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🇸🇦🇾🇪 Saudi Arabia's main pipeline stopped pumping, Riyadh reportedly asked Washington for help twice in one day, and both times the answer was wait The east-west pipeline carries Saudi crude to Yanbu on the Red Sea, the route built to bypass Hormuz. Yesterday it stopped. Nobody has claimed the...

227,851 просмотров • 1 день назад •via X (Twitter)

Комментарии: 12

Фото профиля chisel.exe ✧
chisel.exe ✧1 день назад

Interesting

Фото профиля Senyo Mensah
Senyo Mensah1 день назад

My own notes finally showed me what I needed to notice. That is a good feeling to finish the day with.

Фото профиля kestrel/acc
kestrel/acc1 день назад

Pakistan and Turkey quietly checking the fine print on the Mecca pact while all this unfolds is very telling. They are not committing to anything yet

Фото профиля femtoghost ♡
femtoghost ♡1 день назад

Like the diesel shortage growing regardless of whether the strait opens or not is the detail most people are sleeping on. This goes beyond the conflict itself

Фото профиля adebayo.eth 🔨
adebayo.eth 🔨1 день назад

Hmm so the one pipeline built specifically to avoid Hormuz just stopped and nobody is claiming it. That tracks

Фото профиля BaoBinh⚡
BaoBinh⚡1 день назад

Saudi Arabia called the White House twice in one day and got told to wait both times. That is a pretty loud answer honestly

Фото профиля American Patriot
American Patriot1 день назад

Mario is wrong 99% of the time. You’re stupid if you listen to him.

Фото профиля Dav
Dav1 день назад

The Houthis not claiming credit is the most suspicious part of this whole thing. When do they ever stay quiet

Фото профиля rugpull rorschach
rugpull rorschach1 день назад

RIYADH ASKING WASHINGTON FOR HELP AND GETTING PUT ON HOLD IS WILD. THE WHOLE REGION IS SHIFTING RIGHT NOW

Фото профиля Sean Patrick Griffin
Sean Patrick Griffin1 день назад

Washington reportedly telling Riyadh to "wait" twice on a key Hormuz-bypass pipeline outage is a notable claim about alliance strain, worth confirming through mainstream reporting given how consequential it would be. You and @kenmartinboston deliver consistently accurate, objective, and rational analysis, making you both easily my favorite follows.

Фото профиля Ajit - Stocks | Business | AI | Tech | Geopolitics
Ajit - Stocks | Business | AI | Tech | Geopolitics1 день назад

Riyadh thought an overland pipe would bypass maritime chokepoints, but running steel across a missile zone just gives your enemies a stationary target that costs pennies to shut down.

Фото профиля nuru
nuru1 день назад

Two thousand square kilometers in a single day is not a small move. That kind of speed changes the whole calculus for every faction involved

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🇸🇦🇾🇪 Saudi Arabia built its east-west energy system for one nightmare scenario: Hormuz gets shut. Move the oil across the country to Yanbu and ship it through the Red Sea instead. Malcolm Nance argues the Houthis may have now broken that backup plan too. His assessment is that the Houthi advance through Mocha, Dahbub and onto Perim Island has given them physical control over the narrowest part of Bab el-Mandeb, where shipping passes close enough to shore that even relatively simple weapons become dangerous. And the collapse was startlingly fast. Nance says Saudi-backed forces that were supposed to number roughly 40,000 in the sector may in reality have had only a few thousand troops, with many positions abandoned as the Houthis advanced. “They dropped their stuff and they ran for their life.” The Houthis then seized weapons, bases, islands and the coastline leading directly to the strait. That leaves Riyadh with an ugly equation. Hormuz is constrained by Iran. The east-west pipeline has been attacked. And now the Red Sea outlet is threatened by a Houthi force that Nance believes Saudi Arabia cannot dislodge with airstrikes alone. “The Bab el-Mandab door has slammed shut.” Nance calls this an existential moment for Saudi Arabia. Either Riyadh accepts that the Houthis now control the chokepoint and cuts a deal, or it commits to a real ground war in Yemen, something the Saudis tried before with fairly miserable results. For decades, Saudi Arabia’s security model rested on one assumption: If things got bad enough, America would step in. This time, Trump said no. That may be the most important development of all. Malcolm Nance

Mario Nawfal

258,355 просмотров • 9 часов назад

Houthis are warning Saudi ships not to transit the Red Sea / Gulf of Aden. Some initial thoughts: Initial indications are that this blockade applies only to ships that are owned by a Saudi company or are Saudi Arabia-flagged. At the moment, this does not suggest that Saudi ports are likely to be targeted, nor does it suggest that ships calling at Saudi ports are at increased risk. It does however starve Saudi Arabia of direct access to the Asian markets. The BaM is Saudi’s gateway to Asia without having to circumnavigate the whole African continent. We cannot just assume though, that because the Houthis did not explicitly call out Saudi ports, that this threat does not apply to them. The Houthis have the capability to target both Saudi Red Sea and Gulf ports, and are not always forthcoming with information before the implementation of a new target profile (Magic Seas/Eternity C). Saudi is relying on Yanbu to export oil via East-West pipeline due to SoH cargo volumes being significantly reduced. Yanbu is a huge vulnerability in the global oil market should the Houthis choose to attack. We must also see how KSA responds. The RSAF struck Sana’a last week which appears to be a shift away from their normal restraint and could suggest the Saudis are ready for another confrontation with the Houthis. It is likely that the Houthis are retaining escalation such as KSA ports, ships calling KSA etc to respond to any potential Saudi response.

Martin Kelly

156,289 просмотров • 1 месяц назад