nearby, from which footage of the fire was taken. It's worth noting that this tanker is on the US sanctions lists for transporting Iranian oil, but this does not mean it belongs to Iran. It's a classic "shadow" ship, operating under a "convenient" flag in the interests of whoever is currently paying. When reading reports on maritime events, it's worth remembering that this information is written and disseminated by journalists and bloggers, many of whom have only seen the sea in pictures, and none of whom have ever worked a single day on a ship. The Strait of Hormuz is not a road where you can put up a barrier, nor is it a field that can be carefully mined. The width of the Strait of Hormuz at its narrowest point reaches 40 kilometers, and at its widest point it is almost 100 kilometers. Of course, these figures are not so high given the depths, and theoretically, Iran has the military-technical capabilities to, if not stop, then seriously damage international shipping. However, it's highly doubtful that under the current circumstances, the leadership of the Islamic Republic will decide on radical actions, such as those that went down in history under the name "Tanker War". The lessons of those events showed that attacks and seizures of international ships could not stop traffic and did not collapse the global market, but they did turn many previously neutral states against Iran. Including the USSR, which was forced to send a fleet of warships to the Persian Gulf to combat the newly emerged piracy. We would also like to ask our bellicose authors to be less gloating and rejoicing at the news of burning and sinking ships. On each of these ships, sailors are burning and sinking - innocent citizens of Russia, Ukraine, India, the Philippines... and many other peaceful men and women, forced to work at sea to support their families. A reserve sailor, specially for the project wargonzo UPD: Iran does not intend to block the Strait of Hormuz at the moment, said the head of the Iranian Foreign Ministry, Abbas Arakchi, to Al Jazeera. Join WarGonzo

🇷🇺 WARGONZO -ULYANA STRIZH 🇷🇺

20,363 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Elon Musk gave the entire entertainment industry its expiration date, and he is the one building the thing that kills it. Musk: “My guess is that we see the first compelling half hour, pure AI show next year.” Next year. A complete show generated entirely by AI. No writers. No actors. No cameras. No sets. No crew. No studio. Just a prompt and enough compute to render a reality that never physically existed. And shows are the easy part. Musk: “I say probably we’re maybe three years away from AI does the whole video game.” A show plays the same way every time. A game has to generate a living world that reacts to every decision in real time across every single frame. That is a fundamentally harder class of problem. And Musk put three years on it. Right now a single AAA title takes seven years and half a billion dollars across thousands of engineers and artists just to ship it. Musk is describing a world where one person types a paragraph and gets something comparable. The entire value proposition of a multi-billion dollar industry lives inside that gap. And it closes in thirty-six months. But the prediction is not the story. The person making it is. This is not an analyst speculating from the sidelines. This is the man building the largest AI compute clusters on the planet. The man who built xAI from zero in under two years. The man stacking hundreds of thousands of GPUs into facilities designed to do exactly what he is describing. When Musk says three years, he is not guessing about what someone else might eventually ship. He is reading you a delivery date off his own roadmap. Every media company on Earth is valued on a single assumption. That quality content is expensive and difficult to produce at scale. That one assumption is the structural foundation underneath every studio, every network, and every publisher in existence. Musk is dismantling it with raw compute. The studios still parading thousand-person production teams are not demonstrating strength. They are advertising the exact cost structure that one person with a prompt and a GPU allocation is about to make irrelevant. And it does not stop at entertainment. If AI can generate an interactive world that responds to human input in real time, it can generate anything. Advertising. Architecture. Training simulations. Product design. Every industry built on humans manually constructing visual experiences frame by frame is sitting on the same countdown Musk just read out loud. Now zoom out. Because this is not just an industry story. For the entire history of human civilization, the distance between imagining a world and actually creating one required thousands of people, millions of hours, and billions of dollars. That distance built Hollywood. That distance built the gaming industry. That distance made content scarce and studios powerful. Musk is collapsing that distance to zero. When the gap between imagining something and it existing disappears, every business model built on the difficulty of creation disappears with it. That is not disruption. That is a full inversion of how human beings create. Musk did not make a casual prediction on that podcast. He told you what he is building. He told you the timeline. And he told you which industries do not survive it. The entertainment industry is still debating whether this future is real. Musk is not part of that debate. He is building. And he just told you the delivery date.
0:17

Elon Musk gave the entire entertainment industry its expiration date, and he is the one building the thing that kills it. Musk: “My guess is that we see the first compelling half hour, pure AI show next year.” Next year. A complete show generated entirely by AI. No writers. No actors. No cameras. No sets. No crew. No studio. Just a prompt and enough compute to render a reality that never physically existed. And shows are the easy part. Musk: “I say probably we’re maybe three years away from AI does the whole video game.” A show plays the same way every time. A game has to generate a living world that reacts to every decision in real time across every single frame. That is a fundamentally harder class of problem. And Musk put three years on it. Right now a single AAA title takes seven years and half a billion dollars across thousands of engineers and artists just to ship it. Musk is describing a world where one person types a paragraph and gets something comparable. The entire value proposition of a multi-billion dollar industry lives inside that gap. And it closes in thirty-six months. But the prediction is not the story. The person making it is. This is not an analyst speculating from the sidelines. This is the man building the largest AI compute clusters on the planet. The man who built xAI from zero in under two years. The man stacking hundreds of thousands of GPUs into facilities designed to do exactly what he is describing. When Musk says three years, he is not guessing about what someone else might eventually ship. He is reading you a delivery date off his own roadmap. Every media company on Earth is valued on a single assumption. That quality content is expensive and difficult to produce at scale. That one assumption is the structural foundation underneath every studio, every network, and every publisher in existence. Musk is dismantling it with raw compute. The studios still parading thousand-person production teams are not demonstrating strength. They are advertising the exact cost structure that one person with a prompt and a GPU allocation is about to make irrelevant. And it does not stop at entertainment. If AI can generate an interactive world that responds to human input in real time, it can generate anything. Advertising. Architecture. Training simulations. Product design. Every industry built on humans manually constructing visual experiences frame by frame is sitting on the same countdown Musk just read out loud. Now zoom out. Because this is not just an industry story. For the entire history of human civilization, the distance between imagining a world and actually creating one required thousands of people, millions of hours, and billions of dollars. That distance built Hollywood. That distance built the gaming industry. That distance made content scarce and studios powerful. Musk is collapsing that distance to zero. When the gap between imagining something and it existing disappears, every business model built on the difficulty of creation disappears with it. That is not disruption. That is a full inversion of how human beings create. Musk did not make a casual prediction on that podcast. He told you what he is building. He told you the timeline. And he told you which industries do not survive it. The entertainment industry is still debating whether this future is real. Musk is not part of that debate. He is building. And he just told you the delivery date.

Dustin

22,390 görüntüleme • 24 gün önce

🚨 OPERATIONAL UPDATE: TALKS FAIL, PRESSURE CONTINUES - Reporting Window: Last 24 Hours The diplomatic track did not produce a result in this window. After extended, high-level negotiations in Islamabad, the United States and Iran left without an agreement, despite what both sides described as a final round of talks. At the same time, Lebanon remains active, the Strait of Hormuz is still unresolved, and the broader regional pressure structure has not changed. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🇵🇰 ISLAMABAD TALKS: FAILED ROUND, NOT A BREAKTHROUGH The most important development in this window is straightforward: • U.S. and Iranian delegations held 21 hours of direct talks • No agreement was reached • Both sides left without accepting terms • Each side blamed the other The core issues did not move: • U.S. demands: nuclear rollback and unrestricted access to the Strait of Hormuz • Iranian demands: sanctions relief, reparations, control over Hormuz, and a regional ceasefire including Lebanon Those positions remain fundamentally incompatible. At its core, this is not just a ceasefire negotiation. It is a negotiation over Iran’s long-term ability to project power: • The U.S. is pushing to dismantle that capability, including nuclear, missile, and proxy elements • Iran is trying to preserve enough of it to remain a regional power Both sides are still signaling willingness to continue talks, but this round produced no progress. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🇱🇧 LEBANON: CONTINUED STRIKES, NO LINK TO CEASEFIRE Lebanon remains the most active battlefield and was not affected by the failed negotiations. Israeli strikes continued across southern Lebanon, with reporting confirming: • Multiple strike waves across southern towns • At least 11 killed in recent operations • Continued targeting of Hezbollah infrastructure and positions At the same time, Hezbollah continues: • Intermittent rocket fire toward Israel • Ongoing clashes along the border This reinforces the established fact that there is no operational pause in Lebanon. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚓ STRAIT OF HORMUZ: NAVAL MOVEMENTS AND PARTIAL OPENING The most important operational shift in this window is in the Strait itself. Two U.S. Navy destroyers transited the Strait of Hormuz, tied to planned mine-clearing operations. Three supertankers successfully exited the Gulf, while hundreds remain queued, and Iran continues to signal control and leverage over access. At the same time, the U.S. has now moved beyond signaling: • President Trump announced the Navy will interdict vessels that pay tolls to Iran • He indicated a willingness to impose a de facto blockade of the Strait • The stated objective is to eliminate Iran’s ability to monetize or control passage This creates a new reality: • Hormuz is not fully closed • It is not fully open • It is now becoming an actively contested maritime zone ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 GLOBAL ENERGY RESPONSE Markets are already adapting to the disruption. • Tankers are rerouting away from the Gulf • U.S. exports are rising toward record levels • Gulf Coast refineries are running near capacity • Major buyers are competing for non-Gulf supply The effect is clear. Iran disrupted supply, the global market began rerouting around it, that does not remove Iran’s leverage. It limits how long that leverage can be sustained. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📌 WHAT MATTERS MOST RIGHT NOW • U.S.–Iran talks failed to produce an agreement • Both sides left Islamabad without accepting terms, though talks may continue • Lebanon remains an active battlefield, with continued Israeli strikes and Hezbollah fire • The U.S. has begun direct naval movement through Hormuz, including destroyer transits and upcoming mine-clearing operations • Shipping is partially resuming, but the Strait remains unstable and contested ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🧠 ASSESSMENT This was a real negotiation attempt. It failed. And the reason it failed is becoming clearer. Iran continues to negotiate as if it holds structural leverage over the outcome. The battlefield suggests otherwise. Its position is weaker than its posture. But it is not without leverage. That leverage is concentrated in two places: • The ability to disrupt Hormuz and global energy flow • The ability to keep secondary fronts, especially Lebanon, active The first creates economic pressure. The second prevents clean diplomatic separation. At the same time, the United States is signaling something equally important: It is willing to test those limits directly. Naval transits through Hormuz are not symbolic. They are the early stages of forcing open the most important pressure point Iran still holds. That is the real signal underneath the headlines. Not just that talks failed. But that both sides are now preparing for what happens if they continue to fail.
0:24

🚨 OPERATIONAL UPDATE: TALKS FAIL, PRESSURE CONTINUES - Reporting Window: Last 24 Hours The diplomatic track did not produce a result in this window. After extended, high-level negotiations in Islamabad, the United States and Iran left without an agreement, despite what both sides described as a final round of talks. At the same time, Lebanon remains active, the Strait of Hormuz is still unresolved, and the broader regional pressure structure has not changed. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🇵🇰 ISLAMABAD TALKS: FAILED ROUND, NOT A BREAKTHROUGH The most important development in this window is straightforward: • U.S. and Iranian delegations held 21 hours of direct talks • No agreement was reached • Both sides left without accepting terms • Each side blamed the other The core issues did not move: • U.S. demands: nuclear rollback and unrestricted access to the Strait of Hormuz • Iranian demands: sanctions relief, reparations, control over Hormuz, and a regional ceasefire including Lebanon Those positions remain fundamentally incompatible. At its core, this is not just a ceasefire negotiation. It is a negotiation over Iran’s long-term ability to project power: • The U.S. is pushing to dismantle that capability, including nuclear, missile, and proxy elements • Iran is trying to preserve enough of it to remain a regional power Both sides are still signaling willingness to continue talks, but this round produced no progress. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🇱🇧 LEBANON: CONTINUED STRIKES, NO LINK TO CEASEFIRE Lebanon remains the most active battlefield and was not affected by the failed negotiations. Israeli strikes continued across southern Lebanon, with reporting confirming: • Multiple strike waves across southern towns • At least 11 killed in recent operations • Continued targeting of Hezbollah infrastructure and positions At the same time, Hezbollah continues: • Intermittent rocket fire toward Israel • Ongoing clashes along the border This reinforces the established fact that there is no operational pause in Lebanon. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚓ STRAIT OF HORMUZ: NAVAL MOVEMENTS AND PARTIAL OPENING The most important operational shift in this window is in the Strait itself. Two U.S. Navy destroyers transited the Strait of Hormuz, tied to planned mine-clearing operations. Three supertankers successfully exited the Gulf, while hundreds remain queued, and Iran continues to signal control and leverage over access. At the same time, the U.S. has now moved beyond signaling: • President Trump announced the Navy will interdict vessels that pay tolls to Iran • He indicated a willingness to impose a de facto blockade of the Strait • The stated objective is to eliminate Iran’s ability to monetize or control passage This creates a new reality: • Hormuz is not fully closed • It is not fully open • It is now becoming an actively contested maritime zone ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 GLOBAL ENERGY RESPONSE Markets are already adapting to the disruption. • Tankers are rerouting away from the Gulf • U.S. exports are rising toward record levels • Gulf Coast refineries are running near capacity • Major buyers are competing for non-Gulf supply The effect is clear. Iran disrupted supply, the global market began rerouting around it, that does not remove Iran’s leverage. It limits how long that leverage can be sustained. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📌 WHAT MATTERS MOST RIGHT NOW • U.S.–Iran talks failed to produce an agreement • Both sides left Islamabad without accepting terms, though talks may continue • Lebanon remains an active battlefield, with continued Israeli strikes and Hezbollah fire • The U.S. has begun direct naval movement through Hormuz, including destroyer transits and upcoming mine-clearing operations • Shipping is partially resuming, but the Strait remains unstable and contested ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🧠 ASSESSMENT This was a real negotiation attempt. It failed. And the reason it failed is becoming clearer. Iran continues to negotiate as if it holds structural leverage over the outcome. The battlefield suggests otherwise. Its position is weaker than its posture. But it is not without leverage. That leverage is concentrated in two places: • The ability to disrupt Hormuz and global energy flow • The ability to keep secondary fronts, especially Lebanon, active The first creates economic pressure. The second prevents clean diplomatic separation. At the same time, the United States is signaling something equally important: It is willing to test those limits directly. Naval transits through Hormuz are not symbolic. They are the early stages of forcing open the most important pressure point Iran still holds. That is the real signal underneath the headlines. Not just that talks failed. But that both sides are now preparing for what happens if they continue to fail.

Inside_Israel_Intel

22,034 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce