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SpaceX employee #13 Eric Romo on why we don't see many Falcon Heavy launches: "Falcon Heavy is extremely expensive, in part because it's three Falcon 9s strapped together." "SpaceX has been clear they would prefer not to fly that vehicle." "And it makes sense—every time they fly one of...

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sourcery

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77,506 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸 SpaceX just sent the same Falcon 9 booster to space for the 37th time! The Falcon 9 launched from Cape Canaveral in Florida, carrying 29 next-gen Starlink satellites into orbit. B1067 is now SpaceX’s most-flown Falcon 9, with a record 37 launches under its belt. And after doing its job, it headed back down for another landing on a SpaceX droneship in the Atlantic. What used to be science fiction is just another day at the office for SpaceX... Writer: Daniyal
0:48

🇺🇸 SpaceX just sent the same Falcon 9 booster to space for the 37th time! The Falcon 9 launched from Cape Canaveral in Florida, carrying 29 next-gen Starlink satellites into orbit. B1067 is now SpaceX’s most-flown Falcon 9, with a record 37 launches under its belt. And after doing its job, it headed back down for another landing on a SpaceX droneship in the Atlantic. What used to be science fiction is just another day at the office for SpaceX... Writer: Daniyal

Mario Nawfal

86,847 görüntüleme • 29 gün önce

.Starcloud CEO Philip Johnston expects SpaceX to have a "near monopoly on launch" for the next 5–10 years: "Starship is way ahead of any other program." "The manufacturing that they're ramping up is insane—like building three Starships per day potentially with their gigafactories." "The problem with Blue Origin's rocket is, they don't have a reusable upper stage. As I understand, they're not even really trying to build a reusable upper stage." "The way they talk about pricing is they say, 'We will be as good as the next best price from Falcon 9.'" "Which, for people who don't know, the next best price from Falcon 9 is like 5x the price of Falcon 9."
1:16

.Starcloud CEO Philip Johnston expects SpaceX to have a "near monopoly on launch" for the next 5–10 years: "Starship is way ahead of any other program." "The manufacturing that they're ramping up is insane—like building three Starships per day potentially with their gigafactories." "The problem with Blue Origin's rocket is, they don't have a reusable upper stage. As I understand, they're not even really trying to build a reusable upper stage." "The way they talk about pricing is they say, 'We will be as good as the next best price from Falcon 9.'" "Which, for people who don't know, the next best price from Falcon 9 is like 5x the price of Falcon 9."

sourcery

46,603 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🇺🇸 How far has SpaceX come? They’re about to hit the 700th Falcon flight. He gave a big shout-out to the teams that made it possible. On the first Falcon Heavy launch he fully expected it to fail, so he put his own Tesla Roadster with Starman in the driver’s seat instead of something boring. Elon: “The car is orbiting between Earth and Mars… for at least 10 million years.” Dragon has now flown 78 crew members to the space station. EPIC SUCCESS Source: SpaceX, Elon Musk / Writer: Sol
2:02

🇺🇸 How far has SpaceX come? They’re about to hit the 700th Falcon flight. He gave a big shout-out to the teams that made it possible. On the first Falcon Heavy launch he fully expected it to fail, so he put his own Tesla Roadster with Starman in the driver’s seat instead of something boring. Elon: “The car is orbiting between Earth and Mars… for at least 10 million years.” Dragon has now flown 78 crew members to the space station. EPIC SUCCESS Source: SpaceX, Elon Musk / Writer: Sol

Mario Nawfal

36,017 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Here's Elon Musk expressing his confidence in a fully and rapidly reusable rocket just after seeing the two boosters of Falcon Heavy land for the first time in 2018. “I didn't really think this would work. Because when I see the rocket lift off, I see a thousand things that could not work, and it's amazing when they do. Seeing the two boosters land synchronized, really just like the simulation, it makes me think, there really could be quite a scalable approach. You could imagine large numbers of those just coming in, landing, taking off, landing, doing many flights per day. So, it gives me a lot of faith for our next architecture, the interplanetary spaceship. We have different names for it, but BFR is the code name, and it gives me confidence that BFR is really quite workable. I was actually looking at the side boosters and like, they're pretty big, you know, 16 stories tall, 60 foot leg span. But really we need to be way bigger than that. I have tremendous confidence, obviously, in the SpaceX team. So I think we can really do this a lot and keep advancing the technology to achieve full and rapid reusability, which would have a profound effect on the future.” Falcon Heavy launch press conference, February 6, 2018
1:12

Here's Elon Musk expressing his confidence in a fully and rapidly reusable rocket just after seeing the two boosters of Falcon Heavy land for the first time in 2018. “I didn't really think this would work. Because when I see the rocket lift off, I see a thousand things that could not work, and it's amazing when they do. Seeing the two boosters land synchronized, really just like the simulation, it makes me think, there really could be quite a scalable approach. You could imagine large numbers of those just coming in, landing, taking off, landing, doing many flights per day. So, it gives me a lot of faith for our next architecture, the interplanetary spaceship. We have different names for it, but BFR is the code name, and it gives me confidence that BFR is really quite workable. I was actually looking at the side boosters and like, they're pretty big, you know, 16 stories tall, 60 foot leg span. But really we need to be way bigger than that. I have tremendous confidence, obviously, in the SpaceX team. So I think we can really do this a lot and keep advancing the technology to achieve full and rapid reusability, which would have a profound effect on the future.” Falcon Heavy launch press conference, February 6, 2018

ELON CLIPS

973,741 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

BREAKING: Eric Romo (Eric Romo), President & COO of Impulse Space (Impulse Space) says: "The idea that launch prices are going to fall significantly in the next 5 years is nonsense." "I think there are an awful lot of business models that are predicated on “when Starship allows me to launch for $200 a kilogram…” I think they’re all broken, & all those companies are going to fail." "I think we’ve seen this play out already with Falcon 9 & the pricing around it, where the costs of Falcon 9 allowed SpaceX to deliver the Starlink constellation at a cost per CapEx that made them profitable. But they set the price in the market at something that just barely made it an okay investment to think about OneWeb or Kuiper or anything like that. So they ran that playbook exactly on Falcon 9, & they had their gross margins on Falcon 9—people think we’ll see when the S1 comes out—are like 50% plus. So they could have dropped the price, & they didn’t. They’re going to do the same thing on Starship, because why wouldn’t they? Their internal costs on Starship are going to be whatever they need to be to deploy Starlink & orbital data centers, but they’re going to set the price so that anybody trying to do comms, anybody trying to do orbital data centers—the price is going to be too high. So if you’re a third party relying on them for a lower price of access to space, I think you’re hosed." 00:20 Hot Take Launch Prices 01:41 SpaceX Market Power 02:23 Impulse Space Overview 02:54 Mira For GEO Defense 03:45 Helios Direct To GEO 05:19 Caravan Rideshare To GEO 06:42 Space Economy Reality Check 08:46 Tom Mueller Legends 10:54 SpaceX IPO 13:42 Investor Frenzy & Broomstick 14:05 Alien Eyeballs Outro Elon Musk Recorded at NYSE 🏛 x Payload 🚀 Space Summit
14:27

BREAKING: Eric Romo (Eric Romo), President & COO of Impulse Space (Impulse Space) says: "The idea that launch prices are going to fall significantly in the next 5 years is nonsense." "I think there are an awful lot of business models that are predicated on “when Starship allows me to launch for $200 a kilogram…” I think they’re all broken, & all those companies are going to fail." "I think we’ve seen this play out already with Falcon 9 & the pricing around it, where the costs of Falcon 9 allowed SpaceX to deliver the Starlink constellation at a cost per CapEx that made them profitable. But they set the price in the market at something that just barely made it an okay investment to think about OneWeb or Kuiper or anything like that. So they ran that playbook exactly on Falcon 9, & they had their gross margins on Falcon 9—people think we’ll see when the S1 comes out—are like 50% plus. So they could have dropped the price, & they didn’t. They’re going to do the same thing on Starship, because why wouldn’t they? Their internal costs on Starship are going to be whatever they need to be to deploy Starlink & orbital data centers, but they’re going to set the price so that anybody trying to do comms, anybody trying to do orbital data centers—the price is going to be too high. So if you’re a third party relying on them for a lower price of access to space, I think you’re hosed." 00:20 Hot Take Launch Prices 01:41 SpaceX Market Power 02:23 Impulse Space Overview 02:54 Mira For GEO Defense 03:45 Helios Direct To GEO 05:19 Caravan Rideshare To GEO 06:42 Space Economy Reality Check 08:46 Tom Mueller Legends 10:54 SpaceX IPO 13:42 Investor Frenzy & Broomstick 14:05 Alien Eyeballs Outro Elon Musk Recorded at NYSE 🏛 x Payload 🚀 Space Summit

Molly O’Shea

197,842 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Chamath Palihapitiya called the exact date the telecom industry breaks: "the only company that can build and launch is SpaceX - they have a complete monopoly, and it renders every other provider in a really difficult situation" Gavin Baker and Antonio Gracias explaining why one launch now costs 15% of what it used to, why every other provider on earth is stranded, and what Gracias saw inside the factory at two in the morning with Elon "they should be able to send over 100 metric tons to orbit at a variable cost of under $2 million - Falcon 9 is 17 metric tons at around $15 million - roughly a 50x change" "you can't launch with ULA because they're inconsistent, you can't launch with Blue Origin because they're inconsistent - SpaceX is just going to manage themselves" "Starship literally looks like a Pez dispenser shooting out the next version of Starlink - 600 plus satellites where Falcon 9 carried 30 or 40" bookmark & watch the full conversation ↓
18:39

Chamath Palihapitiya called the exact date the telecom industry breaks: "the only company that can build and launch is SpaceX - they have a complete monopoly, and it renders every other provider in a really difficult situation" Gavin Baker and Antonio Gracias explaining why one launch now costs 15% of what it used to, why every other provider on earth is stranded, and what Gracias saw inside the factory at two in the morning with Elon "they should be able to send over 100 metric tons to orbit at a variable cost of under $2 million - Falcon 9 is 17 metric tons at around $15 million - roughly a 50x change" "you can't launch with ULA because they're inconsistent, you can't launch with Blue Origin because they're inconsistent - SpaceX is just going to manage themselves" "Starship literally looks like a Pez dispenser shooting out the next version of Starlink - 600 plus satellites where Falcon 9 carried 30 or 40" bookmark & watch the full conversation ↓

Сarm1ne

194,010 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Elon Musk on how Starship turns mass to orbit from thousands of tons into millions SpaceX already delivers almost 90% of all Earth mass to orbit with Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy Most of the remaining mass comes from China, while the rest of the world, including the rest of the US, makes up only about 5% to 7% But Starship takes this to a completely different level Today, SpaceX is around 2,500 tonnes per year to orbit With Starship, the goal is millions of tonnes per year to orbit And SpaceX can reach 1 million tonnes to orbit per year in about three years That is not a small upgrade That is many orders of magnitude more mass to orbit than what exists today Falcon made SpaceX the dominant launch provider Starship turns orbit into industrial infrastructure
0:55

Elon Musk on how Starship turns mass to orbit from thousands of tons into millions SpaceX already delivers almost 90% of all Earth mass to orbit with Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy Most of the remaining mass comes from China, while the rest of the world, including the rest of the US, makes up only about 5% to 7% But Starship takes this to a completely different level Today, SpaceX is around 2,500 tonnes per year to orbit With Starship, the goal is millions of tonnes per year to orbit And SpaceX can reach 1 million tonnes to orbit per year in about three years That is not a small upgrade That is many orders of magnitude more mass to orbit than what exists today Falcon made SpaceX the dominant launch provider Starship turns orbit into industrial infrastructure

X Freeze

13,643 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🇺🇸 Falcon Heavy just got one of the most important launch contracts in NASA history. SpaceX will carry the Nancy Grace Roman Telescope into space from Pad 39A in Florida as early as September 2026. Roman is built to map dark energy, hunt exoplanets, and see the universe in infrared at a scale Hubble never could… so it can answer questions about what the universe is actually made of. And the world's most powerful operational rocket is the one taking it there. We're about to see the next chapter of space science begin. Source: SpaceX, Elon Musk, NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman
1:21

🇺🇸 Falcon Heavy just got one of the most important launch contracts in NASA history. SpaceX will carry the Nancy Grace Roman Telescope into space from Pad 39A in Florida as early as September 2026. Roman is built to map dark energy, hunt exoplanets, and see the universe in infrared at a scale Hubble never could… so it can answer questions about what the universe is actually made of. And the world's most powerful operational rocket is the one taking it there. We're about to see the next chapter of space science begin. Source: SpaceX, Elon Musk, NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman

Mario Nawfal

57,662 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Eight days after it left the ground, lifting off for the 37th time, SpaceX Falcon 9 B1067 has been lifted of A Shortfall of Gravitas, and lowered to the ground at Port Canaveral. With Starlink launches in Florida ending, is this the last time we will be able to see the fleet leader. NSF - NASASpaceflight.com |
0:31

Eight days after it left the ground, lifting off for the 37th time, SpaceX Falcon 9 B1067 has been lifted of A Shortfall of Gravitas, and lowered to the ground at Port Canaveral. With Starlink launches in Florida ending, is this the last time we will be able to see the fleet leader. NSF - NASASpaceflight.com |

Elisar Priel

16,286 görüntüleme • 20 gün önce

🇺🇸 PEOPLE CAN’T GRASP HOW FAR AHEAD ELON REALLY IS Sequoia Capital's Shaun Maguire said most people are blind to exponential change and that’s why they consistently underestimate Elon and The Boring Company: “I think people are really bad at thinking about non-linear things. Most humans just think in linear terms, and a lot of Elon’s companies are very non-linear. People don’t understand at all where The Boring Company is. They think boring machines are easy because they’ve been around a long time and because there are a bunch of subway tunnels dug by municipalities. I asked Steve, an early SpaceX engineer, a genius who helped build the first Dragon vehicles, to stack rank Falcon 1, Falcon 9, Falcon 9 reusable, and Starship by difficulty, and then place where the current vision of the boring machine is. What they’re working toward is zero people in tunnel, Z-pit continuous mining. And he said it’s a little harder than Falcon 9, easier than Falcon 9 reusable. So think about that, a tunneling machine that’s harder to engineer than a rocket that reaches orbit and lands itself. But people don’t understand that because they can’t. They compare one boring machine to another and miss the scale of what’s coming. Once The Boring Company achieves reliable, zero-people continuous mining, everything changes, fast.” Source: Relentless Podcast Elon Musk Shaun Maguire
3:28

🇺🇸 PEOPLE CAN’T GRASP HOW FAR AHEAD ELON REALLY IS Sequoia Capital's Shaun Maguire said most people are blind to exponential change and that’s why they consistently underestimate Elon and The Boring Company: “I think people are really bad at thinking about non-linear things. Most humans just think in linear terms, and a lot of Elon’s companies are very non-linear. People don’t understand at all where The Boring Company is. They think boring machines are easy because they’ve been around a long time and because there are a bunch of subway tunnels dug by municipalities. I asked Steve, an early SpaceX engineer, a genius who helped build the first Dragon vehicles, to stack rank Falcon 1, Falcon 9, Falcon 9 reusable, and Starship by difficulty, and then place where the current vision of the boring machine is. What they’re working toward is zero people in tunnel, Z-pit continuous mining. And he said it’s a little harder than Falcon 9, easier than Falcon 9 reusable. So think about that, a tunneling machine that’s harder to engineer than a rocket that reaches orbit and lands itself. But people don’t understand that because they can’t. They compare one boring machine to another and miss the scale of what’s coming. Once The Boring Company achieves reliable, zero-people continuous mining, everything changes, fast.” Source: Relentless Podcast Elon Musk Shaun Maguire

Mario Nawfal

164,322 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

🇺🇸 THE DAY FALCON 9 LANDED: WHEN SPACE EXPLORATION CHANGED FOREVER December 21, 2015. Falcon 9 launched to space… then came back and landed, marking a milestone in space exploration. Rockets weren’t supposed to do that. Ever. They were one-and-done, tossed into the ocean like expensive fireworks. But that night, SpaceX flipped the script. The booster touched down like a sci-fi movie, and the SpaceX team lost it. Elon? Close to tears. And for good reason. This was about proving space could be industrial, repeatable, scalable. Like a factory, but for orbit. Reusability was the key. Without it, Mars is a fantasy. With it? You’ve got a shot at turning the red planet into a second home. This was the first real step to a bold new future. Source: SpaceX, Elon Musk
1:54

🇺🇸 THE DAY FALCON 9 LANDED: WHEN SPACE EXPLORATION CHANGED FOREVER December 21, 2015. Falcon 9 launched to space… then came back and landed, marking a milestone in space exploration. Rockets weren’t supposed to do that. Ever. They were one-and-done, tossed into the ocean like expensive fireworks. But that night, SpaceX flipped the script. The booster touched down like a sci-fi movie, and the SpaceX team lost it. Elon? Close to tears. And for good reason. This was about proving space could be industrial, repeatable, scalable. Like a factory, but for orbit. Reusability was the key. Without it, Mars is a fantasy. With it? You’ve got a shot at turning the red planet into a second home. This was the first real step to a bold new future. Source: SpaceX, Elon Musk

Mario Nawfal

96,017 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

SPACEX: Max Space announced a new contract to launch their Thunderbird via Falcon 9 in 2029. Thunderbird is an expandable space station that launches compactly and inflates in orbit to 350 cubic meters of pressurized volume. It is designed for a continuous/sustained presence of a core crew of 4, and up to eight for short stays. It prioritizes greater living and working space, comfort, reconfigurable interiors, and private quarters. SpaceX will also launch the first crew via Crew Dragon on an unspecified date. More SpaceX news in today's EC below!
0:30

SPACEX: Max Space announced a new contract to launch their Thunderbird via Falcon 9 in 2029. Thunderbird is an expandable space station that launches compactly and inflates in orbit to 350 cubic meters of pressurized volume. It is designed for a continuous/sustained presence of a core crew of 4, and up to eight for short stays. It prioritizes greater living and working space, comfort, reconfigurable interiors, and private quarters. SpaceX will also launch the first crew via Crew Dragon on an unspecified date. More SpaceX news in today's EC below!

S.E. Robinson, Jr.

171,608 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

SpaceX employee #13 Eric Romo: "The idea that launch prices are going to fall significantly in the next 5 years is nonsense." "There are an awful lot of business models that are predicated on 'when Starship allows me to launch for $200 a kilogram…'" "I think they’re all broken, and all those companies are going to fail." "We’ve seen this play out already with Falcon 9 and the pricing around it, where the costs of Falcon 9 allowed SpaceX to deliver the Starlink constellation at a cost per CapEx that made them profitable." "But they set the price in the market at something that just barely made it an okay investment to think about OneWeb or Kuiper or anything like that." "They’re going to do the same thing on Starship, because why wouldn’t they?" "Their internal costs on Starship are going to be whatever they need to be to deploy Starlink and orbital data centers, but they’re going to set the price so that anybody trying to do comms, anybody trying to do orbital data centers—the price is going to be too high." "If you’re a third party relying on them for a lower price of access to space, I think you’re hosed." Elon Musk Recorded at NYSE 🏛 x Payload 🚀 Space Summit
2:01

SpaceX employee #13 Eric Romo: "The idea that launch prices are going to fall significantly in the next 5 years is nonsense." "There are an awful lot of business models that are predicated on 'when Starship allows me to launch for $200 a kilogram…'" "I think they’re all broken, and all those companies are going to fail." "We’ve seen this play out already with Falcon 9 and the pricing around it, where the costs of Falcon 9 allowed SpaceX to deliver the Starlink constellation at a cost per CapEx that made them profitable." "But they set the price in the market at something that just barely made it an okay investment to think about OneWeb or Kuiper or anything like that." "They’re going to do the same thing on Starship, because why wouldn’t they?" "Their internal costs on Starship are going to be whatever they need to be to deploy Starlink and orbital data centers, but they’re going to set the price so that anybody trying to do comms, anybody trying to do orbital data centers—the price is going to be too high." "If you’re a third party relying on them for a lower price of access to space, I think you’re hosed." Elon Musk Recorded at NYSE 🏛 x Payload 🚀 Space Summit

sourcery

120,785 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

In 2015, Elon Musk was on the verge of failure. SpaceX had faced setbacks and criticism, and that Falcon 9 launch represented a turning point; it was all or nothing. If it went wrong, it could be the end of his space dreams. But, against all odds, the impossible happened: SpaceX successfully landed the first stage of the Falcon 9, for the first time in history. That moment not only saved the company but transformed Elon Musk from a discredited visionary into one of the greatest leaders of modern space exploration. From then on, the world witnessed the rebirth of the space race, and the name Elon Musk became synonymous with audacity, innovation, and achievement.
1:53

In 2015, Elon Musk was on the verge of failure. SpaceX had faced setbacks and criticism, and that Falcon 9 launch represented a turning point; it was all or nothing. If it went wrong, it could be the end of his space dreams. But, against all odds, the impossible happened: SpaceX successfully landed the first stage of the Falcon 9, for the first time in history. That moment not only saved the company but transformed Elon Musk from a discredited visionary into one of the greatest leaders of modern space exploration. From then on, the world witnessed the rebirth of the space race, and the name Elon Musk became synonymous with audacity, innovation, and achievement.

Astronomiaum

172,123 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

“In the beginning we (SpaceX team) knew nothing about rockets and our first three Falcon 1 missions failed that almost bankrupting us. SpaceX barely survived with the fourth launch if it had failed, the company would have collapsed. I am actually the chief engineer of SpaceX, so I've signed off on pretty much all the design decisions. I don't have an aerospace degree. Like I said, I read a lot of books, talked to a lot of people and have a great team.” — Elon Musk
0:31

“In the beginning we (SpaceX team) knew nothing about rockets and our first three Falcon 1 missions failed that almost bankrupting us. SpaceX barely survived with the fourth launch if it had failed, the company would have collapsed. I am actually the chief engineer of SpaceX, so I've signed off on pretty much all the design decisions. I don't have an aerospace degree. Like I said, I read a lot of books, talked to a lot of people and have a great team.” — Elon Musk

Apurv Kochara

10,253 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

SPACEX COULD BRING IN $300-400 BILLION IN REVENUE PER YEAR BY 2030 SAYS ARK INVEST Here's the math that gets Brett Winton there: Starlink currently has ~500 terabits per second of bandwidth in space. One Starship rocket filled with satellites adds 60 terabits per second. 10 launches roughly doubles their bandwidth. 10 launches doubles their revenue. SpaceX has done 150-160 Falcon 9 launches. Falcon 9 isn't even fully reusable. If they run Starship at that same cadence for 2 years, the model gets to nearly $200 billion in Starlink revenue alone. At a 10x revenue multiple, that's a $2 trillion valuation.
2:43

SPACEX COULD BRING IN $300-400 BILLION IN REVENUE PER YEAR BY 2030 SAYS ARK INVEST Here's the math that gets Brett Winton there: Starlink currently has ~500 terabits per second of bandwidth in space. One Starship rocket filled with satellites adds 60 terabits per second. 10 launches roughly doubles their bandwidth. 10 launches doubles their revenue. SpaceX has done 150-160 Falcon 9 launches. Falcon 9 isn't even fully reusable. If they run Starship at that same cadence for 2 years, the model gets to nearly $200 billion in Starlink revenue alone. At a 10x revenue multiple, that's a $2 trillion valuation.

WOLF

37,674 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

.President Donald J. Trump: "In order to do it, they have to be a member of the Abraham Accords... it's time now that they do it. They, and others, didn't want to do it because of the problem that they had with Iran. You don't have that problem anymore... they were the bully of the Middle East. They're really not going to be that much of a bully anymore."
1:09

.President Donald J. Trump: "In order to do it, they have to be a member of the Abraham Accords... it's time now that they do it. They, and others, didn't want to do it because of the problem that they had with Iran. You don't have that problem anymore... they were the bully of the Middle East. They're really not going to be that much of a bully anymore."

Rapid Response 47

134,106 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

In 2002, Elon Musk tried to buy a rocket. The Russians quoted him $8 million per unit. American aerospace companies wanted over $65 million. He walked away from both. On the flight home, he opened a spreadsheet and broke down the raw materials. Aerospace-grade aluminum. Titanium. Copper. Carbon fiber. He priced each on the commodity market. The total came to roughly 2% of what the industry was charging. That gap is what first principles thinking actually looks like. Not "how do we negotiate a better deal." Not "who else sells rockets." Just: what is this thing actually made of, and why does it cost what it costs? The answer was overhead. Legacy processes. Layers of contractors and subcontractors. Margins stacked on margins. Nobody had questioned the price because nobody had questioned the structure. Musk decided to build it himself. The first Falcon 1 exploded 33 seconds after launch. The second made it further but failed to reach orbit. The third exploded too. Three rockets. Three failures. SpaceX was almost out of money. Musk put his last $35 million into the company. If the fourth launch failed, that was it. September 28, 2008. Falcon 1 Flight 4 reached orbit. First privately developed liquid fuel rocket to ever do it. Seven years later, they landed a booster back on Earth for the first time. Now they do it routinely. The cost per launch dropped from $65 million to under $3 million for a reused Falcon 9 booster. Everyone else was reasoning by analogy: rockets are expensive because rockets have always been expensive. Musk reasoned from atoms: rockets are expensive because nobody rebuilt the system from the ground up.
1:14

In 2002, Elon Musk tried to buy a rocket. The Russians quoted him $8 million per unit. American aerospace companies wanted over $65 million. He walked away from both. On the flight home, he opened a spreadsheet and broke down the raw materials. Aerospace-grade aluminum. Titanium. Copper. Carbon fiber. He priced each on the commodity market. The total came to roughly 2% of what the industry was charging. That gap is what first principles thinking actually looks like. Not "how do we negotiate a better deal." Not "who else sells rockets." Just: what is this thing actually made of, and why does it cost what it costs? The answer was overhead. Legacy processes. Layers of contractors and subcontractors. Margins stacked on margins. Nobody had questioned the price because nobody had questioned the structure. Musk decided to build it himself. The first Falcon 1 exploded 33 seconds after launch. The second made it further but failed to reach orbit. The third exploded too. Three rockets. Three failures. SpaceX was almost out of money. Musk put his last $35 million into the company. If the fourth launch failed, that was it. September 28, 2008. Falcon 1 Flight 4 reached orbit. First privately developed liquid fuel rocket to ever do it. Seven years later, they landed a booster back on Earth for the first time. Now they do it routinely. The cost per launch dropped from $65 million to under $3 million for a reused Falcon 9 booster. Everyone else was reasoning by analogy: rockets are expensive because rockets have always been expensive. Musk reasoned from atoms: rockets are expensive because nobody rebuilt the system from the ground up.

Peak Thinkers

160,641 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce