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Something is very different about this cycle. Every previous cycle had a blow-off top. This one hasn't. Nothing really got overbought. So if we never got the typical bull market...why would we get the typical bear market? The macro backs this up. PMI positioning is completely opposite of where... show more

Dan Gambardello

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32,387 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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🚨 THIS BITCOIN PATTERN HAS NEVER MISSED This is extremely simple: → Bear cycle: 365 days → Bull cycle: 1,064 days → Then everything repeats Despite its simplicity, this cycle clock has worked perfectly twice in a row. We are currently on day 252 of the bear phase. That means roughly 100 days remain before the clock flips back into a new bull cycle. In other words: → Around three more months of pain → Final capitulation → Real cycle bottom → New bull market begins Three months is more than enough time for Bitcoin to complete the final move lower. Don’t forget: Every major move since then has been mapped out on this page. The next update will be the most important one of this cycle. We are approaching the level where the real bottom forms. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the exact moment the clock is about to flip.

🚨 THIS BITCOIN PATTERN HAS NEVER MISSED This is extremely simple: → Bear cycle: 365 days → Bull cycle: 1,064 days → Then everything repeats Despite its simplicity, this cycle clock has worked perfectly twice in a row. We are currently on day 252 of the bear phase. That means roughly 100 days remain before the clock flips back into a new bull cycle. In other words: → Around three more months of pain → Final capitulation → Real cycle bottom → New bull market begins Three months is more than enough time for Bitcoin to complete the final move lower. Don’t forget: Every major move since then has been mapped out on this page. The next update will be the most important one of this cycle. We are approaching the level where the real bottom forms. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the exact moment the clock is about to flip.

Wimar.X

37,197 Aufrufe • vor 20 Tagen

Everything is going according to plan. $BTC is now 252 days into a 400 day Bear Market. In 13 years, this cycle has never broken its structure: Bear Market → 364-400 days Bull Market → 1064 days The pattern played out three times without a single deviation. We are 252 days in right now. 252 → 400 → October 2026 Next stop: - Bear market bottom in October 2026 - New Bull Market after Many will say this time is different. - ETFs. - BlackRock. - Institutions. They said the same thing every cycle. The structure never changed. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is going according to plan. $BTC is now 252 days into a 400 day Bear Market. In 13 years, this cycle has never broken its structure: Bear Market → 364-400 days Bull Market → 1064 days The pattern played out three times without a single deviation. We are 252 days in right now. 252 → 400 → October 2026 Next stop: - Bear market bottom in October 2026 - New Bull Market after Many will say this time is different. - ETFs. - BlackRock. - Institutions. They said the same thing every cycle. The structure never changed. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

DANNY

35,349 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

The End of the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle — Why the BTC "Capital Cycle" is Next w/ Alex Leishman | Bitcoin Magazine Podcast Ep 15 "Bitcoin is where people park wealth. When they want to start doing things with it, we see cycles. The capital will cycle back — the question is when." Everything lined up for Bitcoin, and then AI sucked the oxygen out of the room. Was this just the typical 4-year cycle in action, or is a new market dynamic taking shape? Alexander Leishman 🇺🇸 of River discusses with Brandon on where the capital actually went, and what the future holds for BTC market cycles.

The End of the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle — Why the BTC "Capital Cycle" is Next w/ Alex Leishman | Bitcoin Magazine Podcast Ep 15 "Bitcoin is where people park wealth. When they want to start doing things with it, we see cycles. The capital will cycle back — the question is when." Everything lined up for Bitcoin, and then AI sucked the oxygen out of the room. Was this just the typical 4-year cycle in action, or is a new market dynamic taking shape? Alexander Leishman 🇺🇸 of River discusses with Brandon on where the capital actually went, and what the future holds for BTC market cycles.

Bitcoin Magazine

19,345 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

We had a high-level conversation with the head macro analyst at SwissBlock Henrik Zeberg . He broke down critical insights that investors need to know about where we are in the cycle and the global economic situation. He also revealed bold, data-backed predictions on the crypto market cap, the current market cycle, XRP and ETH. If you want to see what’s really coming next, this is a must-watch. This discussion reveals what’s really coming.

We had a high-level conversation with the head macro analyst at SwissBlock Henrik Zeberg . He broke down critical insights that investors need to know about where we are in the cycle and the global economic situation. He also revealed bold, data-backed predictions on the crypto market cap, the current market cycle, XRP and ETH. If you want to see what’s really coming next, this is a must-watch. This discussion reveals what’s really coming.

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist

23,718 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten

$BTC IS 252 DAYS INTO A 400 DAY BEAR MARKET In 13 years this cycle has never broken its structure: 1. Bear market for ~364-400 days 2. Bull run for ~1064 days This pattern has played out three times without a single deviation We are 252 days in right now That leaves roughly 112-148 days until the bottom Do the math: October 2026 Many will say this time is different - ETFs, BlackRock, institutions Every cycle had its own reason to be different - none of them were This pattern ignored all of them Why would this time be different? FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!

$BTC IS 252 DAYS INTO A 400 DAY BEAR MARKET In 13 years this cycle has never broken its structure: 1. Bear market for ~364-400 days 2. Bull run for ~1064 days This pattern has played out three times without a single deviation We are 252 days in right now That leaves roughly 112-148 days until the bottom Do the math: October 2026 Many will say this time is different - ETFs, BlackRock, institutions Every cycle had its own reason to be different - none of them were This pattern ignored all of them Why would this time be different? FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!

bee🐝

68,515 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 FOR 14 YEARS, BITCOIN NEVER LOST THIS TRENDLINE. Not in the 2014 collapse. Not in the 2018 bear market. Not even during the 2022 capitulation. Now it’s happening. Bitcoin is starting to break below the same long-term support that held every previous cycle together. Something structurally changed this cycle.

🚨 FOR 14 YEARS, BITCOIN NEVER LOST THIS TRENDLINE. Not in the 2014 collapse. Not in the 2018 bear market. Not even during the 2022 capitulation. Now it’s happening. Bitcoin is starting to break below the same long-term support that held every previous cycle together. Something structurally changed this cycle.

Crypto Rover

255,713 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

THIS IS THE BIGGEST $BTC FAKEOUT THIS CYCLE THINK TWICE BEFORE SWITCHING TO LONGS NOW WE ARE STILL IN BEAR MARKET AND BOTTOM ISN'T IN YET FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON, I WILL KEEP YOU UPDATED!

THIS IS THE BIGGEST $BTC FAKEOUT THIS CYCLE THINK TWICE BEFORE SWITCHING TO LONGS NOW WE ARE STILL IN BEAR MARKET AND BOTTOM ISN'T IN YET FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON, I WILL KEEP YOU UPDATED!

bee🐝

40,790 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨 BITCOIN FOLLOWS THIS PATTERN FOR 12 YEARS Everyone says the cycle is dead. But the chart says the opposite. Bitcoin has followed the same timing pattern for more than a DECADE../ Cycle top → 1430 days. Cycle bottom → 1460 days. This happened in 2013. This happened in 2017. This happened in 2021. This happened in 2025. Now Bitcoin is following the same structure one more time. The last major top came almost exactly on schedule, around 1431 days after the previous cycle top. That is not random. That is the cycle repeating. Now the next major low is projected around 1460 days from the last cycle bottom. That means the final dump is not chaos. It is part of the same pattern Bitcoin has followed for years. People will call it panic. People will call it the end. But historically, this is where Bitcoin creates the next bottom. Same timing. Same structure. Same cycle. Final bottom: 2026. Then the next expansion starts. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨 BITCOIN FOLLOWS THIS PATTERN FOR 12 YEARS Everyone says the cycle is dead. But the chart says the opposite. Bitcoin has followed the same timing pattern for more than a DECADE../ Cycle top → 1430 days. Cycle bottom → 1460 days. This happened in 2013. This happened in 2017. This happened in 2021. This happened in 2025. Now Bitcoin is following the same structure one more time. The last major top came almost exactly on schedule, around 1431 days after the previous cycle top. That is not random. That is the cycle repeating. Now the next major low is projected around 1460 days from the last cycle bottom. That means the final dump is not chaos. It is part of the same pattern Bitcoin has followed for years. People will call it panic. People will call it the end. But historically, this is where Bitcoin creates the next bottom. Same timing. Same structure. Same cycle. Final bottom: 2026. Then the next expansion starts. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

28,699 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 BTC BELIEVERS I HAVE BAD NEWS FOR YOU 🚨 Just look at this BTC chart This is the history of 3 cycles showing what values the bear cycle tends toward on average - 2018: -83.90% from ATH - 2022: -77.91% from ATH - 2025: ??? from ATH History shows an average drop of -80% from the peak of each cycle In my opinion this cycle might be a bit different Ask me why? In this cycle we got institutions that are actively investing in BTC And my view is that volatility should decrease From -80% avg we can easily come to -60-50% Which is exactly the 52k bottom I talk about so often But I've already started buying bitcoin via DCA Reason: fear of being wrong and missing a good entry - I recommend you do the same We're already at the extreme edge of the bear market October - the start of a new bull market just save this I predicted the 2025 ATH and I'll predict the market bottom too FOLLOW + ON NOTIFS so you don't miss the updates

🚨 BTC BELIEVERS I HAVE BAD NEWS FOR YOU 🚨 Just look at this BTC chart This is the history of 3 cycles showing what values the bear cycle tends toward on average - 2018: -83.90% from ATH - 2022: -77.91% from ATH - 2025: ??? from ATH History shows an average drop of -80% from the peak of each cycle In my opinion this cycle might be a bit different Ask me why? In this cycle we got institutions that are actively investing in BTC And my view is that volatility should decrease From -80% avg we can easily come to -60-50% Which is exactly the 52k bottom I talk about so often But I've already started buying bitcoin via DCA Reason: fear of being wrong and missing a good entry - I recommend you do the same We're already at the extreme edge of the bear market October - the start of a new bull market just save this I predicted the 2025 ATH and I'll predict the market bottom too FOLLOW + ON NOTIFS so you don't miss the updates

NoName

124,616 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

5 red monthly candles on ETH and altcoins falling nonstop. But after years, PMI regional data is pointing toward expansion. The business cycle that has correlated with every crypto bull and bear is shifting. The last two times crypto looked like this on the macro, it was the bottom. I could be wrong and if I am I'll say it. But the data right now doesn't say bear market starting. It says bear market ending. ISM prints tomorrow morning... Intro 00:00 ISM PMI about to turn 00:50 Bitcoin bear vs. bull 2:50 Ethereum 7:30 Altcoins 13:25

5 red monthly candles on ETH and altcoins falling nonstop. But after years, PMI regional data is pointing toward expansion. The business cycle that has correlated with every crypto bull and bear is shifting. The last two times crypto looked like this on the macro, it was the bottom. I could be wrong and if I am I'll say it. But the data right now doesn't say bear market starting. It says bear market ending. ISM prints tomorrow morning... Intro 00:00 ISM PMI about to turn 00:50 Bitcoin bear vs. bull 2:50 Ethereum 7:30 Altcoins 13:25

Dan Gambardello

65,264 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🚨 $BTC CYCLE CLOCK HAS NEVER BEEN WRONG Bear: 365 days Bull: 1,064 days Then repeat Every previuos cycle - 2015, 2018, 2022 - confirmed every time without exception We're on day 252 of the current bear. That means we could expect reversal around 110 days out Most of CT is debating macro and waiting for a catalyst - completely missing the one pattern that has called every cycle The 1,064-day bull that follows is where the real move happens - not in the recovery tweet you see after it's already up 40% This is basically the simplest model in crypto with perfect track record - three cycles, zero misses As for me, everything below $59k is worth DCA'ing, but Q4 is the window I'm building for Everything between now and then is positioning, not panic Don't say you weren't warned later Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated!

🚨 $BTC CYCLE CLOCK HAS NEVER BEEN WRONG Bear: 365 days Bull: 1,064 days Then repeat Every previuos cycle - 2015, 2018, 2022 - confirmed every time without exception We're on day 252 of the current bear. That means we could expect reversal around 110 days out Most of CT is debating macro and waiting for a catalyst - completely missing the one pattern that has called every cycle The 1,064-day bull that follows is where the real move happens - not in the recovery tweet you see after it's already up 40% This is basically the simplest model in crypto with perfect track record - three cycles, zero misses As for me, everything below $59k is worth DCA'ing, but Q4 is the window I'm building for Everything between now and then is positioning, not panic Don't say you weren't warned later Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated!

Pepesso

53,195 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

THIS IS HOW $BTC BEAR CYCLES ACTUALLY WORK During the bull cycle, $BTC moves in ascending channels Each channel breaks up, consolidates, then continues higher The bear cycle works exactly the same way - just in the opposite direction Descending channels. Each one breaks down, consolidates, then continues lower That's what you're looking at right now We're currently passed the second descending channel of this bear cycle Each channel lower brings more panic and more capitulation And that's exactly when most people sell The third channel is already forming - and it points to one zone Target: $47k (MA 350) The level that has ended every bear cycle in Bitcoin history I called the $BTC crash from $126k before it happened - publicly, on this page Every local move since then - mapped out here too The next update is the most important one this cycle - we're approaching the level where the real bottom forms Follow now to not miss the update - turn on notifications to see it first

THIS IS HOW $BTC BEAR CYCLES ACTUALLY WORK During the bull cycle, $BTC moves in ascending channels Each channel breaks up, consolidates, then continues higher The bear cycle works exactly the same way - just in the opposite direction Descending channels. Each one breaks down, consolidates, then continues lower That's what you're looking at right now We're currently passed the second descending channel of this bear cycle Each channel lower brings more panic and more capitulation And that's exactly when most people sell The third channel is already forming - and it points to one zone Target: $47k (MA 350) The level that has ended every bear cycle in Bitcoin history I called the $BTC crash from $126k before it happened - publicly, on this page Every local move since then - mapped out here too The next update is the most important one this cycle - we're approaching the level where the real bottom forms Follow now to not miss the update - turn on notifications to see it first

bee🐝

17,113 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 BITCOIN IS REPEATING THE SAME CYCLE AGAIN Every Bitcoin bear market followed the same pattern. This cycle is no different. I warned you this would happen weeks ago. One final capitulation left. The roadmap is simple: $60K → $52K → $40K Reminder: I publicly called the $17K Bitcoin bottom in 2022 and the $126K top in 2025. And I'll be calling the next cycle bottom too. Follow and turn notifications on. Don't become exit liquidity.

🚨 BITCOIN IS REPEATING THE SAME CYCLE AGAIN Every Bitcoin bear market followed the same pattern. This cycle is no different. I warned you this would happen weeks ago. One final capitulation left. The roadmap is simple: $60K → $52K → $40K Reminder: I publicly called the $17K Bitcoin bottom in 2022 and the $126K top in 2025. And I'll be calling the next cycle bottom too. Follow and turn notifications on. Don't become exit liquidity.

Lofty

55,653 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🩸 THIS IS THE FINAL STAGE OF THE BITCOIN BEAR MARKET. We are in the last fakeout phase. One more washout before the next cycle begins. Here is the roadmap I am watching. From here, a flush toward the high $40,000s. That is the capitulation low. The level where the bottom tends to form. Then the reversal. The path back up runs through $85,000 toward $135,000. The scariest drop is the last one. Then the cycle turns.

🩸 THIS IS THE FINAL STAGE OF THE BITCOIN BEAR MARKET. We are in the last fakeout phase. One more washout before the next cycle begins. Here is the roadmap I am watching. From here, a flush toward the high $40,000s. That is the capitulation low. The level where the bottom tends to form. Then the reversal. The path back up runs through $85,000 toward $135,000. The scariest drop is the last one. Then the cycle turns.

Mister Crypto

17,566 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Raoul Pal: "The probability of a super cycle is getting reasonably high now." "We thought that after this cycle would be a super cycle. And now we're kind of starting to think... maybe we don't get a full liquidity down cycle here." "Sure, we'll get market corrections, we'll get sideways trends..." "But really speaking - we could see an extended, extremely hot business cycle that runs." The only thing that kills it? The bond market saying no. That's why Bessent is in Japan and China right now trying to stop exactly that. FT Raoul Pal Julien Bittel, CFA Real Vision.

Raoul Pal: "The probability of a super cycle is getting reasonably high now." "We thought that after this cycle would be a super cycle. And now we're kind of starting to think... maybe we don't get a full liquidity down cycle here." "Sure, we'll get market corrections, we'll get sideways trends..." "But really speaking - we could see an extended, extremely hot business cycle that runs." The only thing that kills it? The bond market saying no. That's why Bessent is in Japan and China right now trying to stop exactly that. FT Raoul Pal Julien Bittel, CFA Real Vision.

Milk Road

67,548 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Are you potentially worried about the crypto market or bull run ending by the time we can get the fully featured product out? 🤔 I think what we're doing here is actually quite bear proof. If there's a bear market, everything goes down. I don't think Neural would go down much more. Even in a bear market, there's big potential for us to build up over time. Whether it's a bull market or a bear market, we will keep building and we will keep growing. We're working insane hours right now across the whole team to make all of this work as fast as possible. Product itself has so much potential that we will get through anything.

Are you potentially worried about the crypto market or bull run ending by the time we can get the fully featured product out? 🤔 I think what we're doing here is actually quite bear proof. If there's a bear market, everything goes down. I don't think Neural would go down much more. Even in a bear market, there's big potential for us to build up over time. Whether it's a bull market or a bear market, we will keep building and we will keep growing. We're working insane hours right now across the whole team to make all of this work as fast as possible. Product itself has so much potential that we will get through anything.

NeuralAI

13,406 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

$DUMBMONEY : A financial revolution made by the retards For years, Wall Street called retail investors “dumb money”, that includes the one reading this right now. But every cycle we end up proving the opposite Bitcoin was called a scam. (we're winning) GameStop was called a joke. (we won) Memecoins were called stupid. (like this one will be called) And every time… we the people make $DUMBMONEY. It’s not about being smart anymore, it's about conviction. Retail is the market. We are the market mfers. Lock in and make some $DUMBMONEY Official CA: CAjtTHvC878f8cZ4zEwdvgjkjFM7rbYN8Mb1go1cpump

$DUMBMONEY : A financial revolution made by the retards For years, Wall Street called retail investors “dumb money”, that includes the one reading this right now. But every cycle we end up proving the opposite Bitcoin was called a scam. (we're winning) GameStop was called a joke. (we won) Memecoins were called stupid. (like this one will be called) And every time… we the people make $DUMBMONEY. It’s not about being smart anymore, it's about conviction. Retail is the market. We are the market mfers. Lock in and make some $DUMBMONEY Official CA: CAjtTHvC878f8cZ4zEwdvgjkjFM7rbYN8Mb1go1cpump

Dumb Money

162,625 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

"We took out the double top from 1980 and 2011. We went from $30 to $120 in lightning speed. We pulled back to below $60. But that is a significant breakout of overhead resistance" Peter Schiff on why silver's pullback is not the beginning of a bear market but the beginning of something much bigger "This is not the end of something. This is not the beginning of a new twenty to thirty year bear market in gold and silver. This is the beginning of something"

"We took out the double top from 1980 and 2011. We went from $30 to $120 in lightning speed. We pulled back to below $60. But that is a significant breakout of overhead resistance" Peter Schiff on why silver's pullback is not the beginning of a bear market but the beginning of something much bigger "This is not the end of something. This is not the beginning of a new twenty to thirty year bear market in gold and silver. This is the beginning of something"

The Wolf Of All Streets

36,591 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

I could not disagree more with Julien Bittel, CFA and Raoul Pal Let me explain you why in this video. It is meant as a constructive input to the debate. First... We all try to be "Economic Detectives". What are the indications of "Why the butler is the murderer". We look at pieces of evidence. And then we conclude. This is called "Inductive Reasoning". Translated into the Economy - we look at various developments and charts (the pieces of evidence) - and then we conclude. Julien concludes we are EARLY CYCLE. I conclude we are LATE CYCLE. This is about MACRO - and how well the developments in the Economy - and hence Market - is understood. It is key to investing! REMEMBER: I don't say top is in. I say - BlowOffTop - but Recession is closing in really fast. Watch the LONG video here:

I could not disagree more with Julien Bittel, CFA and Raoul Pal Let me explain you why in this video. It is meant as a constructive input to the debate. First... We all try to be "Economic Detectives". What are the indications of "Why the butler is the murderer". We look at pieces of evidence. And then we conclude. This is called "Inductive Reasoning". Translated into the Economy - we look at various developments and charts (the pieces of evidence) - and then we conclude. Julien concludes we are EARLY CYCLE. I conclude we are LATE CYCLE. This is about MACRO - and how well the developments in the Economy - and hence Market - is understood. It is key to investing! REMEMBER: I don't say top is in. I say - BlowOffTop - but Recession is closing in really fast. Watch the LONG video here:

Henrik Zeberg

156,643 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten

This is the final stage before the cycle bottom Bitcoin is forming a descending channel This happened in 2022, and it's happening again right now Within the next 2-3 months, this bear market will be over See you this fall in the new $BTC bull cycle I've said this before, and everything's still going according to my plan The next phase is gonna be very important Turn on notifications. If you're not following yet, you'll probably find this account after the move, not before it

This is the final stage before the cycle bottom Bitcoin is forming a descending channel This happened in 2022, and it's happening again right now Within the next 2-3 months, this bear market will be over See you this fall in the new $BTC bull cycle I've said this before, and everything's still going according to my plan The next phase is gonna be very important Turn on notifications. If you're not following yet, you'll probably find this account after the move, not before it

Leni

214,696 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat