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🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING Most traders still see this as just another routine pullback. But inflation is starting to pick up again. The Fed is becoming more hawkish. And another rate hike is back on the table. Meanwhile, $SPX is being propped up by only a handful...

55,463 views • 11 days ago •via X (Twitter)

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🚨 WARNING: $SPX IS SETTING UP A 20% CRASH The S&P 500 has been dumping for weeks Most people still think this is just another healthy pullback They have NO idea what's coming Wave 6 has already marked the top. The final melt-up could be over Here's what changed Inflation is back. June CPI: 3.5%. Energy prices are ripping again The Fed held rates at 3.50-3.75% in July - but three FOMC members dissented, demanding a HIKE 9 of 18 Fed officials now pencil in at least one hike this year Markets price a roughly 55% chance of a 2026 hike. September is live New Chair Kevin Warsh built his reputation on one thing: killing inflation He doesn't need market's permission And there's more Only five stocks have been carrying the entire index: → Apple → Nvidia → Amazon → Microsoft → Meta The index holds 503 stocks but trades like it holds 54 A 10% drop in just the top 5 drags the whole index down ~2.6% Now the leaders are cracking Meta fell 8% in a day after earnings. Free cash flow: down 91%. AI capex: $130-145 BILLION this year We've seen this movie before 2018: Fed hiked into weakness → $SPX fell nearly 20% in one quarter 2022: Fed tightened into sticky inflation → -25% peak to trough If the Fed hikes in September: → The AI trade reprices → Index concentration breaks → Dip buyers get trapped → The correction turns into a crash My call: $SPX ends this cycle 20%+ lower - from ~7,800 toward 6,200 This isn't caution. This is the setup Reminder: I called the 2025 $BTC ATH and drop to $60k. The next call matters more Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post next major move BEFORE it becomes obvious

Aralez 🐕

250,726 views • 1 month ago

🚨 THE S&P 500 IS WALKING STRAIGHT INTO A MASSIVE TRAP September 16. 2:00 PM ET. $SPX is sitting at 7,748 after its 25th ATH of the year while Wall Street celebrates like nothing can break this rally. Meanwhile, the one thing this entire market was built to avoid is coming back: RATE HIKES. The Fed hasn’t hiked since July 2023. But inflation is still nowhere near 2%, and a hike by year-end is now the single most likely outcome priced by markets. That changes everything. This entire run from 4,835 → 7,748 was fueled by one belief: Rates go DOWN. Liquidity gets easier. Stocks keep going UP. One hike blows a hole through that story. And we’ve already seen what happens when the Fed tightens into an overheated market: ➮ 2018: record highs → Fed hikes → $SPX -19.8% ➮ 2022: aggressive hiking cycle → $SPX 4,818 → 3,491 ➮ 2000: final Fed hike → Nasdaq eventually -78% Every time, investors had the same excuse: “This time is different.” Now look at where we are. 25 all-time highs. Extreme confidence. Almost nobody positioned for the possibility that rates move HIGHER instead of lower. My roadmap: $7,748 → $6,300 → $4,835 $6,300 would erase roughly 19%. $4,835 would wipe out the entire move from the April 2025 base. Everyone is watching the ATH. I’m watching what happens when the market realizes the rate-cut story it spent the entire rally pricing in may be dead. I called the 2025 $BTC top and the move toward $60K. This next call could be much bigger. Save this chart. Turn notifications on. If the trap snaps shut, I’ll post it here before most people understand what just happened.

Phantom_Defi

17,297 views • 1 month ago

🚨 solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr IS WALKING INTO THE MOST DANGEROUS FED TRAP SINCE 2018 September 16. 2:00 PM ET. Remember that date. The Fed hasn’t raised rates since July 2023. Now the market is starting to price ONE hike by year-end as the most likely outcome. Meanwhile, solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr is sitting at 7,748 - its 25th all-time high this year. That’s exactly what makes this setup so dangerous. This entire rally has been built on one belief: RATES ONLY GO DOWN. If that belief dies, the trade holding this market together dies with it. Inflation hit 4.2% in May. It’s still 3.4%. The Fed wants 2%. And 9 of 18 Fed officials have already penciled in at least one hike this year. We’ve seen this movie before. 2018: Fed hikes near record highs → solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr dumps 19.8% in 3 months. 2022: aggressive hiking cycle → solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr goes $4,818 → $3,491. 2000: final hike to 6.5% → Nasdaq eventually collapses 78%. Different cycle. Same mistake. Everyone feels safest near the top because the headlines still look bullish. Then the narrative changes. My roadmap: $7,748 → $6,300 → $4,835 $6,300 is roughly a 19% correction - almost identical to 2018. $4,835 would erase the entire move back to the base this rally launched from. Roughly -38%. And here’s the question nobody wants to answer: If a rate hike is becoming the most likely outcome… why is everyone still positioned like cuts are guaranteed? That’s the trap. Everyone is staring at the 25th ATH. I’m watching what could end the entire rally. I called the 2025 bitcoin:native top and the move toward $60K. The next call could matter even more. Turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning before the crowd realizes what changed.

WhaleTwits

13,143 views • 12 days ago

🚨SOMETHING IS BREAKING UNDER THE S&P The S&P has been bleeding for weeks, and most people still call it a "healthy pullback." They have no idea what's coming. Here's what actually changed. Inflation is back. June CPI came in at 3.5%, energy's ripping again, and the Fed's stuck. It held at 3.50-3.75% in July but three members dissented, demanding a hike. Nine of eighteen officials now pencil in at least one hike this year, and markets price ~55% odds of a 2026 hike. September is live. And new Chair Kevin Warsh built his entire reputation on killing inflation he doesn't need the market's permission. Now the second problem. Five stocks are holding up the whole index Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta. The S&P has 503 names but trades like it has 5. A 10% drop in just those five drags the entire index down ~2.6%. And the leaders are cracking. Meta fell 8% in a day after earnings free cash flow down 91%, AI capex ballooning to $130–145B this year. We've seen this movie: → 2018: Fed hiked into weakness → S&P fell ~20% in a quarter → 2022: Fed tightened into sticky inflation → −25% peak to trough If the Fed hikes in September, the AI trade reprices, the concentration breaks, dip-buyers get trapped, and the correction becomes a crash. My call: the S&P ends this cycle 20%+ lower from ~7,800 toward 6,200. This isn't caution. This is the setup. Reminder: I called the 2025 $BTC ATH and the drop to $60K. The next call matters more. Follow and turn notifications on. I post the next major move before it's obvious.

Shelpid.WI3M

35,607 views • 1 month ago

🚨 WARNING: A BIG STORM IS COMING Fed just released new macro data and it’s WORSE than expected. If you currently hold assets, you’re not going to like what comes next: A global market crash is approaching, yet most people don’t even realize what’s happening. A systemic inflation issue is quietly forming beneath the surface, and almost no one is positioned for it. The Fed has no good options left: - Headline PCE inflation jumped to 4.1%. - Core PCE inflation remains at 3.4%. Fed’s inflation target is just 2%. - Manufacturing PMI came in at 53.3. - New Orders jumped to 56.0. - Services employment returned to expansion at 51.2. This is not bullish growth. This is the economy remaining strong while inflation continues to accelerate, giving the Fed no reason to cut rates. When inflation is running at more than double the Fed’s target while manufacturing and employment continue expanding, it tells you monetary policy is still not restrictive enough. That only happens before rates move higher. Now add the bigger problem most people are ignoring. U.S. national debt is at an all-time high. Over $39.84 trillion and rising faster than GDP. Interest expense alone is exploding, becoming one of the largest line items in the federal budget. The U.S. is issuing more debt just to service existing debt. That’s the definition of a debt spiral. The Fed becomes trapped between raising rates and allowing inflation to accelerate. This is why the latest inflation data matters so much right now: - You cannot sustain record debt levels when interest rates move higher. - You cannot run trillion-dollar deficits when inflation is more than double the Fed’s target. And you cannot keep pretending this is normal. That doesn’t happen in healthy systems. We’ve seen this exact setup before: → 2000 before the dot-com collapse. → 2008 before the global financial crisis. → 2020 before the repo market seized. The Fed is cornered. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

220,508 views • 1 month ago