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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Tehran's biggest problem at the negotiating table may be that Washington's positions shift faster than anyone can respond to them. Political analyst Garland Nixon argues the unpredictability coming out of the White House runs deeper than strategy. In his read, the pattern follows the pressure, with bold...

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Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท TRUMP SAID IT HIMSELF, HE'D TAKE THE OIL Political analyst Garland Nixon says that one sentence ended any chance of a deal. You can't tell someone you want to take their oil and then ask them to trust you at the negotiating table. "That sounds like a common street criminal." And the U.S doesn't even have the industrial capacity to fight long enough to get it. Meanwhile, America's economic suffering is approaching intolerable levels. Garland Nixon
2:24

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท TRUMP SAID IT HIMSELF, HE'D TAKE THE OIL Political analyst Garland Nixon says that one sentence ended any chance of a deal. You can't tell someone you want to take their oil and then ask them to trust you at the negotiating table. "That sounds like a common street criminal." And the U.S doesn't even have the industrial capacity to fight long enough to get it. Meanwhile, America's economic suffering is approaching intolerable levels. Garland Nixon

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Where we are in the war wasn't calculated, and that's what makes it dangerous. Garland Nixon breaks down why Iran's position isn't negotiable, and why Trump may already know he miscalculated. "I'd rather die on my feet than live on my knees. I think that is their position." The only pressure that moves Iran comes from Moscow and Beijing, and that's a very thin rope to hang a deal on. Garland Nixon
2:45

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Where we are in the war wasn't calculated, and that's what makes it dangerous. Garland Nixon breaks down why Iran's position isn't negotiable, and why Trump may already know he miscalculated. "I'd rather die on my feet than live on my knees. I think that is their position." The only pressure that moves Iran comes from Moscow and Beijing, and that's a very thin rope to hang a deal on. Garland Nixon

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท No lasting deal is coming. And if Trump somehow manages to get one, Garland Nixon says it will be sabotaged from within almost immediately. The only thing that could force Washington to act in the interests of its own people is severe economic pain and the political instability that comes with it. Iran knows that. They're betting economic reality will break the deadlock long before diplomacy does. Garland Nixon
2:00

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท No lasting deal is coming. And if Trump somehow manages to get one, Garland Nixon says it will be sabotaged from within almost immediately. The only thing that could force Washington to act in the interests of its own people is severe economic pain and the political instability that comes with it. Iran knows that. They're betting economic reality will break the deadlock long before diplomacy does. Garland Nixon

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท TRUMP'S DEADLINE IS TOMORROW. HERE'S WHY NOBODY SHOULD PANIC Political analyst Garland Nixon says stop watching the threats, watch the track record. "Every ultimatum Trump has ever issued from 500% tariffs to the Ukraine war to maximum force threats has ended the same way." Trump doesn't like big risks; he got dragged into this war, he'll find a way out. Iran already told him exactly what they'll hit if he escalates. A semi-permanent disruption to global energy. No one wants that. Not even Trump. Garland Nixon
2:53

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท TRUMP'S DEADLINE IS TOMORROW. HERE'S WHY NOBODY SHOULD PANIC Political analyst Garland Nixon says stop watching the threats, watch the track record. "Every ultimatum Trump has ever issued from 500% tariffs to the Ukraine war to maximum force threats has ended the same way." Trump doesn't like big risks; he got dragged into this war, he'll find a way out. Iran already told him exactly what they'll hit if he escalates. A semi-permanent disruption to global energy. No one wants that. Not even Trump. Garland Nixon

Mario Nawfal

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Lyman: You have another article from the New York Times entitled Garland faces growing pressure as Jan six investigation widens, it says Mr. Biden confided to his inner circle that he believed former president Donald Trump was a threat to democracy and should be prosecuted. Phillip: Continue reading the article where it says that was never conveyed to Garland. The whole fact of the article is that Garland actually was not doing the thing that the president wanted him to do. Garland did not respond to the pressure which the article is referring to. Pressure that was from the public.
1:40

Lyman: You have another article from the New York Times entitled Garland faces growing pressure as Jan six investigation widens, it says Mr. Biden confided to his inner circle that he believed former president Donald Trump was a threat to democracy and should be prosecuted. Phillip: Continue reading the article where it says that was never conveyed to Garland. The whole fact of the article is that Garland actually was not doing the thing that the president wanted him to do. Garland did not respond to the pressure which the article is referring to. Pressure that was from the public.

Acyn

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท IRAN PLANNED FOR A 6-8 MONTH WAR OF ATTRITION. THE U.S DIDN'T PLAN AT ALL Political analyst Garland Nixon says time is entirely on Iran's side. Iran's military is dug in. They don't need to fire a million missiles a day. Just keep firing, keep this going, and let the clock run. The Iranian people are unified behind their government. The American people are losing it over gas prices. "Americans love their trucks. Gas prices are the thing that gets them every time." If this war is still running by November midterms, Democrats win. Garland Nixon
4:13

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท IRAN PLANNED FOR A 6-8 MONTH WAR OF ATTRITION. THE U.S DIDN'T PLAN AT ALL Political analyst Garland Nixon says time is entirely on Iran's side. Iran's military is dug in. They don't need to fire a million missiles a day. Just keep firing, keep this going, and let the clock run. The Iranian people are unified behind their government. The American people are losing it over gas prices. "Americans love their trucks. Gas prices are the thing that gets them every time." If this war is still running by November midterms, Democrats win. Garland Nixon

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Garland Nixon says if this war restarts, Trump's most dangerous enemy won't be in Tehran it will be at home. Gas at $10 or $11 a gallon and the American public snaps. The streets don't stay quiet when people can't afford to drive to work. A new war doesn't just risk military failure abroad, but also the kind of domestic unrest that Washington is completely unprepared to handle. Garland Nixon
5:01

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Garland Nixon says if this war restarts, Trump's most dangerous enemy won't be in Tehran it will be at home. Gas at $10 or $11 a gallon and the American public snaps. The streets don't stay quiet when people can't afford to drive to work. A new war doesn't just risk military failure abroad, but also the kind of domestic unrest that Washington is completely unprepared to handle. Garland Nixon

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท A massive structural transition is rocking the White House as Trump finds himself backed into a dangerous corner in the Iran conflict. Despite headlines about Greenland and Cuba, the reality is that the U.S. advanced against Iran, failed to break through, and has been forced to negotiate a fallback. Garland Nixon breaks down what this tactical retreat constitutes for the U.S. "Like a drowning man who has fallen into the water, and he's grabbing and reaching in every direction that he can." Garland Nixon Azi
5:11

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท A massive structural transition is rocking the White House as Trump finds himself backed into a dangerous corner in the Iran conflict. Despite headlines about Greenland and Cuba, the reality is that the U.S. advanced against Iran, failed to break through, and has been forced to negotiate a fallback. Garland Nixon breaks down what this tactical retreat constitutes for the U.S. "Like a drowning man who has fallen into the water, and he's grabbing and reaching in every direction that he can." Garland Nixon Azi

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท STRIKE IRAN'S ENERGY AND THE ENTIRE GULF GOES DARK Political analyst Garland Nixon says Trump is about to make the costliest move of his presidency for nothing. Iran has promised to plunge the region into darkness if its energy infrastructure is hit. They've delivered on every promise so far. Israel still can't destroy Iran's missile stockpiles; 50% of launchers still intact. "You play your ace and you've got an empty hand, and they still don't say yes." Markets crash, American people suffer, the region collapses, and Iran still won't take the deal. "You're not dealing with people that can be bullied." Garland Nixon
5:42

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท STRIKE IRAN'S ENERGY AND THE ENTIRE GULF GOES DARK Political analyst Garland Nixon says Trump is about to make the costliest move of his presidency for nothing. Iran has promised to plunge the region into darkness if its energy infrastructure is hit. They've delivered on every promise so far. Israel still can't destroy Iran's missile stockpiles; 50% of launchers still intact. "You play your ace and you've got an empty hand, and they still don't say yes." Markets crash, American people suffer, the region collapses, and Iran still won't take the deal. "You're not dealing with people that can be bullied." Garland Nixon

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท BOTH SIDES WANT A DEAL. THE PROBLEM IS TRUST IS GONE Political analyst Garland Nixon says Trump betrayed Iran twice. "If you were Iran, would you trust him?" Any deal now requires a third party to guarantee and enforce it. Not the UN, that's collapsed. So who? Russia and China building a military base in Iran might sound crazy, but Garland says think outside the box because the U.S. is going to have to swallow something it would never normally accept. And if this isn't resolved in the next month or two, the issue won't be Iran anymore. It will be an internal uprising. In America, in Europe. Gas prices, economic pain, people in the streets. "The ruling elite's biggest fear is always what's happening at home." Garland Nixon
5:20

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท BOTH SIDES WANT A DEAL. THE PROBLEM IS TRUST IS GONE Political analyst Garland Nixon says Trump betrayed Iran twice. "If you were Iran, would you trust him?" Any deal now requires a third party to guarantee and enforce it. Not the UN, that's collapsed. So who? Russia and China building a military base in Iran might sound crazy, but Garland says think outside the box because the U.S. is going to have to swallow something it would never normally accept. And if this isn't resolved in the next month or two, the issue won't be Iran anymore. It will be an internal uprising. In America, in Europe. Gas prices, economic pain, people in the streets. "The ruling elite's biggest fear is always what's happening at home." Garland Nixon

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท American foreign policy was built on controlling the world's oil spigot, and the threat just stopped working. Political analyst Garland Nixon breaks down the logic that has driven Washington's wars for decades. Owning the resource was never the point, because the real prize was the ability to choke off any adversary's access to it whenever the moment called for it. "I need to be able to turn the spigots off for any adversary so that I can control that adversary by restricting their access to the resource." The catch is that the gun only works while the other guy believes you'll pull the trigger. After 104 days of watching Iran absorb everything and keep standing, that belief is fading fast. Garland Nixon
2:06

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท American foreign policy was built on controlling the world's oil spigot, and the threat just stopped working. Political analyst Garland Nixon breaks down the logic that has driven Washington's wars for decades. Owning the resource was never the point, because the real prize was the ability to choke off any adversary's access to it whenever the moment called for it. "I need to be able to turn the spigots off for any adversary so that I can control that adversary by restricting their access to the resource." The catch is that the gun only works while the other guy believes you'll pull the trigger. After 104 days of watching Iran absorb everything and keep standing, that belief is fading fast. Garland Nixon

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Escalation might be the only card left on the table as the U.S. runs out of options in the Middle East. Professor Robert Pape argues that chaos in Lebanon is handing the Trump administration consecutive political losses that make them look incredibly weak. He suggested the pressure to avoid looking like an embarrassment on the world stage could trigger another massive military escalation in the coming months. Robert A. Pape
1:38

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Escalation might be the only card left on the table as the U.S. runs out of options in the Middle East. Professor Robert Pape argues that chaos in Lebanon is handing the Trump administration consecutive political losses that make them look incredibly weak. He suggested the pressure to avoid looking like an embarrassment on the world stage could trigger another massive military escalation in the coming months. Robert A. Pape

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Every time a deal gets within reach, someone inside Trump's own camp picks up the phone and tells Netanyahu how to blow it up. Garland Nixon says Trump's real battle isn't with Iran. Their red lines have been consistent for years. His real battle is inside Washington, with billionaire donors and a political class demanding a victory he cannot deliver. Trump promised to cast out the warmongers and end the quagmires. The harder you struggle in quicksand, the faster it pulls you under. "You lied to us, Trump. You told us there would be no war in Iran. Whether intentionally or not is irrelevant." Garland Nixon
15:51

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Every time a deal gets within reach, someone inside Trump's own camp picks up the phone and tells Netanyahu how to blow it up. Garland Nixon says Trump's real battle isn't with Iran. Their red lines have been consistent for years. His real battle is inside Washington, with billionaire donors and a political class demanding a victory he cannot deliver. Trump promised to cast out the warmongers and end the quagmires. The harder you struggle in quicksand, the faster it pulls you under. "You lied to us, Trump. You told us there would be no war in Iran. Whether intentionally or not is irrelevant." Garland Nixon

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The longer this war drags on, the worse the U.S. position gets. Alex Christoforou says every week that passes gives Iran more leverage and pushes the U.S. into a weaker negotiating position. He suggested, at this point, the best option may be to accept a deal that is worse than what was originally available. Alex Christoforou
5:39

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The longer this war drags on, the worse the U.S. position gets. Alex Christoforou says every week that passes gives Iran more leverage and pushes the U.S. into a weaker negotiating position. He suggested, at this point, the best option may be to accept a deal that is worse than what was originally available. Alex Christoforou

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท A GOOD STATESMAN NEVER SHOWS HIS HAND. TRUMP JUST SHOWED EVERYTHING Political analyst Garland Nixon says Trump's "Open the fucking strait, you crazy bastards" post was a confession. Cool leaders listen, take notes and reveal nothing. Desperate leaders curse, threaten and beg for attention. "When someone does that it reeks of desperation. If I'm on the other side, I'd say that guy is scared." A disrespected enemy never surrenders. They fight to the end because their pride demands it. Trump just made peace harder to reach and Iran knows it. Garland Nixon
3:02

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท A GOOD STATESMAN NEVER SHOWS HIS HAND. TRUMP JUST SHOWED EVERYTHING Political analyst Garland Nixon says Trump's "Open the fucking strait, you crazy bastards" post was a confession. Cool leaders listen, take notes and reveal nothing. Desperate leaders curse, threaten and beg for attention. "When someone does that it reeks of desperation. If I'm on the other side, I'd say that guy is scared." A disrespected enemy never surrenders. They fight to the end because their pride demands it. Trump just made peace harder to reach and Iran knows it. Garland Nixon

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The CIA told the White House Iran has 3 to 4 months before economic collapse, and that timeline is now driving every decision. Analyst Alex Christoforou lays out why that bet could blow up in Trump's face. "What do the airstrikes accomplish? Nothing. What does the retaliation of Iran accomplish? A lot." If oil spikes before Iran folds, the clock runs out on Trump, not Tehran. Alex Christoforou
3:54

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The CIA told the White House Iran has 3 to 4 months before economic collapse, and that timeline is now driving every decision. Analyst Alex Christoforou lays out why that bet could blow up in Trump's face. "What do the airstrikes accomplish? Nothing. What does the retaliation of Iran accomplish? A lot." If oil spikes before Iran folds, the clock runs out on Trump, not Tehran. Alex Christoforou

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran emerged from the war with far more leverage than many expected. Prof. Fawaz Gerges argues the Trump administration is now trapped in a strategic box, facing an Iran that can exert enormous pressure on the global economy through the Strait of Hormuz. He says Washington entered the conflict believing it would be short, decisive, and potentially lead to regime change. Instead, the White House now faces the prospect of negotiating its way back to something resembling the pre-war status quo. Fawaz Gerges
8:57

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran emerged from the war with far more leverage than many expected. Prof. Fawaz Gerges argues the Trump administration is now trapped in a strategic box, facing an Iran that can exert enormous pressure on the global economy through the Strait of Hormuz. He says Washington entered the conflict believing it would be short, decisive, and potentially lead to regime change. Instead, the White House now faces the prospect of negotiating its way back to something resembling the pre-war status quo. Fawaz Gerges

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The easiest way out of this war may also be the most politically difficult. Alex Christoforou says removing the blockade and returning to talks could de-escalate the situation quickly. He argues the challenge will be selling that outcome as a victory. "If he wants a way out of it, he can just remove the blockade and then both sides can sit at the table and get back to what they agreed on before all of this." Alex Christoforou
2:33

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The easiest way out of this war may also be the most politically difficult. Alex Christoforou says removing the blockade and returning to talks could de-escalate the situation quickly. He argues the challenge will be selling that outcome as a victory. "If he wants a way out of it, he can just remove the blockade and then both sides can sit at the table and get back to what they agreed on before all of this." Alex Christoforou

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The White House may be trying to sell the markets a clean diplomatic victory, but the reality underneath looks far messier. Analyst Chris Martenson says Iran still refuses to back down on its core demands over reparations, sanctions relief, and nuclear sovereignty, despite Washington projecting confidence publicly. He argues the bigger problem is structural: the U.S. keeps negotiating in what he calls โ€œdictate mode,โ€ assuming pressure alone can force outcomes, while the actual balance of leverage on the ground keeps shifting. Chris Martenson
7:27

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The White House may be trying to sell the markets a clean diplomatic victory, but the reality underneath looks far messier. Analyst Chris Martenson says Iran still refuses to back down on its core demands over reparations, sanctions relief, and nuclear sovereignty, despite Washington projecting confidence publicly. He argues the bigger problem is structural: the U.S. keeps negotiating in what he calls โ€œdictate mode,โ€ assuming pressure alone can force outcomes, while the actual balance of leverage on the ground keeps shifting. Chris Martenson

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran is still in the phase of working out how concession-prone Trump may be at this juncture of the standoff. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down why Tehran's 14-point proposal is nothing more than a calculated bluff. "To think that the U.S. would pull out from all bases, that's not going to happen. Could there be accords for going back to some sort of nuclear non-proliferation treaty? That's on the table." @AnthonyAgu88102
4:28

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran is still in the phase of working out how concession-prone Trump may be at this juncture of the standoff. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar breaks down why Tehran's 14-point proposal is nothing more than a calculated bluff. "To think that the U.S. would pull out from all bases, that's not going to happen. Could there be accords for going back to some sort of nuclear non-proliferation treaty? That's on the table." @AnthonyAgu88102

Mario Nawfal

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