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We had a high-level conversation with the head macro analyst at SwissBlock Henrik Zeberg . He broke down critical insights that investors need to know about where we are in the cycle and the global economic situation. He also revealed bold, data-backed predictions on the crypto market cap, the...

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Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist

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23,718 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr •via X (Twitter)

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Most people think the cycle is strong. Henrik Zeberg thinks we’re closer to a turn than anyone realizes. Falling inflation. A weakening labor market. The same macro sequence that showed up before past breakdowns. This isn’t a doom take. It’s a roadmap. If you want to understand what happens next, watch this.
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Most people think the cycle is strong. Henrik Zeberg thinks we’re closer to a turn than anyone realizes. Falling inflation. A weakening labor market. The same macro sequence that showed up before past breakdowns. This isn’t a doom take. It’s a roadmap. If you want to understand what happens next, watch this.

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Something is very different about this cycle. Every previous cycle had a blow-off top. This one hasn't. Nothing really got overbought. So if we never got the typical bull market...why would we get the typical bear market? The macro backs this up. PMI positioning is completely opposite of where it was during the last two bear entries. And then there's Midnight. A regulated UK bank is tokenizing $250M in retail deposits directly on chain. Insane news for the day! I really do not think this cycle is going to follow the old playbook. We will see.
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Something is very different about this cycle. Every previous cycle had a blow-off top. This one hasn't. Nothing really got overbought. So if we never got the typical bull market...why would we get the typical bear market? The macro backs this up. PMI positioning is completely opposite of where it was during the last two bear entries. And then there's Midnight. A regulated UK bank is tokenizing $250M in retail deposits directly on chain. Insane news for the day! I really do not think this cycle is going to follow the old playbook. We will see.

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So many are saying the bear market has officially begun. No. The bear market is almost over. And I really think crypto is going to shock everyone this cycle. I bet my entire life, 10yrs worth of research & entire net worth on this moment. I’m warning you that life changing wealth is about to come. The masses do not see this. When I look at the business cycle… What the US dollar is doing…what Trump is doing…the stimulus that’s coming after years of prolonged draining…What metals are doing. The new FED chair… Institutional interest in crypto. Retail distributing to big money. The Clarity Act, etc.. Understand that, and you beat 95% of investors. You all deserve what’s about to happen. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.
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I sat down with Henrik Zeberg to discuss his macro outlook, K-shaped economy, inflation, a potential big tech bust coming, why the 4-year bitcoin cycle is not going anywhere, and what a monetary reset would look like. Enjoy! YouTube: Spotify: Apple: TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Intro 1:20 - Where are we in the macro cycle? 9:47 - Are we getting a blow off top in risk assets? 12:20 - Historical stock market valuations vs today 25:42 - What happens in the next 12 months if we are in a bubble? 29:07 - Is bitcoin 4 year cycle different this time? 33:39 - Thoughts on where inflation is going 37:35 - The framework for being a good investor for the next 10 years 41:09 - What does the monetary reset look like? 45:00 - How to prepare your investing portfolio

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"We are likely to be in a situation where over the next twelve months, we see more supply come into the US stock market than has been the case in living memory" "We could be talking about five or six percent of aggregate US market cap coming in as supply." "If you look at the impact on the stock market, it's not when an IPO occurs, it's kind of in the twelve months afterwards" "The rule of thumb, if you looked at history, is that a one percent increase in supply is associated with a seven and a half percent worse return over the over the subsequent year." GMO Head of Asset Allocation Ben Inker on SpaceX and the other big IPOs likely coming this year.

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That feeling when you bought $CANA at $80k Market Cap. What’s the current market cap now. You know what, I don’t even want to know 😂 I no really send $CANA market cap. I just wan HODL 👌 From this video, you suppose know sey I Dey on $CANA
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The bear market is over. And I really think crypto is going to shock everyone this cycle. I bet my entire life, 10yrs worth of research & entire net worth on this moment. I’m warning you that life changing wealth is about to come. The masses do not see this. When I look at the business cycle… What the US dollar is doing…what Trump is doing…the stimulus that’s coming after years of prolonged draining…What metals are doing. The new FED chair… Institutional interest in crypto. Retail distributing to big money. The Clarity Act, etc.. Understand that, and you beat 95% of investors. You all deserve what’s about to happen. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.
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The bear market is over. And I really think crypto is going to shock everyone this cycle. I bet my entire life, 10yrs worth of research & entire net worth on this moment. I’m warning you that life changing wealth is about to come. The masses do not see this. When I look at the business cycle… What the US dollar is doing…what Trump is doing…the stimulus that’s coming after years of prolonged draining…What metals are doing. The new FED chair… Institutional interest in crypto. Retail distributing to big money. The Clarity Act, etc.. Understand that, and you beat 95% of investors. You all deserve what’s about to happen. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

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The bear market is over. And I really think crypto is going to shock everyone this cycle. I bet my entire life, 10yrs worth of research & entire net worth on this moment. I’m warning you that life changing wealth is about to come. The masses do not see this. When I look at the business cycle… What the US dollar is doing…what Trump is doing…the stimulus that’s coming after years of prolonged draining…What metals are doing. The new FED chair… Institutional interest in crypto. Retail distributing to big money. The Clarity Act, etc.. Understand that, and you beat 95% of investors. You all deserve what’s about to happen. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.
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The bear market is over. And I really think crypto is going to shock everyone this cycle. I bet my entire life, 10yrs worth of research & entire net worth on this moment. I’m warning you that life changing wealth is about to come. The masses do not see this. When I look at the business cycle… What the US dollar is doing…what Trump is doing…the stimulus that’s coming after years of prolonged draining…What metals are doing. The new FED chair… Institutional interest in crypto. Retail distributing to big money. The Clarity Act, etc.. Understand that, and you beat 95% of investors. You all deserve what’s about to happen. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

CF

17,268 Aufrufe • vor 6 Tagen

🚨 ETH structure update: Not only did Ethereum fail to reclaim the $4,800 liquidity zone… It also broke below a 4-year support level that had held as a macro base for the entire cycle. What’s surprising is how little attention this breakdown is getting. Next major psychological level in focus: $1,000 👀📉
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🚨 ETH structure update: Not only did Ethereum fail to reclaim the $4,800 liquidity zone… It also broke below a 4-year support level that had held as a macro base for the entire cycle. What’s surprising is how little attention this breakdown is getting. Next major psychological level in focus: $1,000 👀📉

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23,769 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

I sat down with Henrik Zeberg, a business cycle analyst who predicted the COVID crash, the 2021 blow-off top, and the recent alt-season collapse. He told me the economy is already breaking. But markets will rally anyway. "In 2007, markets rallied 25% in 11 weeks, right before everything crashed. We're setting up for the same playbook." Very pleased to have Henrik on New Era Finance Podcast. TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Market Madness: Understanding Current Trends 08:26 Business Cycle Insights: Late Stage Analysis 16:40 Data Reliability: Trusting Economic Indicators 22:22 Gold's Volatility: A Sign of Change 28:07 Late Cycle Dynamics: Navigating Uncertainty 28:55 The Misconception of Gold as a Safe Haven 32:45 Understanding Economic Cycles and Market Psychology 36:56 The Role of AI in Economic Shifts 46:02 The Impact of Debt and Economic Policy 52:23 Navigating Volatility and Investment Strategies
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I sat down with Henrik Zeberg, a business cycle analyst who predicted the COVID crash, the 2021 blow-off top, and the recent alt-season collapse. He told me the economy is already breaking. But markets will rally anyway. "In 2007, markets rallied 25% in 11 weeks, right before everything crashed. We're setting up for the same playbook." Very pleased to have Henrik on New Era Finance Podcast. TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Market Madness: Understanding Current Trends 08:26 Business Cycle Insights: Late Stage Analysis 16:40 Data Reliability: Trusting Economic Indicators 22:22 Gold's Volatility: A Sign of Change 28:07 Late Cycle Dynamics: Navigating Uncertainty 28:55 The Misconception of Gold as a Safe Haven 32:45 Understanding Economic Cycles and Market Psychology 36:56 The Role of AI in Economic Shifts 46:02 The Impact of Debt and Economic Policy 52:23 Navigating Volatility and Investment Strategies

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Unich.com 🆓

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This cycle has been VERY hard to navigate! But why? Ben () did NOT hold back on this one... We jumped into the 4-year cycle, Gold, $BTC.D, $ETH, and much more on EXACTLY where the market could go next. LIVE NOW on the Crypto Banter YouTube channel.
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