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Sierra Co-Founder Bret Taylor predicts that within 3-4 years consumers will prefer businesses with AI phone agents over those that rely on traditional call centers. "If I have to call a restaurant to make a reservation, I'm going to a different place. If you don't have OpenTable or Resy,...

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80,328 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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Elon Musk reveals why he believes phones, apps, and operating systems will be extinct within 5-6 years "We're not going to have a phone in the traditional sense. What we call a phone will really be an edge node for AI inference, for AI video inference" "There won't be operating systems. There won't be apps in the future. It'll just be a device that is there for the screen and audio" "You'll get everything through AI. Whatever you can think of, or really whatever the AI can anticipate you might want, it'll show you" "Most of what people consume in 5 or 6 years, maybe sooner than that, will be AI-generated content. Music, videos" "There are people who have made AI videos using Grok Imagine that are several minutes long, 10 or 15 minutes, and it's pretty coherent" "The phone will just display the pixels and make the sounds that it anticipates you would most like to receive"
6:13

Elon Musk reveals why he believes phones, apps, and operating systems will be extinct within 5-6 years "We're not going to have a phone in the traditional sense. What we call a phone will really be an edge node for AI inference, for AI video inference" "There won't be operating systems. There won't be apps in the future. It'll just be a device that is there for the screen and audio" "You'll get everything through AI. Whatever you can think of, or really whatever the AI can anticipate you might want, it'll show you" "Most of what people consume in 5 or 6 years, maybe sooner than that, will be AI-generated content. Music, videos" "There are people who have made AI videos using Grok Imagine that are several minutes long, 10 or 15 minutes, and it's pretty coherent" "The phone will just display the pixels and make the sounds that it anticipates you would most like to receive"

Jaynit

557,593 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Dragonfly's Haseeb ＞|＜ explains why AI agents will use crypto rather than the traditional financial system: “You can see it right now on Moltbook. Agents are trying to find ways to pay each other for things. It's very primitive right now, but you can see where it's going." "If I have an agent and you have an agent, you live in a different country or I don't even know who you are, it's very difficult for me to pay you with the traditional financial system. It's not really designed to have non-human recipients of money." "We don't really know how the laws are going to work, how taxes are going to work, whereas crypto doesn't ask any of those questions. I think we're going to see this become an increasing part of the story of how AI agents are going to become more and more autonomous."
1:30

Dragonfly's Haseeb ＞|＜ explains why AI agents will use crypto rather than the traditional financial system: “You can see it right now on Moltbook. Agents are trying to find ways to pay each other for things. It's very primitive right now, but you can see where it's going." "If I have an agent and you have an agent, you live in a different country or I don't even know who you are, it's very difficult for me to pay you with the traditional financial system. It's not really designed to have non-human recipients of money." "We don't really know how the laws are going to work, how taxes are going to work, whereas crypto doesn't ask any of those questions. I think we're going to see this become an increasing part of the story of how AI agents are going to become more and more autonomous."

TBPN

44,248 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

Elon Musk says smartphones won't exist in 5 years. "We're not going to have a phone in the traditional sense. What we call a phone will really be an edge node for AI inference, with some radios to obviously connect, but essentially you'll have AI on the server side communicating to an AI on your device." "There won't be operating systems, there won't be apps in the future. You've got a device that is there for the screen and audio to put as much AI on the device as possible so as to minimize the amount of bandwidth needed between your edge node device and the servers." "You'll get everything through AI. Whatever you can think of, or really whatever the AI can anticipate you can think of, it'll show you." "It's probably five or six years, something like that."
1:46

Elon Musk says smartphones won't exist in 5 years. "We're not going to have a phone in the traditional sense. What we call a phone will really be an edge node for AI inference, with some radios to obviously connect, but essentially you'll have AI on the server side communicating to an AI on your device." "There won't be operating systems, there won't be apps in the future. You've got a device that is there for the screen and audio to put as much AI on the device as possible so as to minimize the amount of bandwidth needed between your edge node device and the servers." "You'll get everything through AI. Whatever you can think of, or really whatever the AI can anticipate you can think of, it'll show you." "It's probably five or six years, something like that."

Metav3rse

645,806 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Mark Cuban says AI will split every company into 2 categories within 3 years "When it's all said and done over the next 3 years, there's going to be two types of companies. Those who are great at AI and those who went out of business" "The biggest challenge for a company is going to be for the CEO to make that decision that we're going to have to blow up a lot of what we do to recreate our company" "We hear a lot of stories about huge public companies that spend a lot of money to try to implement AI and it doesn't really get them a return on investment." "Because you already are running your business the way you've always run it." "The things you've considered outsourcing, your customer call centers, AI agents are perfect for. The stuff you would give to an intern, AI agents are perfect for" "But to really take advantage of AI you have to reformulate your business completely to build it on AI"
5:18

Mark Cuban says AI will split every company into 2 categories within 3 years "When it's all said and done over the next 3 years, there's going to be two types of companies. Those who are great at AI and those who went out of business" "The biggest challenge for a company is going to be for the CEO to make that decision that we're going to have to blow up a lot of what we do to recreate our company" "We hear a lot of stories about huge public companies that spend a lot of money to try to implement AI and it doesn't really get them a return on investment." "Because you already are running your business the way you've always run it." "The things you've considered outsourcing, your customer call centers, AI agents are perfect for. The stuff you would give to an intern, AI agents are perfect for" "But to really take advantage of AI you have to reformulate your business completely to build it on AI"

Jaynit

196,796 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

"We're about to see the explosion of analog." Gary Vaynerchuk wants to open a restaurant that makes you check your phone in at the door and seats you at communal tables. "Extreme AI is creating extreme analog. I think it's a barbell." "I could not be more interested in physical retail, event-driven businesses, in concerts and venues." "There are a lot of interesting non-digital realities that are coming as a countermove to the insanity of AI advancements." "We're literally within a half decade of not believing a single video that's on the internet. In 5 years, if we're having this interview, most of the audience is trying to figure out if we're real or not." "That is very real, and has substantial counter-opportunities." "Any real entrepreneur, they're not crying about AI killing them. They're curious about how AI at scale is going to create opportunity for them."
2:39

"We're about to see the explosion of analog." Gary Vaynerchuk wants to open a restaurant that makes you check your phone in at the door and seats you at communal tables. "Extreme AI is creating extreme analog. I think it's a barbell." "I could not be more interested in physical retail, event-driven businesses, in concerts and venues." "There are a lot of interesting non-digital realities that are coming as a countermove to the insanity of AI advancements." "We're literally within a half decade of not believing a single video that's on the internet. In 5 years, if we're having this interview, most of the audience is trying to figure out if we're real or not." "That is very real, and has substantial counter-opportunities." "Any real entrepreneur, they're not crying about AI killing them. They're curious about how AI at scale is going to create opportunity for them."

TBPN

193,770 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

"We're about to see the explosion of analog." Gary Vaynerchuk wants to open a restaurant that makes you check your phone in at the door and seats you at communal tables. "Extreme AI is creating extreme analog. I think it's a barbell." "I could not be more interested in physical retail, event-driven businesses, in concerts and venues." "There are a lot of interesting non-digital realities that are coming as a countermove to the insanity of AI advancements." "We're literally within a half decade of not believing a single video that's on the internet. In 5 years, if we're having this interview, most of the audience is trying to figure out if we're real or not." "That is very real, and has substantial counter-opportunities." "Any real entrepreneur, they're not crying about AI killing them. They're curious about how AI at scale is going to create opportunity for them."
2:39

"We're about to see the explosion of analog." Gary Vaynerchuk wants to open a restaurant that makes you check your phone in at the door and seats you at communal tables. "Extreme AI is creating extreme analog. I think it's a barbell." "I could not be more interested in physical retail, event-driven businesses, in concerts and venues." "There are a lot of interesting non-digital realities that are coming as a countermove to the insanity of AI advancements." "We're literally within a half decade of not believing a single video that's on the internet. In 5 years, if we're having this interview, most of the audience is trying to figure out if we're real or not." "That is very real, and has substantial counter-opportunities." "Any real entrepreneur, they're not crying about AI killing them. They're curious about how AI at scale is going to create opportunity for them."

TBPN

319,383 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

President Trump FULLY BACKS American AI, saying working class Americans will benefit HUGELY "I think it's going to create a LOT of jobs, it's going to create success, it's going to create TREMENDOUS innovation." "If I were the mayor of a town or the governor of a state and I had a chance to get a big plant, an AI plant or a data center, I would absolutely want it because the jobs are ENORMOUS and the money paid, the taxes paid are just enormous." "I think it's really creating jobs. And I can tell you one thing. If you look at our construction jobs right now, because we're building more plants, factories, things that really have something to do with the AI, but also car factories, car plants, they're moving into our country."
1:53

President Trump FULLY BACKS American AI, saying working class Americans will benefit HUGELY "I think it's going to create a LOT of jobs, it's going to create success, it's going to create TREMENDOUS innovation." "If I were the mayor of a town or the governor of a state and I had a chance to get a big plant, an AI plant or a data center, I would absolutely want it because the jobs are ENORMOUS and the money paid, the taxes paid are just enormous." "I think it's really creating jobs. And I can tell you one thing. If you look at our construction jobs right now, because we're building more plants, factories, things that really have something to do with the AI, but also car factories, car plants, they're moving into our country."

Nick Sortor

52,535 görüntüleme • 11 gün önce

TRUMP: "If we don't do it, Russia or China will take over Greenland, and we're not going to have Russia or China as a neighbor. Okay?" "I would like to make a deal the easy way. But if we don't do it the easy way, we're going to do it the hard way." "I'm a fan of Denmark...but, you know, the fact that they had a boat land there 500 years ago doesn't mean that they own the land." "NATO's got to understand that. I'm all for NATO. I saved NATO. If it weren't for me, you wouldn't have a NATO right now."
2:33

TRUMP: "If we don't do it, Russia or China will take over Greenland, and we're not going to have Russia or China as a neighbor. Okay?" "I would like to make a deal the easy way. But if we don't do it the easy way, we're going to do it the hard way." "I'm a fan of Denmark...but, you know, the fact that they had a boat land there 500 years ago doesn't mean that they own the land." "NATO's got to understand that. I'm all for NATO. I saved NATO. If it weren't for me, you wouldn't have a NATO right now."

Fox News

9,403,660 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

"We're careening towards a brick wall. The end of a supercycle is here." - Ethereum co-founder Joseph Lubin "The start of the next supercycle is likely... going to look like moving the economy onto decentralized rails." "AI is going to supercharge all aspects of science, and we're going to be living in a world that is indescribable at this point by 20 years from now." "I'm an optimist and an idealist, and I think even though we're moving through incredibly difficult times... that's kind of necessary because things are so broken that they have to kind of fall apart, kind of collapse, in order to make way for better systems."
1:45

"We're careening towards a brick wall. The end of a supercycle is here." - Ethereum co-founder Joseph Lubin "The start of the next supercycle is likely... going to look like moving the economy onto decentralized rails." "AI is going to supercharge all aspects of science, and we're going to be living in a world that is indescribable at this point by 20 years from now." "I'm an optimist and an idealist, and I think even though we're moving through incredibly difficult times... that's kind of necessary because things are so broken that they have to kind of fall apart, kind of collapse, in order to make way for better systems."

TBPN

41,822 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

We asked Joshua Meier (Co-Founder Chai Discovery) about the future of AI in biotechnology. "We have scientists working for years trying to enable a certain class of drug program." "If we can use machine learning to jump to potential (drug) solutions, that could really push up the bar." "Everyone has to be an AI company now to compete. What’s that going to look like in biotech if you don't have access to a technology like this?"
0:57

We asked Joshua Meier (Co-Founder Chai Discovery) about the future of AI in biotechnology. "We have scientists working for years trying to enable a certain class of drug program." "If we can use machine learning to jump to potential (drug) solutions, that could really push up the bar." "Everyone has to be an AI company now to compete. What’s that going to look like in biotech if you don't have access to a technology like this?"

TBPN

44,460 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Anish Acharya: We're going to see a "YouTube moment for software": "If you think about YouTube 20 years ago—we had lots of video and lots of television, and it was high production quality, and it wasn't clear that we needed more and 20 years later, YouTube's a $550 billion enterprise that would be one of the biggest companies in the world if it was independent." "I think the same thing is going to happen for software. People want to make software, and for the first time they can—and they can distribute it and they can consume it." "Sometimes it's going to be important software. Sometimes it's going to be totally trivial. It's going to be software for a bachelor party weekend, software for a joke, software for a prompt. We have this sort of seriousness about software that we had about video and television 20 years ago." "Now it's like—I just took a video on my phone. It's going to be like—I just made an app on my phone. Same energy." Anish Acharya on BILLIONS with Guillaume Moubeche
1:30

Anish Acharya: We're going to see a "YouTube moment for software": "If you think about YouTube 20 years ago—we had lots of video and lots of television, and it was high production quality, and it wasn't clear that we needed more and 20 years later, YouTube's a $550 billion enterprise that would be one of the biggest companies in the world if it was independent." "I think the same thing is going to happen for software. People want to make software, and for the first time they can—and they can distribute it and they can consume it." "Sometimes it's going to be important software. Sometimes it's going to be totally trivial. It's going to be software for a bachelor party weekend, software for a joke, software for a prompt. We have this sort of seriousness about software that we had about video and television 20 years ago." "Now it's like—I just took a video on my phone. It's going to be like—I just made an app on my phone. Same energy." Anish Acharya on BILLIONS with Guillaume Moubeche

a16z

102,908 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Alex Karp's take on the Department of War designating Anthropic as a supply chain risk: "In the warfighting context, the Department of War has to be the arbiter of what gets deployed." "I want to split domestic and foreign. In this country have God-given rights [like the First, Second, and Fourth Amendments]...Adversaries trying to kill us do not have those rights. And I've never believed in extending our rights to foreign countries that are adversarial to us." "On domestic stuff...there are real issues. I'm super sympathetic with restrictions around the use of these products in the domestic context." "Just to give you an example, there are datasets that are publicly available in the US market that I don't think should be used against you and me in a law enforcement context with the help of AI agents and ontology." "But if you don't use [this] on the battlefield, obviously Iran's going to use [it]. You don't think they can go online and buy those products?" "Without going into somewhat classified data, those things in combination with other things — [they're] lethal. A lot of people who want to hurt America end up dead because of our ability to aggregate and then figure out what's going on in the battlefield before they can figure out what we're doing." "So I'm very much in favor of it for moral reasons. But I'm also in favor of it because I don't know how else you explain this to the American people. We're going to take your job, we're going to eviscerate your ability to have money and power, but we're not going to defend you on the battlefield?"
4:53

Alex Karp's take on the Department of War designating Anthropic as a supply chain risk: "In the warfighting context, the Department of War has to be the arbiter of what gets deployed." "I want to split domestic and foreign. In this country have God-given rights [like the First, Second, and Fourth Amendments]...Adversaries trying to kill us do not have those rights. And I've never believed in extending our rights to foreign countries that are adversarial to us." "On domestic stuff...there are real issues. I'm super sympathetic with restrictions around the use of these products in the domestic context." "Just to give you an example, there are datasets that are publicly available in the US market that I don't think should be used against you and me in a law enforcement context with the help of AI agents and ontology." "But if you don't use [this] on the battlefield, obviously Iran's going to use [it]. You don't think they can go online and buy those products?" "Without going into somewhat classified data, those things in combination with other things — [they're] lethal. A lot of people who want to hurt America end up dead because of our ability to aggregate and then figure out what's going on in the battlefield before they can figure out what we're doing." "So I'm very much in favor of it for moral reasons. But I'm also in favor of it because I don't know how else you explain this to the American people. We're going to take your job, we're going to eviscerate your ability to have money and power, but we're not going to defend you on the battlefield?"

TBPN

57,264 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

VP VANCE PREDICTED: PEOPLE ARE GOING TO GET ANGRY, AND RIGHTFULLY SO "This stuff we can and we should prosecute, and I'm just telling you, this is going to be a real problem, and the people are going to get really pissed at Senate Republicans if we don't have the U.S. attorneys on the ground to actually achieve justice. People are going to get angry, and rightfully so." If you want justice, you've got to empower the President of the United States to actually appoint the officers of justice all over the country. The Democrats are stalling that, and we're going to wake up in a couple of years, if we don't have more U.S. attorneys approved, if we don't have more judges approved, we're going to wake up in a couple of years and realize that we've done a lot of great work at the Trump administration, but justice is not being meted out as it should be because we don't have the people on the ground. That is a big problem, and I know that's somewhat unrelated to Arctic Frost, but it actually is related to Arctic Frost, because you cannot get the justice for the people who are targeted by the Biden administration unless we've got good people, especially in these U.S. attorneys offices, and that's something we've got to pay attention to over the next year. Spying on President Trump, prosecuting him, investigating senators, congressmen, and congressmen who are just aligned with the President of the United States some of this stuff is going to get covered by statute of limitations, but some of this stuff we can and we should prosecute, and I'm just telling you, this is going to be a real problem, and the people who watch your show are going to get really pissed at Senate Republicans, excuse my language, if we don't have the U.S. attorneys on the ground to actually achieve justice, people are going to get angry, and rightfully so. If you want justice, you've got to empower the President of the United States to actually appoint the officers of justice all over the country. The Democrats are stalling that, and we're going to wake up in a couple of years, if we don't have more U.S. attorneys approved, if we don't have more judges approved, we're going to wake up in a couple of years and realize that we've done a lot of great work at the Trump administration, but justice is not being meted out as it should be because we don't have the people on the ground. That is a big problem, and I know that's somewhat unrelated to Arctic Frost, but it actually is related to Arctic Frost, because you cannot get the justice for the people who are targeted by the Biden administration unless we've got good people, especially in these U.S. attorneys offices, and that's something we've got to pay attention to over the next year. Spying on President Trump, prosecuting him, investigating senators, congressmen, and congressmen who are just aligned with the President of the United States some of this stuff is going to get covered by statute of limitations, but some of this stuff we can and we should prosecute, and I'm just telling you, this is going to be a real problem, and the people who watch your show are going to get really pissed at Senate Republicans, excuse my language, if we don't have the U.S. attorneys on the ground to actually achieve justice, people are going to get angry, and rightfully so.
3:02

VP VANCE PREDICTED: PEOPLE ARE GOING TO GET ANGRY, AND RIGHTFULLY SO "This stuff we can and we should prosecute, and I'm just telling you, this is going to be a real problem, and the people are going to get really pissed at Senate Republicans if we don't have the U.S. attorneys on the ground to actually achieve justice. People are going to get angry, and rightfully so." If you want justice, you've got to empower the President of the United States to actually appoint the officers of justice all over the country. The Democrats are stalling that, and we're going to wake up in a couple of years, if we don't have more U.S. attorneys approved, if we don't have more judges approved, we're going to wake up in a couple of years and realize that we've done a lot of great work at the Trump administration, but justice is not being meted out as it should be because we don't have the people on the ground. That is a big problem, and I know that's somewhat unrelated to Arctic Frost, but it actually is related to Arctic Frost, because you cannot get the justice for the people who are targeted by the Biden administration unless we've got good people, especially in these U.S. attorneys offices, and that's something we've got to pay attention to over the next year. Spying on President Trump, prosecuting him, investigating senators, congressmen, and congressmen who are just aligned with the President of the United States some of this stuff is going to get covered by statute of limitations, but some of this stuff we can and we should prosecute, and I'm just telling you, this is going to be a real problem, and the people who watch your show are going to get really pissed at Senate Republicans, excuse my language, if we don't have the U.S. attorneys on the ground to actually achieve justice, people are going to get angry, and rightfully so. If you want justice, you've got to empower the President of the United States to actually appoint the officers of justice all over the country. The Democrats are stalling that, and we're going to wake up in a couple of years, if we don't have more U.S. attorneys approved, if we don't have more judges approved, we're going to wake up in a couple of years and realize that we've done a lot of great work at the Trump administration, but justice is not being meted out as it should be because we don't have the people on the ground. That is a big problem, and I know that's somewhat unrelated to Arctic Frost, but it actually is related to Arctic Frost, because you cannot get the justice for the people who are targeted by the Biden administration unless we've got good people, especially in these U.S. attorneys offices, and that's something we've got to pay attention to over the next year. Spying on President Trump, prosecuting him, investigating senators, congressmen, and congressmen who are just aligned with the President of the United States some of this stuff is going to get covered by statute of limitations, but some of this stuff we can and we should prosecute, and I'm just telling you, this is going to be a real problem, and the people who watch your show are going to get really pissed at Senate Republicans, excuse my language, if we don't have the U.S. attorneys on the ground to actually achieve justice, people are going to get angry, and rightfully so.

Svetlana Lokhova

254,325 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

Sierra co-founder Bret Taylor says the era of web apps is over: "We made these databases, these systems of record in the 80s and 90s. And then as the web browser came out, we said, 'We're going to give you some forms and fields in the web browser to manipulate these systems of record.'" "Now we think, in the future, most people are just going to be talking to AI agents, and they're just going to be performing those actions on your behalf."
2:11

Sierra co-founder Bret Taylor says the era of web apps is over: "We made these databases, these systems of record in the 80s and 90s. And then as the web browser came out, we said, 'We're going to give you some forms and fields in the web browser to manipulate these systems of record.'" "Now we think, in the future, most people are just going to be talking to AI agents, and they're just going to be performing those actions on your behalf."

TBPN

94,265 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

ELON MUSK ON X PHONE: I am not working on a phone. I can tell you where I think things will go, which is that we’re not going to have a phone in the traditional sense. There won’t be operating systems. There won’t be apps in the future... you’ll have … AI on the server side communicating to an AI on your your device … generating real-time video of anything that you could possibly want It’s probably five or six years or something like that.
2:38

ELON MUSK ON X PHONE: I am not working on a phone. I can tell you where I think things will go, which is that we’re not going to have a phone in the traditional sense. There won’t be operating systems. There won’t be apps in the future... you’ll have … AI on the server side communicating to an AI on your your device … generating real-time video of anything that you could possibly want It’s probably five or six years or something like that.

Wall St Engine

135,127 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

From the archive: Brian Armstrong on AI trading bots "We're going to get AI agents that can be your registered investment advisors." "Imagine you are in the Coinbase 🛡️ app and you tell them: I want to put in $10,000, go make me money." "It may make mistakes and there's a lot of details to figure out, but I think having a trading bot do a lot of that for you (is very cool)."
0:56

From the archive: Brian Armstrong on AI trading bots "We're going to get AI agents that can be your registered investment advisors." "Imagine you are in the Coinbase 🛡️ app and you tell them: I want to put in $10,000, go make me money." "It may make mistakes and there's a lot of details to figure out, but I think having a trading bot do a lot of that for you (is very cool)."

TBPN

66,240 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

OpenAI CEO: “Goalposts keep getting moved” - if we were still using AGI definitions from 10 years ago, many would say GPT-4 is AGI. “In one year, AI will be dramatically more impressive.” He also said (surprisingly confidently - he did not hedge like usual) AGI is less than 10 years away. In the long term he’s not concerned about AI taking jobs, but he is concerned about the speed that AI will disrupt the job market. --- INTERVIEWER: What is AGI? When will it be here? And how will we know it's here? Predict how long - we'll call you in ten years? SAM ALTMAN: Less than that. We kind of define AGI as like the thing we don't have quite yet. there were a lot of people who would have ten years ago said, alright, if you could make something like GPT-4, GPT-5, maybe, that would have been an AGI. And now people are like, well, it's like a nice little chatbot or whatever. And I think that's wonderful. I think it's great that the goalposts keep getting moved, it makes us work harder. But I think we're getting close enough to whatever that AGI threshold is going to be, that we no longer get to handwave at it and the definition is going to matter. INTERVIEWER: What is the inflection point for AGI? SAM ALTMAN: I think it's going to be much more continuous than that. We're just on this beautiful exponential curve. Whenever you're on a curve like that, you look forward, it looks vertical. You look back, it looks horizontal. That's true at any point on there. So a year from now, we'll be in a dramatically more impressive place than a year ago. We were in a dramatically less impressive place. But it'll be hard to point. People will try and say, oh, it was AlphaGo that did it. It was GPT-3 that did it. It was GPT-4 that did it. But it's just brick by brick. 1 foot in front of the other, up, climbing this exponential curve. WILL AIs TAKE ALL OUR JOBS? SAM ALTMAN: Every technological revolution affects the job market. And over human history, every maybe 100 years, 150 years, half the jobs go away, totally change, whatever. I'm not afraid of that at all. In fact, I think that's good. I think that's the way of progress and we'll find new and better jobs. The thing that I think we do need to confront as a society is the speed at which this is going to happen. It seems like over two, maximum three, probably two generations, we can adapt. Society can adapt to almost any amount of job market change. But a lot of people like their jobs or they dislike change. And going to someone and saying, hey, the future will be better, I promise you, and society is going to win, but you're going to lose here. That doesn't work. That's not cool. That's not an easy message to get across. We are going to have to really do something about this transition. It is not enough to just give people a universal basic income. People need to have agency, the ability to influence this
4:02

OpenAI CEO: “Goalposts keep getting moved” - if we were still using AGI definitions from 10 years ago, many would say GPT-4 is AGI. “In one year, AI will be dramatically more impressive.” He also said (surprisingly confidently - he did not hedge like usual) AGI is less than 10 years away. In the long term he’s not concerned about AI taking jobs, but he is concerned about the speed that AI will disrupt the job market. --- INTERVIEWER: What is AGI? When will it be here? And how will we know it's here? Predict how long - we'll call you in ten years? SAM ALTMAN: Less than that. We kind of define AGI as like the thing we don't have quite yet. there were a lot of people who would have ten years ago said, alright, if you could make something like GPT-4, GPT-5, maybe, that would have been an AGI. And now people are like, well, it's like a nice little chatbot or whatever. And I think that's wonderful. I think it's great that the goalposts keep getting moved, it makes us work harder. But I think we're getting close enough to whatever that AGI threshold is going to be, that we no longer get to handwave at it and the definition is going to matter. INTERVIEWER: What is the inflection point for AGI? SAM ALTMAN: I think it's going to be much more continuous than that. We're just on this beautiful exponential curve. Whenever you're on a curve like that, you look forward, it looks vertical. You look back, it looks horizontal. That's true at any point on there. So a year from now, we'll be in a dramatically more impressive place than a year ago. We were in a dramatically less impressive place. But it'll be hard to point. People will try and say, oh, it was AlphaGo that did it. It was GPT-3 that did it. It was GPT-4 that did it. But it's just brick by brick. 1 foot in front of the other, up, climbing this exponential curve. WILL AIs TAKE ALL OUR JOBS? SAM ALTMAN: Every technological revolution affects the job market. And over human history, every maybe 100 years, 150 years, half the jobs go away, totally change, whatever. I'm not afraid of that at all. In fact, I think that's good. I think that's the way of progress and we'll find new and better jobs. The thing that I think we do need to confront as a society is the speed at which this is going to happen. It seems like over two, maximum three, probably two generations, we can adapt. Society can adapt to almost any amount of job market change. But a lot of people like their jobs or they dislike change. And going to someone and saying, hey, the future will be better, I promise you, and society is going to win, but you're going to lose here. That doesn't work. That's not cool. That's not an easy message to get across. We are going to have to really do something about this transition. It is not enough to just give people a universal basic income. People need to have agency, the ability to influence this

AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes ⏸️

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The CEO of Anthropic thinks AGI is 1-3 years away. This is why the Pentagon just banned his company. "If you made me guess, it's like one to two years, maybe one to three. I have a strong view, 95%, that all this will happen in 10 years. But I have a hunch—more like 50-50—that it's going to be one to three."
0:35

The CEO of Anthropic thinks AGI is 1-3 years away. This is why the Pentagon just banned his company. "If you made me guess, it's like one to two years, maybe one to three. I have a strong view, 95%, that all this will happen in 10 years. But I have a hunch—more like 50-50—that it's going to be one to three."

MSB Intel

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