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Starship will start deploying Next-Gen Starlink satellites in mid-2027 SpaceX is taking the next giant leap with Starship This fully reusable launch vehicle is the key to deploying the next-generation Starlink constellation at record speed ✅ Launch 50+ satellites per mission ✅ Deploy roughly 1,200 satellites in just 6...

11,701 次观看 • 5 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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I think Starlink is wildly undervalued. It’s a $1+ trillion company in the making on its own. A lot of people still think Starlink is just “internet from space,” but in reality, it’s one of the most important communications networks ever built. In 2025 alone, Starlink generated $11.4 billion in revenue, accounting for roughly 61% of SpaceX’s total revenue. It served more than 10 million customers globally and generated $4.4 billion in operating profit w/ EBITDA margins of 63%. Starlink is a cash machine. Fyi, independent analysts forecast Starlink will generate approximately $20 billion in revenue, $14 billion in EBITDA, and over $8 billion in free cash flow in 2026… plus consumer broadband will continue to expand rapidly, while aviation, maritime, Starshield, and direct-to-cell services will open entirely new markets. The real advantage is that Starlink owns the entire stack. SpaceX builds the satellites, they launch the satellites, they operate the network, and they manufacture the user terminals. No competitor comes close to that level of vertical integration…. On top of this, starship will make the story even more crazier with next-generation satellites, 100+ satellites per launch, dramatically lowering launch costs, and thousands of new satellites being deployed each year, the cost of serving additional customers continuing to fall, while the network & tech keep getting stronger. If you really want to understand why SpaceX is at a $2T valuation… start with Starlink. Starlink already generates the majority of SpaceX’s revenue, profit, and free cash flow. It helps fund Starship development, supports expansion across the company, and provides the financial engine behind SpaceX’s long-term ambitions. The bull case is based on real revenue, real profits, real customers, and a moat that gets wider every year… NOT hype. The way I see it, Starlink will become the most valuable communication company in human history and a $1 trillion valuation doesn’t sound crazy to me for this business/technology alone.

Teslaconomics

28,227 次观看 • 1 个月前

Chamath has been watching SpaceX for 15 years and he thinks the market is still not close to understanding what it actually is (Save this). The first argument is the industrial logic of a Tesla SpaceX combination. One capital structure, one balance sheet, one vehicle to raise money across robotics, autonomous vehicles, energy, AI, and launch. Chamath Palihapitiya argument is that markets are treating this as a peripheral possibility rather than an obvious strategic inevitability. The second is Starlink Direct to Cell, which he believes will generate enormous domestic cellular revenue before most of the bigger SpaceX narratives even begin to materialize. The numbers already back this up. Starlink has over 10 million Direct to Cell monthly active users with live partnerships with T-Mobile, Rogers and Optus standard smartphones connecting directly to satellites with no special hardware required. SpaceX is currently deploying approximately 340 Direct to Cell satellites per month, targeting 25 million monthly active users by end of 2026. Goldman forecasts SpaceX's AI division will generate $15.6 billion in 2026, rising to $34.5 billion in 2027 and accelerating to $322 billion by 2030 roughly a 100-fold increase in five years. Total SpaceX revenue hits $474 billion by 2030, up from $18.7 billion in 2025. The launch cadence numbers are where this gets staggering. SpaceX is expected to execute 151 Starship launches in 2027, scaling to 253 in 2028, then 1,504 in 2029, 2,808 in 2030, and 5,467 in 2031. Goldman projects 5,288 of those 2031 launches will be dedicated Starship AI missions each carrying 30 to 50 satellites powered by one GB300 equivalent compute rack apiece. The cost per kilogram to orbit falls below $100 as reusability matures, compared to $1,500 per kilogram on Falcon 9 today. Morgan Stanley projected a 24-hour turnaround by late 2027, enabling the kind of cadence these numbers require. That launch cost collapse is what makes the orbital AI compute thesis real Elon Musk

Milk Road AI

93,861 次观看 • 25 天前