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Something is very different about this cycle. Every previous cycle had a blow-off top. This one hasn't. Nothing really got overbought. So if we never got the typical bull market...why would we get the typical bear market? The macro backs this up. PMI positioning is completely opposite of where... show more

Dan Gambardello

316,516 subscribers

32,387 次观看 • 6 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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🚨 THIS BITCOIN PATTERN HAS NEVER MISSED This is extremely simple: → Bear cycle: 365 days → Bull cycle: 1,064 days → Then everything repeats Despite its simplicity, this cycle clock has worked perfectly twice in a row. We are currently on day 252 of the bear phase. That means roughly 100 days remain before the clock flips back into a new bull cycle. In other words: → Around three more months of pain → Final capitulation → Real cycle bottom → New bull market begins Three months is more than enough time for Bitcoin to complete the final move lower. Don’t forget: Every major move since then has been mapped out on this page. The next update will be the most important one of this cycle. We are approaching the level where the real bottom forms. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the exact moment the clock is about to flip.

🚨 THIS BITCOIN PATTERN HAS NEVER MISSED This is extremely simple: → Bear cycle: 365 days → Bull cycle: 1,064 days → Then everything repeats Despite its simplicity, this cycle clock has worked perfectly twice in a row. We are currently on day 252 of the bear phase. That means roughly 100 days remain before the clock flips back into a new bull cycle. In other words: → Around three more months of pain → Final capitulation → Real cycle bottom → New bull market begins Three months is more than enough time for Bitcoin to complete the final move lower. Don’t forget: Every major move since then has been mapped out on this page. The next update will be the most important one of this cycle. We are approaching the level where the real bottom forms. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the exact moment the clock is about to flip.

Wimar.X

37,197 次观看 • 2 个月前

$GOOGL is ~20% off highs and entering short term discounted pricing in our Market Cycle framework. In today’s video: • Where we are in this bull cycle • If this pullback is a buy • What would have to change for the cycle to end Watch now 👇

$GOOGL is ~20% off highs and entering short term discounted pricing in our Market Cycle framework. In today’s video: • Where we are in this bull cycle • If this pullback is a buy • What would have to change for the cycle to end Watch now 👇

Peter DiCarlo

91,002 次观看 • 2 个月前

Everything is going according to plan. $BTC is now 252 days into a 400 day Bear Market. In 13 years, this cycle has never broken its structure: Bear Market → 364-400 days Bull Market → 1064 days The pattern played out three times without a single deviation. We are 252 days in right now. 252 → 400 → October 2026 Next stop: - Bear market bottom in October 2026 - New Bull Market after Many will say this time is different. - ETFs. - BlackRock. - Institutions. They said the same thing every cycle. The structure never changed. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is going according to plan. $BTC is now 252 days into a 400 day Bear Market. In 13 years, this cycle has never broken its structure: Bear Market → 364-400 days Bull Market → 1064 days The pattern played out three times without a single deviation. We are 252 days in right now. 252 → 400 → October 2026 Next stop: - Bear market bottom in October 2026 - New Bull Market after Many will say this time is different. - ETFs. - BlackRock. - Institutions. They said the same thing every cycle. The structure never changed. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

DANNY

35,349 次观看 • 3 个月前

Mike Alfred says the doomers were wrong and there was no four-year cycle bear market "The four-year cycle doomers who predicted that Bitcoin would fall all the way into October, it looks like they've already been wrong." "Bitcoin is 76K right now, with yields as high as they are, with oil, with the election cycle and everything that's going on, I would call that a win." "It's pretty clear now that there was no four-year cycle bear market. We did not get an 85% decline. We got a little over 50%. A mid bull market decline rather than a bear market." "I consider it a mid cycle correction, and I've considered this a mid cycle correction the entire time, all the way back before February even."

Mike Alfred says the doomers were wrong and there was no four-year cycle bear market "The four-year cycle doomers who predicted that Bitcoin would fall all the way into October, it looks like they've already been wrong." "Bitcoin is 76K right now, with yields as high as they are, with oil, with the election cycle and everything that's going on, I would call that a win." "It's pretty clear now that there was no four-year cycle bear market. We did not get an 85% decline. We got a little over 50%. A mid bull market decline rather than a bear market." "I consider it a mid cycle correction, and I've considered this a mid cycle correction the entire time, all the way back before February even."

The Wolf Of All Streets

68,527 次观看 • 27 天前

The End of the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle — Why the BTC "Capital Cycle" is Next w/ Alex Leishman | Bitcoin Magazine Podcast Ep 15 "Bitcoin is where people park wealth. When they want to start doing things with it, we see cycles. The capital will cycle back — the question is when." Everything lined up for Bitcoin, and then AI sucked the oxygen out of the room. Was this just the typical 4-year cycle in action, or is a new market dynamic taking shape? Alexander Leishman 🇺🇸 of River discusses with Brandon on where the capital actually went, and what the future holds for BTC market cycles.

The End of the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle — Why the BTC "Capital Cycle" is Next w/ Alex Leishman | Bitcoin Magazine Podcast Ep 15 "Bitcoin is where people park wealth. When they want to start doing things with it, we see cycles. The capital will cycle back — the question is when." Everything lined up for Bitcoin, and then AI sucked the oxygen out of the room. Was this just the typical 4-year cycle in action, or is a new market dynamic taking shape? Alexander Leishman 🇺🇸 of River discusses with Brandon on where the capital actually went, and what the future holds for BTC market cycles.

Bitcoin Magazine

19,345 次观看 • 3 个月前

$BTC IS 252 DAYS INTO A 400 DAY BEAR MARKET In 13 years this cycle has never broken its structure: 1. Bear market for ~364-400 days 2. Bull run for ~1064 days This pattern has played out three times without a single deviation We are 252 days in right now That leaves roughly 112-148 days until the bottom Do the math: October 2026 Many will say this time is different - ETFs, BlackRock, institutions Every cycle had its own reason to be different - none of them were This pattern ignored all of them Why would this time be different? FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!

$BTC IS 252 DAYS INTO A 400 DAY BEAR MARKET In 13 years this cycle has never broken its structure: 1. Bear market for ~364-400 days 2. Bull run for ~1064 days This pattern has played out three times without a single deviation We are 252 days in right now That leaves roughly 112-148 days until the bottom Do the math: October 2026 Many will say this time is different - ETFs, BlackRock, institutions Every cycle had its own reason to be different - none of them were This pattern ignored all of them Why would this time be different? FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!

bee🐝

68,515 次观看 • 3 个月前

We had a high-level conversation with the head macro analyst at SwissBlock Henrik Zeberg . He broke down critical insights that investors need to know about where we are in the cycle and the global economic situation. He also revealed bold, data-backed predictions on the crypto market cap, the current market cycle, XRP and ETH. If you want to see what’s really coming next, this is a must-watch. This discussion reveals what’s really coming.

We had a high-level conversation with the head macro analyst at SwissBlock Henrik Zeberg . He broke down critical insights that investors need to know about where we are in the cycle and the global economic situation. He also revealed bold, data-backed predictions on the crypto market cap, the current market cycle, XRP and ETH. If you want to see what’s really coming next, this is a must-watch. This discussion reveals what’s really coming.

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist

23,718 次观看 • 1 年前

🚨 FOR 14 YEARS, BITCOIN NEVER LOST THIS TRENDLINE. Not in the 2014 collapse. Not in the 2018 bear market. Not even during the 2022 capitulation. Now it’s happening. Bitcoin is starting to break below the same long-term support that held every previous cycle together. Something structurally changed this cycle.

🚨 FOR 14 YEARS, BITCOIN NEVER LOST THIS TRENDLINE. Not in the 2014 collapse. Not in the 2018 bear market. Not even during the 2022 capitulation. Now it’s happening. Bitcoin is starting to break below the same long-term support that held every previous cycle together. Something structurally changed this cycle.

Crypto Rover

255,994 次观看 • 3 个月前

THIS IS THE BIGGEST $BTC FAKEOUT THIS CYCLE THINK TWICE BEFORE SWITCHING TO LONGS NOW WE ARE STILL IN BEAR MARKET AND BOTTOM ISN'T IN YET FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON, I WILL KEEP YOU UPDATED!

THIS IS THE BIGGEST $BTC FAKEOUT THIS CYCLE THINK TWICE BEFORE SWITCHING TO LONGS NOW WE ARE STILL IN BEAR MARKET AND BOTTOM ISN'T IN YET FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON, I WILL KEEP YOU UPDATED!

bee🐝

40,790 次观看 • 6 个月前

Bitcoin has only 60 days left. Bitcoin’s macro cycle is repeating perfectly: 2015 ➜ 2017 bull market: 1064 days 2017 ➜ 2018 bear market: 364 days 2018 ➜ 2021 bull market: 1064 days 2021 ➜ 2022 bear market: 364 days 2022 ➜ 2025 bull market: 1064 days If this pattern repeats once more: 2025 ➜ 2026 bear market: 364 days Cycle bottom: October 2026. Save this tweet. Reminder: I’ve called every major Bitcoin top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the $16,000 bottom and the $126,000 top. When I start buying Bitcoin again, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, the next 60 days will show you why that was a mistake.

Bitcoin has only 60 days left. Bitcoin’s macro cycle is repeating perfectly: 2015 ➜ 2017 bull market: 1064 days 2017 ➜ 2018 bear market: 364 days 2018 ➜ 2021 bull market: 1064 days 2021 ➜ 2022 bear market: 364 days 2022 ➜ 2025 bull market: 1064 days If this pattern repeats once more: 2025 ➜ 2026 bear market: 364 days Cycle bottom: October 2026. Save this tweet. Reminder: I’ve called every major Bitcoin top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the $16,000 bottom and the $126,000 top. When I start buying Bitcoin again, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, the next 60 days will show you why that was a mistake.

Alex Mason 👁△

139,553 次观看 • 1 个月前

🚨 BITCOIN FOLLOWS THIS PATTERN FOR 12 YEARS Everyone says the cycle is dead. But the chart says the opposite. Bitcoin has followed the same timing pattern for more than a DECADE../ Cycle top → 1430 days. Cycle bottom → 1460 days. This happened in 2013. This happened in 2017. This happened in 2021. This happened in 2025. Now Bitcoin is following the same structure one more time. The last major top came almost exactly on schedule, around 1431 days after the previous cycle top. That is not random. That is the cycle repeating. Now the next major low is projected around 1460 days from the last cycle bottom. That means the final dump is not chaos. It is part of the same pattern Bitcoin has followed for years. People will call it panic. People will call it the end. But historically, this is where Bitcoin creates the next bottom. Same timing. Same structure. Same cycle. Final bottom: 2026. Then the next expansion starts. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨 BITCOIN FOLLOWS THIS PATTERN FOR 12 YEARS Everyone says the cycle is dead. But the chart says the opposite. Bitcoin has followed the same timing pattern for more than a DECADE../ Cycle top → 1430 days. Cycle bottom → 1460 days. This happened in 2013. This happened in 2017. This happened in 2021. This happened in 2025. Now Bitcoin is following the same structure one more time. The last major top came almost exactly on schedule, around 1431 days after the previous cycle top. That is not random. That is the cycle repeating. Now the next major low is projected around 1460 days from the last cycle bottom. That means the final dump is not chaos. It is part of the same pattern Bitcoin has followed for years. People will call it panic. People will call it the end. But historically, this is where Bitcoin creates the next bottom. Same timing. Same structure. Same cycle. Final bottom: 2026. Then the next expansion starts. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

28,699 次观看 • 4 个月前

🚨 BTC BELIEVERS I HAVE BAD NEWS FOR YOU 🚨 Just look at this BTC chart This is the history of 3 cycles showing what values the bear cycle tends toward on average - 2018: -83.90% from ATH - 2022: -77.91% from ATH - 2025: ??? from ATH History shows an average drop of -80% from the peak of each cycle In my opinion this cycle might be a bit different Ask me why? In this cycle we got institutions that are actively investing in BTC And my view is that volatility should decrease From -80% avg we can easily come to -60-50% Which is exactly the 52k bottom I talk about so often But I've already started buying bitcoin via DCA Reason: fear of being wrong and missing a good entry - I recommend you do the same We're already at the extreme edge of the bear market October - the start of a new bull market just save this I predicted the 2025 ATH and I'll predict the market bottom too FOLLOW + ON NOTIFS so you don't miss the updates

🚨 BTC BELIEVERS I HAVE BAD NEWS FOR YOU 🚨 Just look at this BTC chart This is the history of 3 cycles showing what values the bear cycle tends toward on average - 2018: -83.90% from ATH - 2022: -77.91% from ATH - 2025: ??? from ATH History shows an average drop of -80% from the peak of each cycle In my opinion this cycle might be a bit different Ask me why? In this cycle we got institutions that are actively investing in BTC And my view is that volatility should decrease From -80% avg we can easily come to -60-50% Which is exactly the 52k bottom I talk about so often But I've already started buying bitcoin via DCA Reason: fear of being wrong and missing a good entry - I recommend you do the same We're already at the extreme edge of the bear market October - the start of a new bull market just save this I predicted the 2025 ATH and I'll predict the market bottom too FOLLOW + ON NOTIFS so you don't miss the updates

NoName

124,795 次观看 • 3 个月前

5 red monthly candles on ETH and altcoins falling nonstop. But after years, PMI regional data is pointing toward expansion. The business cycle that has correlated with every crypto bull and bear is shifting. The last two times crypto looked like this on the macro, it was the bottom. I could be wrong and if I am I'll say it. But the data right now doesn't say bear market starting. It says bear market ending. ISM prints tomorrow morning... Intro 00:00 ISM PMI about to turn 00:50 Bitcoin bear vs. bull 2:50 Ethereum 7:30 Altcoins 13:25

5 red monthly candles on ETH and altcoins falling nonstop. But after years, PMI regional data is pointing toward expansion. The business cycle that has correlated with every crypto bull and bear is shifting. The last two times crypto looked like this on the macro, it was the bottom. I could be wrong and if I am I'll say it. But the data right now doesn't say bear market starting. It says bear market ending. ISM prints tomorrow morning... Intro 00:00 ISM PMI about to turn 00:50 Bitcoin bear vs. bull 2:50 Ethereum 7:30 Altcoins 13:25

Dan Gambardello

65,274 次观看 • 7 个月前

🚨 $BTC CYCLE CLOCK HAS NEVER BEEN WRONG Bear: 365 days Bull: 1,064 days Then repeat Every previuos cycle - 2015, 2018, 2022 - confirmed every time without exception We're on day 252 of the current bear. That means we could expect reversal around 110 days out Most of CT is debating macro and waiting for a catalyst - completely missing the one pattern that has called every cycle The 1,064-day bull that follows is where the real move happens - not in the recovery tweet you see after it's already up 40% This is basically the simplest model in crypto with perfect track record - three cycles, zero misses As for me, everything below $59k is worth DCA'ing, but Q4 is the window I'm building for Everything between now and then is positioning, not panic Don't say you weren't warned later Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated!

🚨 $BTC CYCLE CLOCK HAS NEVER BEEN WRONG Bear: 365 days Bull: 1,064 days Then repeat Every previuos cycle - 2015, 2018, 2022 - confirmed every time without exception We're on day 252 of the current bear. That means we could expect reversal around 110 days out Most of CT is debating macro and waiting for a catalyst - completely missing the one pattern that has called every cycle The 1,064-day bull that follows is where the real move happens - not in the recovery tweet you see after it's already up 40% This is basically the simplest model in crypto with perfect track record - three cycles, zero misses As for me, everything below $59k is worth DCA'ing, but Q4 is the window I'm building for Everything between now and then is positioning, not panic Don't say you weren't warned later Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated!

Pepesso

53,195 次观看 • 3 个月前

THIS IS HOW $BTC BEAR CYCLES ACTUALLY WORK During the bull cycle, $BTC moves in ascending channels Each channel breaks up, consolidates, then continues higher The bear cycle works exactly the same way - just in the opposite direction Descending channels. Each one breaks down, consolidates, then continues lower That's what you're looking at right now We're currently passed the second descending channel of this bear cycle Each channel lower brings more panic and more capitulation And that's exactly when most people sell The third channel is already forming - and it points to one zone Target: $47k (MA 350) The level that has ended every bear cycle in Bitcoin history I called the $BTC crash from $126k before it happened - publicly, on this page Every local move since then - mapped out here too The next update is the most important one this cycle - we're approaching the level where the real bottom forms Follow now to not miss the update - turn on notifications to see it first

THIS IS HOW $BTC BEAR CYCLES ACTUALLY WORK During the bull cycle, $BTC moves in ascending channels Each channel breaks up, consolidates, then continues higher The bear cycle works exactly the same way - just in the opposite direction Descending channels. Each one breaks down, consolidates, then continues lower That's what you're looking at right now We're currently passed the second descending channel of this bear cycle Each channel lower brings more panic and more capitulation And that's exactly when most people sell The third channel is already forming - and it points to one zone Target: $47k (MA 350) The level that has ended every bear cycle in Bitcoin history I called the $BTC crash from $126k before it happened - publicly, on this page Every local move since then - mapped out here too The next update is the most important one this cycle - we're approaching the level where the real bottom forms Follow now to not miss the update - turn on notifications to see it first

bee🐝

17,170 次观看 • 3 个月前

THIS IS THE MOST IMPORTANT S&P 500 PATTERN!! Over a century of data and it has never failed: Short pullback → Final rally → Blow-off top → Major selloff Everyone thinks this cycle is different. None of them were. Now we're sitting between the final rally and the blow-off top. The most dangerous level in any market cycle...

THIS IS THE MOST IMPORTANT S&P 500 PATTERN!! Over a century of data and it has never failed: Short pullback → Final rally → Blow-off top → Major selloff Everyone thinks this cycle is different. None of them were. Now we're sitting between the final rally and the blow-off top. The most dangerous level in any market cycle...

ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ

39,985 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨 BITCOIN IS REPEATING THE SAME CYCLE AGAIN Every Bitcoin bear market followed the same pattern. This cycle is no different. I warned you this would happen weeks ago. One final capitulation left. The roadmap is simple: $60K → $52K → $40K Reminder: I publicly called the $17K Bitcoin bottom in 2022 and the $126K top in 2025. And I'll be calling the next cycle bottom too. Follow and turn notifications on. Don't become exit liquidity.

🚨 BITCOIN IS REPEATING THE SAME CYCLE AGAIN Every Bitcoin bear market followed the same pattern. This cycle is no different. I warned you this would happen weeks ago. One final capitulation left. The roadmap is simple: $60K → $52K → $40K Reminder: I publicly called the $17K Bitcoin bottom in 2022 and the $126K top in 2025. And I'll be calling the next cycle bottom too. Follow and turn notifications on. Don't become exit liquidity.

Lofty

55,653 次观看 • 2 个月前

🩸 THIS IS THE FINAL STAGE OF THE BITCOIN BEAR MARKET. We are in the last fakeout phase. One more washout before the next cycle begins. Here is the roadmap I am watching. From here, a flush toward the high $40,000s. That is the capitulation low. The level where the bottom tends to form. Then the reversal. The path back up runs through $85,000 toward $135,000. The scariest drop is the last one. Then the cycle turns.

🩸 THIS IS THE FINAL STAGE OF THE BITCOIN BEAR MARKET. We are in the last fakeout phase. One more washout before the next cycle begins. Here is the roadmap I am watching. From here, a flush toward the high $40,000s. That is the capitulation low. The level where the bottom tends to form. Then the reversal. The path back up runs through $85,000 toward $135,000. The scariest drop is the last one. Then the cycle turns.

Mister Crypto

17,665 次观看 • 3 个月前

Are you potentially worried about the crypto market or bull run ending by the time we can get the fully featured product out? 🤔 I think what we're doing here is actually quite bear proof. If there's a bear market, everything goes down. I don't think Neural would go down much more. Even in a bear market, there's big potential for us to build up over time. Whether it's a bull market or a bear market, we will keep building and we will keep growing. We're working insane hours right now across the whole team to make all of this work as fast as possible. Product itself has so much potential that we will get through anything.

Are you potentially worried about the crypto market or bull run ending by the time we can get the fully featured product out? 🤔 I think what we're doing here is actually quite bear proof. If there's a bear market, everything goes down. I don't think Neural would go down much more. Even in a bear market, there's big potential for us to build up over time. Whether it's a bull market or a bear market, we will keep building and we will keep growing. We're working insane hours right now across the whole team to make all of this work as fast as possible. Product itself has so much potential that we will get through anything.

NeuralAI

13,406 次观看 • 10 个月前

Raoul Pal: "The probability of a super cycle is getting reasonably high now." "We thought that after this cycle would be a super cycle. And now we're kind of starting to think... maybe we don't get a full liquidity down cycle here." "Sure, we'll get market corrections, we'll get sideways trends..." "But really speaking - we could see an extended, extremely hot business cycle that runs." The only thing that kills it? The bond market saying no. That's why Bessent is in Japan and China right now trying to stop exactly that. FT Raoul Pal Julien Bittel, CFA Real Vision.

Raoul Pal: "The probability of a super cycle is getting reasonably high now." "We thought that after this cycle would be a super cycle. And now we're kind of starting to think... maybe we don't get a full liquidity down cycle here." "Sure, we'll get market corrections, we'll get sideways trends..." "But really speaking - we could see an extended, extremely hot business cycle that runs." The only thing that kills it? The bond market saying no. That's why Bessent is in Japan and China right now trying to stop exactly that. FT Raoul Pal Julien Bittel, CFA Real Vision.

Milk Road

67,548 次观看 • 4 个月前