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Some are predicting #silver could dip over 10% 👇 Here's a prediction BASED ON HISTORY 🗓️ Expect drops of 30% or more as SILVER RIPS TO MASSIVE GAINS 📈 1929 to 1932 Silver to #DOW ratio had 5 massive pullbacks Watch this ☝️ RATIO not the dollar price RECEIPTS...

87,713 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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💥J. Rickards and K. McCullough: Why Silver Could Hit $150 Sooner Than You Think K. McCullough: "In a frenzy, silver could go much higher than formulas suggest ... People chasing could take it to levels that seem impossible today" The Gold Correlation Play ✅ "There's no way gold goes to $10,000 without silver going to $100-150" ✅ Silver historically amplifies gold's moves with 2-3x leverage ✅ "Silver is along for gold's ride - but it's a rocket ship, not a passenger car" The Ratio Play: 80:1 Can't Last ✅ Current gold-silver ratio: 80:1 (historically unsustainable) ✅ Historical average: 60:1 would mean $75 silver at $4,500 gold ✅ Return to 30:1 ratio (ancient levels) would mean $150+ silver ✅ "Only 8x more silver mined than gold, but 50% gets consumed industrially" The $100-150 Price Target ✅ "If gold hits $10,000, silver absolutely goes to $100-150" ✅ Based on historical ratio analysis and supply-demand fundamentals ✅ "Silver could actually be better money than gold for practical use" Industrial Demand Multiplier ✅ Unlike gold, silver has massive industrial consumption (50% of annual supply) ✅ Solar, EVs, weapons, data centers creating structural deficit While precise timing is unpredictable, the mathematical case for $100-150 silver is straightforward: either the gold-silver ratio normalizes to historical levels, or industrial demand creates a physical shortage that triggers a price explosion - and we're seeing both happen simultaneously. HT: Hedgeye Keith McCullough Jim Rickards #Silver #PricePrediction #GoldSilverRatio #Commodities #Investing #PreciousMetals #SupplyDemand

Mark

16,993 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

🇮🇳How India Is Turning SILVER Into Money India’s 2025 Silver Bomb: The Great Remonetization The Overall Goal India is officially turning silver back into money. ✅ The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced a landmark policy: starting April 1, 2026, banks can accept silver as loan collateral. ➡️ This "remonetizes" silver for the first time in modern history. The Key Policy: Banking Collateral 🔸A unified framework for loans against precious metals. 🔸Eligible collateral: Silver jewelry and coins (up to 10 kg per borrower). 🔸Loan-to-Value ratios up to 85% for smaller loans. 🔸Full borrower protections: collateral returned within 7 days of repayment. The Two-Layer Strategy Layer 1: Financial Inclusion ✅ Unlocks ~10,000–15,000 tonnes of household silver (mostly jewelry). 💰 Provides quick, low-interest loans to rural and middle-class families. ➡️ Expected impact: ₹50,000–100,000 crore in new lending by 2027. Layer 2: Strategic Reserves 🏛️ Banks collect pledged silver → creates de facto national stockpiles. 🌍 Aligns with BRICS de-dollarization efforts. ⚡ Complements booming industrial demand (AI, EVs, solar). The Numbers (Nov 2025) ✅ Household Silver: ~10,000–15,000 tonnes ✅ Annual Demand: ~3,500–4,000 tonnes (25-30% of global total) ✅ Silver Price: ₹1.9 lakh/kg (lifetime highs, up 40% YTD) ✅ Gold-Silver Ratio: ~80:1 (historical buy signal) Why This Is Genius 🔸 Unlocks "dead capital" for 100M+ households. 🛡️ Builds sanctions-proof reserves. 🌐 Sets global precedent for BRICS nations. 📈 Massive bullish implications for silver prices. ➡️Paves the way for silver as collateral for other monetary instruments India has triggered a monetary revolution by turning household silver into bank collateral, unlocking trillions in hidden wealth while positioning silver as a strategic asset in the new BRICS-led financial system. #Silver #India #BRICS #MonetaryPolicy #Investing #Commodities #RBI

Mark

46,489 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

UPDATE - M. OLIVER: WHY GOLD & SILVER MINERS ARE “FREE” RIGHT NOW One of the sharpest voices in precious metals just explained why he's quietly reducing leveraged positions and piling into gold and silver mining stocks. His reason? They are absurdly cheap compared to the metals they produce—and the charts are screaming breakout. THE HISTORIC VALUATION GAP ✅ Gold & silver miners (XAU index) are trading at only 4–8% of the price of an ounce of gold. ➡️ Compare that to historical averages: 25% of gold price during the 1980s, 1990s, and 2000–2008 bull runs. 🔥 Right now, miners are “dirt cheap” relative to the metal in the ground. THE TECHNICAL SETUP IS PRIMED ✅ The XAU/gold ratio has been trapped in an 11-year ultra-low base. 📈 We're now challenging and rallying above that long-term resistance near 8%. 🚀 A decisive breakout from this level has historically triggered massive investor flows into miners. SILVER MINERS LOOK EVEN MORE EXPLOSIVE ✅ When you zoom in on silver miners versus gold miners, the relative strength setup is even more compelling. ➡️ The leverage to silver prices is massive—if silver keeps running, silver-focused producers stand to outperform dramatically. THE PORTFOLIO SHIFT UNDERWAY ✅ “I've already been lightening my position and moving more into junior miners.” ➡️ Preference is shifting toward unleveraged miners for the rest of this year and likely into next. 💥 “That's where the real bang for the buck comes.” THE BOTTOM LINE Gold and silver miners aren't just undervalued—they're at some of the cheapest levels in decades versus the metals they mine, with technicals flashing a potential explosive breakout that could attract a flood of capital. Time to stop calling them “cheap” and start calling them opportunity. HT: YouTube Jimmy Connor Momentum Structural Analysis Current portfolio (DYODD)👇 #Gold #Silver #MiningStocks #PreciousMetals #XAU #JuniorMiners #BullMarket

Mark

250,925 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

UPDATE: MICHAEL OLIVER - THIS SILVER DROP IS JUST A "JIGGLE IN THE MIDDLE" AND A GREAT BUYING OPPORTUNITY. Silver just suffered one of the most violent single-day drops in history—plunging over 25-30% in a single session on January 30, 2026, after rocketing to new highs above $120. Panic selling has hit hard, but technical analyst Michael Oliver explains in an interesting new interview with Jay Taylor that this is a classic mid-cycle correction – not a peak. MICHAEL OLIVER'S CALM TAKE ✅ "There's too many things wrong with this being a top." ➡️ He points to historical parallels: In 1979-80, silver had a huge correction mid-rally—then exploded higher in the second leg. 📈 Same pattern in 2010-11: Sharp drop looked like the end, but the next move was far bigger. SILVER STILL CHEAP RELATIVE TO GOLD ✅ Silver-to-gold ratio broke out positively in November after a 10-year ceiling. ➡️ Even after the crash, it's well above breakout levels—silver remains undervalued vs gold. 🔍 The trend favors silver catching up, potentially challenging old highs like 3-6% of gold's price. ASSET FLOWS SUPPORT THE BULL CASE ✅ Gold vs S&P breakout from an 11-year base is fresh—money shifting from stocks to metals. ➡️ Commodities overall are just turning up after 15 years of weakness. ⚡ Bonds are anemic despite Fed support—real yields and dollar strength triggered the flush, but fundamentals unchanged. THIS IS A BUYING OPPORTUNITY ✅ Oliver: "If you're not in silver... you ought to consider buying right about now." ➡️ Pullback mirrors past bull markets—sharp, scary, but temporary midpoint jiggle. 📊 Overdone short-term momentum suggests a low soon—don't bite on the fear. THE BOTTOM LINE This savage silver correction is shaking out weak hands in a powerful bull market, creating a rare chance to buy before the next explosive leg higher toward much loftier targets. HT: YouTube Jay Taylor Media Jay Taylor Momentum Structural Analysis #Silver #PreciousMetals #SilverCrash #BullMarket #Investing

Mark

105,028 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Silver is still strong. But will it stay at these levels long term? Will silver go higher? If owning silver bars is not your thing, the other way to play this is by owning silver mining stock. But the issue is that 75% of silver comes as a biproduct of copper, lead or zinc mining. Only 1% to 2% of their revenue comes from silver. So those types of mining companies don't care about the price of silver. There are very few mining companies that are primary silver producers, which is more than 50% of revenue from silver. The next thing to consider is, which companies can still expand their production? Which ones have really high grade ore? I only own two silver mining stocks. One of them is Aya Gold & Silver. US ticker is AYASF and the Canada ticker is AYA . to. I have owned it for several years. They are producing silver at their mine Zgounder in Morocco. They have a second project, called Boumadine, that will open in the future. They were already making great profits at Zgounder when silver was only $30 per oz. Their profits at $75 per oz are insane. The markets are not valuing the silver mining stocks at $75 per oz yet. Aya can mine silver at $19 per ounce and be breakeven. Their margin at $75 silver is currently $56 per ounce. That means Aya has an estimated annual operating cash flow of $336 million (at $75 silver). That is only for their Zgounder mine which is already operating. Their Boumadine mine is going to be 5x larger. If you believe in silver long term and don't want to own the physical metal, my top silver mine stock in my portfolio is Aya Gold & Silver. Canada company with it's HQ in Montreal. US Ticker: AYASF Canada Ticker: AYA. TO

Wall Street Mav

92,758 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

UPDATE: "WE ARE LIVING THROUGH HISTORY RIGHT NOW" - ED STEER ON THE SILVER CRISIS. 🚨 Precious metals expert Ed Steer just gave one of the most urgent interviews of the year. His message is clear: the 50-year price management scheme is ending. ✅ "The parabolic run was just the tip of the iceberg. The party is just getting started." The Driver: A Historic Short Squeeze. ➡️U.S. bullion banks have covered 29,000 COMEX short contracts since April. ➡️For the first time in history, they are now NET LONG silver. ➡️But they still hold a massive gross short position of 18,000 contracts. They are in a "lose-lose situation." 💥 "This is the beginning of Ted Butler's 'Bonfire of the Silver Shorts'... The shorts are in dire straits." The Unstoppable Physical Reality. ➡️We are entering the 6th consecutive year of a structural supply deficit. ➡️China's new export controls (effective Jan 1) require a license to ship silver out. They control ~60% of global refined supply. ➡️The Shanghai physical premium is 13.8% above COMEX. "They just can't refine it fast enough." Why This Isn't 1980 or 2011. ➡️ "This time it is totally different. This is a structural supply-demand deficit... It will be with us for 5, 10, 15 years." ➡️ "The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered." On Price & Strategy: ➡️"A three-digit silver price... is going to put a lot of trading houses in insolvency immediately." ➡️$500/oz is "not unreasonable" and could become the new floor. ➡️"I have physical silver in a vault. I ain't going to be selling an ounce of it... It is pure wealth." ‼️"The silver needed to fill this deficit has yet to be discovered."‼️ Silver Miners: The "Bargain of the Century." ➡️They have horribly underperformed the metal (up only 1.14x vs. silver's 158% gain). ➡️"I have the impression... that there's somebody out there definitely suppressing the price..." The Bottom Line: The desperate short covering and the unbreakable physical deficit are colliding. The paper market's control is over. True price discovery is ahead. HT: YouTube - Commodity Culture Jesse Day #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #ShortSqueeze #COMEX #Markets #Investing #Bullion #Commodities #Finance

Mark

148,732 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

For decades, the global silver market operated on a simple assumption: Nobody would actually demand delivery of the metal they owned on paper. That assumption just collapsed. In the first seven days of January, 33.45 million ounces of silver were physically withdrawn from COMEX for delivery. That's 26% of COMEX's registered inventory gone in a single week. Traders who had March futures contracts were paying premiums to ROLL BACKWARDS to January, demanding immediate delivery weeks early. They weren't willing to wait. They wanted metal in hand. Here's the China problem you have to understand if you're buying silver: On January 1, 2026, Beijing implemented export controls that fundamentally changed global silver supply. This wasn't a minor tweak. They reclassified silver as a strategic material, putting it in the same category as rare earths. To export silver from China now, companies need government licenses. Only 44 firms qualified. They must have annual refining capacity of 80+ tonnes and credit lines exceeding $30 million. Why does this matter? China controls 60-70% of global refined silver exports. The world's dominant refining hub just effectively ring-fenced its supply for domestic use. The physical-paper divergence: Here's where it gets uncomfortable... In Shanghai, physical silver trades at 12-13% premiums over Western paper prices. In Dubai, premiums hit 40%. In Japan, secondary market premiums reached 60%. Meanwhile, the paper-to-physical ratio on COMEX sits at 356:1. For every one ounce of deliverable silver, there are 356 ounces of paper claims. The system worked because nobody called the bluff. But now they're calling it. The supply deficit reality: The silver market has been in structural deficit for five consecutive years. Cumulative shortfalls from 2021-2025 total roughly 820 million ounces. Nearly an entire year of global mine production. Mine production peaked in 2016. Roughly 71% of mined silver comes as a byproduct from gold, copper, lead, and zinc mines. So even if silver prices double, miners can't easily ramp production. Their operations are driven by base-metal economics, not silver prices. The industrial demand trap: Unlike gold, silver isn't primarily a monetary metal. Industrial demand now represents 59% of total consumption. Solar panels. EVs. AI data centers. Semiconductors. This demand is price-inelastic. Factories don't stop production because silver got expensive... They pay whatever it takes to keep lines running. So what does this mean? Silver is now in backwardation. Spot prices above futures prices. That's rare. And it's significant. Backwardation tells you buyers want metal NOW, not paper promises for later. The last time silver showed this kind of sustained backwardation was before the 2011 spike to $49. The gold-silver ratio has compressed from over 100:1 in recent years to around 50:1 now. Historically, that ratio has traded as low as 15-20:1 in extreme moves. If gold holds and the ratio compresses further, silver will go beyond $150. It's math. My take: Silver is no longer just an industrial metal with monetary characteristics. It's becoming a triple-identity asset: industrial input, monetary metal, and strategic material. When China weaponizes export controls, when Western inventories drain, when paper claims vastly exceed physical supply, and when industrial demand is non-negotiable, you get exactly what we're seeing... A structural repricing. Pullbacks will be sharp. The CME has already raised margin requirements. But the underlying dynamics aren't speculation. They're geology, geopolitics, and supply-demand math. Physical silver in your possession has no counterparty risk. Paper claims on silver that may or may not exist? That's a different bet entirely. If you don't hold it, you don't own it.

George Noble

447,925 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

SILVER'S EPIC BREAKOUT: THE 45-YEAR BULL IS JUST STARTING Silver has shattered a 45-year consolidation, surging from $50 to $120 before pulling back to $73. Analyst Christopher Aaron sees this as the launchpad for massive gains ahead, drawing parallels to other commodities' historic runs. THE BIG PICTURE BREAKOUT ✅ Silver's 45-year base from 1980 is the longest in commodity history. ➡️ After breaking $50 three months ago, it doubled quickly—but that's just the beginning. ➡️ "The longer the base, the higher the move," Aaron explains, likening it to building a strong foundation for explosive growth. COMPARING TO OTHER COMMODITIES ✅ Gold, copper, oil, platinum, and palladium broke their 1980 peaks decades ago and averaged a triple in four years. ➡️ Silver's consolidation was twice as long, so expect even bigger upside. ❓ If others tripled after 20-28 years, why would silver fizzle after 45 years and only a double? PRICE OUTLOOK: MID-TRIPLE DIGITS ➡️ Aaron targets $250-$350 for silver in the next few years. ➡️ That's based on historical cycles—gold's 7x from its 1980 peak implies similar for silver. 📊 "This market's going to need to consolidate above $50, then round up dramatically." BUYING THE DIP STRATEGY ✅ For physical silver stackers: Average in now at $70s or if it dips to $60s/upper $50s. 🚫 Avoid buying during parabolic spikes when sentiment screams "it can't go lower." ➡️ "You want to be making your final purchases below $100 before silver goes well over." SILVER STOCKS: DEVELOPERS & EXPLORERS SHINE ✅ Focus on undervalued developers with defined deposits—still trading at 1/100th of above-ground silver value. ➡️ Examples like Equity Metals' 85M oz Silver Queen show huge appreciation potential to 5% of spot price. MANIPULATION REALITY CHECK ✅ Spoofing and slams happen—banks like Deutsche got fined, but it's slap-on-wrist stuff. 🤔 All markets are distorted by central banks controlling money's value since 1913. ⚖️ "Markets win in the long run. Play in the ocean with turbulence or hide in manipulated cash." DOW-TO-GOLD RATIO SIGNALS ✅ The ratio's "fourth turning" broke in favor of gold, implying 90% Dow decline vs. gold—or gold to $9,00 📉 After 10 years of sideways, gold outperformed Dow by 150% in the last year alone. 🌟 This puts wind at precious metals' backs for years ahead. PGMS AND THE COMING MANIA ✅ Platinum hit new highs; palladium could buy low at $1,200-1,300 for long-term gains. ➡️ But gold/silver lead—palladium won't match their performance. ➡️ The cycle ends in mania, not subtly: "If you think recent spikes were crazy, wait until the end." THE BOTTOM LINE Silver's historic breakout signals a multi-year bull run to triple digits, offering smart investors prime buying dips now before the inevitable mania unleashes unprecedented highs. Current personal portfolio for this commodity supercycle: HT: YouTube Investing News InvestingNewsNetwork Christopher Aaron #SilverBull #PreciousMetals #CommodityBoom #InvestingWisdom #MarketCycles

Mark

31,713 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten