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'Southern states will get fewer seats after census': Ranganathan's blunt delimitation explainer Anand Ranganathan delivers the clearest mathematical explainer of the delimitation arguing that the southern states are not being punished but are actually gaining seats under the current 50% pro-rata increase. He points out that in the last...

119,291 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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Govt is all set to punish South India The Union government has now signalled that delimitation may be moved ahead without waiting for the Census after 2026, raising the possibility that the 2011 Census could become the base for redrawing Lok Sabha seats. For those who don’t know what delimitation is, it is the process of reallocating parliamentary seats among states in line with population changes It has a stated aim of preserving fair and proportional democratic representation. But this is where the debate becomes serious. Population trends across India have not moved uniformly A major reason is the difference in fertility rates among states. Most southern states—Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, and Telangana—have already brought fertility below the replacement level of 2 Meanwhile, states such as Uttar Pradesh and Bihar continue to record comparatively higher fertility levels. If seat redistribution follows these numbers, the political balance could shift sharply The five southern states together may end up with around 164 Lok Sabha seats, whereas Uttar Pradesh and Bihar alone could together command nearly 222. The larger question, then, is philosophical as much as political: Should states that succeeded in stabilising population growth lose representation because of that success? Many in the South see this as a structural disadvantage, almost a democratic penalty for effective population management. The political implications are equally significant Since the ruling party’s electoral strength has historically been far deeper across northern India than in much of the South, any expansion in seat share in the Hindi belt could naturally reshape the national balance of power in a way that may politically benefit the current establishment We are waiting for Govt’s official version Because if the present documents floating on internet are true, then South India is going to be penalised heavily in their possible future representation in Indian Lok Sabha 🙏

Shekhar Dutt

48,592 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce