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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's “Economic D-Day” could be a tripwire designed to drag him back into the Iran war Only weeks ago, Washington was openly discussing renewed strikes and regime change. Now Trump is leaning into economic warfare, secondary sanctions and diplomacy instead. Fmr. U.S. National Counterterrorism Center director Joe Kent welcomes that shift. He'd much rather argue about sanctions than watch Americans and Iranians start killing each other again. But there's something about it he finds deeply suspicious. Some of the same Iran hawks who were demanding Trump restart the bombing are suddenly enthusiastic supporters of the sanctions strategy. And Joe wonders whether Trump understands exactly where it could lead. Iran has already threatened that if Washington seriously attempts to economically strangle it, Tehran may respond militarily. And America has left troops, bases and ships across the region within range of Iranian missiles and drones. So the escalation ladder is already sitting there: Sanctions begin to bite, Iran concludes its economy is being placed under existential threat, strikes American interests, Washington retaliates, and suddenly the war is back on. That concern became even more significant after Sec. of War Hegseth was asked whether kinetic strikes are now effectively on pause. His answer was clear: America is “by no means” foreclosing military action; if Iran “overplays their hand” or attacks the U.S military, Washington will do what it needs to do. For Joe, that creates a dangerous paradox. If Trump's sanctions don't work, Iran doesn't concede and pressure builds in Washington to escalate. But if the sanctions do work and begin seriously threatening the Iranian economy, Tehran has even more incentive to retaliate militarily rather than simply allow itself to be strangled. Either road can lead back to the same place. And Joe thinks some of the people around Trump know it. Joe Kent

Mario Nawfal

240,898 просмотров • 7 часов назад