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SemiAnalysis Weekly Ep. 016 - Unitree IPO This week we dig into humanoids, Unitree and the future of robotics. With reyk knuhtsen and Niko Timestamps: 00:00 — Intro, deployment reality vs. hype 02:39 — Unitree Business: why go public, margins, pricing 05:48 — Parallels to DJI and BYD, economies...

25,006 次观看 • 22 天前 •via X (Twitter)

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Unitree Robotics just filed to go public on March 20th targeting a $7 billion valuation. Most people have no idea what this company actually is. Here is why this might be the most important robotics IPO of the decade. Unitree shipped 5,500 humanoid robots in 2025. Figure AI shipped roughly 150. Agility Robotics shipped roughly 150. Unitree did $246 million in revenue last year, up 335% year over year, and they are actually profitable. Figure AI is valued at $39 billion with near zero revenue and is still private. Unitree wants $7 billion with real numbers. The price point is what separates them from everyone else. Their G1 humanoid sells for $13,500. Competitors charge $50,000 to $130,000. Their newest R1 humanoid launching in April starts at $4,900. Nothing comparable exists at that price anywhere in the world. They hold roughly 32% of the global humanoid market and 70% of the quadruped market. The moat is vertical integration. They self develop over 90% of core components including motors, reducers, controllers, sensors, and all software. Real clients include PetroChina, Sinopec, State Grid, and China Mobile. This is not a research project. Product is shipping at scale. This is listing on China's STAR Market, not Hong Kong, not the US, which makes access extremely difficult for international investors. The risks are real. The US House Select Committee on the CCP has formally requested Unitree be blacklisted. Their robots appeared in PLA military exercises in 2024. Tariffs have already nearly tripled the US price of the G1. $TSLA Optimus is targeting sub $20,000 pricing with automotive scale manufacturing backed by $NVDA compute. If they execute, the price advantage shrinks fast. But this is still the only profitable pure play humanoid robotics company in the world growing at 335% a year, valued at a fraction of its loss making peers. Goldman projects the humanoid market at $38 billion by 2035. Morgan Stanley goes to $5 trillion by 2050. Unitree currently holds the largest market share of any humanoid manufacturer on the planet. Full breakdown coming soon. $TSLA $NVDA

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