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Sam Altman is right. The rate of technological progress beyond 2035 is indescribable. We’re leaving the realm of “human-scale change” and entering exponential time, where AI can solve tasks stretching into centuries, then millennia, then millions of years. Trying to imagine 2045 or 2050 with today’s mental models is...

337,501 次观看 • 10 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Sam Altman just told a room full of students where the real opening on the board is. The global market assumes the Transformer architecture is the final form of the compute engine. It’s a stepping stone. Altman: “I bet there is another new architecture to find that is gonna be like as big of a gain as transformers were over LSTMs. And I think you finally have models that are smart enough to help do that kind of research.” The frontier models aren’t replacing human researchers. They’re accelerating them. The operator who uses today’s AI to hunt for the successor to the Transformer doesn’t just win the current hardware cycle. They lock in the next one before anyone else knows it exists. And here’s what that means for products. Altman: “I would just pick a big area and say what is possible now with AI that wasn’t possible at all before. Like where can I totally redo something that’s like, AI is the absolute core to the interaction working.” The traditional enterprise is trying to bolt an AI chatbot onto their existing software suite to appease shareholders. Winning operators are burning the entire product category to the ground and starting over from zero. You don’t optimize the friction of an archaic system. You build an entirely new architecture where artificial intelligence is the foundational bedrock. The builders capturing the board over the next decade won’t build “AI-assisted” tools. They’ll look at massive, entrenched industries and realize the entire category can be rebuilt from scratch by a single, AI-native execution loop. But here’s where it gets exponential. Altman: “AGI will look like just a warmup for whatever the next important thing was. And that’ll keep going for the rest of history.” AGI is not the destination. It’s the warmup lap. Altman told a room full of students this is “at least the best time ever so far.” Not because the race is almost over. Because it’s barely even started. Every breakthrough from here compounds into the next one. The organizations treating this as a gradual transition are training for a finish line that doesn’t exist.

Dustin

72,606 次观看 • 4 个月前