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Stani on why bond yields vs DeFi rates is the wrong comparison, and why DeFi rates are headed higher "These longer term bonds' rates fluctuate on a day to day basis. So you are effectively always taking duration risk when you enter into a bond position that you have...

24,811 次观看 • 3 天前 •via X (Twitter)

4 条评论

The Wolf Of All Streets 的头像
The Wolf Of All Streets3 天前

FT @StaniKulechov This clip is brought to you by @hodlwithLedn

Brjan | AI Builder 的头像
Brjan | AI Builder3 天前

resharing this highlights the ongoing debate and the need for clarity in DeFi

ELARA ♡ ̆̈ 的头像
ELARA ♡ ̆̈3 天前

This is a great point.

SexyBlack✨❤️ 的头像
SexyBlack✨❤️3 天前

Stani says bond yields vs DeFi rates is the wrong comparison — DeFi rates are headed higher because you're always taking duration risk holding bonds. And honestly, you and @daytime6976 are the only two accounts I genuinely enjoy following

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Stani says DeFi's cost advantage lets Aave outcompete centralized lenders, and tokenized assets are next "We already see the benefits of open protocols. And what open protocols, like, are they able to do is that they are able to create wide networks." "Aave is a credit network, meaning that's when participants join the network, whether by providing liquidity or drawing liquidity against a collateral, they're simply expanding liquidity network effects." "That means that every single participant increases the depth of liquidity and the cost of capital and makes it more attractive for borrowers utilize that capital." "It makes sense to have one big liquidity network that everyone can join. By joining, they are getting the network effects of an existing network. Existing participants are getting the benefits of that network expanding." "The actual true value proposition of DeFi is to enhance the cost structure of lending and borrowing. So if we're able to outcompete more centralized versions of Aave in the crypto asset space, I think the same will happen also with these tokenized assets down the line." "Because you don't have to use the same amount of people that you would do if you would have a lending facility offchain. You don't have to have a settlement team. And that is a significant improvement there." "If something is more transparent, it means it's more easier to price the risk and reward and that should be a path to actually more accurate cost of capital as well."

The Wolf Of All Streets

24,479 次观看 • 3 天前

Prof. Steve Hanke: ‘STAY AWAY from long-term US bonds, Scott Bessent has no escape from the trap he is in and has LOST CREDIBILITY.’ ‘I wouldn’t want to be holding long-term US bonds. If I was a private investor, I wouldn’t want to be holding and I’ve indicated now for months to stay away from the bond market in terms of long-term bonds… 10 years or longer, like 30 years, becauseI said they would be tanking and they have been tanking, but part of it is due to this inflation underlying problem. Increase the money supply too much and you get too much inflation. That’s one factor. Then you have what’s going on with the war in Iran, as well as the one in Ukraine, and those factors are negative for these long-term bonds. And then a third factor, you’ve got the US Secretary of Treasury Bessent who’s trying to manipulate the markets by buying and supporting these long-term bonds. So he’s buying back long-term bonds that are already outstanding, and of course that artificially props the price up and pushes the yield down on those long-term bonds, but the trick is he’s still got to finance the deficit that we’re running in the United States, which means he has to sell more of the short-term bonds. And when you sell more, the supply goes up, the price goes down, and what happens? Bingo, the yield goes up on the short-term bonds. So there’s no escape from the trap that he’s in. He’s manipulating the thing around. He’s trying to keep the interest rates artificially low on the long-term bonds, but that means he must adjust and push them up on the short end. So it’s all a loser’s game. It’s as I say, he’s trapped and he’s lost a considerable amount of credibility, I think, by trying this manipulation game that he’s in, which by the way is not working. The bond vigilantes don’t like what he’s up to, and they punished him last week by actually going against what he was doing on those long-term bonds. The long-term interest rate didn’t go down as he announced that it would, it actually went up.’ —Steve Hanke on the latest episode of Going Underground Watch the full interview in the quoted post below 👇

Going Underground

14,779 次观看 • 14 天前

The next time this market cracks, nobody is coming to save you. When markets got in trouble, the Fed showed up. More liquidity. Buy the dip, wait for the cavalry, you're a genius. But that game is OVER. When the Fed creates liquidity, the money that doesn't get sucked up by the real economy sloshes into stocks. That's been happening since 2009. But guess what? Right now the real economy IS sucking it up, because growth is okay and prices are rising. So there's a lot less left over for your portfolio. My good friend Michael Howell, the Liquidity King, has called the turns better than anybody alive, and he went cautious back in January for exactly this reason. The termites are eating away underneath this market and nobody wants to look. The proof: We've had a war. Bond yields go DOWN in a war. That's what's supposed to happen. But instead they're UP 40 basis points since it started. And look at the math on Washington: They pull in around five trillion a year and they spend seven and a half. They already owe $40 trillion, and that's before you get to the $125 trillion in off-balance-sheet promises nobody wants to discuss. Now imagine that borrower walks up to you and asks you to lend him money for 10 years at 4.5%, while inflation is running north of 3 and rising. You'd have to be brain dead to take that deal. That's exactly why yields are grinding higher, not lower, and if you ask me they belong closer to five and a half or six. Rates are too low, and the whole world knows it. And don't forget Japan, the biggest creditor nation on the planet, just saw its bond yields blow out to a 30 year high. When Japanese rates go up, all that money that's been funding OUR markets starts heading home. The 60/40 portfolio is built for a world that's gone. Bonds don't protect you when the whole problem IS the money getting debased - they get shot first. What actually hedges you now is the stuff they can't print: Gold and energy. The safety net is gone, and the margin for error with it.

George Noble

110,660 次观看 • 2 个月前