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Stanford Prof. Christopher Manning says METR’s dependence on frontier labs creates a client-capture problem that Stanford structurally doesn’t have: "METR has many extremely dedicated people who really believe that AI safety is important, and they do maintain financial independence from the major labs." "There's a very strong web of...

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MTS

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18,296 просмотров • 12 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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Фото профиля anpaure
anpaure12 дней назад

@chrmanning stanford the most represented school in all labs and the alma mater of like 10-20% of all openai and anthropic employees not having a conflict of interest is definitely one of the opinions ever

Фото профиля Dylan Bowman
Dylan Bowman12 дней назад

@chrmanning Chris misunderstands the relationship between METR and the labs—METR refuses payment for their services with the labs and their funding comes from elsewhere.

Фото профиля Chahat Sharma
Chahat Sharma12 дней назад

@chrmanning stanford has no financial dependence on frontier labs is really something to say with a straight face

Фото профиля B W
B W11 дней назад

@stanfordnlp @chrmanning This seems true when considering Stanford as an organisation but the reports etc will be made by individuals within that organisation. These individuals are rarely independent from influence from the top labs (huge amount of Stanford PhDs end up in frontier labs)

Фото профиля Cole
Cole12 дней назад

@chrmanning They are intentionally repeating history

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Stanford Prof. Christopher Manning warns frontier AI is being built inside “three monasteries,” with too little of what happens inside making it out to the rest of society: "If we just think of the whole space of frontier AI, a huge problem at the moment is so much of it is happening in these sort of three monasteries, and very little information is making it outside to the rest of the world." "That's an enormous problem for the whole of society. The American public is not gonna get more comfortable with the possibilities of an AI future if the feeling is it's completely hidden from them." "For the case of having Stanford involved, it's just a bedrock assumption of Stanford's that things are made public. All research we do has to be publicly available." Stanford NLP Group Stanford University
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Stanford Prof. Christopher Manning warns frontier AI is being built inside “three monasteries,” with too little of what happens inside making it out to the rest of society: "If we just think of the whole space of frontier AI, a huge problem at the moment is so much of it is happening in these sort of three monasteries, and very little information is making it outside to the rest of the world." "That's an enormous problem for the whole of society. The American public is not gonna get more comfortable with the possibilities of an AI future if the feeling is it's completely hidden from them." "For the case of having Stanford involved, it's just a bedrock assumption of Stanford's that things are made public. All research we do has to be publicly available." Stanford NLP Group Stanford University

MTS

16,053 просмотров • 12 дней назад

Chamath explains the political calculus behind Obama’s anti AI speech “This is a very important moment for a very simple reason, which is that the world is about to endow 3-6 companies with about $10 trillion of wealth.” “And what Obama knows very well is that most of those companies are overwhelmingly left leaning. And what he also knows is that there is a huge portion of that money that will then get put into philanthropic and charitable causes that then he and the people around him will be beneficiaries of." “That is the truth. We already know this because we know that some of these frontier corporations actually ask you to sign up DAFTs and have a portion of your stock that you're willing to pledge. So this money is going to go to things other than consumption or savings. It's going to go into PACs, it's going to go into political movements, and they stand to disproportionately benefit." “So this has nothing to do with prosperity. This is a very simple political calculus. If you freeze frame the economy the way it is today, a handful of organizations that will disproportionately be able to affect the Democrats will win, they will capture the lion's share of the economic gains. And then they will help the Democrats win power. That's all this is."
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Chamath explains the political calculus behind Obama’s anti AI speech “This is a very important moment for a very simple reason, which is that the world is about to endow 3-6 companies with about $10 trillion of wealth.” “And what Obama knows very well is that most of those companies are overwhelmingly left leaning. And what he also knows is that there is a huge portion of that money that will then get put into philanthropic and charitable causes that then he and the people around him will be beneficiaries of." “That is the truth. We already know this because we know that some of these frontier corporations actually ask you to sign up DAFTs and have a portion of your stock that you're willing to pledge. So this money is going to go to things other than consumption or savings. It's going to go into PACs, it's going to go into political movements, and they stand to disproportionately benefit." “So this has nothing to do with prosperity. This is a very simple political calculus. If you freeze frame the economy the way it is today, a handful of organizations that will disproportionately be able to affect the Democrats will win, they will capture the lion's share of the economic gains. And then they will help the Democrats win power. That's all this is."

dnap

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Ilya Sutskever, the co-founder of OpenAI, on the one AI risk that grows with every jump in capability. "There are concerns around if an AGI ever becomes very, very powerful, which is possible. Maybe it will want to go rogue, being that it is an agent." "We are also doing a lot of research on addressing the technological side of things, so that the AI will never want to go rogue. And this is something which I am working on as well." The work he is describing has a name: the assurance layer. Proving a powerful, agentic system will not go rogue before you deploy it, not after. That layer does not build itself. It gets built by the labs, regulators, and insurers who agree on how to test and verify these systems. P.S. That is the entire agenda of the AI Assurance and Governance Summit. Frontier labs, regulated industries, insurers, and investors in one room at Stanford on October 1. Reserve a seat: - Ilya Sutskever (Ilya Sutskever), co-founder of OpenAI, at TED
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Karl Mehta

22,453 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

It's not important that your partner is an identical copy of you. It's important that they're not, that they bring something else to the table that you don't have. Now, in the context of entrepreneurship, because that's what I'm associated with, you need to find somebody that's willing to put up with the fact that you're just never there. I mean, that's very difficult because if you're running a business and you can't have a balanced life when you're an entrepreneur. It's really about finding that person that understands what you're about, that you're going down that journey and that you're not gonna stop doing it.
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It's not important that your partner is an identical copy of you. It's important that they're not, that they bring something else to the table that you don't have. Now, in the context of entrepreneurship, because that's what I'm associated with, you need to find somebody that's willing to put up with the fact that you're just never there. I mean, that's very difficult because if you're running a business and you can't have a balanced life when you're an entrepreneur. It's really about finding that person that understands what you're about, that you're going down that journey and that you're not gonna stop doing it.

Kevin O'Leary aka Mr. Wonderful

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Chamath on Obama’s AI Warning: Follow the Money President Obama last week: “If we are thinking about AI just in terms of how do we cure cancer or get better energy, you can do that without having agentic AI. That's a misalignment between what our society needs and the commercial imperatives that these companies are facing.” Chamath Palihapitiya: “This is a very important moment for a very simple reason, which is we, as in the world, are about to endow three, four, five, six companies with about $10T of wealth. And what Obama knows very well is that most of those companies are overwhelmingly left-leaning. And what he also knows is that there is a huge portion of that money that will then get put into philanthropic and charitable causes that then he, and the people around him, will be beneficiaries of. That is the truth. We already know this because we know that some of these frontier corporations actually ask you to stand up DAFs and have a portion of your stock that you're willing to pledge. So this money is going to go to things other than consumption or savings. And so it's going to go into PACs, it's going to go into political movements, and (Democrats) stand to disproportionately benefit. So this has nothing to do with prosperity. This is a very simple political calculus. If you freeze frame the economy the way it is today, a handful of organizations that will disproportionately be able to affect the Democrats will win. They will capture the lion's share of the economic gains, and then they will help the Democrats win power. That's all this is.”
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Chamath on Obama’s AI Warning: Follow the Money President Obama last week: “If we are thinking about AI just in terms of how do we cure cancer or get better energy, you can do that without having agentic AI. That's a misalignment between what our society needs and the commercial imperatives that these companies are facing.” Chamath Palihapitiya: “This is a very important moment for a very simple reason, which is we, as in the world, are about to endow three, four, five, six companies with about $10T of wealth. And what Obama knows very well is that most of those companies are overwhelmingly left-leaning. And what he also knows is that there is a huge portion of that money that will then get put into philanthropic and charitable causes that then he, and the people around him, will be beneficiaries of. That is the truth. We already know this because we know that some of these frontier corporations actually ask you to stand up DAFs and have a portion of your stock that you're willing to pledge. So this money is going to go to things other than consumption or savings. And so it's going to go into PACs, it's going to go into political movements, and (Democrats) stand to disproportionately benefit. So this has nothing to do with prosperity. This is a very simple political calculus. If you freeze frame the economy the way it is today, a handful of organizations that will disproportionately be able to affect the Democrats will win. They will capture the lion's share of the economic gains, and then they will help the Democrats win power. That's all this is.”

The All-In Podcast

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Palantir CEO Alex Karp says the AI labs want you to buy into a future where you "have no job, adversaries win, and everybody who does win is a small, tiny group of people living in a tiny place that believes because they eat vegetables and don't support war fighters, that they deserve to have the total means of production of this country—and the rest of us should just sit back and absorb the cost of that revolution, which we're paying for." " How are we paying for it?" "People sign up for token self-pleasurings and at a real cost—like other forms of self-pleasuring—where you are paying for the right for them to migrate your IP, your know-how, your expertise to their model so that they can build a competitive business that doesn't require your business, your people."

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49,396 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Palantir CEO Alex Karp on value creation and avoiding “parasitic software”: “We drive our whole business based on a set of beliefs that are: American superiority.” “If you believe your client is noble—like, I believe our US government clients are not only noble, but they're no more noble than I am.” “They're doing missions that will change world history for the better.” “If you know that the thing that's going to happen—downstream from that is you're going to resist building parasitic products.” “What you're supposed to be doing in software is—build something the client gets addicted to. Not the one they need.” “What very successful software companies do is say: they think they want X. We'll fake give them X, but we'll give them this thing that they can't get rid of.” “And then nothing else will work, but they'll just have to pay.”
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Palantir CEO Alex Karp on value creation and avoiding “parasitic software”: “We drive our whole business based on a set of beliefs that are: American superiority.” “If you believe your client is noble—like, I believe our US government clients are not only noble, but they're no more noble than I am.” “They're doing missions that will change world history for the better.” “If you know that the thing that's going to happen—downstream from that is you're going to resist building parasitic products.” “What you're supposed to be doing in software is—build something the client gets addicted to. Not the one they need.” “What very successful software companies do is say: they think they want X. We'll fake give them X, but we'll give them this thing that they can't get rid of.” “And then nothing else will work, but they'll just have to pay.”

sourcery

51,464 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Peter Thiel: "Competition is for losers" "Competition is for losers, which got people's attention, because we normally believe the opposite. We believe that the losers are the people who don't compete intensely enough. You're a loser if you're not competitive. But what if you're a loser because you're too obsessed with competing? If you're too focused on competing, maybe you're losing sight of what's really important." Thiel explains the distinction most people miss: "The most important distinction in business that people don't talk about enough is that there are two kinds of companies in this world. There are companies that are competitive, and there are companies that have monopolies. If you're a one-of-a-kind company, a happy company that's doing something different, you are a monopoly. It is the goal of every founder, every entrepreneur, it should be their goal to try to build a monopoly business." He frames this as an unconventional truth: "Most people believe that capitalism and competition are synonyms. I believe capitalism and competition are antonyms. A capitalist is someone who's in the business of accumulating capital. A world of perfect competition is a world where all the profits are competed away."
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Peter Thiel: "Competition is for losers" "Competition is for losers, which got people's attention, because we normally believe the opposite. We believe that the losers are the people who don't compete intensely enough. You're a loser if you're not competitive. But what if you're a loser because you're too obsessed with competing? If you're too focused on competing, maybe you're losing sight of what's really important." Thiel explains the distinction most people miss: "The most important distinction in business that people don't talk about enough is that there are two kinds of companies in this world. There are companies that are competitive, and there are companies that have monopolies. If you're a one-of-a-kind company, a happy company that's doing something different, you are a monopoly. It is the goal of every founder, every entrepreneur, it should be their goal to try to build a monopoly business." He frames this as an unconventional truth: "Most people believe that capitalism and competition are synonyms. I believe capitalism and competition are antonyms. A capitalist is someone who's in the business of accumulating capital. A world of perfect competition is a world where all the profits are competed away."

Jaynit

55,406 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Stanford Prof. Christopher Manning says universities are losing AI professors to frontier labs because they still fund computer science like it’s 2005, when a laptop was enough: "Universities have just been too flat-footed in dealing with the way the computing and AI world has changed. There are really two problems." "Over the last couple of decades, universities have become enormously more bureaucratic and administrative, and that makes them a less good research environment than they used to be in the 20th century." "Universities got used to this nice period around 1990 to 2010, when computer scientists needed barely any money for their research. You bought a laptop or a PC, and it was fine. The reality now is that computer scientists, particularly in AI, need a lot of money." "It's established that if you're hiring a new faculty in physics or chemistry, you need some millions of dollars, but it hasn't trickled down that people in AI need that too. There are too many professors leaving academia." "Stanford made a start with the Marlowe cluster of 256 H100s. That's an okay baby step, but there probably needs to be about 10 times that much." Stanford NLP Group Stanford University
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Stanford Prof. Christopher Manning says universities are losing AI professors to frontier labs because they still fund computer science like it’s 2005, when a laptop was enough: "Universities have just been too flat-footed in dealing with the way the computing and AI world has changed. There are really two problems." "Over the last couple of decades, universities have become enormously more bureaucratic and administrative, and that makes them a less good research environment than they used to be in the 20th century." "Universities got used to this nice period around 1990 to 2010, when computer scientists needed barely any money for their research. You bought a laptop or a PC, and it was fine. The reality now is that computer scientists, particularly in AI, need a lot of money." "It's established that if you're hiring a new faculty in physics or chemistry, you need some millions of dollars, but it hasn't trickled down that people in AI need that too. There are too many professors leaving academia." "Stanford made a start with the Marlowe cluster of 256 H100s. That's an okay baby step, but there probably needs to be about 10 times that much." Stanford NLP Group Stanford University

MTS

99,491 просмотров • 12 дней назад

Elon Musk on Grok: “I think an AI that is sort of SpaceX’s baby will be a very good AI. I think SpaceX is a collection of some of the very best humans on Earth, both in capability and morality and goodness, and I think we want to have an AI that is born of that capability and that morality and that goodness. I think that’s very, very important. So I’d like to encourage people to help out, actually, with the AI hardware on the ground and the AI software and, of course, with the AI satellites. Solar is going to be a very important part of that. The TerraFab will be a very important part of that, but we must also succeed on the software front, and we’re going to be training Grok on the sum total of all SpaceX information. So in a way, it will be trained on you. You will effectively be the parents of the AI. It will inherit your thoughts and ideas and beliefs, and I think that’s a good thing. So, yeah, we’ve got to win here on the AI hardware and the AI software. That maybe is the most important message. I think that is actually the most important message I wanted to convey today is that we must win on AI because the future is overwhelmingly AI and robots. So we won’t ultimately be able to control the AI. It’ll be too smart for that. But just like if you have a child that is a super genius child, you can still instill in that child the values and beliefs that you think are good and right. And so that’s why it’s incredibly important that we succeed with Grok. So, yeah, well, Grok 4.5 you’ve tried probably. We’ve got 4.6 coming out in about a week. And then 4.7 should be really pretty special. So I’d like to encourage everyone at SpaceX to use AI and to make it better.”
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Elon Musk on Grok: “I think an AI that is sort of SpaceX’s baby will be a very good AI. I think SpaceX is a collection of some of the very best humans on Earth, both in capability and morality and goodness, and I think we want to have an AI that is born of that capability and that morality and that goodness. I think that’s very, very important. So I’d like to encourage people to help out, actually, with the AI hardware on the ground and the AI software and, of course, with the AI satellites. Solar is going to be a very important part of that. The TerraFab will be a very important part of that, but we must also succeed on the software front, and we’re going to be training Grok on the sum total of all SpaceX information. So in a way, it will be trained on you. You will effectively be the parents of the AI. It will inherit your thoughts and ideas and beliefs, and I think that’s a good thing. So, yeah, we’ve got to win here on the AI hardware and the AI software. That maybe is the most important message. I think that is actually the most important message I wanted to convey today is that we must win on AI because the future is overwhelmingly AI and robots. So we won’t ultimately be able to control the AI. It’ll be too smart for that. But just like if you have a child that is a super genius child, you can still instill in that child the values and beliefs that you think are good and right. And so that’s why it’s incredibly important that we succeed with Grok. So, yeah, well, Grok 4.5 you’ve tried probably. We’ve got 4.6 coming out in about a week. And then 4.7 should be really pretty special. So I’d like to encourage everyone at SpaceX to use AI and to make it better.”

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64,434 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

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2:28

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Autism Capital 🧩

17,136,022 просмотров • 1 год назад

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241,802 просмотров • 1 год назад

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CapexAndChill

86,196 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

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2:48

Baseten Head of AI Model Training Charlie O'Neill says the future is many specialized LLMs dedicated to specific tasks, with bigger labs deployed on the frontiers of areas like science and math: "People are thinking about intelligence capabilities in the wrong way. People are thinking about intelligence relativistically. They say, 'OK, the open-source gap is like 6 months behind closed-source, and GLM 5.3 is as good as Opus 4.8,' or whatever." "The best way to think about what models can do for you, and for the world, is in an absolute sense." "So for any given task that you want to do with an LLM, there's some intelligence threshold where below that you can't do the task, and above that you have very diminishing returns to more intelligence on the task." "So when you think about it that way, the game of LLMs over the last 5 years has been, 'OK, we have these things we want to do with them. Closed source hits it first... but open-source can eventually do that task. And then for many reasons, once you have the base level of intelligence required to do it, you probably do want to swap to open-source." "It's not really about the [frontier lab] God model being better. Like, if I'm filing a tax return, there is a limit to how much intelligence I need to do that particular thing." "So I think the world is going to look like — frontier closed-source labs are going to continue to push the frontier. You do want to use the most intelligent model. You have very inelastic demand for intelligence when you're doing frontier science or frontier math." "But for a lot of the economically valuable things, it looks a lot like, 'I'm a Cursor, or I'm one of these big companies who are realizing I can't just be a wrapper anymore. I've been through the life cycle of building a product that people love. And I should be using that information to make my model better at the things that I care about, and not at anything else.'"

TBPN

50,531 просмотров • 25 дней назад

Mobile put a bank in your pocket. AI is going to put a banker in your pocket. Micky 🐸 says AI agents will start making investment decisions on your behalf very soon. “What I expect to see very soon is an AI agent that can do all kinds of investment decisions and recommendations. The agent will do all kinds of commerce decisions and recommendations. It can do any kind of payment decisions on your behalf. The agent is going to free up time for you and give you ideas that you didn’t have. We're just starting. What we expect is that we're going to see a bunch of new companies and incumbents that are going to be shipping these features in ways that we have not experienced before.”
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Mobile put a bank in your pocket. AI is going to put a banker in your pocket. Micky 🐸 says AI agents will start making investment decisions on your behalf very soon. “What I expect to see very soon is an AI agent that can do all kinds of investment decisions and recommendations. The agent will do all kinds of commerce decisions and recommendations. It can do any kind of payment decisions on your behalf. The agent is going to free up time for you and give you ideas that you didn’t have. We're just starting. What we expect is that we're going to see a bunch of new companies and incumbents that are going to be shipping these features in ways that we have not experienced before.”

David Senra

43,676 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

If you have any type of business, buy a domain name: your business name, plus the word reviews. Your business name reviews. Put all of your reviews on this website, list them all out, write everything, all of the reviews that you would want people to see. When people are doing due diligence on your business, ChatGPT goes to Google, searches your business name and the word reviews. This website comes up, ChatGPT sees all the reviews you shared on your reviews website. This is something that people are doing right now. Only make sure you link to your reviews site from your own website. You need that link to get it showing on Google so that ChatGPT will find it.
0:38

If you have any type of business, buy a domain name: your business name, plus the word reviews. Your business name reviews. Put all of your reviews on this website, list them all out, write everything, all of the reviews that you would want people to see. When people are doing due diligence on your business, ChatGPT goes to Google, searches your business name and the word reviews. This website comes up, ChatGPT sees all the reviews you shared on your reviews website. This is something that people are doing right now. Only make sure you link to your reviews site from your own website. You need that link to get it showing on Google so that ChatGPT will find it.

Edward Sturm

172,824 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Jensen Huang: “VCs don’t invest in business plans” When asked for advice on business plans and raising venture capital, Jensen tells the student audience at Stanford: “VCs don’t invest in business plans… They invest in great people. And so the question is: do they trust you? Your reputation matters. Your history matters.” He explains that a one of the key reasons Sequoia wrote the initial check into NVIDIA was because he had done great work with Andy Bechtolsheim, the founder of Sun. Jensen also argues that you need to have a vision that’s “sufficiently large to invest in.” Because of the nature of the businesses VCs invest in, the odds of success are rather low. “If they need to put in $10 million and the market is only $20 million, they’ll never get that $10 million back with a reasonable return.” But market size is secondary to people: “You might have to reinvent yourself over time, and if you want to reinvent yourself, you need to have great people. That’s why great people are so important.” Video source: Stanford Online (2011)
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Jensen Huang: “VCs don’t invest in business plans” When asked for advice on business plans and raising venture capital, Jensen tells the student audience at Stanford: “VCs don’t invest in business plans… They invest in great people. And so the question is: do they trust you? Your reputation matters. Your history matters.” He explains that a one of the key reasons Sequoia wrote the initial check into NVIDIA was because he had done great work with Andy Bechtolsheim, the founder of Sun. Jensen also argues that you need to have a vision that’s “sufficiently large to invest in.” Because of the nature of the businesses VCs invest in, the odds of success are rather low. “If they need to put in $10 million and the market is only $20 million, they’ll never get that $10 million back with a reasonable return.” But market size is secondary to people: “You might have to reinvent yourself over time, and if you want to reinvent yourself, you need to have great people. That’s why great people are so important.” Video source: Stanford Online (2011)

Startup Archive

117,167 просмотров • 1 год назад