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Saying 4⭐️ #USC Edge Commit TOLO TUIHALAMAKA Looked Great Today Would be an Understatement ✌🏼 THE LATEST: via WeAreSC Alifeleti (Isitolo) Tuihalamaka 4 🌟

Scott Schrader

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The ongoing 🇮🇷-🇮🇱 fire exchange is kept limited by both sides for now Iran never committed its missile forces to a scale that would enable its 'Airpower Suppression' concept to full effect Instead it went for a minimalist but highly efficient and effective attrition operation mode. The 'Airpower Suppression' concept would target a weak link in Israel's airpower, such as the support aircraft section at Nevatim airbase (tankers, jammers, airborne-radar) An area target, several kilometers large, but not well hardened. With plenty of soft, mission-critical assets like maintenance hangars Then over the timespan of e.g. 10 days, every ~5 hours one Khorramshahr-4 with submunition payload, or alternatively 3 older Ghadr ballistic missiles would be launched against it. This would for both disrupt effective operations as well as devastate the base and render it inoperable within those 10 days. ➡️ Hence just 100 Khorramshahr-4 or 300 Ghadr missile would be sufficient to neutralize that critical link for Israel's airpower Now, since the U.S. would jump in to replace those support assets, it would not make a very big difference operationally at this time The graphic below shows the damage those 100 Khorramshahr would cause -8000 x 25kg Submunitions with 15m shrapnel damage distance assumed - High dispersion of up to 5,5km between two outlier submunitions due to early exo-atmospheric release (Statistical Normal distribution) ➡️ The density of the > mach 3 impacting submunitions would be high enough to devastate that airbase area for a long period ~1000 Khorramshahr hence would be enough to cause such havoc at all Israeli Airbases But Iran won't commit its missile forces to such a scale at this low escalation level

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SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL POTENTIAL FRIDAY NIGHT ******1ST CALL MAP****** 🎄 Merry Christmas to YOU!!! A pretty sizable snowstorm is expected across the region Friday night, with snow developing as early as Friday evening. I am very confident in a widespread 6–10" snowfall for a large portion of the Tri-State area, with lower confidence closer to NYC, Long Island, and the Jersey Shore where mixing remains a concern. At this time, I am keeping some mixing in play in central NJ/Long Island, but I’m not totally sold on how aggressive it becomes. While 4–6" looks like a very solid floor, several areas could easily boom to 6"+ if colder air locks in faster and holds longer than currently modeled. ZONE 1 – 6–10" OF SNOW This is the zone where cold air damming will be most prevalent, allowing snow to remain all snow for the duration of the event. Expect higher snow ratios, which could allow many areas to push toward double-digit totals, especially under any persistent banding. I could easily pull this zone into NYC and Nassau County as we see more model data. ZONE 2 – 4–6" OF SNOW This zone will likely start with heavy, wet snow, before transitioning to a lighter, fluffier snowfall as colder air works in. Some compaction is expected with lower snow ratios, but additional snow and mesoscale banding could still drive totals toward or above 6" in spots. ZONE 3 – 2–4" WITH MIXING This zone remains VERY uncertain. I could make a strong argument that cold air advection dominates, keeping this mostly snow and allowing totals to reach 4–6". However, low-level warm air transport on an easterly wind may introduce sleet, especially along the Jersey Shore (east of GSP) and into Suffolk County, which would eat into accumulations. I’ll be watching trends closely as this is shaping up to be a sharp cutoff storm where small shifts could have big impacts. 📺 On TV now with the latest on PIX11 News

SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL POTENTIAL FRIDAY NIGHT 1ST CALL MAP 🎄 Merry Christmas to YOU!!! A pretty sizable snowstorm is expected across the region Friday night, with snow developing as early as Friday evening. I am very confident in a widespread 6–10" snowfall for a large portion of the Tri-State area, with lower confidence closer to NYC, Long Island, and the Jersey Shore where mixing remains a concern. At this time, I am keeping some mixing in play in central NJ/Long Island, but I’m not totally sold on how aggressive it becomes. While 4–6" looks like a very solid floor, several areas could easily boom to 6"+ if colder air locks in faster and holds longer than currently modeled. ZONE 1 – 6–10" OF SNOW This is the zone where cold air damming will be most prevalent, allowing snow to remain all snow for the duration of the event. Expect higher snow ratios, which could allow many areas to push toward double-digit totals, especially under any persistent banding. I could easily pull this zone into NYC and Nassau County as we see more model data. ZONE 2 – 4–6" OF SNOW This zone will likely start with heavy, wet snow, before transitioning to a lighter, fluffier snowfall as colder air works in. Some compaction is expected with lower snow ratios, but additional snow and mesoscale banding could still drive totals toward or above 6" in spots. ZONE 3 – 2–4" WITH MIXING This zone remains VERY uncertain. I could make a strong argument that cold air advection dominates, keeping this mostly snow and allowing totals to reach 4–6". However, low-level warm air transport on an easterly wind may introduce sleet, especially along the Jersey Shore (east of GSP) and into Suffolk County, which would eat into accumulations. I’ll be watching trends closely as this is shaping up to be a sharp cutoff storm where small shifts could have big impacts. 📺 On TV now with the latest on PIX11 News

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🧑‍🚀 Day 4 of the Cursor #vibejam Proudly sponsored by Cursor + bolt.new + GLIF So the new sponsor is GLIF: Glif is like Claude Code for AI videos and content generation: you can build launch videos for your game, explore asset styles with 100+ AI models/tools and train it on your favorite workflows via skills! Use it to make trailers, game assets, promo videos and more for your Vibe Jam submission! Tomorrow fabian from Glif will share more to help you create promotion materials for your games! Because it'd be cool if after the Vibe Jam your games will take off and become actual games Again browsing the #vibejam tag on X today and there's so many people building cool, cute and fun games so it was hard, but I picked my favorite 4 ones from today: - A literal 🪰 "fly" simulator, not flight simulator 😂 by Gabriel - What looks like a multiplayer Roman combat simulator by Tim Trussner - LeBeau Motel (another?) Habbo Hotel remix by Vincent - Roomba Wars by Thijs which is descriptive enough to not need an explanation 😁 Reply in this thread with updates on your current games to share your progress! Do you want to participate? You can still start now and submit your game any time before May 1! There's $35,000 in prizes you can win, see threads below for more info!

🧑‍🚀 Day 4 of the Cursor #vibejam Proudly sponsored by Cursor + bolt.new + GLIF So the new sponsor is GLIF: Glif is like Claude Code for AI videos and content generation: you can build launch videos for your game, explore asset styles with 100+ AI models/tools and train it on your favorite workflows via skills! Use it to make trailers, game assets, promo videos and more for your Vibe Jam submission! Tomorrow fabian from Glif will share more to help you create promotion materials for your games! Because it'd be cool if after the Vibe Jam your games will take off and become actual games Again browsing the #vibejam tag on X today and there's so many people building cool, cute and fun games so it was hard, but I picked my favorite 4 ones from today: - A literal 🪰 "fly" simulator, not flight simulator 😂 by Gabriel - What looks like a multiplayer Roman combat simulator by Tim Trussner - LeBeau Motel (another?) Habbo Hotel remix by Vincent - Roomba Wars by Thijs which is descriptive enough to not need an explanation 😁 Reply in this thread with updates on your current games to share your progress! Do you want to participate? You can still start now and submit your game any time before May 1! There's $35,000 in prizes you can win, see threads below for more info!

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